RSI Trend Strategy GuidelinesThe RSI is a versatile indicator, and can be used to provide entry signals during a trend. To get the signals a moving average is applied to the RSI.
1. Trades are only taken in the direction of the trend. For an uptrend only take longs. For a downtrend only take shorts (puts).
2. During a downtrend the RSI must move above 60 to indicate a pullback. When the RSI crosses back below its moving average (can be at any number, just as long as the RSI is or was above 60 recently) go short.
3. During an uptrend the RSI must move below 40 to indicate a pullback. When the RSI crosses back above its moving average (can be at any number, just as long as the RSI is or was below 40 recently) go long.
4. Give the price at least two or three bars (whatever time frame you are trading on) or more before considering an exit. This gives the price some time to move in your favor.
Rsi-ema
ADA/USD - 1 day chart analysisHere is a closer look at this ADA/USD 1 day chart:
ADA is in a Ichimoku P Wave (the 2 converging Blue Trend-lines on Chart) on this daily timeframe. This P Wave is potentially Bearish because it is an inverted P. Note that the bottom trend-line of the P Wave is near the 38.20% ($0.430) Fib Retracement level.
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Short-Term Momentum is upwards at the moment. Note that the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is still under the Base Line (Kijun Sen)
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indication that the Mid-Point of the Mid-Term Momentum is sideways at the moment.
The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indication that Momentum is downwards at the moment. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the past price.
Note that ADA is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud.
ADA is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for the 1 day timeframe. Note that the Upper and Lower Bands are Pinching inwards at the moment.
At the moment of typing this, ADA has dropped below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA). A daily candle close below the LSMA would be considered a Sell Signal for this indicator on this 1 day timeframe.
ADA is still well below its Longterm Upwards Pitchfork Pattern Median Line and is also below its Lower Yellow Pitchfork Resistance Line.
Looking at the entire ADA Chart we can see that the Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) is at $0.041 and we can see the previous huge Volume Cluster from $0.096 to $0.033. This represents the area where the most volume was traded.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is dropping with the ADX (Orange Line) at 13.988 still below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 15.181. Negative Momentum has dropped with the -DI (Red Line) at 19.976 and Positive Momentum has also dropped with the +DI (Green Line) at 17.218.
Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that momentum is downwards at the moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is below its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) which is a sign of negative momentum strength. Note that the RSI still has plenty of room to drop before entering the Oversold Zone on this 1 day timeframe.
If ADA breaks below its P Wave and its 38.20% ($0.431) Fib Retracement level then we may see an eventual drop to its 50% ($0.233) Fib Retracement Level.
For the upside, we need ADA to stay above its LSMA and to eventually get back ABOVE and CLOSE a daily candle ABOVE its BB Middle Band with a successful re-test as support on this 1 day timeframe.
Looking at this ADA 1 day chart really puts things in perspective, as you can see, ADA spent from March 2018 to March 2019 in the BEARISH ZONE of the Ichimoku Cloud which was then followed by about a year or so of a few rises and falls until March 2020 when ADA rose from $0.017 to an eventual new ATH of $3.143 in Sept 2021. Once this world wide recession and financial/crypto bear market is over be it in a year, 2, 5 or 10 years, eventually the Market Makers will decided that the Path of Least Resistance to Profit is…… upwards! So you have to position yourself ready so you can take advantage of the next parabolic rise up, not just in crypto but also stocks, commodities and indices.
This is all my opinion so please do your own research because its you money.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
VET/USDThis is a longterm analysis of a possible 3 year outlook for VET/USD using the 1 week chart.
Here is a closer look at this VET/USD 1 week Chart.
On this 1 week timeframe, VET has been back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) since the week of 7th March 2022. Note that a weekly close ABOVE the LSMA is considered a BUY SIGNAL for this indicator.
VET is also back ABOVE its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1 week timeframe. Note that the Upper and Lower Bands are still contracting indicating VET still has plenty of room to move up or down before expansion kicks in and it becomes over extended on this 1 week timeframe.
VET is Back ABOVE its 100MA (Red Line) but still BELOW its 50MA (Blue Line) on this 1 week timeframe.
VET is in a massive Rising Wedge Pattern, the APEX of which is around the week of 5th - 12th May 2025 and is at around $8.8 as indicated by the Rising Converging Blue Lines.
VET is also in a Triangle Pattern as indicated by the Converging Black Dotted Lines.
Looking at the Trend-Based Fib Extension we can see that at the moment, VET has found some resistance from its 0.236 level at $0.0876. Note that the Fib Levels are based on Log Scale.
VET closed the last weekly Volume Bar ABOVE its Volume 20 Period MA, in the Green and this weekly Volume Bar will also close ABOVE its Volume MA.
VET is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 3 Weekly Candle that i have selected.
Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), we can see that we have a BUY SIGNAL on this indicator for this 1 week timeframe because the MACD Line (Blue Line) has crosses back ABOVE the SIGNAL Line (Orange Line) creating a new Green Histogram. This is the first new BUY SIGNAL since the week of 25th Oct 2021 and it’s the first new Green Histogram since 22nd Nov 2022. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line, so the next key thing will be when the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back over and ABOVE the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone.
Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for this 1 week timeframe, we can see that Momentum is upwards at the moment and the RSI (Purple Line) is back above its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) and indicating upwards momentum strength. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) has plenty of room to move up before entering the Overbought Zone which is above 70 on this 1 week timeframe.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is still weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 14.51 under the 20 Threshold and under its 9 Period EMA (Black Line). Positive Momentum has increased with the +DI (Green Line) rising to 25.101 and ABOVE its -DI (Red Line) which is at 19.21. A very good sign on this 1 week timeframe will be if we continue to see the +DI (Green Line) expand further away from the -DI (Red Line) as well as the ADX (Orange Line) crossing back ABOVE its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) and AOVE 20 Threshold.
With such a large rise on the Daily, we shouldn't be surprised if VET re-traces back to its LSMA or even its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on the 1 day timeframe. Here is a look at the 1 day chart so you can see the Expansion of the Bollinger Bands. Note that VET found support today from its LSMA Level on the 1 day chart.
