Roundnumber
ALGO - Potential Bullish Continuation!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
ALGO is trying to break the orange support/resistance again.
on H4: ALGO is forming a symmetrical triangle in blue but the upper trendline is not valid yet, so we are waiting for a new swing high to form around it to consider it our trigger swing. (projection in purple)
Trigger => Waiting for that swing to form and then buy after a momentum candle close above the gray zone.
Meanwhile, until the buy is activated, ALGO would be overall bearish can still trade lower.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
IDEA - Potential Bullish Reversal!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
IDEA is approaching a support zone so we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes.
on H4: IDEA is forming a channel in blue but the upper trendline is not valid yet, so we are waiting for a new swing high to form around it to consider it our trigger swing. (projection in purple)
Trigger => Waiting for that swing to form and then buy after a momentum candle close above it (gray zone)
Meanwhile, until the buy is activated, IDEA would be overall bearish can still trade lower inside the channel and test 0.10 before going up.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
FTM - Trend-Following Setup!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
FTM is overall bullish , broke above the 2.0 round number, and now retesting it, so we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes.
on H1: FTM is forming a channel in red but the upper trendline is not valid yet, so we are waiting for a new swing high to form around it to consider it our trigger swing. (projection in purple)
Trigger => Waiting for that swing to form and then buy after a momentum candle close above it (gray zone)
Meanwhile, until the buy is activated, FTM would be overall bearish can still trade lower.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
ADA - Wait For The Trigger!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
ADA is sitting around the round number 2.0 in green so we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes.
on H4: ADA formed a valid trendline in red but the setup is not ready to go yet.
Before we buy, we want the bulls to prove that they are taking over.
Trigger => Waiting for a momentum candle close above the last high in gray to buy.
Meanwhile, until the buy is activated, ADA would be overall bearish can still trade lower and break below the 2.0 round number.
In this case, the bears would take over, we will be looking for new buy setups to form as it approaches the blue support zone around 1.50
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GOLD, D1 - potential Butterfly patternAfter reaction on 78.6 retracement, possible move up towards 127.2 to form Butterfly harmonic pattern. Price broke important 1800 resistance level.
EURUSD H1 Chart Analysis & IdeaAs the EURUSD resets for the next trading week, price closes at 1.1795, inside a contraction level zone around 1.182/1.178, nearest demand zone around 1.172/1.168, nearest supply zone around 1.188/1.192, with weekly close reset trading range between 1.19 & 1.17, these are the areas of interest in this chart as of the week close. For price action, there's this wedge-like structure forming up on the hourly, and on the zoomed-out 4-hourly there's a established descending parallel channel getting escaped to the upside, maybe some more downside is possible, but only to grab liquidity further down and then move for higher prices, as this market finds a demand imbalance.
Uptrend is being brokenThere are indications (Tom Demark breakout projection and Yearly Pivot) that price will make to yearly S1.
Bears closed on the trendline, and stayed there, also closed below the round number. This indicates that breakout will continue.
1.11 might be the yearly bottom this year. Short term, I am looking for price to reach yearly pivot and the next round number level.
BTC first attempt to go below 30k... Today we witnessed the first attempt for BTC to go below, in humble opinion it is normal scenario and it should create fake signal for uptrend. I suspect that when BTC went below 30k it wiped out loads of stop losses which pushed price higher. 200 Ema should dump price in next weeks or days. Be aware that full moon is in next 4 days which is very important when dealing with financial markets. In short there is a higher activity with buying or selling during this period of time.
I think that if BTC will not go below 30k during full moon this could create very solid support to rely on for the next month or so.
to be clear here I am like 80% sure that BTC will go below 30k and will attempt to reach 20k but if it will not in the next weeks or days I would observe how the price will react to the upper resistance/support area of the channel.
BABA - Wait For The Trigger!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
BABA is sitting around strong weekly support and round number 200.0 in green so we will be looking for buy setups.
on H4: BABA formed a valid channel in red but it is not ready to go yet.
Before we buy, we want the buyers to prove that they are taking over again.
You don't want to buy a bearish market right?
Trigger => Waiting for a momentum candle close above the last swing high (in gray) to buy.
Meanwhile, until the buy is activated, BABA would be overall bearish can still trade lower.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Zigzag Circles Strategy Test 1st April → 6th June@LonesomeTheBlue has recently published an interesting script LTB Zigzag Circles . I got curious about its performance, so I tinkered out a strategy and tested it out on GBPUSD.
I will use ZigZag Circles with a period of 14 on a 30m timeframe. Furthermore, I will utilize round levels to place my entries, exits, and stops.
When there is a bullish signal:
► a limit entry is placed at the nearest-below x000, x200, x500, or x800 level.
► a stop-loss is placed halfway through to another such level below.
► a take-profit will be at the nearest x000, x200, x500, or x800 level to the upside.
When there is a bearish signal:
► a limit entry is placed at the nearest-above x000, x200, x500, or x800 level.
