RISKY 1:4 RATIO Today's chart analysis
Reliable data services Ltd
Microcap Company has very high risky stock
The company belongs to IT field, providing complete customized services to various banking, financial services and other manufacturing industries in the field of back office processing
Technically analysis
1) stock near-lifetime high and above listing price
2) Stock is above listing price so this can be taken as support
The chart has ascending triangle pattern
4) It takes 5 years to move above listing price
5) so now Stock have heavy potential to move to a lifelong high
6) Lifetime high 72 may act as resistance and also 63-65 level
7) above 63-65, definitely move 72.
8) below 60, take as stop loss for reaching a lifelong high level
9) risk-reward ratio is 1:4
10) very risky stock
11) no recommendation for buying and selling
12) only education purpose
Riskreward
🔥 My BEST-CASE Scenario For Bitcoin's 2025 TopOver the last two bull-runs, Bitcoin has been trading in a relatively predictable pattern. In this analysis I want to take a closer look at this pattern and discuss my BEST-CASE scenario for the next bull-run.
* BTC has been trading within the bullish channel Since July 2017 (more than 6 years). Every time the support was touched it produced a local low, every time the resistance was touched it produced a local top.
* Bitcoin topped (green) between 74 and 78 weeks after the halving (yellow) took place.
Knowing this, we can predict the next Bitcoin top with relative certainty. Naturally, assuming that this pattern will continue to hold.
* The next BTC top will be somewhere between 15 Sept 2025 and 13 Oct 2025, 74 and 78 weeks after the next halving.
* The next BTC top will touch the top resistance of the channel somewhere between 300,000 and 320,000.
An argument can be made that Bitcoin is experiencing diminishing returns over the years, invalidating this analysis. However, the move from (roughly) 3k > 69k is bigger than the move from 15.5k > 320k. The returns are not diminishing as fast as before, but it's still diminished.
Personally, I don't think this outcome is likely. Market conditions have deteriorated significantly with rising interest rates and inflation. Hence I call this my "best-case" scenario. I'd be surprised if the next bull-run will bring us above 150k, but time will tell.
Where and when do you think Bitcoin will top? Share your analyses below.🙏
🔥 ZIL At The Verge Of Breaking Out: New Moonshot SignalZIL has been trading below the top resistance for around 18 months. The 0.0155 support held strong all this time. A break out on either side was expected after the support and resistance converged.
If we can close the week above 0.018, I'm treating it as a successful break out of the triangle pattern. In my view this could be the definite low of this token with much more upside ahead.
It's a risky long-term bet with a very good R/R ratio of 52, which can be a massive boost for the trading balance if it plays out.
As always, patience is key.
Long ETH - Adapting to a successful backtested strategyCurrent position is Long at 1640. Stop loss 3.5%
The RSI and ATR on multiple timeframes has indicated a trend reversal from short to long. Thus we adapt. No Bias, no emotion. Pure TA and risk management.
Is the current position down a few percent? yes... does it matter? No! The entire portfolio is up over 4400% since 2020 (Substatiated by the backtest).
We stick to the gameplan, the intermediate market moves are irrelevant. Our risk profile is planned for. We follow the strategy that has consistently had major net profits year on year (Substatianted by the backtest) and we don't get swayed by emotional bias.
Adaptation is a fundamental component of implementing a proven and backtested strategy. In financial markets and various other domains, adhering to a well-researched and tested approach is essential for achieving consistent success. The dynamic nature of these environments necessitates the ability to adapt when circumstances change. Therefore, recognizing the importance of adapting to current market realities while still adhering to a proven strategy is paramount for long-term sustainability and success.
Has GOLD made its low?It seems that GOLD might have made its low.
-Price turned 200EMA back to support (red moving average)
-Showing rising demand on the three lows I marked, and last one is the highest (rising demand).
-RSI break?
(White arrow)
When/If this lower high is broken then the price structure changes from lower highs to first time making higher high since may. Which gives me more conviction for a trend change. (ofc price has to stay on top of this level for keeping this valid)
The higher low break on 200EMA works as stop loss for me
I have around 2.5% of my net worth on Gold/Silver. I'm planning to make it bigger cause Gold will possibly run around 2.5k-3.5 in 2-3 years, and silver $50-$100
Good investment for years to come as quantitive easing etc will keep going harder than ever..
Check out my june BTC Dominance analysis here which hit spot on! :)
ETH -16%, BNB -30%, ADA -33% against BTC since that call
If you are starting out trading "post about great mentors I follow and respect" here
1st mistake novice traders do is that they don't use stop losses, doesn't calculate their RIsk/Rewards and gets their ass burned cause of that.
Always use them!