Obviously a lot can happen and change in 3 years with the Crypto Market, VET can easily break ABOVE or BELOW and CLOSE a Weekly Candle ABOVE or BELOW the Rising Wedge Pattern's Trend Lines to invalidate it way before it ever gets to the APEX.
The first crucial step for VET will be CLOSE a weekly Candle ABOVE its 0.236 Trend-Based Fib Level at 0.0876 and if needs be, to successfully re-test that level as strong support.
Key things to look out for the potential start off on this VET/USD longterm 1 week timeframe in no particular order:
For the Positive Side:
1: A successful close ABOVE the 0.236 Trend-Based Fib Extension level.
2: Expansion of the Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands while the Price is above the Upper Band.
3: A successful Weekly Close ABOVE the 50MA,
4: The BB Middle Band 20 Period SMA crossing back ABOVE the 50MA
5: The 100MA crossing back ABOVE the 50MA
6: The MACD Line (Blue Line) crossing back above the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone
7: The ADX Line (Orange Line) crossing back ABOVE the 20 Threshold and its 9 Period EMA (Black Line).
8: A Weekly close ABOVE the Ascending Upper Blue Trend-line of the Rising Wedge Pattern.
9: A Weekly Close ABOVE the Upper Triangle Pattern Trend-line.
10: A successful close ABOVE the 50MA.
For the Negative Side:
1: A successful close BELOW the 0.236 Trend-Based Fib Extension level.
2: A drop back UNDER the BB Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA.
3: A Weekly Close back UNDER the 100MA,
4: A weekly Close back UNDER the LMA.
5: The 100MA crossing back ABOVE the 50MA
6: The MACD Line (Blue Line) crossing back UNDER the SIGNAL LINE (Orange Line)
7: The +DI (Green Line) crossing back UNDER the -DI (Red Line).
8: A Weekly close BELOW the Ascending Bottom Blue Trend-line of the Rising Wedge Pattern.
9: A Weekly Close BELOW the Lower Triangle Pattern Trend-line.
10: The RSI (Purple Line) crossing back UNDER its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line)
I’m sure I’ve missed a few things but that’s probably enough of me rambling on.
I hope this post is helpful with your Trading, Hodl-ing or DCA-ing.
BTC/USD 1WLooking at the Trend-Base Fib Extension we can see that BTC found some support from its 0.5 Fib Level at $30,329. If this support level fails then the next Fib Levels are 0.618 at $26,100 and 0.786 at $20,077.
Looking at the Bollinger Bands, we can see that BTC is still way below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1 week timeframe. Note that at the moment BTC is below its Bollinger Bands Lower Band.
Looking at the Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) we can see that BTC closed a weekly candle below its LSMA. A close below the LSMA is considered a sell signal.
A key area of support is the area from around £31,075 to $28,666 as highlighted by the horizontal black lines with yellow shading. Note that BTC has found support from this Support Zone 9 times previous since the 4th Jan 2021.
Looking at the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR), you can see potential upcoming areas of previous volume interest if the support at around $28,666 and the 0.618 Fib Level at $26,100 both fail. Note that for the timeframe starting Sept 2020 to the present day, BTC is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range.
Note that BTC is still below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 7 weekly candles i have selected.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating a sharp rise in Negative Momentum on this 1 week timeframe with the -DI (Red Line) rising to 30.54 and the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 16.27. Note that the Trend Strength is increasing with the ADX (Orange Line) rising to 17.39 and crossing above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 17.37.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating momentum is downwards at the moment for this 1 week timeframe. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) still has room to drop further before entering the Oversold Zone on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the RSI is still below its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) indicating negative momentum strength.
Looking at the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) we can see that the CMF line (Green Line) is still under the 0.0 Basel Line in the Distribution Zone and has been since the week of the 21st Feb 2022 on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the CMF (Green Line) is also below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) indicating strength for distribution.
If we use the area from around $31,075 to $28,666 as our base and the Descending Trend-line then we can clearly see that BTC is also in a Descending Triangle Pattern on this 1 week timeframe. In any case, if the support area fails then there will be some good opportunities to acquire BTC or your crypto of choice at a bargain price before the next bull cycle upwards. Never say never.
I hope this quick and dirty post is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BTCUSDTHI guyzzzzz
Bitcoin needs a valid break of the 39100 resistance line to get the uptrend
Otherwise we will continue to be in a downtrend which is likely to see a price of 36,500 given the weekly support line.
This pattern, along with divergence, has given day traders hope for the Saudi trend.
But there is still not enough capital to break the downtrend unless a positive news breaks the equation.
TAKE SAFE
Bitcoin: Pillars of Overbought/OS on RSI’s w/ 100D EMA The first 2 pillars on the left price got rejected from 100 Day EMA when RSI's were overbought. The third pillar broke the 100EMA but was still getting/were oversold on the RSI's. The last pillar is close to/has bottomed on the Stoch's and regular RSI is under midline as were testing 100D EMA again. If BTC breaks 100EMA (43.6K) and RSI midline price could have some good room to run, if not RSI could want to bottom again before moving higher.
Spring action for ATVI ATVI has a has factors like a low on the RSI on the 1D and the 4H already off to and early reversal. The 4H MACD going in for a cross which made the 1D a bounce into green territory. Price action could definitely go back to resistance and maybe even break through it to find a new floor.
BITCOIN - Complete Technical AnalysisRussia officially declared war on Ukraine this week, and four days have passed since the conflict between the two countries, and the conflict has intensified. The start of the war was accompanied by a sharp drop in bitcoin, but on the same day, it was strongly supported, and the price again attacked the resistance of $40,000, but eventually, the daily candle closed at the level of $39,000.
In recent days, there has been more volatility due to the negative news of the Bitcoin war, but with the possibility of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, some experts believe that #Bitcoin can start a rising wave again after the end of these tensions.
This war once again showed the world the importance of digital currencies and bitcoins. While many bank cards in Ukraine are blocked, and people do not have access to their accounts, bitcoin wallets, and digital currencies have become more active. This proves the world's need for a decentralized financial network such as digital currencies.
