Rsi-2
🆘#PERP N-type structure was broken, and RSI diverged.DUMP!🧠The first is the divergence of the RSI indicator, which shows that most investors are leaving the market at a profit.
But we cannot open short positions based on this yet, because the uptrend is not over yet.
But when we see the N-shaped uptrend broken, we are convinced here that the downside is coming, so we set up a short position✔️
➡️Now we intend to lock in more than 80% of the profits and move SL to breakeven.
NASDAQ Moving Lower (1W)NASDAQ Weekly
Price Chart
After forming a double bottom in late 2022 the NASDAQ bounced and has melted up from its lows approximately 48% confirming that it was more than just a bear market rally. Most recently the NASDAQ has run into resistance (Light Red Box) and has descended roughly 3% past a minor trend line on the daily chart (not shown). Shorter term EMA's are beginning to even out (12-day / 26-day) indicting the beginning of a change in the direction of price action which will most likely move lower towards the target supports (Light Green Boxes). If the bottom support (Red Solid) is broken (pretty big "if" at the moment) then the possibility of breaking the long-term trend line (Yellow Solid) will come into play, however at this point it is premature to assume this comes to fruition.
Relative Strength Indicator
The major trend line (Yellow Solid) highlights the divergence from price action beginning in May 2022 and confirming the double bottom ending in December 2022. Most recently the RSI has remained elevated above the 70 line indicating a strong trend, however, the RSI has fallen back below the 70 signaling weakness. The RSI most likely moves down toward the major trend line and major support (Red Solid) from this point. Considering a cradle is in play with the resistance and trend line crossing, it will more than likely bounce with price action allowing the price to attempt one more move higher but will ultimately fail along with RSI failing to make a higher high and confirming price action. If the support and trend are broken it is most likely game over.
On Balance Volume
OBV bounced along with price and RSI in December 2022 and continued higher while making two consecutive bull flags confirming the movement. The OBV has failed to move higher after encountering resistance (Aquamarine Dotted) while retesting the major trend line (Yellow Solid) and seemingly has begun to move lower (emphasis on begun to). It is also notable to mention that a minor trend line (Yellow Dotted) has created a cradle that the OBV has so far failed to break. If the major resistance (Red Solid) is broken then it is basically game over, but we have two areas of support (Light Green Boxes) that will need to be broken first. The major resistance has had previous breaks which led to major downturns that can be seen in December 2000, February 2005, and September 2008 (all shown above).
TDLR;
Just want the meat and potatoes huh? Don't worry our entrees always Seem Legit. Price action recently hit resistance and has begun to move lower while EMA's begin to flatten. There's a 3% move down from a minor trend line on the 1D (not shown). The RSI is showing a bearish divergence after remaining elevated over the 70 line and beginning to move lower. The OBV looks to be forming a double top, and has run into resistance from a major and a minor trend line. Don't forget that this could take months to play out since this is the weekly chart.
What Seems Legit?
Possibly a bounce here from the support formed Jan - Mar 2022 in conjunction with the 12-day or 26-day EMA, retest the recent high, fail to break it and begin to move lower. It might just push lower due to the RSI on the 1D moving below the 50 line (analysis of the 1D has been posted).
"History doesnt repeat itself but often it rhymes" -
- Tap the 50-day EMA and carry on (2019)
- Crash to the major trend line and carry on (2020)
- Break the major support on the OBV and head lower (2000, 2005, 2008)
Chart Key
Yellow Solid = Major Trend Line
Red Solid = Major Support
Aquamarine Solid = Divergences
Red Box = Major Resistance
Green Boxes = Supports / Target Areas
BTC/USD and its crucial support and resistance areaLooking at this Daily BTC/USD Bitstamp chart from around Oct 2020 to 29th July 2023 (today) we can see a few obvious chart patterns that BTC is still in on this daily chart.
1) Ichimoku Y-Wave Pattern AKA a Broadening Wedge Pattern/Megaphone Pattern
2) Ascending Channel Pattern
3) Descending Channel Pattern
4) Rising Wedge Pattern
We can clearly see the crucial range that BTC must break ABOVE and turn into strong support, which is around $28,709 to $32,360 as highlighted by the channel with horizontal dotted lines with yellow shading.
This area has been both strong support and resistance quite a few times over the years.