-PalenTrade
Role of Risk Management in Trading and How to calculate riskThe Foundations of Solid Risk Management 🛡️📊:
Risk management in trading involves a series of strategic decisions aimed at minimizing potential losses. It revolves around understanding the risks associated with each trade and employing measures to mitigate them. Whether you're a novice or an experienced trader, risk management remains a non-negotiable aspect of sustainable trading.
👍 Pros of Effective Risk Management:
Shields your trading capital from significant losses.
Provides a structured framework for decision-making.
Fosters discipline and rationality in the face of market fluctuations.
👎 Cons of Neglecting Risk Management:
Exposes your portfolio to undue risks that can lead to substantial losses.
Increases the likelihood of emotional decision-making driven by fear and greed.
The Emotional and Financial Benefits of Risk Management 🧘♂️❤️:
Effective risk management isn't just about preserving your financial resources; it's also about maintaining emotional equilibrium. When traders implement robust risk management strategies, they reduce the psychological stress and anxiety that often accompany trading. This enables traders to make more logical decisions, avoiding impulsive actions triggered by heightened emotions.
Calculating Position Size and Setting Stop Losses 📈🛑:
Two key elements of risk management are calculating the appropriate position size and setting stop-loss levels. These practices are integral to controlling the amount of capital at risk in each trade. By determining the position size based on a percentage of your capital and setting stop-loss orders to limit potential losses, traders ensure that no single trade can significantly erode their account balance.
Comparing Potential Losses and Gains for Different Risk Management Scenarios 💹📉:
Let's explore how the 2% rule affects potential outcomes for different risk management scenarios:
Risking 2% of a $1000 Deposit:
Maximum Risk per Trade: $20 (2% of $1000)
Potential Loss: Limited to $20 per trade
Potential Gain: Can vary, but the focus is on maintaining risk control
Risking 5% of a $1000 Deposit:
Maximum Risk per Trade: $50 (5% of $1000)
Potential Loss: Larger at $50 per trade
Potential Gain: Higher, but the risk of significant losses is elevated
Risking 10% of a $1000 Deposit:
Maximum Risk per Trade: $100 (10% of $1000)
Potential Loss: Considerably larger at $100 per trade
Potential Gain: Higher compared to 2% risk, but risk of capital depletion is significant
How to calculate your position size ?
You can easily calculate risk directly in TradingView using the built-in calculator!
Choose the direction of your position - long or short.
The next step is to set up according to your deposit and risk per trade.
After that, simply drag it onto the chart in line with your stop loss and take profit (more on this in the upcoming article), and it will automatically calculate the position size for you!
🔥 Watch This Short-Term Bitcoin Break Out Pattern!In continuation of my previous bearish BTC analyses, I spotted this triangle pattern which has been formed over the last couple of days.
Whilst it's a risky trade, the potential short-term gains are big enough for it to share with the rest of the community.
I'm waiting for the price to fall through the support, which can potentially signal a further fall in price. Stop above the most recent local high, target at 24.000
🔥 Bitcoin Cash Fighting For The Uptrend: Patience For Break!BCH saw a huge move over the last few days. This could be the definitive trend reversal, but too early to say for now. Personally, I'm going to wait for the price to close above the local high around 229 before considering an entry.
With the diagonal resistance retested as support, it's looking quite bullish. I'm going to use the retest-lows as my stop, Summer high as the target.
SELL 1937!!! About to Activate ¬_¬Price is Approaching 1937 resistance. We took buys before news came out at 1914. price will eventually go to 1961 but as price approaches its first resistance we will activate sells for a minimum of 100 pips. if it breaks we re enter on the retest with buys instead.
🔥 NEAR Big Upside Break Out Potential: Patience!NEAR has been consolidating inside this pattern for well over a year on this point. I'm anticipating big volume to appear once we will break out. Keep in mind that we will wait for the price to confirm the break out of the triangle. This signal will get invalidated once NEAR falls through the support.
Stop just below 1$, target at the August 2022 highs. This results in a trade with big upside potential and a very nice risk-reward of 15.61
🔥 ARBITRUM Bearish Support Break OutAs of yesterday, ARB has fallen through a strong area of support which held the bull trend going for over a month. In my view, there's a high possibility that ARB will continue to fall, potentially even retesting the June lows around 0.92
ARB is quite oversold at the moment, so we're going to anticipate a bullish correction towards 1.19 or so. Stop just above 1.21 for an optimal risk-reward ratio. A more risk-averse trade would be to take (partial) profits around 1$.
VTRS - Potential U-MLH breakout to the CenterlineThe Orange down sloping Fork did it's job very good so far. Even the (yellow) sliding parallels gave us good information how wide the shift is. And we even got some confirmation from the divergence
Now VTRS is nagging at the U-MLH.