Bitcoin was well supported on February 24 after the start of the war between Russia and Ukraine and the sharp fall of the price and returned to the price of $34,322, and on February 26, reached the resistance level of $40,000 and the moving average, which is an important resistance area. For Bitcoin.
The moving average is trending up, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in the middle of the market, which is a signal that the market is bullish. If the cows can stabilize the price above the moving average, the #BTC will likely rise to the $45,821 range, which is a strong resistance area.
If Bitcoin falls below this range, it will probably fluctuate between $36,000 and $39,000 for a few days, and then if this area breaks down further, further Bitcoin declines could lead to a drop in price to $32,900.
MATIC/USDHere is a closer look at this MATIC 1d Binance chart.
MATIC is in a massive Ascending Triangle Pattern on the 1 day chart. An Ascending Triangle Pattern is potentially a Bullish Continuation Pattern. The APEX of this Triangle Pattern is around July 2022. For your viewing pleasure, I have added various support and resistance lines within this Ascending Triangle.
At the moment, MATIC is ABOVE its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1 day timeframe. Note that the Upper and Lower Bands are converging inwards indicating volatility has slowed at the moment.
Note that MATIC is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1 day timeframe.
MATIC is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 11x daily candle that i have selected.
Note that MATIC is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range.
Note that Volume is still low on this Binance chart and note that the last 8x Volume Bars have been BELOW its Volume 20 Period MA.
Looking at the Average Direction Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is still strong but has lost some strength with the ADX (Orange Line) dropping slightly to 27.562 below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 27.585. Note that Negative Momentum has dropped sharply with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 26.771. Positive Mmentum has also dropped slightly but not as sharply with the +DI (Green Line) at 18.693. For sustainable upwards momentum to continue, we need the +DI (Green Line) to CROSS back ABOVE the -DI (Red Line) on this 1 day timeframe.
Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that momentum is upwards at the moment and the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still ABOVE its Signal Line (Orange Line) on this 1 day timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been above the 0.0 Base Line in the Positive Zone since 7th Jan 2022 on this 1 day timeframe. Be on the lookout for when the MACD Line crosses back above the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone.
Taking a quick look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that momentum at the moment is slightly downwards. Not that the RSI (Purple Line) is still ABOVE its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) which is a sign of upwards momentum strength at the moment. Be on the lookout just incase the RSI (Purple Line) drops more and crosses back below its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line).
MATIC needs to stay above the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and the LSMA indicator for any longterm upwards momentum to be sustainable.
If BTC takes another nose dive and causes MATIC to drop downwards out of the Ascending Triangle Pattern then MATIC may drop to its VPVR POC around $0.83 so we need to keep an eye on what BTC is doing as BTC still controls the market direction.
If the Ascending Triangle Pattern stays valid, then MATIC may be in for a big move up to possibly well above $10 if it successfully breaks back above the Ascending Triangle Resistance line.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
ADA/USDHere is a closer look at this ADA 1 day Binance chart.
As you can see, ADA is in a massive Descending Triangle Pattern. A Descending Triangle Pattern is potentially a Bearish Continuation Pattern.
Note that ADA is still ABOVE its Longterm Pitchfork Median Line on this 1 day timeframe.
ADA is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1 day timeframe. Note that the Upper and Lower Bands are starting to contract and pinch inwards.
At the moment ADA is above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 day timeframe.
Volume is still low on this Binance daily chart and note that the last 13x daily Volume Bars have been below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average.
At the moment ADA is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 12x daily candles that i have selected.
If we zoom in on the chart, at the moment ADA is below its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range.
If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is very weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 16.185 and dropping below the 20 Threshold and under its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 18.559. Positive Momentum has increased with the +DI (Green Line) dropping slightly to 21.931. Negative Momentum has decreased with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 20.268. We need the +DI (Green line) to stay above the -DI (Red Line) and move further apart.
Taking a quick look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is indicating momentum is upwards at the moment and it is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line) but note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still under the 0.0 Base Line in the Negative Zone. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been above the 0.0 Base Line in the Positive Zone since 20th Jan 2022 on this 1 day timeframe.
Taking a quick look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that momentum is downwards art the moment and note that the RSI (Purple Line) is still above its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) but because momentum is downwards we need to keep an eye on the RSI (Purple Line) the close it gets to its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line).
At the moment i still think it's Sideways at best or Downwards at worst for ADA. For any longterm recovery to become sustainable for ADA, we need ADA to make a higher high and CLOSE a daily candle ABOVE the $1.63 blue highlighted area.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
DJI - longterm Pitchfork Pattern is still valid since July 1932With all this talk about another great depression like stock market crash happening in the very near future, i thought i’d join the fun and take a look and analyse the DJI Monthly Chart.
Using an extended Pitchfork Pattern (A,B,C), we can clearly see that the DJI has been in an Upwards Pitchfork Pattern since the Month of the 1st July 1932.
Chart wise, you can see The Wall Street Crash of 1929 which started the Month of the 2nd September 1929 and ended the Month of the 1st July 1932. History says the crash ended on 13th Nov 1929 but chart wise it didn’t, because the bottom turned out to be around $40 on the 1st July 1932 not $195 on the 13th Nov 1929.
Chart wise, the 2020 Covid-19 crash started in the Month of 2nd Jan 2020 with what’s looks like a Monthly Shooting Star Candle which then lead to 2 more Bearish Monthly Candles. The Candle from the Month of 2nd March wicked all the way down to the depths of hell & found strong support from its Upper Yellow Pitchfork Support Line, the price then managed to close back above its Upper Light Green Pitchfork Support Line.
Note that the last time the DJI closed a Monthly Candle below its Pitchfork Median Line was the Month of the 2nd Feb 2009. The Price eventually made it its way back ABOVE its Pitchfork Median Line on the month of the 1st April 2009.
At the moment, DJI has found strong resistance from its Upper Light Blue Pitchfork Resistance Line. What is interesting is that this Pitchfork Resistance Line served as strong resistance from the Month of the 3rd May 1999 - 3rd Jan 2000, note that the DJI failed to close a Monthly candle above this level and has not closed a Monthly candle above this Pitchfork Resistance Line since the Month of the 2nd Sept 1929.
