Do Robots (including Expert Advisors) work?> Robot you code yourself
-> Risk Taking
-> Market making/arbitrage
In both cases the robot will likely not be overly simple. You will need to know a thing or two about programming.
Learning to trade is like getting a degree, learning to code is like getting a second one.
-> Risk Taking
This may very well work. I do not know of anyone that does this and is profitable over more than just a few lucky months, but does not mean it does not exist. I have heard of people that tried it, even people that told me they would let me know how it went they swore they cracked it, have not heard a word since then. Also, myfxbook is full of automated systems that end up blowing up.
If it is possible, you have to monitor the market all the time, be careful about events, look for evolving conditions.
I do not see how a fully autonomous robot - you can go to holidays and come back and find money in your account - could be programmed. Would be so complex...
Are there any profitable traders that are interested in this?
-> MM & Arb
There are plenty of hft and quant firms out there. Among other things they buy order flow from Robinhood and soon other "zero commission" brokers. Old market makers that did not want to move to algos just quit and did something new.
I see them mostly as mm or parasites. They can be so anoying. I used to market make on crypto 2 years ago, the parasite would just jump in front me all the time. Any order I place he'd hop 0.0001 higher/lower. Front running bots. It's not all front running bots of course. Soros & Jim Simons (I think) run statistical arbitrage funds. Computer farms to treat a ton of data help.
It works obviously.
For stat arb you will need: Learn the basics about the market (6 month course), an intermediate programming degree (1 year), a statistics phd (8 years). Good luck.
For market making you will need: Learn a bit more than the basics about the market (1 year, don't need the speculating course), a programming degree (1 year). I am being nice with the numbers I think.
> Fully automated robot you purchase
Pros and Cons
Also,
I don't even know how it is legal, it's pretty dangerous. They sell you some fairy dust and also you get advised to "hold on" "do not be emotional with fear just hold" "be strong during drawdowns they are normal" it's actually risible.
New traders that might be a little gullible, a little greedy too will end up with some fairy dust that is guarenteed to bring their account to zero, they do not understand the markets, AND to top that, they hear that they should not panic about losses and just persevere because drawdowns are normal and they are just experiencing fear, this is what will make them lose, and this is what the robot is here to fix. "Just trust".
What you have here is a recipe for disaster.
> Robot that executes for you/semi automatic
Why not?
I see a few possible uses:
- You want to buy alot of shares of a small company long term, you set a bot to purchase some each time the stock has a strong down momentum with volume (fills you without moving the market)
- You want to sleep / take a few days off, you run an algo that will move your stop loss each time the price goes up, would not be too hard to say "use the smallest of EMA 20 0.236 ATR something else, if consolidates move closer, if price == .... then do this, ifelse the price surges then move my SL closer" etc.
- You could have a feel for the market and be very bullish, just set a bot to buy an inside bar bull break with a couple of conditions, or a pullback of a certain % but still above a certain level/MA followed by a pin bar. Sets and trails the stop loss too until you intervene because conditions have changed and you do not want to stay in or whatever reason.
- Big one: monitors correlations for you. I'd actually recommend that. A robot to warn you of your global portfolio correlation, maximum risk, and makes some recommendation (shows what are you most correlated positions making a problem, and lists stocks/currencies/futures that are uncorrelated or negatively correlated)
> Robot that alerts you
Plenty of people use that. Makes perfect sense. Something just warns you when the price does something particular or whatever. I myself mostly use trading view price alerts. I just set an alert on Bitcoin MA50 & MA200 makign a death cross, should fire up by Halloween.
I would not go overboard on this for "advanced" things, because it could get complicated, and a quick glance is even better anyway, you want to focus on what pops out "obviously", you want to see what other people are seeing on the chart.
You may want to be long on certain currencies, the bot could tell you when the price is starting a pullback...
> Indicator (sold)
There are people that dish out indicators and show people "See? Here, here, and here, my indicator fired a signal right before Bitcoin went up", and people actually get excited by it and want to purchase... And guess what? It works extremely well with crypto enthusiasts that invested in imaginary magic internet beans. Who would have thought they were gullible and dreamt of easy money fall out of the sky? The coders use the right combination of indicators, for example EMAs and candlesticks, to generate great signals IN THE PAST.
I made such an indicator myself just to show it's bollocks. I think some people still used it seriously.
Black box "predict the future" nonsense ==> Obvious scam.
So watch out for those. If you are interested in something, make sure you understand WHAT IT DOES.
Example: If the indicator provides you with order book info and idk things like this that you don't have with your broker and charting service, it obviously has value...
Robots
Statistical Research for BTCUSD positionsHello, world.
As currently three of our robots are showing the same direction, I would like to take time and define several ideas that we have as a baseline for our robot's analysis.
First, conceptually we need to define that all robot trading based on a data mining process, which includes a specific education for robot algorithms.
This is where it all starts, the system is concluding results of the robot's trading, and after a lot of iterations, specify which of the educational patterns were right (or got the most profit while keeping a small drawdown).
For Bitcoin, the most certain case scenario for any trader would be a way to understand where do we go on upscaled state, as far as we can define two market conditions: when it's in a trend, or staying in a flat.
Trading on an upscaled level means having more profit in a single order, instead of taking advantage of small movements; and in the same time, most of the critical robot tasks is minimizing a stoploss to be winning by expected value.
Functionally, all of that means a robot should find right factors to see there would be a high peak after the flat, and they will be statistically recognized on a scale that a quantity of profits is going to beat all the loss.
When you understand those points, you can spend time on defining a strategy.
BTCUSD is a perfect model of emotional trading, as it has many retail investors. In contradiction to bot-dominated markets, it has a very small-ranged flat, and very high-ranged emissions, so to have success as an upscaled robot on such exchange, your idea is to predict those emissions and try to catch large sharks.
Currently, three of our robots utilizing different statistical approach, decided to go short with three different sets, which you can see on the graph, or follow the previous analysis.
I would be glad to answer your questions about data mining for Crypto or take a look at your ideas about the algorithms.
Let me know what do you think about the future of the market, will it stay such emotional?
Have a good sailing!
CROCOBOT NCASH What's up hunters ?
Our Crocobot has given us a signal on 4H chart . This means war ! Blood the feast beast , let's get some Ncash . Waite for the next 4H candle , set your stop loss tight and use your Fibo skills to set the coordinates
Bitcoin Elliott Wave ExamplesNot a lot of commentary on this one. Just know that when it hits the true top, it's going to come back down even faster, with frightening speed. Watch carefully and you'll know, listen to your gut when it tells you. Only the strong shall survive, it WILL crash back down again, and the cycle shall rinse and repeat. History tells us that. This is simply the nature of the market. Bless you all.
Ascending Channel Price TargetThis is the most intriguing security of any stock or ETF that I found last year. An ETF that is not just tracking AI technologies, it is powered by IBM's AI. I bought in at 27.75 and extending the upward channel out, The target I have set for the end of March, two months from now, is ~$32. That is a 15% increase in only two months time. I am actually so bullish that I am hoping for it to break out of the channel and take us even higher :]