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Rivian

$RIVN wants lower. Low to mid-20s? Or even lower?If we look at the chart, $RIVN seems to be making lower highs and lower lows. This recent move up was just a retest of resistance at $47. On top of that, on lower timeframes (2hr), we seemed to have formed a double top. This leads me to believe we're about to see another leg lower. If Rivn falls from here and loses the $37 support, I think it's likely that we'll see the low to mid 20 range. Supports on the chart. After that, I can see RIVN bouncing, but eventually I think it could see the $8 range before reversing it's trend back to bullish. Let's see how the next few weeks and months play out.
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by benjihyam
1
How long will it take Rivian to get back to its IPO price?Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ: RIVN), the budding electric vehicle maker, initially bank-rolled by the likes of Ford (NYSE: F) and Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), is currently trading 80% lower than its peak since listing on the Nasdaq stock exchange. Bear in mind that Rivian was listed on the Nasdaq in November 2021, when you had to be very unlucky not to make money in the stock market, especially as a company working in the electric vehicle domain. In a sign of the jubilant (and bygone?) era, within days of listing, investor exuberance had pushed RIVN up by 115%, to US $170 per share. RIVN’s market electricity has fizzled in the following five months and could do with a recharge. The Rivian stock price is currently trading very close to an all-time low, at US $37.00, 80% lower than its all-time high. In contrast, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), a company which Rivian investors hope can be emulated, is trading 25% lower than its all-time high (US $1,200 vs US $900), which it reached in November 2021 (roughly the same time Rivian reached its all-time high). RIV only just begun As illustrated by its latest earnings call, Rivian has a momentous scope for growth. In its Full Year 2021 earnings call, which was released on March 10, 2022, Rivian reported its first bout of revenue, a tiny US $55 million against a cost of revenue of US $520 million and other operating expenses (mainly R&D and administration) of US $3.7 billion. Consequently, Rivian reported a total net loss (inclusive of all costs) of US $4.7 billion for the full year. The massive discrepancy between the company’s revenue and costs is a natural part of its growing pains. The automobile industry’s huge barrier to entry means that Rivian expects to be making a net loss for some time. However, it does expect to be profit-neutral by the end of the next financial year, and this might be what is more important for investors following the company. No fast-charging solution Rivian is still valued at over US $30 billion and far from a bust. However, it will perhaps take years for the company to charge its stock price back up to its IPO price of US $78.00. Even in the age of outsized valuations for EV companies and some residual investor exuberance in the market, investor confidence is butting up against obstacles such as the infamous chip-shortage affecting numerous car companies and tightening monetary policy from the US Federal Reserve. To hasten the process and to overcome some of these obstacles on its way back to its IPO price, Rivian may have make better use of its US $18 billion cash reserve and carve out more than its planned 10% takeover of the EV market by 2030. As it stands, Rivian’s total theoretical capacity at its two factories (600K) could garner 10% of the 2021 electric vehicle market. However, By 2030, electric vehicles sales are predicted to account for 1-in-2 vehicles sold, from a current 1-in-10. To account for 10% of all EVs sold in 2030, Rivian will have to boost production capacity to approximately 3 million vehicles per year. For interest, Rivian generated its 2021 revenue of US $55 million on delivery of 2500 electric vehicles. The company’s guidance for 2022 expects to deliver 25K vehicles, which is a huge increase on its current production numbers, but fantastically far from the number of pre-orders on its books (83K) and unimaginably far from its 10% goal of 3 million.