If we take a look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is curving downwards and if it crosses back under the Signal Line (Orange Line) then that will be a potential sell signal on this 1 Month timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line since the Month of 1st Sept 2010.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Positive Momentum has weakened on this 1 Month timeframe with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 23.82 and Negative Momentum has risen with the -DI (Red Line) at 14.94. Note that the Trend Strength is sideways with the ADX (Orange Line) at 21.93 and still above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 21.05. If the -DI (Red Line) ever crosses back ABOVE the +DI (Green Line) then that would mean that Negative Momentum has become DOMINANT over Positive Momentum on this 1 Month timeframe.
If we look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that the RSI (Purple Line) has dropped out of the Overbought Zone at the moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is also below its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) which is a sign of weakness for Positive Momentum on this 1 Month timeframe.
Note that we also have DIVERGANCE with the Price and the RSI on this 1 Month timeframe.
The Wall Street Crash of 1929 dropped to around -89%. A drop of -89% from the price level at the moment would take DJI Price to around $3,800.
The Covid-19 Crash of 2020 dropped to around -38%. A drop of -38% from the price level at the moment would take the DJI Price to around $21,550.
Here is a closer look at this 1 Month chart.
Note that if DJI does drop massively again then it has potentially 4 Pitchfork Support Levels to support it before it reaches the Pitchfork Median Line.
Note that the Upper Dark Green Pitchfork Support Line will be a crucial level to watch as it has acted as support & resistance on multiple occasions over the last 121 years.
I hope this post has been helpful with your trading ;-)
On a funny note, some may wonder whether or not the 1929 crash happened to mark the conception of a certain individual called Warren Buffett ;-)
BTC - Let's have a look at the Weekly ChartBTC - let’s have a look at the 1 week chart for a change:
Note that BTC is still above its 50MA for this 1W timeframe.
BTC is still above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1W timeframe. Note that the Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands are looking very close to expanding, at the moment, if they do expand, this would be expansion for the downside.
BTC is still in its longterm upwards Pitchfork Pattern (A,B,C). Note that BTC has found some support from its Pitchfork Median Line. A weekly CLOSE ABOVE this level is crucial if you are waiting to go LONG. A CLOSE BELOW this level will be great if you are waiting to go SHORT.
The week hasn’t finished yet but its very likely that BTC will close this weekly candle as a massive Bearish Engulfing Candle. Note that it is a very similar looking candle to the week of 10th May which, if true, may lead to further drops.
BTC is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) level on this 1W timeframe.
BTC is back below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 8 weekly candles that i have selected. It is very crucial that BTC CLOSES a weekly candle ABOVE this POC.
Note that Volume is still relatively low and note that the Volume Bars have not been above its Volume 20 Period MA since the week of the 17th May.
I have added the crucial support and resistance areas on this weekly chart, you can clearly see that BTC is sandwiched in between a rock and a hard place.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating the overall trend strength has weakened dramatically on this 1W timeframe. The ADX (Orange Line) has dropped to 27.18 and is below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 34.01. The +DI (Green Line) is at 19.82 and the -DI (Red Line) is at 18.80. At the moment, Positive Momentum is still dominant on this 1W timeframe, but note that the +DI (Green line) is pointing downwards and the -DI (Red Line) is pointing upwards, this indicates we may see Negative Momentum become dominant on this 1W timeframe if the +DI (Green Line) crosses back UNDER the -DI (Red Line).
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is actually indicating that BTC is still being Accumulated with the CMF (Green Line) in the accumulation zone at 0.12. Note that we have accumulation strength because the CMF (Green Line) is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) which is at -0.01 for this 1W timeframe.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating momentum is downwards on this 1W timeframe at the moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) has crossed back UNDER its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) which is a sign of strong Negative Momentum on the 1W timeframe.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is crucial to watch because if you are LONG then you don't want the MACD Line (Blue Line) to cross back UNDER the Signal Line (Orange Line) for this 1W timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above the Signal Line (Orange Line) and is also still in the positive zone for this 1W timeframe.
For this 1W timeframe, the support area at $42,721 - $40,670 is absolutely crucial to CLOSE a weekly candle ABOVE. Note that this level also has the Pitchfork Median Line running through it as well as the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 period SMA. If those levels fail as support then BTC will head to the LSMA and then 50MA level.
If we do get an influx of upwards momentum, we STILL need to keep an eye on how this weekly candle CLOSES, because the Bearish Engulfing Candle could become a potential Hanging Man Candle, which would be potentially more devastating. Note that CONFIRMATION on what candle this weekly candle becomes and what direction, will be CONFIRMED on how the NEXT weekly candle ends.
As with everything, depending on what timeframe you are in be it short-term, mid-term or longterm, confirmation is key. It should be a very interesting couple of days.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
Notes for those who don’t know:
LSMA = Black Squiggly Line on chart
50MA = Blue Squiggly Line on Chart
Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on Chart
Pitchfork Pattern = A,B,C Pattern on Chart
VPFR POC = Short Horizontal Red Line on Chart
Volume Bar = Bottom of Chart
Volume 20 Period MA = Orange Line Going through volume Bars on Chart
Support & Resistance Areas = Horizontal Parallel Black Lines with Yellow Shading on Chart
BTC - Let's have a look at the Daily ChartBTC Update:
BTC has finally made it above its major resistance area and turned that level into support.
BTC is back below its Pitchfork (A,B,C) Median Line.
BTC is still above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that Volatility is actually still low on this 1D timeframe because we do not yet have expansion of the Upper and lower Bollinger Bands. Note that the Upper Band is starting to point Downwards and the Lower Band is still moving upwards indicating we may see a Bollinger Bands Pinch on this 1D timeframe.
At the moment of posting this, BTC has dropped below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA). A close above this level is crucial. A close below the LSMA will probably mean a drop back into the support area and possibly the BB Middle Band Basis.
