🔥 STG Breaking Out: High Risk Reward PotentialSTG has been trading bearish for almost all year. However, as of this morning the dotted purple resistance has been broken, giving way for more potential growth in the near future.
My target is the 2023 top, stop under the recent swing low. A more defensive trade would be to take partial profits around 0.72 and/or 0.95
Riskreward
📊 7 Steps To Plan Your TradingHere are 7 steps to consider before entering a trade. Pick one or multiple options for each step to incorporate into your plan.
🔷 Timeframe: This step involves determining the desired timeframe for the trade, which can vary from day trading on shorter timeframes (m15 to h1), swing trading on intermediate timeframes (h4 to d1), or position trading on longer timeframes (d1 to w1). Choosing the appropriate timeframe helps establish the trade duration and the level of monitoring required.
🔷 Risk Management: This step focuses on determining the level of risk to allocate to each trade. It is recommended to risk a certain percentage of capital per trade, typically ranging from 1% to 3%. This ensures that losses are limited and helps maintain consistent risk across trades.
🔷 Conditions: Identifying market conditions is crucial for trade planning. Traders need to assess whether the market is ranging (moving within a defined price range) or trending (showing a clear upward or downward direction). Understanding the prevailing market conditions helps in selecting appropriate trading strategies and indicators.
🔷 Markets: This step involves selecting the specific financial markets or instruments in which to trade. Traders can choose from a wide range of options, such as equities (stocks), options, bonds, futures or Crypto. The choice depends on individual preferences, market knowledge, and the availability of suitable trading opportunities.
🔷 Entries: Determining entry points is essential for initiating a trade. This step involves selecting entry strategies based on the identified market conditions. Common entry methods include taking advantage of pullbacks (temporary price retracements within a trend), breakouts (entering when price surpasses a key level), or trading news events that can cause significant price movements.
🔷 Stops: Placing stop-loss orders is crucial for managing risk and protecting capital. Traders need to determine stop levels that are strategically placed away from market structures, such as support and resistance levels. This helps minimize the chances of premature stop-outs due to normal market fluctuations while still ensuring that losses are controlled.
🔷 Targets: Setting profit targets is essential for determining when to exit a trade. Traders can choose between fixed targets, where a predetermined price level is identified to take profits, or trailing stops, where the stop-loss order is adjusted as the trade moves in the trader's favor. Both approaches aim to capture gains and lock in profits while allowing the trade to run if the market continues to move favorably.
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🔥 FET Bullish Reversal Trade: Patience!FET has been trading bearish for months. As of a couple of days ago, BTC saw a huge break out which will likely take alts with it. This trade assumes that FET, an early 2023 winner, will move up together with BTC.
I'm waiting for the break out through the top diagonal resistance. Once a daily candle has closed above said resistance, we're entering from around that level. Target at the 2023 top for the highest risk-reward. If you're more risk averse, consider taking (partial) profits around 0.30 or 0.40
Risk Reward Ratio ExpainedThe key to becoming successful as a Forex trader is to find the right balance between how much you risk per trade to achieve the desired profit you are aiming for. This balance needs to be realistic and relevant to the technical strategy you are applying. You need to combine risk reward with your strategy.
The risk-reward ratio is simply a calculation of how much you are willing to risk in a trade, versus how much you plan to aim for as a profit target. To keep it simple, if you were making a trade and you only wanted to set your stop loss at five pips and set your take profit at 20 pips, your risk reward ratio would be 5:20 or 1:4. You are risking five pips for the chance to gain 20 pips. The basic theory for the risk-reward ratio is to look for opportunities where the reward outweighs the risk. The greater the possible rewards, the more failed trades your account can withstand at a time. When it comes down to it, it is up to you as a trader to figure out what type of risk-reward ratio you want to use. You should try to avoid having your risk be bigger than your reward, particularly if you are a beginner, but there is no particular ratio that works for all traders. The important thing is that you use a ratio that makes sense for your trading style and for market conditions!
I recommend to use 1:2 risk reward ratio.
Have a great day 📊
The Power of Risk Management 💪 How Can Being an Average Analyst Lead to Profits? The Power of Risk Management and Risk Percentage
Introduction :
In the world of finance, where exceptional skills and expertise are often sought after, it may seem unlikely that being an average analyst could lead to profits. However, there is a simple formula that can help you achieve good results despite your average performance. This formula revolves around the concept of risk management, which many of us fail to implement effectively or understand correctly. Moreover, risk percentage plays a vital role in this equation, shaping the number of opportunities available to traders.
The Importance of Risk Management and Risk Percentage:
In our current field, there are individuals who possess the skills to read charts and build analyses but struggle to use them effectively. On the other hand, some people have the financial means but lack the ability to distinguish between bullish and bearish trends. Somewhere in between is the average individual, whose accuracy may not exceed 50%, but they may still perform better than both of the aforementioned groups. However, it's important to note that having the necessary skills, money, and proper application is a requirement for everyone in this field.