► a stop-loss is placed halfway through to another such level above.
► a take-profit will be at the nearest x00, x200, x500, or x800 level to the downside
(check the first picture for clarification, round levels are shown in gray)
#1 A first entry signal at 17:00
Look at the limit order. A limit is right before 1.38200, the exit before 1.38500, the stop-loss between 1.38000 and 1.38200.
#1 A first order is closed in profit in roughly 12 hours
#2 A second position opened and closed according to rules
#Not All Entries Trigger
Obviously, I didn't leave the entry orders hanging out there forever.
#3 A first loser
This is how a lost trade looked like.
#5, #6 A little problematic area
This is a problem you might encounter with LTB Zigzag Circles. Signals point in both directions... I wouldn't take the long one as the signal is far from my level, but during the backtest, I follow the rules. Hence a win and a loss.
#8, #9, #10, #11 a series of losses in a consolidation area
When the price keeps on contracting, there might be several false signals in a row. Even though you may still see some respect for the x500 zone, the bounces are small and not enough to reach the profits. In real trading, the entries could be identified as unconvincing and avoided.
#14, #15 Two winners in a row
Although the stop-loss was dangerously close to where the price once was for the first one, this is how the winners in a row might look like.
#22 Another problematic situation
Lastly, I wanted to put attention to this imaginary trade. The very point of using limit orders in this test is to make sure I have enough time to get the signal and evaluate its quality. I do believe, there wouldn't be enough time to open a position from a level designated by rules. So I put it on the nearest one below. I know I wouldn't want to take that trade after I was notified at the candle's close. If you would, count it as a loss.
Conclusions
37 trades were open since the beginning of April, out of which 44% were profitable with an accumulated profit of 1141 ticks .
When backtesting, I like to subtract 3 pips from every trade to give it a better feel of the real world. You make mistakes and you also pay spreads and fees. If I subtract 3 pips from every single trade, the strategy will still be profitable, but barely. It's 91 ticks only. Of course, the real spread is smaller than that, so this is a good result also.
Lastly, I saw the price to continue in the direction of the trade far exceeding its original take profit. With advanced trade management (which can not be backtested easily), profits would be higher.
Remember, that 37 trades is a narrow sample size. It is enough to give you an idea of what parts of the strategy to improve. But for accurate statistics, you should test your strategy 180+ times.
Most simple strategyIf you don't have to much time or you want to keep your charts simple, or maybe you are just lazy. This strategy is right for you !
What is it ? Is it magic ? No... Round numbers .
Imagine you are going to buy a car. You go to website and look for used cars... What is your price limit ? It is always 5000USD, 10 000EUR or 2500GBP. You dont set your price limit to 4786EUR or 13 334USD. It is the same in trading and investing.
Round numbers are psychological support/resistance levels . For example, if ETH/USD is going upwards and reaches 2000USD, you will notice strong bearish reactions, because a lot of traders believe that the currency pair cannot go any higher than that, so they sell in fear of losing their profits.
Traders can use the round numbers as a strategy. Psychological levels are 00, 25, 50 and 75. In order to use the numbers, you need to go short when market goes up and one of these levels is reached. Also at these price levels you can expect institutional buy/sell orders, SL's and TP's.
You can also use it in forex, stocks or indeces... Watch how 1.40(GBP/USD) works. Or 1.20 (EUR/USD)
Try to play with your charts and be creative... Do not hesitate to add moving averages, fibo levels or candlestick patterns :)
And as I always say: there is beauty in simplicity ;)
NANO 5 USD good opportunity for long position See my other idea linked below.
Solid buying zone and even if the BTC price will go down the NANOBTC should keep price higher.
Also price of BTC can bounce from 30k so it will fuel price of NANO even if NANOBTC will stay in place.
US100 - Detailed Video Analysis!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Here is the top-down analysis for US100, feel free to request any pair/instrument or ask any questions in the comment section below.
Best of luck!
BTC Traders: Fasten Your Seatbelt BTC has successfully retraced 61.8% in the corrective waves (ABC) and we can consider this phase to be done. An overview on the H4 timeframe will tell us that BTC is in its 3rd wave (bullish) and longest. Round numbers are our next targets. Will it be able to reach the 60K by the end of the week ? Supply and Demand will tell, that's why you should fasten your seatbelt as we are heading to the moon with BTC.
Best of Luck !
MacroForex
GOLD - Buy Setup Forming!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
GOLD is sitting around a round number 1800.0 so we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes.
on H4: GOLD is forming a trendline in red but it is not valid yet so we will be waiting for a third swing high to form around our upper red trendline to consider it our trigger swing. (projection in purple)
Trigger => Waiting for that swing to form and then buy after a momentum candle close above it (gray zone)
Until the buy is activated, GOLD would be overall bearish and can still break the 1800 level downward.
And of course, as GOLD approaches our upper orange trendline, we will be looking for sell setups.
Good luck!
~Rich