NASDAQ:RIVN
by BlackBull_Markets
4
Trading in the era everyone buy tickets to the Moon..!“Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results.” (Albert Einstein) The importance of Price Pattern Recognition I do not care if Ark invest buys HOOD and keeps buying more and more! As you see Hood is 82% lower than its ATH..! A clear downtrend that could go lower. options data in the next 3 months indicate it could go down to 10 or even lower in the next 3 months! why? Because it does not profitable and will not be in near future! Similarities between RIVN and HOOD -38% in one month Rivian price pattern is a replica of the HOOD price pattern and so far you see it went down 58% from its ATH and it could go down to 35(-80% from ATH) On December 9th, I published my analysis about this similarity and it went down 38% since then! This clearly shows you can do accurate analysis without having lots of data! I have done an analysis about the price pattern COIN before it became tradeable..! How? Reviewing the chart of more than 900 IPOs and opening days in the past 3 years will give you a clue that in 80% of the cases price will go down more than 80% in the next few months after the IPO or the opening date! Some went down more than 95%..! Amazing story of Madness: A few days ago, one of my friends shared a link about a reality show star selling her farts in the mason jar for 1000 USD/Jar. It seems she had made 200K so far(in a couple of weeks) and she is ready to release the NFT version as well..! I remembered the famous Einstein's quote: “Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I’m not sure about the former.” You may think this story is irrelevant, but looking at the new investor's behavior in the market, you see it happens on a very larger scale every day, hour, minute..! YouTube, Twitter, Reddit, and ... etc are full of people that invite you to Moon and Mars, and they usually sugar coat their titles by launching rockets..! and they have hundreds of thousands of followers! I have a piece of very good news for them and their followers, 2022 will not be 2021, 2020..! 2022 will be the year that the tide goes out and you discover who's been swimming naked in the past 2 years! 6 day has been passed and major indexes closed lower 5 out of 6 and 250 trading days are left..! Most Mooners have already felt the punch of Mr.Market..! I have a very sincere recommendation to all traders: Watch one of the greatest movies of all time "12 Angry Men" (1957) IMDB score:9..! This movie will help you make better decisions in your life and your trading! I do not want to spoil it..! Best, Moshkelgosha
NASDAQ:RIVNEducation
by Moshkelgosha
Rivian. Bearish, maybe too bearish. we will see.I am very tough on Rivian in this analysis. You can plainly see there was an IPO frenzy, and now we are looking for reality. If I am a bull, I am looking at this and thinking: 'maybe I will just wait for someone else to get the buying started'. That is one of the psychological factors that plays into the bear strength. Not doing anything is what the bears want, and at the moment, I would not do anything with this stock. I know we all look at EV's and thing that each one will run like Tesla, but Tesla is a different animal. Tesla is the new species that dominates the environment, and spreads like wildfire. Other EV's are variations of one aspect of the proto-species, but not better from a market fitness standpoint. My opinion. Their will come a time when an EV stands on the shoulders of Tesla, but at the moment they appear to be fighting over fragments of a larger whole.
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by emehoke
$RIVN Rivian Motors TA Upcoming Week$RIVN Rivian Motors Technicals for upcoming week. NOTES: - Rivian Motors has had ATH @ $180/s last week with a break correction currently at $128 - WATCH RVIN line at $120: -- IF The lines breaks the stock can have a down-trend towards $95/s range -- IF There is a bounce, stock will continue up-trend towards $180/s range --Crucial that you watch that line within the next few days FUNDEMENTALS: - We typically only do technical here, but important to know that as of writing this the stock futures are -200pnts currently.
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by MARKETLYTICAL
Support & Resistance level for Lucid and Rivian..!Rivian and Lucid have entered the deflationary phase! I believe Rivian could move toward 95 and cross below this level, and soon we see Lucid below 40! Review the past few analyses could be interesting: RIVN: LCID: You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:LCIDShort
by Moshkelgosha
3
$RIVN Rivian Motors Technical Analysis $RIVN Rivian Motors Technical Analysis Although $RIVN has had an IPO in the past few weeks without much data to do a technical analysis, but we are already seeing patterns. TAKE AWAY: - Rivian Motors has broken the ATH Resistance line and it now became the support line as shown on the chart. - The Analysis shows us the stock has massive potential of Up Trend. - No other Technical Red Flags shown. - In unlikely scenario the stock will bounce off the NEW support line if there is a correction. KEEP AN EYE on a small correction to make your market move. But remember it is unlikely the stock will move lower the new support line. ANY comments appreciated.