As a Strong Support range:
Sat 2nd Jan 2021 to Mon 1st Feb 2021
Wed 19th May 2021 to Fri 23rd Jul 2021
As a Strong Resistance range:
Mon 9th May 2022 to Sun 12th Jun 2022
Monday 20th Mar 2023 to Monday 8th May 2023
Mon 29th May 2023 (1day)
Wednesday 21st Jun 2023 to 29th Just 2023 (as of typing this)
Using @LuxAlgo Buyside & Sellside Liquidity indicator, we can see that BTC is slowly filling up its Liquidity Void from around $29,611 to its bottom at $27,051. As we can see from the history of the chart, quite a few of Liquidity Voids do end up getting filled back up even after a long period of year and a half. We can also see that a Buyside Liquidity line is located almost exactly on the top of our important support/resistance area.
Using the Visible Range Volume Profile (VRVP) in its Delta mode, we can see what the Traded Volume difference was on each of the Volume Profile Bars for this entire charts visible range. Note that the Volume Area Up is Blue and Volume Area Down is Yellow.
Here is a closer look at this 1 day chart.
Note that BTC is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis, the Lower Band is still pointing downwards and the Upper Band looks like it may curve downwards.
I have added a Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP) indicator from Thur 15th Jun 2023 to Sat 29th July 2023 (as of typing this). The FRVP is also in its Delta mode and you can clearly see the Traded Volume differences for each Bar. Note that again the Volume Area Up is Blue and Volume Area Down is Yellow.
Looking at the Chaikin Money Flow Indicator (CMF) we can see that the CMF Line is still in the Distribution Zone under its 0.00 Base Line and note that it is still Below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) indicator. Note that the LSMA has curved upwards at the moment.
Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that momentum has dropped and the RSI Line is still below its 9 Period EMA line. Using the Bollinger Bands on the RSI we can see that the RSI now has little bit of room to move downwards and a lot of room to move upwards before becoming over extended/overbought/oversold. It really is good practice to be on the lookout for any Convergence and Divergence with the RSI and the Price.
The key takeaway from this post, the Resistance Area from around $28,709 to $32,360 is very, very important! Note we also have a Buyside Liquidity Line located almost directly on $32,360.
For the Upside:
A successful Daily Candle CLOSE above the $32,360 level and any successful re-test as strong support will be a good sign of continued positive momentum to come.
For the Downside:
Failure to CLOSE a Daily Candle above the $32,360 level will be a good sign of continued sideways to eventual negative momentum.
Anyway, i hope this post is helpful.
☆ The Relative Strenght Index (RSI) # on4 ! ☆The Relative Strength Index (RSI)
-
is a popular technical indicator used by traders to identify overbought and oversold conditions in the market. The RSI with a period of 4 is a shorter-term version that can provide more frequent signals.
I use RSI 4 effectively following these steps:
Understanding RSI Basics:
The RSI measures the strength and speed of price movements.
It oscillates between 0 and 100, with values above 89 indicating overbought conditions and values below 11 indicating oversold conditions.
Identifying Overbought and Oversold Conditions:
When the RSI 4 rises above 89, it suggests that the market may be overbought, indicating a potential reversal or a corrective pullback.
When the RSI 4 falls below 11, it suggests that the market may be oversold, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
Confirming Signals with Price Action:
While RSI 4 can provide valuable insights, it is important to confirm its signals with other technical indicators or price action.
Look for additional confirmation such as trendlines, support/resistance levels, or candlestick patterns to strengthen the validity of the RSI signals.
Divergence Analysis:
RSI 4 can also be used to identify bullish or bearish divergences.
Bullish divergence occurs when price makes a lower low while RSI 4 makes a higher low, indicating potential upward momentum.
Bearish divergence occurs when price makes a higher high while RSI 4 makes a lower high, suggesting potential downward pressure.
Setting Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels:
Determine appropriate stop-loss levels to protect your trades in case the market moves against you.
Set take-profit levels based on your risk-reward ratio and the potential of the trade.
Remember, RSI 4 is just one tool in your trading arsenal. It is essential to combine it with other technical indicators, chart patterns, and fundamental analysis for a comprehensive trading strategy. Regularly monitor the performance of RSI 4 in different market conditions and adjust your trading approach accordingly.
Note:
The use of any technical indicator, including RSI 4, does not guarantee successful trades. It is important to practice risk management, conduct thorough analysis, and make informed trading decisions based on a holistic view of the market.
Always remember that no single indicator or strategy can predict market movements with 100% accuracy. Utilize RSI 4 as part of a well-rounded trading methodology, and continually refine your skills and knowledge through experience and ongoing education.
HappyForexTrading ☆ J
GBPAUD SHORT 4HR TF4H TF: 20EMA crossed the 50EMA to the downside and is currently testing the 100EMA.
