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#bitcoin - inverted HS potential still presentI am going to watch this until the price tells me something different. Totally undecided right now. Keep focus guys and don´t force yourself into trades based on assumptions and gut-feelings. H4 did a very good job recently, also H1, so I prefer staying here right now. Keep an eye on the monthly Pivot. This pattern is still in the make and the volume profile is actually not a very good fit, so .... stay safe. _______________________________________________________________ No financial advice. NeruSuite v5 - advanced technical analytics tool. #dyor
BITMEX:BTCUSD.P
by Gl4diator
1
New All Time High - Risky BuyS&P New All Time Highs - Risky Buy The Emini and S&P 500 made a new all time high again today, leading many to believe this market is still strong. In some ways it is, but it is more important to realize it is also in a bull flag trading range. This makes it a risky place to buy up here. This is where strong bulls who bought lower will start looking to take profits, and strong bears will start looking to sell for a move down. Why is it risky to buy now? There is only a 40% chance of a measured move up based on the height of the trading range. And the risk needed to enter now is large (below the bottom of the trading range). There is at least a 50% chance of a test down soon, back into the range. The middle of the trading range is a magnet and will likely get tested before the bull trend continues. Furthermore, if the bears are soon able to create a strong reversal bar for the large wedge, it could increase the probability to 60% for two legs down. If there is a quick and large move up in the next few weeks, it would likely act as a climax and final flag reversal, increasing the likelihood of a sell off. Dont think just because there is no reversal yet that the market cant or wont sell off. Look at the past two sell offs from this area. They began from bull bars (Jan 18 two bar reversal), or small inconspicuous bars (Sep 18 doji to outside bear bar). But the follow through was strong and fast. Of course, this does not mean a shorter term trader cant buy and make money. Day traders can do many things investors do not or should not. But as far as a long term investment, this is simply not a safe one to buy at the current price level unless you are willing to sit through a deep pullback and scale in. And if you are - why not just wait and buy then? If you found this helpful please like! Feel free to comment or ask questions
CME_MINI:ES1!
by tradersmentality
EURAUD Short - A Risky CountertrendWith most AUD pairs seem to have reached key support levels and about to reverse up, and EUR going ranging, riding a possible immediate consolidation for this pair. Setting up sell stop order with 1st TP @1.56210 (38.2% fib), and possible to trail this until 2nd TP (0% fib) by next week, and hard SL @1.58 (few pips above its current high/past the 100% fib level). Daily: Weekly: Confidence: B (risky because it's going against its recent bullish momentum-- I'm not really into countertrend trading, unless I think the pair is going into a ranging pattern hiatus after a strong trend)
Short
by aiza_belle
S&P ATH DreamGonna dabble in some "real markets" and options juggling here: yesterday SPY managed to barely peek above all time highs but retraced most of the up move by market close. Post market SPU18 tapped July highs and is now sitting right below august 7~9th range. Most important level to watch imo is 2840: A breach below would create a new lower low and would be where i'd exit my current long position (Currently holding 283.5 strike SPY calls expiring end of month) while consolidation and/or bounce above would be a decent place to load up on more longs. I plan on hedging with some more puts if we approach near ATH levels (currently juggling some DIA puts that were just filled) just in case. This is a fairly risky short term take on current price action. Ideally I would long conformation and potential retest. R/R for longs here are also fairly poor at this point as we're close to major resistance with good likelihood of a pullback or even (short term) trend reversal before another rally. My current bullish bias is partially based off (apparent) market fatigue of US-China trade war and speculation on European money flowing into the relatively stronger and stable US markets (or potentially also Japan/Korea, but examine strengthening dollar index DXY). Overall I'm quite confident in a clean break of ATH but if not i'm prepared, and will probably also go back to trading my satoshis on 100x leverage in my moms basement kek.