Applying the Risk-to-Reward Ratio and Risk Percentage:
The key lies in implementing risk management, a concept often overlooked. Let's consider a scenario where you execute 10 trades, with 5 trades reaching their targets and the other 5 hitting the stop-loss. Without proper risk management, you find yourself back at the starting point or, worse, your account shrinks. This highlights the problem that needs to be addressed.
Now, let's examine the same performance but with the application of risk management, including the risk-to-reward ratio and risk percentage. By determining the risk-to-reward ratio for each trade and defining a risk percentage, we can significantly impact our results.
Understanding the Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
The risk-to-reward ratio plays a significant role in determining the potential profitability of your trades. A ratio of 1.5:1 or 2:1 is often considered favorable, but it's important to understand how different ratios can affect your overall trading outcomes.
To grasp this concept, let's consider a risk-to-reward ratio of 1.5:1. This means you are risking $1 to potentially gain $1.5. With a 50% accuracy rate, even if you lose 5 trades out of 10, your net gains will exceed your losses. This is because the profits from the winning trades will surpass the losses from the losing trades.
Similarly, a risk-to-reward ratio of 2:1 implies that you are risking $1 to potentially gain $2. With a 50% accuracy rate, even if you lose 6 trades out of 10, your net gains will still be positive. The profits from the winning trades will outweigh the losses from the losing trades.
Higher risk-to-reward ratios, such as 3:1, offer even greater potential for profits. Even with a lower accuracy rate of less than 40%, you can still achieve overall profitability by allowing your winning trades to compensate for the losses.
The Role of Risk Percentage:
Risk percentage, on the other hand, determines the amount of capital you are willing to risk on each trade relative to your account size. By defining a specific risk percentage, such as risking 2% of your account on each trade, you establish a predetermined limit on potential losses. This ensures that your losses are controlled and do not exceed a predefined threshold, protecting your overall trading capital. Additionally, the right risk percentage opens up opportunities for multiple trades, increasing your chances of finding profitable opportunities while mitigating the impact of any individual trade that may result in a loss.
For instance, imagine you have a trading account with $1,000 and decide to risk 1%
on each trade. This means you are willing to risk $10 on any given trade, allowing you to potentially take 100 trades. Alternatively, if you choose to risk 0.5% per trade, you can potentially take 200 trades.
It's important to strike a balance between the quantity and quality of trades when implementing the appropriate risk percentage. While having more opportunities can be beneficial, maintaining a disciplined approach and executing trades that meet your predefined criteria and align with your trading strategy is essential.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, being an average analyst or trader doesn't mean you can't achieve profits in the financial field. By implementing proper risk management, specifically by utilizing the risk-to-reward ratio and risk percentage, you can enhance your results significantly. Learning and understanding risk management is crucial for success in the market. So, embrace this simple formula and take charge of your trading journey, regardless of your initial performance level.
Good luck to all.
🙏we ask Allah reconcile and repay🙏
Gold pennant potentialTrade Idea: Buying Gold
Reasoning:
• Weekly – Potentially forming a Morning Doji Formation (Bullish)
• Daily – Bullish engulfing candle yesterday (Bullish)
• 4hr - Price action above downward trend resistance and Ichimoku cloud (Bullish)
• 1hr – Forming Bullish Pennant (Bullish)
Entry Level: 1964.745
Take Profit Level: 1983.725
Stop Loss: 1959.139
Risk/Reward: 3.39:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Radix XRD/BTCThe only crypto project which I did accumulate during bear market. In time I think Radix has a good change to be bigger than Polkadot and Cardano. I'd suggest you do your own research about them.
31st of july Radix Public Network upgrade from Olympia to Babylon will occur and ready build DEFI apps can move from "tech mode" to the main net, among other things.
Noticeable about the weekly chart.
25EMA (yellow ema) which worked as resistance 5 times was flipped, tested and showed some support. 70/30 I'd guess this would hold. Time will tell
Let's analyse few things from daily timeframe
🔥 ONE Bullish Divergence: Local Bottom Set?Like most other tokens, ONE has been selling off for a couple of weeks now. With BTC appearing neutral, it's time to look at these weaker tokens for potential upside.
I'm waiting for ONE to break through the 0.01465 local resistance. Once above, we can make an entry from that resistance, targeting the most recent local top of 0.025, with a stop below the most recent lows.
This trade that we just constructed has a very respectable risk-reward of 12+, which is very good considering we take a wider stop. You could take partial profits around 0.017 and 0.02 if you prefer a more defensive setup.