Using the 20,60,120,30 settings for the Ichimoku Cloud, note that we now have a Cloud (Kumo) Twist into a new Bullish Green Cloud for this 1D timeframe.
Note that BTC is still above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 7 daily candles i have selected.
BTC is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range.
Note that Volume today is still low and the Volume Bar is still under its Volume 20 Period Moving Average, that could change as the day ticks on.
Using Simple Moving Averages, note that the 50MA is still rising and it looks like we may very soon see a 50MA cross back over and above the 200MA creating a GOLDEN CROSS for this 1D timeframe.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating the trend strength has increased with the ADX (Orange Line) at 28.17 heading sideways but very close to crossing over and above its 9 Period EMA (Black line) which is at 28.20. The +DI (Green Line) has dropped to 23.21 and the -DI (Red Line) has increased to 11.47 at the moment. This means that Positive momentum has dropped and Negative momentum has increased on this 1D timeframe. Note however that there is still a big gap between the +DI (Green Line) and -DI (Red Line) so the price would have to drop substantially for Negative momentum to become dominant on this 1D timeframe.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating momentum is downwards on this 1D timeframe at the moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is back below its 9 Period EMA (Red Line) indicating increased strength for negative momentum at the moment.
So key levels to watch for a daily close ABOVE or BELOW on this 1D timeframe are the LSMA, VPFR POC and the Upper Support Zone. The Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis becomes the next crucial level to watch if those previous levels mentioned fails as support.
I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing.
Notes for those who don’t know:
LSMA = Black Squiggly Line on chart
50MA = Yellow Squiggly Line on Chart
200MA = Red Squiggly Line on Chart
Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on Chart
Pitchfork = A,B,C Pattern on Chart
Ichimoku Cloud = Red and Green Cloud Pattern on Chart
VPVR POC = Long Horizontal Red Line on Chart
VPFR POC = Short Horizontal Red Line on Chart
Volume Bar = Bottom of Chart
Volume 20 Period MA = Black Line Going through volume Bars
Support Areas = Horizontal Parallel Black Lines with Yellow Shading
BTC - could we soon witness a GOLDEN CROSS?BTC Update:
BTC is still safely above its 50MA and its 200MA. Note that the 50MA is pointing upwards and the 200MA is pointing sideways. If the support levels hold strong and if and when BTC is able to push above the Upper Resistance Zone and the Pitchfork Median Line then........ we will witness a GOLDEN CROSS on this 1D timeframe.
BTC is back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1D timeframe.
Note that the Upper Band is starting to point downwards and the lower Band is pointing upwards indicating volatility has slowed on this 1D timeframe. With this consolidation, we are seeing the start of a potential Bollinger Band Pinch, which could lead to a big volatility induced move.
BTC has found some resistance from its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA). Note that a daily close ABOVE the LSMA is a potential buy signal.
BTC is above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range.
At the moment, BTC is fighting to stay above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) the the fixed range of 14 daily candles that I’ve selected.
Volume has increased and note that yesterday and today’s volume Bar are above its Volume 20 Period Moving Average.
BTC is still in an Upwards Pitchfork Pattern (A,B,C). Note that BTC has crossed under the Pitchfork Median Line (Middle Dashed Line). The Pitchfork Median Line is a crucial level to cross and close back above.
BTC has found strong resistance from its Upper Resistance Area of $50,604 - $49,087.
BTC has now found strong support from its new Support Area of $46,693 - $46,231.
If i just use the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) without the other IC indicatiors, you can clearly see that BTC has found VERY STRONG support from the Ichimoku Cloud Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) support Level. This level also coincides with the new Support Area I’ve added.
If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see the trend strength has dropped with the ADX (Orange Line) at 26.50 and still under its 9 Period EMA which is at 31.22. The +DI (Green Line) is pointing upwards at 18.46 and the -DI (Red Line) is pointing downwards at 14.86. This means that while the Trend strength has dropped, Positive Momentum has actually increased and Negative Momentum has decreased. The further the +DI (Green Line) gets away from the -DI (Red Line) the better.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating Momentum is upwards at the Moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is pointing upwards and looking like it may cross back above its 9 Period EMA (Red Line), this will be a good sign of upwards momentum strength for this 1D timeframe if that happens. Note that the RSI still has plenty of room to move up before becoming overbought on this 1D timeframe.
If you are uncertain to go long, then confirmation will be when BTC successfully crosses ABOVE and CLOSES a daily candle ABOVE the Upper Resistance Area. If you are uncertain to go short, then you would wait for BTC to successfully break UNDER and CLOSE a daily candle UNDER the New Support Area and the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) support Level.
Remember that a close ABOVE the LSMA is also a potential BUY signal for this indicator. Full Bullish Confirmation on this 1D Timeframe will be when the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) crosses back above the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) cloud support creating a Cloud (Kumo) Twist a new Bullish Green Cloud for this 1D timeframe.
Also, don't forget to get your cameras ready for when that 50MA & 200MA Golden Cross happens. ;-)
I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing..... cause it does take a while to type it all up :-)
Notes for those that don’t know:
50MA = Yellow Squiggly Line on chart
200MA = Red Squiggly Line on chart
LSMA = Black Squiggly Line on chart
Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on chart on chart
Ichimoku Cloud = Red and Green fluffy Cloud on chart
Pitchfork = A,B,C Lines on chart
VPVR POC = Long Horizontal Red Line on chart
VPFR POC = Short Horizontal Red Line on chart
Volume Bars = Bottom of Chart
Volume Moving Average = Black Line going through Volume Bars
Support and Resistance Areas = Horizontal Black Lines with Yellow Shading
Quick VTHO 1D updateQuick VTHO 1D chart update:
VTHO is still in the Equilibrium Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud for this 1D timeframe.
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating the mid-point of the short-term momentum is slightly upwards.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the mid-point of the mid-term momentum is sideways.
The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating momentum is upwards at the moment.
VTHO has found support from its Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) and has bounce off this level twice over the last 3 days.
VTHO has found some resistance from its Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) level.
VTHO is still in its triangle pattern walking downwards, keep an eye on if the breakout is upwards or downwards. We may see VTHO head to its triangle pattern APEX before we see a breakout. A successful break ABOVE the descending resistance line and re-test as support is crucial.
