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Rsi_overbought

Price cannot trend forever! CAJPY analysisHey guys, this pair didn't take breaks, it's skyrocketed from 81 to 89 in less than a month. It implies of obviously a great disparity between sellers and buyers, but i think this could be at the end point. Looking left, this level of resistance is the last major one: it's also a weekly level and price always respected it in the recent past. This makes me think we could see a depreciation at this level, even though the trend will still remain bullish. I'm going to take a look at lower timeframes in order to decide whether to enter or not. Keep you updated! If you have questions, or if you want to share your idea, feel free to comment below. Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
Short
by Roker1
Pay attention to this! CAJPY Structure zoneHey guys, this is a pair on my radar this week, price has been in a heavy uptrend and now has reached a possible reversal zone (because of daily structure). On lower timeframes there's no confirmation yet, but let's see how it plays out. Very overbought condition makes me think we could see a reversal right here. Let's see. If you have questions or you want to share your view, feel free to comment below. Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
Short
by Roker1
4
Heed this! Reversal Zone on CADJPYHey guys, this is a pair on my radar this week, price has been in a heavy uptrend and now has reached a possible reversal zone (because of daily structure). On lower timeframes there's no confirmation yet, but let's see how it plays out. Very overbought condition makes me think we could see a reversal right here. Let's see. If you have questions or you want to share your view, feel free to comment below. Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
Short
by Roker1
2
Harmonic Pattern on Pound!Hey guys, here you can see a Bat Pattern that's ready to complete on 4hr chart. Its completion point comes right at a key level of daily structure that could push prices lower. RSI is near to overbought condition and a psychological level lies right there. You can either choose to take the bat pattern at the D point or wait for price to come to the yellow box and then wait for an additional confirmation to sell. I'm taking the Bat, with stops above X, and targets as usual. If you have questions or ideas, feel free to write below. Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
Short
by Roker1
3
Potential Conter Trade on EURUSDEURUSD made another retest since price failed to close higher above current NSH, but this gave is a potential counter trading opportunity. Price was stop by the current structure level and RSI is in OB condition. My entry reason will be a Double Top - since we have the left already. RSI is in OB, it's almost certain that market will put a bearish RSI Divergence :) Stops above the Double Top setup, targets can be either fibs, 0.382 from the current swing move, or previous structure to the left, which aligns perfectly with 0.618 level. Good Luck!
Short
by Aleksandar_Rose
Overbought Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Set To Drop 4%Johnson & Johnson has been in a bullish trend since 2009. On a few occasions through this trend, three of the technical indicators discussed below are at similar or higher levels, than they are now. These instances have resulted in short-term losses for the stock. I have also conducted further analysis based on other historical information and readings that confirm a pending drop for Johnson & Johnson which are laid out below. When we look at technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 86.2704. RSI tends to determine trends, momentum, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. Currently the RSI is well overbought and it one of its highest levels ever recorded for this stock. The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.3091 and the negative is at 0.5914. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The positive value is relatively high and is beginning to slow its upward movement. This slowing momentum is an additional signal the stock should turn downward soon. The stochastic oscillator K value is 93.2126 and D value is 92.3311. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The stochastic is very overbought. It cannot sit at this level much longer. Once the K value crosses below the D, the stock should begin to drop. SPECIFIC ANALYSIS I have created an algorithm (called SAG gauge) which signals when stocks are truly overbought and oversold. The algorithm indicates when a particular stock meets multiple criteria which culminates in an oversold or overbought alert. That signal will occur within the next few days once the stock sees two days of consecutive drops. Because this signal will go off after continued drops, now is the best time to enter a position and take greater advantage of the pending downward movement. Upon back-testing this indicator, it has signaled overbought status 139 times dating back to 1970. Eighty percent of the time the stock drops at least 1% over the following 30 trading days after the indicator date. Seventy percent of the time, the stock drops 2% and fifty percent of the time drops 4%. In the history of this stock, it always drops a minimum of 4.52% when the positive VI is at or above its current level at the same time the RSI is at or above its current level. This additional study requires the stochastic to be overbought as it is today too. Since this current bull began in 2008-2009, the RSI has never reached it current level. I do not like only having one data point to base projections from, however, multiple signals are at play and support a drop from the stock's current level. The stock is also at its long-term (since 2009) resistance line. The stock has broken above this line twice before. Both times the high of the day broke above this line, while the stock always closed below it. The exact same thing has occurred today. The median drop on those occasions was 9.83% and it occurs over an average of the following 17 trading days. The SAG, record-high RSI reading, and flirtation with the long-term resistance line all point to downward movement for JNJ. Considering the RSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction favors a move to the downside. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the SAG gauge, the stock could drop at least 5% over the next 31 trading days if not sooner.