🔥 LUNC Start Of Bull-Run: This Trade Can Make You Rich!LUNC has been trading bearish ever since the September 2021 top, which means that we've been going down over 1.5 years. This perpetual bearish pressure has to end at some point, and this trade is based on exactly that.
Since LUNC has finally broken through the diagonal resistance, the bulls have the overhand in the short-term. We are going to assume that the bulls will also regain control in the long-term and that the bottom for the current bear market is finally in.
With a target at the current all-time high, we're able to construct a trade with a mind-blowing risk-reward of over 185, which means that for every dollar you risk, you can potentially make 185x amount if this trade will hit it's target, without leverage! Entry placed at previous 4H local top.
If you're a more defensive trader, consider moving the stop down to 8300. Also, partial profit targets of 13000 and 21000 will make this trade less risky.
🔥 APE Crazy Bullish Divergence: Best Trade Of The Summer!APE has been roughly selling off since the start of the year. This trade anticipates that the selling is over and that the bottom is in for the time being. The idea is that the massive bullish divergence on the price vs RSI will cause a huge uptick in bullish pressure, further reassured by a bullish long-term BTC and stock market.
When we place the stop below the current daily low of 2.99 and a target of 6.40 (the year to date high), we can create a trade with an insane risk-reward of almost 26. This can potentially be one of the best trades of the summer.
Based on your preference you can take partial profits around 3.50 and 4.60
Key Levels are Magic 🪄 Create only the Best Risk/Reward Ideas!Someone recently asked me if the zones I draw on the chart is an indicator. This speaks to the amount of experience and level of competence that is easy to forget about. My ability to spot key level's and price areas on the chart is not something that is acquired overnight. It's a culmination of trial and error over the years and a loss of a significant amount of cash. It came at a large cost. The Latter is not necessary to understand the best key level's and price areas to trade off. Something that I recall over the years is the fact that I was never Self-Conscious about looking like a fool. We are all fools when we begin a new endeavor. I never hesitated to share my analysis with my mentors. Feedback can be quite painful but if you make it a habit, then it will return unto you by the tenfold.
Take this zone (27,136$ ) which was our 4Hr Support zone. I Say "was" because there was once a time when the 4Hr timeframe respected it as a Support area on May 28th.
It is now characterized as a 4Hr S/R Zone because we have seen multiple candles clearly close below it.. and it could, and I say could because there is no guarantee in the markets. It could act as a Resistance zone now and facilitate the distribution of orders as we continue our short term descent down to our next Key Level -- Weekly Level 26,770 $. If we arrive at the weekly level we will most likely have a reaction. A general rule of thumb to go by in the markets as a Price Action Trader - The Higher Timeframe the key level, the more probable it is that price will offer a good Risk/Reward trading idea off that level. The only guarantee is that there are good Risk - Reward Ideas and bad RR Ideas. So I might as well use my knowledge of the best price areas to create only the best Risk/Reward Ideas. For example, I will only trade off the 4Hr timeframe and Timeframes above that ( I have found this to be a good rule in the Forex market). I will only take trades that in which I Risk 1 to earn 3. In that way my win percentage may only be as good as 30%, yet after paying commissions/spreads to the intermediary, I earn a profit.
It is important to note that the monthly candle is closing in 2.5 Hours. Th Monthly candle is closing bearish and this may cause volatile price swings as position traders and Institutions manage their trades. It seems that we have accumulated a significant amount of liquidity after the market was pushed up to 28.5K because look at the daily timeframe. The market didn't hesitate all that much to quickly drop back and retrace a majority of the gains. As we move into the next monthly candle, we may very well go to create a bottom wick first as the current monthly candle is closing bearish. This is reasonable argument. Idk what are your thoughts? Please comment below.
Fantom Faces Potential 60-80% Summer Price Drop Based on HistoryRepeating Patterns Signal Potential for the Cryptocurrency "Fantom" to Experience Rapid Price Drops Again: A Shorting Opportunity with Short-Term Profit Potential. This article displays the observed recurrence of significant price dumps in FTM, presenting a potential golden opportunity for shorting. Traders may consider capitalizing on the anticipated price decline to strategically buy FTM at the bottom for short-term gains. Please note that this analysis does not constitute financial advice but reflects the author's current trade strategy.
**The Foundation has been selling FTM in the past several days, adding up to the millions. This could also be an indicator.**
Legend
Horizontal Lines:
Red: Represents potential support that is highly likely to be breached.
Orange: Indicates support that is still likely to be breached, but with lower probability than red.
Yellow: Suggests a probable bottom.
Green: Suggests a buying opportunity for FTM if the price falls below the Yellow horizontal line.
Trend Lines:
White: Refers to repeated Descending Triangle patterns observed after significant price pumps. If these patterns break downward, historical data suggests a potential freefall, resulting in a potential downside ranging from 60% to 80%.