SP:SPXLong
by TradePod
ZEC_220 or 175?Looking at the chart of ZEC, it appears to have arrived at a fork in the road. Convergence has led the price action to form this triangle, the bulls and bears are uncertain. Some indicators: ===================================================== RSI - Around 35 to 40 on the Daily charts. MACD - Crossed into green. EMA 21 - Trading above it with a few candle closes. Volume - Pitiful and comparably low since the May highs. Momentum indicators - Show a bullish divergence but the price action is lower. Predictions: ===================================================== Depending on how BTC does and where the price exits, ZEC will end up going to 220 or falling to 175 within a few days. Other chart patterns: ===================================================== A small inverse H+S could be formed here, if a strong move to 220 manifests. I'm not saying that this would provide any more price action, as the EMA 25 is literally right around 220. There is many dependent factors weighing in on ZEC. Conclusion: ===================================================== This is a risky trade, probably riskier than usual. the ratio is a potential loss of $16 per ZEC vs $29-30 for gains. In other words, about 2:1. Riskier not because of Rewards/Risk ratio, but because of overall market sentiment in the alt coins and BTC. Finally, what is written here is not investment advice in anyway shape or form. Any investments that you choose to take in any market carries risk. What I mean is that you carry the burden of both all the loss and gain. Trade responsible! -May BTC reach Mars before Elon Musk
BITFINEX:ZECUSD
by gendark2
GBPUSD - W - RISKY LONGI can't help being disturbed by this idea because of several things : - on one hand my strategy is telling me to buy because on daily/4H there is too many criteria checked, this should go up. - on the other hand looking at the global picture, we are already quite high on weekly and monthly so a reversal is bound to happen. An extension is very much possible also, that's why we are traders, because we never know what will happen! I gave up guessing top and bottom since years now, but this is something my sub-self is always trying to play. That's why I'm opening a small trade (0.5%) to try this idea. RR is too good to be true and this trade could take a long time... Look at my EURAUD long trade, opened since 6 months... Anyway, take time to think before entering this and trade with your own diligence, GL HF
Long
by Bastosai
RISKY INVESTMENT PICKBHEL HAS BROKEN BULL FRACTAL AND WAS UNABLE TO SUSTAIN THE UPMOVE STOCK HAS SEEN TO CREATE STRONG DOWNSIDE BASE AROUND RS 80 TILL NOW STOCK HAS NOT BROKEN ANY BEAR FRACTAL AFTER INITIAL BREAK OF BULL FRACTAL. BIT RISKY TO ASSUME BUY MOMENTUM STILL EXISTS SINCE IT HAS NOT BROKEN ANY OF BEAR OR BULL FRACTAL AFTER ITS 1ST BULL FRACTAL BREAK. HENCE RISKY INVESTORS CAN ENTER LONG CMP 89.35 OR AT MONDAY OPENING RATE STOP LOSS WOULD BE 1 TICK BELOW MONTHLY CLOSE BELOW 77 LOW TARGET 1 : 164.5_193 TARGET 2 : 325_359
NSE:BHELLong
by AvinashMudaliar
Primecoin: But Wait... There's More! This is a risky one, dream big, play small, but it's an interesting concept. I guess I see opportunity where others see a dead horse. Supply is 21 million, the RSI doesn't match up neatly but every time it drops into oversold, especially in a cluster of 3, price eventually has a nice pop. Just be Patient. Looking at February or even next summer for a target. Again, super risky, rather illiquid, but if you like the fundamentals, it's not a bad time to nibble. If you never take risk, you will certainly never take profits.
XLong
by Piptocurrency
Lunyr - Super Risky but super fast 320% (Shitcoin)The coin went out of the accumulation region and is now attempting to go up. Targets are previous resistance regions. If it does go up I'm expecting 320% today. If it doesnt it will drop really low. This trade is beyond risky. Like please don't invest in it what you can't afford to lose. Please! This trade is like 8/10 risky, meaning you could lose all of your money in it. HIGH RISK again and again. As an analyst the last thing I want is to make you guys lose money. Dont invest in it what you can't afford to lose again....
L
by DCFreak
15
USD/CAD : Bottom ? Buy or breakout ? Hey traders ! **This is a risky trade and I am not taking this trade** Canada interest rate hike have made the CAD much more stronger . If you want to go long on the usd/cad right now , you need to wait for a good confimation . If the trendlines are broke , I think it might go down to the next fibonacci retracement level . Accumulation of : - Fib 38.2 -Fib 50 - RSI oversold - RSI divergence - outside bollingerbands - Daily/weekly trendlines - Support zone Thanks for following me :)
by Foralex