Road2funded
Weekly Market Analysis - 22nd Mar 2025Ok, here we go with another weekly market analysis!
So, what I'm feeling from my charting is that we may get a lower USD, but not before a little retracement first, particularly an iFVG on the 2W timeframe. After that, lower prices. This coincides with some of my analysis of other pairs, but not all of them. Whilst everything is not aligned yet, my instincts are usually pretty good. But, this not mean I am jumping into any trades yet. I have my own techniques for getting in and out of trades.
Check out the video and see if your own analysis flows with mine!
Analyzed pairs: DXY, EURUSD, NZDUSD, USDCHF, USDCAD, USDJPY, OIL, XPD, XPT, XAU, BTC.
Happy trading!
- R2F Trading
Weekly Market Analysis - 16th March 2025 (DXY, NZD, ES, BTC)This is weekly market analysis of a few pairs (DXY, NZD, ES, BTC).
I haven't done one of these in a while, but here it is!
I would have done more pairs but the video was already 30 minutes long and I went into more teaching rather than pure analysis.
I hope you found it insightful to your own trading, because what I teach is the truth of the market regardless of whatever specific strategy you use for trading.
Anything can make money in the markets, but of course, risk management and discipline rule all.
- R2F Trading
Why DCA Does Not Work For Short-Term TradersIn this video I go through why DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) does not work for short-term traders and is more suitable for investors. I go through the pitfalls than come through such techniques, as well as explain how trading should really be approached. Which at it's cost should be based on having a positive edge and using the power of compounding to grow your wealth.
I hope this video was insightful, and gives hope to those trying to make it as a trader. Believe me, it's possible.
- R2F Trading
Different Ways to Manage Your TradesFinding the perfect trade setup is just one part of the equation. How you manage that trade can be the difference between consistent profits and missed opportunities. In this video, I’ll break down the different ways you can manage your trades and how each method impacts your results.
We’ll cover essential trade management techniques, including setting fixed take-profits and stop-loss levels, using trailing stops to lock in gains, scaling out of positions with partial profits, and actively monitoring trades for dynamic adjustments. Each method has its own strengths and weaknesses, and the key is finding what aligns with your trading style, risk tolerance, and market conditions.
I’ll also share insights on how I utilize trade management to maximize returns while keeping risk under control. Whether you prefer a hands-off approach or actively managing your trades in real time, this video will help you refine your execution and make smarter decisions.
Watch the full breakdown now, and let me know in the comments, how do you manage your trades?
- R2F Trading
USOIL - Short Trade (28th Feb 2025)This is a short trade idea on Crude Oil.
Basically, i'm not convinced of this sudden rejection. This is just manipulation to me. I want to target the liquidity resting below. I think we are going downtown to a monthly sSIBI at around 57.
Liquidity and efficiency rules the market. Everything else is nonsense.
- R2F Trading
General Market Analysis - SMC Point of ViewIn this video I go through an analysis of DXY, EURUSD, USDCHF, OIL, and BTC. I also delve into why I think some short-term manipulation is happening and share my narrative.
I am not fond of giving a long description here when I give my analysis in the video, so please enjoy and share your thoughts.
- R2F Trading
Crude Oil - The Manipulation of Trend LinesIn this example on Crude Oil I give some insight into how trendlines and traditional support & resistance theories may be used by "smart money" for the purposes of facilitating their positions via inducing liquidity.
Basically, trendlines are drawn along the highs or lows of price movements and help to identify the direction and strength of a trend. They serve as visual guidelines for traders, highlighting potential turning points or continuation patterns. Support and resistance levels are areas where the price historically finds a floor or ceiling, leading many market participants to place their entry and exit orders around these zones. Because these levels are based on historical price action, they hold significant psychological value among retail traders.
The Mechanism of Liquidity Manipulation
Liquidity Pools and Stop Loss Clusters:
Retail traders often cluster their stop losses near prominent support or resistance levels. Smart money is aware of these liquidity pools and can engineer price moves to trigger these stops. For example, by intentionally nudging the price through a known support level, institutional players can trigger a cascade of stop-loss orders. This “stop run” injects a burst of liquidity into the market, which can then be absorbed as positions are liquidated at less favorable prices for retail traders.