Yellow channel: The Yellow channel, established in 2021, may offer support for FTM in the near future, potentially leading to a return to the channel.
Yellow Trend line: Beginning in 2020, this trend line could potentially act as support for FTM if the trend continues to unfold.
Risk Management-Currency TradingHello traders,
-I have an interesting subject on Risk management on this post.
-Most traders struggle with risk management, how much to risk per trade, what lot size to use, etc. etc. I know this because I struggled too before I sat down and thought hard and wrote this.
-What are your thoughts on the same?
-Critics will highly be appreciated too as we try learn the markets together.
-Hopefully my context on the topic helps someone.
-Regards,
🔥 UMA Bullish Channel: Highest Risk Reward Trade Of The DayUMA has been trading inside this bullish channel for over 6 months now. This trade is based on the idea that UMA will continue to trade within the channel.
Keep in mind that BTC is currently in a short-term bearish trend, so a long-entry carries more risk from the start. To counter this, this particular trade has a very high risk reward ratio of 15.5
More defensive traders could take the safer trade with a lower SL and a slightly lower entry. Still, a risk-reward ratio of 10.53 is very good.
🔥 AVAX High Risk-Reward Double Bottom Bounce TradeAVAX has been selling off for nearly 5 weeks now. With BTC seemingly reversing as we speak, AVAX has found support at the most recent lows and is potentially aiming for a double bottom reversal.
I'm looking for a move all the way towards the most recent highs, around 21.50, over the next few weeks. With a R/R ratio of almost 13, it's a very lucrative low risk entry for a nice potential pay out.
Predicting the bottom of AvalancheAVAX/USDT.P on BYBIT
Looks like the W-X-Y pattern is coming to an end and we will try to predict the bottom as best we can to catch a swing trade of wave C or even a 3 and a new rally.
If the count is right and the weekly support level at 13.910 does not hold, a one to one (of the W-X-Y) price target will be next. We could speculate the weekly level then will serve as a SR flip to confirm the start of the last wave 5.
Watch out for the weekly bar ending as a spinning top or doji for a bullish reversal up to wave 4 of 3 of C of Y in the last zig zag.
Risk
For me the stop level would be either right under weekly level at 12.180 or at the low of 10.535 also giving a double bottom setup. If we se it go all the wave to the high of wave A we could se a Risk/Reward ratio at a proximally 6.
Targets
First target for locking in profit would be the weekly level at 13.910 then we have the point of control for the whole correction at 17.285 and the high of A or 1 at 22.795.
Avalanche Market Cap
Avalanche market cap is now ricing to $4,741,712,576 and as of writing the trading volume (24h) is $132,773,075.
Conclusion
I will continue watching the price action on Avalanche and if it will continue to decline and unfold in way similar to the predicted pattern. It could be an interesting swing trade to the upside for a low risk.
Stubborn EURUSD protects 🛡️1.076 Daily Level FOMC Meeting Minutes is coinciding with a touch into our Daily Support Level that has held since last Thursday. It's almost been an entire week since the decline has been halted. Yesterday we created a publishing about a potential double bottom, but we may have jumped the gun so to speak. The market may have needed more time to accumulate long orders and trap short liquidity. The Market appears to keep banging its head stubbornly against our 1.076 Daily Level. This morning thus far we could observe a volatile 40 pip range between 1.0795 and 1.075. Day traders have been having a hell of a time. This market reminds me of the FOMC Interest rate announcement about 3 weeks ago. It was a volatile range and turned out to be the turning point in favor of the bears for Eurusd. The market used FOMC as a turning point recently and I think we may see another occurrence as the market shakes out Buyers and Sellers with this volatile price action. Similar to the CPI news shaking out weak sellers 2 week ago, this market may increase.
The price is low but the Sellers don't look necessarily persistent in their effort to sell into the 1.076 Daily Level. The Buyers on the other hand are happy to go long at our Daily Support Level as it offers great risk to reward. Price is has made a new low during London but was quickly bought up at our pre-planned 1hr support zone 1.0749. I liken price to return to our 1.08125 Daily Level as we continue to see a volatile range and fight in the 1.07's for Eurusd.
I've struggled in my scalping of Eurusd this week and attribute it to psychology. Trading psychology is a very large part of trading and requires constant attention. It must be managed properly and is a skill just as developing a profitable system that suits your personality. It takes time to understand your weaknesses and strengths as a trader. This week I've had a particularly difficult time managing my weaknesses. Time and Patience is the greatest warrior and so I will come back stronger at a later time. Safe trading.
USDJPY | H1 | Trade UpdateUSDJPY hit my stop loss earlier today as it continued to push up passed the resistance, on our higher timeframes we can note that since USDJPY didn’t go in the direction of our short term Sell order we can expect to see it push further up.
Will be uploading my medium/long term view of USDJPY as the day progresses.