Daily: RSI and MACD starting to look bearish
Weekly: I expect a retracement on the weekly TF to at least the 0.236 level, after a bullish run.
GA is still bullish on the monthly TF, so I'd keep an eye on that.
Happy trading!
Gold XAUUSDXAUUSD GOLD, Fibonacci Retracement, Zones, RSI, Divergence, Trendline
Just Sharing Idea of Future view,
All time high 2075.11 Retracement 38.6 and failed to break high level again Retracement of 50.0 1617.68
High Rsi trendline and bottom Rsi in Divergence
Future looks if rejects 1967 Level then back support of 61.8 level or up high to break 2075.11 level Top high Rsi in Divergence mode that Period, Rsi in overbought now
JUST IDEA SHARING THANK YOU
BTC/USD - is BTC still in a downtrend?Let’s have a look at the BTC/USD 1 week chart and see what this chart and indicators are telling us.
BTC is still in a massive Falling Wedge Pattern.
BTC is also still in a massive Ichimoku Y-Wave pattern.
Note that the 50MA is still traveling DOWNWARDS towards the 200MA so we still might see a Death Cross on this 1 week timeframe.
At the moment of typing this, BTC has crossed back under its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 week timeframe. A successful close below the LSMA and successful re-test as resistance will indicate that the direction of travel will most likely continue downwards.
BTC is still way under its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1 week timeframe.
Looking at the Descending Pitchfork Pattern, we can see the Support and Resistance levels that BTC has been hitting on this indicator.
Here is a closer look at this 1 week chart:
BTC is still in the Bearish Zone of all 3 of its major Ichimoku Clouds.
Looking at BTC’s most important Ichimoku Cloud:
The Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that mid-point the short-term momentum is downwards at the moment.
The Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the mid-point of the mid-term momentum is sideways at the moment.
The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum, at the moment is starting to slope downwards.
Using the Negative V Calculation from the 1 Month Chart, and using the Ichimoku Timespan Numbers of 65-Bars and 76-Bars starting from the ATH at $68,789.63 back in Nov 2021, we have 2 potential timeframes for the price target $9,916.
V Calculation Negative (from 1 month chart)
V = B - (C-B) = D
C $25,160 - B $17,538 = $7,622
B $17,538 - (C-B) $7,1622 = $9,916
D1 = $9,916 The week of 6th Feb 2023
D2 = $9,916 The week 24th April 2023
Note that this is NOT a bottom for BTC but is a PRICE TARGET using the Ichimoku V Calculation (Negative).
Looking at the Up/Down Volume, we can see that the Volume Traded since around June 2021 has been nothing when compared to what has been previously traded in the past.
Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that the RSI is pointing downwards and still has plenty of room to move downwards before becoming Oversold on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the RSI is getting very close to crossing under is 9 Period EMA.
From my opinion, before anyone can start talking or preaching about bottoms, reversals and bull-runs, we need to talk about fundamentals and what is happening to the world economy. We also now know that the Crypto world isn’t yet a hedge against inflation and we also need to accept the fact that the world is already in a recession and possibly heading into a depression in 2023.
From my opinion BTC is still in a mid to longterm downtrend. That is NOT going to change unless BTC crosses back ABOVE and more importantly CLOSES ABOVE its 200MA on the 1 Day Chart for Mid-Term and 1 Week Chart for Long-Term. If/when this happens, be on the lookout for any successful re-test as support on these timeframes.
Once this world wide recession fully bottoms out be it in 6 months, 1 year, 2 years, 5 years or 10 years and when the powers that be have had their fill of transferring wealth from the Middle Class and the Poor to the elites, then true opportunities WILL ARISE for those who are ready.
Again this is all my opinion so I hope this post is helpful.
$FTM - doomed in Lower TimeFrameHello my Fellow TraderZ,
In my previous analysis about $FTM on Daily, I made a cautious statement regarding its PULLBACK to test the EMA55 on Daily at the least.
If you see here on lower TF, price has broken the support TL. So, I am expecting a slight above move to retest the broken TL(looking at S.RSI) and continue the down path.
BUT If the price reclaims the TL then this down move would be a FAKEOUT & price could once again tend to retest the Major above TL(Daily).
Be patient, anyside $FTM will move rapidly.
Happy Trading. CHEERS!!!
$FTM - Just a matter of TimeHello my Fellow TraderZ,
#FANTOM $FTM - consolidating near the TL. Well I wish this one to break upward for some handsome profit.