Volume is still relatively low and VTHO is below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average. It’s a good thing that this period of downwards movement over the last couple of days has not been on huge volume.
VTHO is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range.
VTHO is still below its Volume Profile Fixed Range point of Control, (VPFR POC) for the fixed range i have selected.
VTHO is still below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) if you are waiting for LONG confirmation then a close above the LSMA and successful retest of it as support is crucial.
VTHO is above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA at the moment. A daily close ABOVE this & successful re-test as support is crucial for renewed upwards momentum.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing the trend strength has weakened with the ADX (Orange Line) at 44.63 crossing under its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 48.63. The +DI (Green Line) has dropped to 22.87 and the -Di (Red Line) is sideways at 16.81. This indicates that while we have seen a drop in Positive Momentum, Negative Momentum has not increased but is sideways at the moment.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is confirming that momentum is upwards at the moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is still below its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line), a cross back above the 9 Period EMA will be a sign of renewed upwards momentum strength. Note that VTHO has room to move up on this 1D timeframe before it becomes overbought.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BTC update - On possibly the sexiest 1D chart of the evening ;-)Lets have a look at the BTC 1D chart using the Ichimoku Cloud with the 20,60,120,30 settings and a few other indicators and squiggly lines:
BTC is in the Bullish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud for this 1D timeframe. BTC has closed 4 daily candles within the Bullish Zone for this 1D timeframe.
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the mid point of the sort-term momentum is sideways.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the mid point of the mid-term momentum is sideways.
The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating momentum is downwards at the moment. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still safely above the Price from 30 Periods ago.
Note that the gap between the Ichimoku Cloud Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) and Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) has shrunk so if BTC stays in the Bullish Zone, we may eventually get a cloud (Kumo) Twist into a new Bullish Green Cloud for this 1D Timeframe.
BTC is still above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1D timeframe. Note that the Upper Band is moving downwards and the Lower Band is moving upwards indicating we may see some consolidation and a drop to the Middle Band Basis.
BTC found strong resistance and is below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) level. A candle close below the LSMA is a possible SELL signal for traders who use this indicator. A candle close above the LSMA is a BUY signal.
Note that BTC is still above its 50EMA for this 1D timeframe and now is quite a distance safely away from it.
BTC is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range i have selected.
BTC is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range.
Note that volume has increased but the volume Bars are still under its Volume 20 Period Moving Average.
I have added a few potential support zone areas just incase BTC shits the bed ;-). I could add more but didn’t want to make this chart to messy ;-). I have also added a Zone where BTC has found repeated resistance, so a close above this level is crucial for continued upwards momentum.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating the trend straight has dropped slightly with the ADX (Orange Line) at 37.42 but still above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 36.71. The +DI (Green Line) has dropped to 27.02 and the -DI (Red Line) has risen to 13.70. This is indicating a decrease in Positive Momentum and an increase in Negative Momentum. Note that the +DI (fGreen line) is still above the -DI (Red Line). If the ADX (Orange Line) crosses back under the 9 Period EMA (Black line) then this could lead to a further drop on this 1D timeframe. On the plus side, we still do have some distance separating the +DI (Green Line) and -DI (Red Line) which is a good thing.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating momentum is downwards at the moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is below its 9 Period EMA (Red Line) which is a sign of strength for downwards momentum. On the plus side, the RSI is a fast reacting indicator so it does mean that BTC still has room to move up before becoming Overbought on this 1D timeframe.
A very good sign will be if BTC closes this daily candle above the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) cloud support in the Bullish Zone. A close below the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) cloud support in the Equilibrium Zone will most likely lead to further drops to the below support zones, so it’s crucial for BTC to stay above and more importantly CLOSE ABOVE this level. Full Bullish Confirmation for this 1D timeframe will be when the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) crosses back above the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) level creating a Cloud (Kumo) Twist into new Bullish Green Cloud for this 1D timeframe.
Again my post are not price prediction post but more educational about what BTC has above and below it & hopefully this post has explained what the various indicator that i have used are actually indicating.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
VTHO - 1D Chart with the Ichimoku CloudVTHO 1D chart update using the Ichimoku Cloud with the 20,60,120,30 settings:
Note that VTHO is in the Ichimoku Cloud Equilibrium Zone for this 1D timeframe.
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the mid point of the short-term momentum is sideways.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the mid point of the mid-term momentum is sideways.
The Ichimoku cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that the momentum at the moment is downwards. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still above the candle from 30 periods ago.
VTHO has found some support from around its Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) level for this 1D timeframe. A good sign will be if VTHO manages to stay above & close a daily candle above this level.
Note that VTHO has dropped below its Volume Profile Fixed range Point of Control (VPFR POC) that i have selected on this chart.
VTHO is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range.
Note that Volume is still very low on this finance chart and the last 6 Volume Bars have been below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average.
VTHO is still above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA, VTHO may find support at this level if the Conversion line (Tenkan Sen) support fails.
VTHO had dropped below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) 3 days ago which is a sell signal for most traders who use this indicator. If you are LONG, then for this indicator confirmation of renewed upwards momentum will be when VTHO closes a daily candle back above the LSMA.
VTHO has found resistance from its descending resistance line. A close above this and successfully retest as support is crucial for continued upwards momentum.
The Average Directional index (ADX DI) is showing the trend strength has dipped with the ADX (Orange Line) at 51.90 but note its still above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 50.72. The +DI (Green Line) has dipped to 28.34 and the -DI (Red Line) has risen to 14.12, this indicates that Positive Momentum has dropped and Negative Momentum has increased. If the ADX (Orange Line) crosses back under the 9 Period EMA (Black line) then we may see a bigger drop in price for this 1D timeframe. What we don't want to happen is the +DI (Green Line) to cross back under the -DI (Red Line), that would mean that Negative Momentum has completely overtaken Positive Momentum for this 1D timeframe.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating momentum is downwards at the moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) has dropped below its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) this is an indication downwards momentum strength.