Also nice to see how this stock is stair stepping towards the Center line (orange lines).
Is it too late to jump in?
In my trading it's never too late, if I have a good risk/reward.
However, we must be aware that the "Last Sellers Zone" is right in our way. Are the sellers still sitting there?
Let's see if the U-MLH will break out, smack the sellers and rockets to the Center line.
MASTERING RISK MANAGEMENT IN FOREX📈🛑 Mastering Risk Management in Forex Trading 🛑📈
(1/6) Hey fellow traders! Let's talk about a critical aspect of successful #ForexTrading - Risk Management. It's the compass that guides us through the unpredictable market waters. Here are some key principles to keep in mind:
(2/6) Rule #1: Set Your Risk Tolerance 📊💰. Determine the maximum % of your trading capital you're willing to risk on any single trade. This shields you from overexposure and keeps emotions in check, crucial for long-term success. #RiskManagement #ForexTips
(3/6) Rule #2: Use Stop Loss Orders 🛑📉. Always, always, ALWAYS set stop-loss orders for your trades. This helps limit potential losses and prevents your account from taking a big hit if the market goes against you. #StopLoss #ForexTrading
(4/6) Rule #3: Diversify Your Trades 🌐📊. Don't put all your eggs in one basket. Distribute your trades across different currency pairs and strategies. This reduces the impact of a single bad trade on your overall portfolio. #Diversification #ForexRisk
(5/6) Rule #4: Understand Position Sizing ⚖️📈. Calculate the appropriate position size for each trade based on your risk tolerance and the distance to your stop loss. This keeps your risk consistent and prevents you from risking too much on one trade. #PositionSizing
(6/6) Rule #5: Stay Informed & Adapt 📚🔄. The Forex market is dynamic. Keep learning, stay updated on market trends, and be ready to adapt your strategies. Even with solid risk management, remember that losses are part of the game. Stay disciplined and stay patient. #ForexStrategy
Remember, successful Forex trading isn't about avoiding losses entirely, but rather managing them smartly. Keep these risk management principles in mind to pave the way for more consistent and sustainable trading success. Happy trading! 📊💹 #ForexSuccess #RiskAwareness
🔥 Bitcoin Lost The Uptrend: Crash Alarm! 🚨If you enjoy this analysis, please like and follow.
Recently I've made several analyses on Bitcoin. In general, I was more bearish than bullish based on historical pre-halving year statistics.
Furthermore, I made several analyses on Bitcoin's historically low volatility where I argued that a big move was coming to the markets very soon.
WIth the stock markets falling and BTC trading on edge, are we going to see a big dump soon?
Maybe. I'd like to see a move below 28k first to increase the probability of this break out being real and not just a wick below support where bulls will step in and V-shape reverse to 30k.
Still, a move towards 20k is in the cards. Since the 15.5k lows I argued that the bear market lows are in, and I still hold this opinion.
The trade on the chart has a very decent risk-reward ratio, even for a big asset like BTC. Time will tell.
Please share your thoughts in the comments🙏
🔥 SUSHI'S Best Trade You Will Make This YearSUSHI has found very strong support at the 2020 lows a couple of weeks ago. Since then, SUSHI has been seeing strong gains.
This trade is based on the idea that SUSHI's bear market low is in and that we will generally only go up for the foreseeable future.
I'm expecting a minor correction over the coming weeks, hence the entry at 0.7, stop below the May lows, target at 23$.
This is a long-term trade and can take another 2 years to hit the profit target. Nevertheless, a risk-reward of >100 is incredible and can lead to some serious gains.
GBPCAD LONGA trade with the best entry point, the best R:R (1:13), the lowest risk and in the direction of the market trend.
In terms of fundamentals, due to the drop in oil prices and the impact on the Canadian currency, Mithian predicted that the British pound would become stronger.
Technical and fundamental shows growth.
Good luck.
🔥 SHIBA Bearish Channel: Bear Market Bet!SHIBA has a very decent over the last month or so. It's likely that we get some kind of reversal in the near future. I'm going to increase our bearish chances by waiting patiently for SHIBA to reach the top resistance of the channel.
Yes, this trade playing out would require a continuation of the bear market for the next few months. This could also be considered as a hedging trade.
Stop just above 1400, target at 500, results in a very decent R/R of 7.92
🔥 RUNE 1-Year Downtrend Break OutAs the title suggests, RUNE has now broken out through a 1-year resistance line that has kept the bulls in check. In my view, this could be the start of a bigger longer-term trend.
Since we're quite overbought at the moment, I'm, waiting for a small pull-back before considering an entry. Stop just below the resistance, target at the August 2022 highs.