But if you see on DTF, S.RSI is on overbought territory, which could bring price further down towards $0.2050-.2175.
Well I am just sitting and waiting for either the pullback or break the TL.
CHEERS!!!
Everything I've learned about the RSI BINANCE:BTCUSDT
In this post, I'll make an attempt to share everything I've learned over the Relative Strength Index (RSI) Over the past 24 months.
Nothing described in this post is financial advice, it's just me, sharing thoughts and ideas with you.
nb: this post is more suited for traders and investors that are already educated about the RSI Indicators.
A brief introduction about the indicator itself :
The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis. RSI measures the speed and magnitude of a security's recent price changes to evaluate whether it's better to buy, sell, or wait.
The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph) on a scale of zero to 100.
The RSI is probably the most used oscillator in finance nowadays, by both retail traders and institutions, hence meaning that when used well , it can be used as a great edge to profitability.
RSI popular uses :
- An asset is usually considered overbought when the RSI is above 70 and oversold when it is below 30.
- The RSI can give us insights on a potential trend's loss of momentum or validity when the price pivots levels are diverging with the RSI indicator (hidden and regular divergences)
- The most popular RSI length is 14 periods.
My findings
1. Overbought and oversold: myth or reality?
RSI's 30 and 70 levels never proved themselves to be a strong enough edge for me to be used as a standalone signal for trade entries.
As an example, just look at the irregularity of the results you would get when using just these zones :
My take on it is that as a price oscillator when it crosses into extremes, it simply means price momentum is at extreme levels. To me it's basically like a mountain cyclist in the middle of a race: he might very well go faster and higher, however, the quicker and higher he goes the more unlikely he is to keep up with that speed. Eventually, he might either decrease its speed or even go backward.
What does this tell us ?
The RSI 30 and 70 levels seem to be better used when used as timing indicators. For example, the 70 and 30 levels could be used as a filter for a trader to eliminate market noise when using a trend reversal strategy (mean-reversion). For trend traders, the levels could be used to timing signals where they'll start looking for price to do a pullback (consolidation) to get in the trend.
My experience using the 30 and 70 levels as exit signals however has been better (when it comes to using it as the only signal for a trade exit).
Say you are long on BTCUSD, in profit, and you get an RSI closure above 70. Well, in that case, you could exit 50% of your position and wait for the oscillator to cross down the 70 levels to exit the rest (as the overbought and oversold zones are rarely a defining factor for trend reversals and corrections).
2. Divergences in the overbought and oversold zones :
The lower the time frame you are trading on is, the higher the noise when it comes to divergences, especially with volatile assets such as BTCUSD. So you might want to filter out most of the ones you see to only take the best ones.
On the 15M and 5M timeframes, on BTCUSD, I find that on average about 1/3 of the divergences I see play out. However, we are not expected to take every divergence we see.
Here's what has helped me get better results with divergences :
- When approaching supply and demand zones, especially the higher timeframe ones, we might want to be more aggressive with the divergences we enter into. As the hit rate is not always amazing, the R:R is usually much better, and if the trade works out, it might give you great results which accounts for the low win rate.
- If you want to increase your win rate, I also find that going for higher timeframes is usually better when it comes to divergences.
- Take only divergences where RSI divergence's first pivot point is over 70 or under 30. Ideally, you don't want the noise to go below 60, or above 40, so that your trade has the necessary momentum to play out.
- For extra confirmation, wait for a break of the noise level to enter the trade.
- Regular and hidden divergences play hand in hand creating a form of momentum equilibrium. Hidden divergences always create regular divergences and vice versa. Hence a hidden divergence can be considered an early pullback warning to get in a bigger-picture trend.
- Regular divergences tend to play out better than hidden divergences. This is especially true when the volume is decreasing, or after a longer period of consolidation when volatility has been contracting and might be about to expand soon.
- Regular divergences in strong trends can be both a disaster and a treat. "The trend is your friend". This saying is especially true here. However, 2-3 drives of regular divergences are a great indication of a potential reversal, with enough confirmation factors to produce (often time) a great entry.
- The angle of the trend line between divergences pivot points, both on the price chart and the RSI, can be a good indication of the severity of the divergence occurring.
- The ideal lookback period for detecting divergences for me has proved to be between 5 and 28 bars. (Below 5 bars is not enough to confirm a true pivot point for me and above 28 bars has probably already played out in past price movements).
- Like all edges, using a divergence strategy always produces better results when used in confluence with other signals. I find the best confluences happen when divergences occur: alongside a stochastic cross, near medium-slow moving averages, near horizontal supply and demand zones, alongside volatility expansion, when the volume is decreasing (meaning market makes are in disagreement with the move occurring), near Bollinger bands 2.5 to 3 standard deviations (period 20).