If you are LONG and using this method, full bullish confirmation for this 1D timeframe will be when the Ichimoku Cloud Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) crosses back over and above the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) level creating a new Bullish Green Cloud (Kumo) for this 1D timeframe.
If the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) fails as support then VTHO has the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA, the Base Line (Kijun Sen) as well as its Ascending Support Line as potential support levels.
As always we have to keep an eye on what BTC is doing but looking at this analysis, there could be some good opportunities to acquire more VTHO at a much cheaper price.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
VeChain - 1D chart updateVeChain 1D chart update using the 20,60,120,30 Ichimoku Cloud Settings:
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the mid point of the short-term momentum is sideways.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the mid point of the mid-term momentum is sideways.
The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating momentum at the moment is upwards. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is way above the price from 30 Periods ago.
Note that VET is inside the Ichimoku Cloud Equilibrium Zone for this 1D timeframe.
VET is above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this chart’s visible range.
VET is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for this chart’s fixed range i have selected.
Volume is still relatively low for this 1D timeframe and notice that the last 4 Volume Bars have been below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average.
Note that VET is still safely above its longterm upwards Trend-line.
VET is in a triangle pattern so be on the lookout for which direction VET may break out from, at the moment it looks like VET will break upwards. VET has found some resistance from its triangle descending line.
VET is above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1D timeframe. Note that the Lower BB is moving upwards and the Upper BB is moving sideways, this shows me that we may see a bit of consolidation and also that VET still has a lot room to move up before volatility becomes overextended.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating the trend is sideways with the ADX (Orange Line) at 46.99 and still above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 46.47. The +DI (Green Line) is sideways at 23.03 and the -DI (Red Line) is at 8.41. Note that the +DI (Green Line) is sideways and the -DI (Red Line) is pointing downwards, this indicates that while Positive Momentum is sideways, Negative Momentum has dropped for this 1D timeframe. Please be aware that if the ADX (Orange Line) drops below the 9 Period EMA (Black Line) then we will may see a price drop on this 1D timeframe.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also indicating momentum is upwards at the moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) has just crossed back above its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) which is a good sign of upwards strength for this 1D timeframe. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) still has room to move up before entering the Overbought Zone on this 1D timeframe. Note that being in the Overbought Zone doesn't mean the price will drop as the RSI (Purple Line) can go up, down and also range sideways in the Overbought Zone for a prolonged period of time.
If you are LONG and need to wait for confirmation of renewed upwards momentum then a successful close above the Potential Resistance Line and retest of that as support is crucial. If you use the Ichimoku Cloud System as your confirmation then you will wait for the price to break above the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) resistance into the Bullish Zone and a successful retest of the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) as support, FULL Bullish Confirmation for this 1D timeframe will be when the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) crosses back above the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) creating a new Bullish Green Cloud (Kumo) for this 1D timeframe.
Using this system I’ve posted, if VET cannot make it above its Resistance Area and drops, it will find potential support from its Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen), Base Line (Kijun Sen), its Potential Support Area and also the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) support level. There are other timeframes with many other support & resistance levels to take into account but I’m just focusing on the 1D timeframe for this post.
This chart may seem messy to some and there is a lot going on, but as I’ve stated before, my charts are more TA educational instead of price predication, so hopefully I’ve succeeded in explaining to you what information each indicator is actually showing us.
All in all, depending on what BTC does, VeChain is looking really good.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
Quick and Dirty BTC updateBTC is still above its upwards Pitchfork Median Line (A,B,C) on this 1D timeframe.
BTC is still above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1D timeframe.
Note that the 50EMA (Yellow Line) has finally crossed back above the 200EMA (Red Line) on this 1D timeframe.
BTC has found some resistance at its Least Squares Moving Average level (LSMA) (White Line). For people who use this indicator, a candle close above the LSMA is a potential buy signal.
Volume is still relatively low and note that todays Volume Bar is below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average (Orange Line) at the moment.
Here is a closer look at this chart:
Using the Ichimoku Cloud settings of 20,60,120,30:
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) (Blue Line) is indicating the mid point of the short-term momentum is sideways.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) (Orange Line) is indicating the mid point of the mid-term momentum is sideways.
The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chiikou Span) (Green Line) is indicating momentum is upwards at the moment.
Note that BTC has found some support from its Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) Cloud support.
Note that gap between the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) levels has shrunk. Bullish confirmation for this 1D timeframe will be when the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) crosses back over the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) creating a new Bullish Green Cloud (Kumo).
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating the trend strength has dropped slightly and is moving sideways with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 35.42 dropping under its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 35.72. The +DI (Green Line) is pointing upwards at 24.42 and the -DI (Red Line) is pointing slightly downwards at 11.96. This indicates that positive momentum has increased and negative momentum has decreased on this 1D timeframe.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating momentum is upwards at the moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) has crossed back above its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) indicating upwards strength. Note that the RSI still has room to move up before becoming overbought on this 1D timeframe.
If you are still waiting for sub $20K, you might be in for a very long wait especially if BTC creates a new Bullish Green Cloud for this 1D timeframe.
I hope tis is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
VTHO 4hr chart updateQuick VTHO 4hr chart update:
After yesterday’s massive price rise, VTHO has dropped back under the Upper Bollinger Band which should come as a surprise after such a large rise.
Note that we have had an extreme expansion on the Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands so a BB contraction and price dip is a possibility and should not come as a surprise.
VTHO is back below its Pitchfork Median Line for this 4hr timeframe.
VTHO is still above its 50EMA (Yellow Line) for this 4hr timeframe.
VTHO is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (White Line).
VTHO has found some resistance from Upper Bollinger Band. Note that VTHO is safely above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA.
VTHO is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range.
At the moment of typing this, VTHO is below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range i have selected.
