Rsi-2
BTCW V.1 Chart - Heikin Ashi, MA 20, 50, 100 & 200, RSI & MACDOverall Summary:
Overall I am bearish. Bitcoin is trading in the $3600 to $4200 range during the last week, 81.5% down from the ATHs, with a market cap of $63 billion. The chart indicates a continuation of the current downtrend. The price is closest to the 200 MA with a trend towards the 200 MA. The volume has decreased slightly over the last week, which is support the current price action. While the RSI and MACD is is also in confluence with the price action over the last week with both signalling bearish price action.
Detailed Summary:
This chart uses weekly Heikin Ashi Candlesticks with 4 MAs (20, 50, 100 & 200), RSI & MACD.
Heikin Ashi candlesticks are great for trend and swing trading. Heikin Ashi means ‘average’ in Japanese because these candlesticks ‘average out’ price action vs traditional candlesticks that are based on OHLC (Open High Low Close). By averaging out price action this candlestick style reduces ‘noise’ and generates a much smoother chart pattern. This is helpful for trend traders as it is easier to identify the key trend in the market and to ignore smaller price volatility. During the last week the price has ranged by $500, opening at $4000 and closing at $3600. The price has decreased over the period which is a continuation of the long term price trend. The price is closest to the 200 Moving Average and during this period it has trended towards the 200 Moving Average. The 50 Moving Average is currently acting as resistance while the 200 Moving Average is acting as support. The key Support and Resistance areas are $3686 and $4185. I forecast that price will decrease over the next week.
Volume is a key indicator that I use to understand past, current and possibly future price action. Unfortunately a majority of the exchange volume is fake ‘wash’ trading so it is important to rely on data from reliable exchanges like Binance and BitFinex. Volume that supports price recent action helps strengthen my belief in a specific trend. During this period volume has decreased in confluence with the recent price action. On a longer term time frame, the volume is in confluence with the long term trends. I forecast that volume will decrease and this will support a decrease of price over the next week.
The RSI is a popular momentum based oscillator that helps us identify what stage in the security’s oscillation cycle it is most likely at. So after identifying the key market trend we can then apply the RSI to forecast future moves in price action (in terms of velocity and magnitude). This indicator is useful determining entry and exit points, for trend traders like myself, it is used on longer time frames as it is much more reliable. Most of the significant price action occurs around the 30 and 70 areas and ideally what we are looking for is divergence between the price action and the RSI. During the period the RSI increased/decreased/consolidated to X and it is in confluence/divergence with the recent price action. It has demonstrated a bearish failure swing is when the RSI rises above 30 (considered overbought), RSI drops back below 30 then RSI rises slightly but remains below 30 (remains below oversold) and finally RSI drops lower than its previous low. I forecast that RSI will decrease over the next week and this indicates decrease of price over the next week.
The MACD is a popular trend following momentum indicator that can help identify a security’s momentum, trend direction and duration. is a popular trend momentum indicator that can show us a security's overall trend. The core assumption of this indicator is that a security’s price oscillates around an equilibrium. Therefore by looking at the relationship between different MA calculations, we can identify what specific stage a security maybe of it oscillation cycle. This is why we have two lines, the first is called the MACD (26 - 12 day MA) and the second is called a Signal line (9 day MA). We also have a Histogram (MACD-Signal Line), which is the 1st thing I look at. Finally there is the Zero line, which is basically when the 26 and the 12 day are equal. The MACD , that combines several indicators, is worth watching when one or more of the following happens: crossovers (MACD/Signal/Histogram and Zero line), convergences/divergences between price and rapid changes. During this period the MACD has decreased in confluence with the recent price action. The MACD line remained below the Signal line which was a bearish trend in convergence with the price action. The histogram is trending towards the Zero line which was a bullish trend in divergence with the price action. I forecast that MACD will decrease over the next week and this indicates decrease of price over the next week.
References:
Heikin Ashi concise summary - www.investopedia.com
Moving Average concise summary - www.investopedia.com
Support and Resistance summary - www.investopedia.com
Fake exchange volume summary - www.blockchaintransparency.org
RSI concise summary - www.investopedia.com
MACD concise summary - www.investopedia.com
Bitcoin xmas gift - more pain coming next year?Volume and momentum is suggesting a continuation of this xmas bull rally into next year. Price doesn't necessarily need to act according to the outlined waves which are based on support/resistances and hypothetical future uncertainly (with the asymmetric triangle).
Think that max it could go is really the 6-7k range where sell pressure exists (limit sell orders) and buy pressure (stop market buys) would probably sit above it.
Bitcoin at the apex. Final shakedown then xmas present. OK. There's great chance honeybadger could hit the 2.7-2.9 support levels in an extended wick and reverse for a short xmas into new year bull rally to get everyone hyped about before more pain.
While I feel the brief visit to bellow 3k is possible we should pay attention at current price level because price is showing some signs of strength and volume in lower time frames
Bitcoin/Gold M Ah! "capitulation" LMAO A look into monthly chart confirms that we are way far from a bull run. It is also pretty evident based on volumes and candle rejections that we didn't see yet any meaningful signs of capitulation.
There more downside ahead. Perhaps a strong support at the next technical level wich also coincides with marginal cost of production less hardware costs price zone.
1300k Price range support seem crazy think about but just notice volumes at early stage of previous bull If we get under 3k we could see massive shake off pushing towards a potential capitulation.
Bitcoin triangle and support channels brokenBitcoin has broken the compressing triangle near the apex and now broke the closest support line based on triangle lows.
Oscillators also show broken structures.
If short placed before breakout good. Stick to it - It is not yet time to exit since nothing suggests otherwise. But adjust the stop loss to decent level in case of surprising reversal (wouldn't be surprised to be honest) and bear trap confirmation.
We shall see if we are going to see more sidway and price consolidation or continuation. If price consolidates for awhile and show some rejection from the downside showing bull presence it is more likely we could see massive pump to 7k levels. Too soon to hypothesise on that.
Atm short bias but not anymore a good time to enter now short until further evidence of weakness.. Time to be very careful because interest is still significantly low and this last move is indeed possibly a bear trap at weekly support levels.
DCR listing on Binance - Support found - Lets take this puppy UPStochastics, clouds, MTF RSI, and the Mode of God are all giving the same signals and signs that this will keep grinding higher. DCR is not just any old project. It holds its weight through bearish times, and now hey, its coming to light during a bullish time! YAY. I expect an edge to edge KUMO grabbing 12% for this first impulsive move off the found support. Targets are in the box.
Namnaste'
Ethereum Classic getting ready...OK Ethereum Classic is one of those shitcoins looking in great position for possible long position. Would wait for one or two candles closing above the Hull MA (34) .
RSI 5 and 13 showing divergence. Yes i know recent close is not exactly same level or lower but the geometry of RSI is too steep to not consider these.
Volume increase on rejection also show interest in this zone. Definitely feels that something is going to happen soon.