False Breakouts and Reversals:
Another common tactic involves creating false breakouts. A price move that breaks above a resistance level (or below a support level) might initially appear to signal a new trend. However, smart money can deliberately drive prices just past these technical barriers to trigger stop-loss orders and entry orders. Once sufficient liquidity is collected from the triggered orders, they may reverse the move. This reversal traps traders who anticipated a sustained breakout, leaving them with positions that quickly turn against them.
Exploiting Herd Behavior and Market Sentiment:
The widespread reliance on technical analysis means that many traders have similar expectations about where price will reverse or accelerate. This collective mindset, or herd behavior, creates predictable zones of liquidity. Smart money can capitalize on these self-fulfilling prophecies by anticipating the mass reaction around key trendlines and support/resistance levels. They use this insight to position themselves ahead of the crowd, executing large trades that move the market in their favor.
Strategic Benefits for Smart Money
By manipulating these common technical levels, smart money participants can:
Maximize Efficiency: Accumulate or distribute large positions with minimal market impact by tapping into pre-existing liquidity pools.
Control Market Direction: Influence short-term price movements to create advantageous conditions for larger trades.
Enhance Risk-Reward Profiles: Trigger stop losses at critical junctures, effectively reducing their own risk while capitalizing on forced exits from retail traders.
Conclusion
While trendlines and support/resistance are invaluable tools for assessing market structure and potential price movements, they also serve as instruments for liquidity manipulation by experienced market participants. The predictable nature of stop-loss placements and entry orders around these levels creates opportunities for smart money to trigger cascades of orders, generating liquidity in their favor. As a result, retail traders must be aware of these dynamics and consider them when planning their trades, acknowledging that what appears to be a genuine breakout may, in fact, be a carefully orchestrated move to capture liquidity.
This nuanced understanding highlights the double-edged nature of technical analysis tools in modern trading. By appreciating both their utility and potential for manipulation, traders can better navigate the complex interplay between market psychology and institutional strategy.
EURUSD Analysis... and MORE!Here is some analysis on EURUSD, USDCHF, and a couple of other things.
I'm expecting higher prices on EURUSD and likewise some lower prices on USDCHF. I've already entered some positions, but there may be opportunities for more re-entries down the road as we may have some days or weeks to get to my targets.
I use ICT concepts along with my own revelations. I hope you find it useful.
Happy trading.
- R2F Trading
USDCHF Analysis and Setup In this video I go through my analysis of USDCHF the forex pair and offer ideas for a trade setup based on my own methodologies which mostly originate from ICT concepts.
Quick summary is there I am anticipating higher prices.
I'll let the video do the talking because that is why I made the video to begin with.
Enjoy!
- R2F Trading
EURUSD - Short Scalp (ICT Concepts)Short scalp on EURUSD using ICT Concepts amongst my own methodologies.
Apologies for no sound, error with the microphone.
Was either expecting a bounce at this iFVG 12h highlighted in maroon, or lower prices. Resistance at the upper threshold of the iFVG indicates resistance, following by CPDAs. Decided to change my buy stop order to market sell.
- R2F Trading
How I trade ICT ConceptsIn this video I attempt to explain how I trade using ICT Concepts. In my opinion it is a bit different to how most people use the concepts, or perhaps how even Michael uses them, but I find it very reliable in terms of determining where price is in the PD Array Matrix.
I hope it this demonstration is insightful and thank you for watching.
- R2F Trading
USDCAD - Long Trade (10th Jan 2025)Straightforward long trade setup on USDCAD. Not aiming for anything high. Just want to illustrate the efficacy of this type of setup based on low-hanging fruit objectives, which in this case is the immediate swing high. Why not the other one since it is so close? Well, sometimes we get additional manipulation. Today is also NFP, so will take any moves against me before pushing up with a grain of salt.
- R2F Trading
Welcome The New Yearly Candle!We have another yearly candle print, the 2024 candle. It is an especially interesting one due to the US elections and the how the candle printed.
In this video I go through analyzing the charts starting with the yearly candle, all the way down to the daily and hourly. I begin on the Dollar Index (DXY) and then have a look at the EURUSD chart, with some intermarket analysis on USDCAD and NZDUSD. So as to make the video not too long, I just demonstrate how I would do my analysis on these pairs. With that framework, you can perform the same analysis on the assets of your choice.
Good luck this year and may it be a prosperous trading year for you all!
- R2F Trading