VTHO has closed 7x 4hr Volume Bars above its Volume 20 Period Moving Average and looks like it will close a 8th Volume Bar above it.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing that the trend strength is still strong with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 56.58 and still above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 48.46. The +DI (Green Line) has dropped to 39.65 indicating positive momentum has dropped for this 4hr timeframe, but note that the -DI (Red Line) has also dropped to 2.36 indicating negative momentum has also dropped for this 4hr timeframe. Note that the -DI (Red Line) is starting to curve sideways.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating that momentum is downwards at the moment, note that the RSI (Purple Line) is below its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) which is a sign weakness for upwards momentum. Renewed upwards momentum will be confirmed when the RSI (Purple Line) cross back above the 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) for this 4hr timeframe. The RSI (purple Line) has just dropped out of the Overbought Zone.
Here is a closer look at this 4hr timeframe.
We could see VTHO range sideways within a range for a few hours/days which would bring the Lower Bollinger Band Upwards, or we could see VTHO drop to its LSMA or 50EMA level as a major support. If the 50EMA fails as support, VTHO could drop back to its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 period SMA. If you are waiting for confirmation to place a long, a successfully break ABOVE the Pitchfork Median Line and successful RETEST of that level as support is key, but note that may change as there might be better lower levels to go long if VTHO dips more.
Note that the Pitchfork Hagopian Line has acted as very strong support over the last few weeks so this level is crucial for VTHO stop stay above on this 4hr timeframe.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hold-ing.
VeChain quick and dirty 4hr chart updateVeChain is still above its Pitchfork Median Line for this 4hr timeframe.
VeChain is still above its 50EMA (Yellow Line) for this 4hr timeframe.
VeChain has found some resistance from its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (White Line). If you are waiting for positive confirmation for this indictor, a successful 4hr candle close ABOVE and RETEST off this indicator as support is a potential buy signal for traders who use this indicator.
VeChain had dipped in and out of its support zone and found strong support from its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and is now back above its VPFR POC.
VeChain is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range.
VeChain is back above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range i have selected.
VeChain has closed 7x 4hr Volume Bars above its Volume 20 Period Moving Average.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing that the trend strength had dropped with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 28.47 and is below its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 30.22. The +DI (Green Line) has dropped to 18.47 indicating positive momentum has dropped for this 4hr timeframe, the -DI (Red Line) has also dropped to 14.87 indicating negative momentum has also dropped for this 4hr timeframe. There will be more downwards momentum if the +DI (Green line) crosses back under the -DI (Red Line) so its best to keep an eye on this.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating that momentum is upwards at the moment but note that the RSI (Purple Line) is under its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) which is a sign weakness for upwards momentum. Renewed upwards momentum will be confirmed when the RSI (Purple Line) crosses back above the 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) for this 4hr timeframe.
Here is a closer look at this 4hr chart with the LSMA, VPFR levels and the Support Zone I've selected:
After last nights dip, VeChain still made a higher low so we will have to see is VeChain can continue to make higher highs and higher lows and as always wee need to keep an eye on what uncle BTC is doing.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hold-ing.
So what's BTC sayingHere's a quick BTC 1D chart update:
The BTC Daily Chart is looking really good. BTC is still above its 50EMA and its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA.
BTC is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range (VPFR) Point of Control (POC) for the fixed range i have selected.
BTC is above its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this chart’s visible range.
Volume has dropped slightly and note that yesterday’s daily Volume Bar closed below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average.
Nota that BTC has managed to close 6 daily candles above its Pitchfork Median Line and looks like it will make it 7 daily candles.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating Positive Momentum has dipped slightly with the +DI (Green Line) at 28.64 but note that negative momentum is also pointing downwards with the -DI (Red Line) at 9.15. The ADX is showing a strong trend with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 36.36 which is still above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 33.06.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing momentum is upwards at the moment and note that the RSI (Purple Line) is above its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) indicating upwards momentum is strong. The RSI is in the Overbought Zone but note that being in the Overbought Zone doesn't mean BTC will drop because the RSI can range sideways in the Overbought Zone for a prolonged period of time or go up further.
Worthy of note is the fact that BTC at 1am on the 9th August, CLOSED a Weekly Candle ABOVE its Sideways Channel.
Note that the Bollinger Bands Upper and Lower Bands are NOT over extended indicating that BTC still has volatility room to move either UP or DOWN before becoming overextended on this 1D timeframe.
We could see BTC range sideways for a couple of days within a range, but if BTC does dip, it may find support from its Pitchfork Median Line or at around $42,698 range which where its Potential Support Range located.
All in all, despite the many prophets of doom and soothsayers on TradingView, $20K didn’t happen! So well done if you managed to stock up on BTC at around $29K.
I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing.
Quick ADA 4hr Chart UpdateADA 4hr Update:
ADA is still safely above its 50EMA for this 4hr timeframe.
ADA is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range (VPFR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts fixed range i have selected.
ADA is above its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts visible range.
Note that the last 10x 4hr Volume Bars have been above its Volume 20 Moving Average.
ADA is above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that we have had extreme expansion on the Upper and Lower Bands so a re-trace back would not be unexpected.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing strong positive momentum with the +DI (Green Line) at 42.44 and the -DI (Red Line) at 5.99. The ADX is showing a strong trend with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 40.65 and above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 32.17. The +DI (Green Line) is showing that positive Momentum has dropped but note that the -DI (Red Line) is showing that Negative Momentum has also dropped.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating strong upwards momentum and note that the RSI (Purple Line) is in the Overbought Zone. Being in the Overbought Zone does not mean that ADA will drop as the RSI (Purple Line) can range sideways within the Overbought Zone for a prolonged period of time. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is above its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) indicating upwards momentum is strong at the moment.
A 4hr candle close above the Pitchfork Median Line and re-test of that level as support is crucial for continued upwards momentum. Note that ADA is also walking up the Upper Bollinger Band, we may see more upwards momentum but because of the extreme BB expansion a slight re-trace back should not be unexpected. If ADA does re-trace backwards, it could drop to its Pitchfork (A,B,C) Lower Green Support Line or lower to it's Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA as potential support levels, but at the moment it looks like ADA might continue walking up the upper band or even consolidate sideways for a few hours bringing the Lower Bollinger Band upwards. As always, we also need to keep an eye or 2 what BTC is doing & may potentially do.
Apologies for the lack of post, it’s been a busy time. I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hold-ing.