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by MARKETLYTICAL
4
ROKU - STRONG CONFLUENCE SUPPORT & AVG $30+ BOUNCE OFF TREND All, OVERALL (BULLISH 70/30) I think we break out this wedge down here either now or one more attempt on bottom of wedge and hit 280-293. However, see details below. I am most likely going to hedge downside depending how Mon/Tues go. A breakout Mon-Tues I will just go into maintenance mode and watch it closely. FUNDAMENTALS Let's get to fundamnetals first. There are some "doubters" on ROKU. However, they may be right in the future as of NOW in the past quarter financialls and NOW as a company ROKU is very undervalued here reardless of future ROKU beliefs. If you want to be short next quarter for reasons "XYZ" totally get that. Arguing against ROKU after 600% EPS and customers Y/Y drastically increasing it's very obvious ROKU is worth 375+ at a "fair" valuation. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS There is a very stong support trend line here that is holding on average acting as support we have $30-$50 moves off of it regardles of what comes after. MY POSITION(S) $300 Calls Dec 3rd 2021 @ $3.65 (Will add pending non breakout by Tues) -- Either $265 or $255 PUTS for Dec 3rd 2021 (May want to add some regardless just as protection or even shorter timeframe) **Remember on options you can close/sell at any time there is a good chance if I get that 293 clean and soon I might just sell there and take a pretty solid profit. Or sell half and see if we can break the downward trend to push 315-330 area.** BULLISH PT #1: 285 PT #2: 293 PT #3: 304 PT #4: 330/342 --- "wait and see if we can break downward trend will be 3rdish time so 50/50 it breaks barring any bad/good news. Also approaching Christmas/Black Friday time. BEARISH I think the bearish comes from the obvious part of it not being able to re obtain that 376ish level. We are currently above that other previous low of 372. A break under that signls a possible big downside of 240s. The other factor is the overall market/SPY/Holidays/Feds PT# 1: 267 PT# 2: 255 PT #3: 244 PT #4: 220 (if we somehow got down 220-240 range I will immediately swap to 100% calls and a huge buy in as the stock would be at such a mind blowing discount.
NASDAQ:ROKULong
by DigitalData
1
Important Trend Line!Money Makers! Rivian has finally been launched on the NYSE. This trend line shown will be very important over the next few days, especially when we're able to use options. If it breaks below, that will be one of the first bearish signs and I'm sure there's a lot of bears waiting to take advantage. This project is currently backed by Amazon & Ford. With that being said with the pettiness between Elon and Jeff. I wouldn't be surprised if this project keep moving higher. Tesla is currently 10x Rivians price and I'm sure Jeff wants to catch up but that's just my opinion. Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts! It's all about Market structure, Area of value, and Entry Trigger. Don't trade with what you're not willing to lose. Safe Trading Calculate Your Risk/Reward & Collect! This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:RIVN
by rnaofs
Some Thoughts About The Craziest IPO I've Seen (Rivian)Rivian is worth over $100 billion at the time of this writing. That's a lot of money. BTW, they don't generate any revenue. Actually in their press releases they write that on any given quarter, they expect to generate $0 – $1 million in revenue. But never over $1 million. No more than $1 million. From my research and understanding they are the first pre-revenue company to be worth $100 billion. I get it - EVs are hot. And they are backed by Amazon and some Saudi money. Maybe they have an awesome roadmap. But my goodness, at $100B they basically need to be flawless in execution. It took Tesla some 10+ years to get to where it is and A LOT of controversy. I have no position and don't plan on having one. It makes no sense to me. So best to stay away. Writing this down just for fun and to see what others think. The chart I attached above is a 30-minute chart of Rivian since its IPO, which happened this week. Thanks for reading!
NASDAQ:RIVN
by scheplick
14