- Convergence between your timeframes and higher timeframes is key to understanding how to better choose your trades. Try to play the big divergences but enter smaller timeframes divergences.
- When you lose a divergence trade, don't get disappointed. Jump back in because often time, and price will need to do several divergences before getting in your desired direction (however, be careful not to jump in tilt mod. Know your win rate and R:R and keep your money management serious. You'll get blown out if you start tilting on this, especially if you trade reversals with divergences, as it's difficult to get the right timing every time).
3. RSI as a trend filter?
- I've found that in trending markets, when RSI's Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crosses above the 50 line, it's an indication of an uptrend and vice versa. However, this is less effective in ranging markets as there's more noise, hence more invalid crosses.
- I've found that in trending markets when the RSI line crosses above the EMA (I use a 12 period), it's an indication of an uptrend and vice versa. However, this is less effective in ranging markets as there's more noise, hence more invalid crosses.
- As an indication of the trend's direction, I don't find any value in using bullish and bearish control zones. The only use I can find them is when using them for divergence levels filters.
This is the end of the first post of this 2 parts series. There's just so much more you can discover about this indicator that it simply cannot be constricted to a few lines of writing. However, you are welcome to take a few of my findings and go test them out using replay and backtesting. See for yourself, and find your balance.
Most of my learnings have been made through screentime, trial, and error, backtesting, mistakes, and research.
Have a good day,
Arthur Girard
$TSLA call trade idea updateThe trade idea I presented in my previous Tesla post (linked) did not work because price went lower on Thursday and pulled RSI down below 35 (orange rectangle).
My initial idea on 16 Nov. was for RSI to move higher from 35 as price rose. Instead RSI fell and stayed below 40 for two days (remember this is a 30m frame), until the green candle in the final Friday hour.
After two days of very little price movement, which is quite unusual for this stock, stochastic %K(10) gave a sign of strength (yellow arrow) in the final hour Friday.
Yellow box marks 2-3 candles that create the stochastic spike
Notice the candles in Friday's box seem insignificant, except for a higher close, yet %K shows the strength.
To the left, there is a yellow arrow marking a %K spike that matches with a very bullish candle. Price continued to gradually rise over the next four days. However looking at RSI below 30 on 9 Nov, I expected it to stall under 65 for a reversal. Now price has returned to make new lows but closed above 180, which is a good sign.
Along with the %K spike on Friday, RSI moved over 40 but has yet to cross into bullish territory. I am looking for a candle close over the downtrend line, ideally early Monday, that pulls RSI over 50. If Friday's %K stochastic sign is supported by further buying, then RSI should, Mon-Tues, move over 67 and stay over 50.
If price spends time struggling under 180 during the first half of Monday or quickly makes a new low, then this trade design is completely negated and I may look for puts down to 160.
NASDAQ 100 PREDICTION FOR 14-11-2022 Dear trader our prediction for today depend on the the chart analysis 1h , d , 15m
We find the price had moved up a lot without correction and now it make a consolidate for correction in important resistance the price try to break it many time but can't so if the price still not break this resistance then ,, we advice you to be ready to take short position until next support as you see in the chart
Also all the indicators give us same analysis
Be careful today the market not clear until now
Doge usd prediction 11-11-2022 long 1h , d Dear traders as you see in the chart the is a long opportunity that after a big drop was happened before we see the price it moving up and retest the resistance again the it will moving up again also as you see in daily chart their's a green engulfing candle up the resistance and up the ema line so if the price break red line the price well continue moving up until the resistance,, if not then the price well moving down again ,,
Also depend on rsi indecator their's is long signal ...
RSI Trend Strategy GuidelinesThe RSI is a versatile indicator, and can be used to provide entry signals during a trend. To get the signals a moving average is applied to the RSI.
1. Trades are only taken in the direction of the trend. For an uptrend only take longs. For a downtrend only take shorts (puts).
2. During a downtrend the RSI must move above 60 to indicate a pullback. When the RSI crosses back below its moving average (can be at any number, just as long as the RSI is or was above 60 recently) go short.
3. During an uptrend the RSI must move below 40 to indicate a pullback. When the RSI crosses back above its moving average (can be at any number, just as long as the RSI is or was below 40 recently) go long.
4. Give the price at least two or three bars (whatever time frame you are trading on) or more before considering an exit. This gives the price some time to move in your favor.