NYSE:JNJShort
by StockSignaler
Marsh & McLennan (MMC) To Drop On Next Two Day PullbackMarsh & McLennan Companies has been in a bullish trend since 2009. It has been on a quicker and narrower bull trend since the beginning of 2016. On multiple occasions through this trend, three of the technical indicators discussed below are at similar or higher levels, than they are now. These instances have resulted in short-term losses for the stock. I have laid out the reasons and levels to which the stock may drop while it most likely continues its long-term trend. When we look at technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 81.3492. RSI tends to determine trends, momentum, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. Currently the RSI well overbought. The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.4006 and the negative is at 0.6499. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The positive value is at one of its highest levels ever. This always results in a pullback for the stock which should begin within days. The stochastic oscillator K value is 92.5655 and D value is 89.1630. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The stochastic is very overbought. It cannot sit at this level much longer. Once the K value crosses below the D, the stock should begin to drop. SPECIFIC ANALYSIS I have created an algorithm (called SAG gauge) which signals when stocks are truly overbought and oversold. The algorithm indicates when a particular stock meets multiple criteria which culminates in an oversold or overbought alert. That signal will occur within the next few days once the stock sees two days of consecutive drops. Because this signal will go off after continued drops, now is the best time to enter a position and take greater advantage of the pending downward movement. Upon back-testing this indicator, it has signaled overbought status 82 times dating back to 1987. Eighty percent of the time the stock drops at least 0.75% over the following 30 trading days after the indicator date. Seventy percent of the time, the stock drops 2% and fifty percent of the time drops 4%. In the history of this stock, it always drops a minimum of 2.55% when the positive VI is at or above its current level at the same time the RSI is at or above its current level. This additional study requires the stochastic to be overbought as it is today too. Eleven occurrences met this criteria and were studied. The median loss for the stock is 5.13% and the loss takes a median of 21 trading days to occur. The standard deviation for this first study is 2.42%. Five of these instances occurred at the same time the SAG gauge determined the stock to be overbought. The minimum loss for these instances is 3.12% and the median drop is 3.80%. The standard deviation for this second study is 1.48% The maximum movement for this stock could occur within the next 17-30 days. Considering the RSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction favors a move to the downside. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the SAG gauge, the stock could drop at least 3% over the next 37 trading days if not sooner.
NYSE:MMC
by StockSignaler
Overbought Tesoro Corp (TSO) Heading Down Soon Tesoro Corporation has been in a relatively bullish trend since 2016. On multiple occasions through this trend, three of the technical indicators discussed below are at similar or higher levels, than they are now. These instances have resulted in short-term losses for the stock. I have laid out the reasons and levels to which the stock may drop while it most likely continues its long-term trend. When we look at technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 79.4823. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. Currently the RSI extremely overbought. The RSI has not been at or above its current level since 2013, which resulted in a 8.96% loss over 7 trading days. The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.2246 and the negative is at 0.7445. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The positive value is nearing very high levels. Typically this high results in a downtrend for the stock. The stochastic oscillator K value is 82.2446 and D value is 72.1417. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The stochastic is almost fully overbought and it has been flirting with this level for a few weeks. An official downtrend should begin once the D crosses above the K value. SPECIFIC ANALYSIS I have created an algorithm (called SAG gauge) which signals when stocks are truly overbought and oversold. The algorithm indicates when a particular stock meets multiple criteria which culminates in an oversold or overbought alert. That signal will likely occur over the next few days. The only thing holding this signal from going off now is continued gains in the stock. If the stock moves up for 1-2 more days and then reverses down, the signal should occur. With the stock being extremely overbought and the chance of this indicator going off, now is the best time to enter a position and take greater advantage of the pending movement. Upon back-testing this indicator, it has signaled overbought status 89 times in the history of the stock. The stock drops at least 0.50% over the following 30 trading days after the indicator date. Eighty percent of the time, the stock drops 3.25% and seventy percent of the time drops 4.75%. Since the last time the RSI was overbought at its current level, there have been four instances the RSI was overbought, and the positive VI was above its current level at the same time. The additional study requires the stochastic to be overbought as it is today. These instances have resulted in a minimum loss of 3.90% and median loss of 8.10%. All of these statistical losses happened over very short timeframes. Anticipating the stock to continue downward movement for more than 2-3 weeks is not recommended. The maximum movement for this stock could occur within the next 10-15 days. Considering the RSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction favors a move to the downside. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the SAG gauge, the stock could drop at least 3.25% over the next 33 trading days if not sooner.
TShort
by StockSignaler
Short-Term Cycle Down For Las Vegas Sands (LVS)Las Vegas Sands Corporation has been in a bullish trend since 2015 and a tighter bullish trend since the beginning of 2017. On multiple occasions through 2015 bull, three of the technical indicators discussed below are at similar or higher levels, than they are now. These instances have resulted in short-term losses for the stock. I have laid out the reasons and levels to which the stock may drop while it most likely continues its long-term trend. When we look at technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 71.5836. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. Currently the RSI overbought and beginning to trend down. The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.2795 and the negative is at 0.5811. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. Both values are at extreme levels. The stock should begin to make its descent. The stochastic oscillator K value is 94.4195 and D value is 84.1344. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The stochastic is overbought, but the K value is yet to move below the D. The stock could see a few more days of upward movement, however, the drop on June 9 could be the beginning of complete downward movement. During the longer of the two bull trends, the stock drops at least 4% within 15 days. Everyone should be aware the movement in this case could be quick. Anticipation of further drops beyond 3-4% are risky. Considering the RSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction favors a move to the downside. Based on historical movement compared to current levels, the stock could drop at least 2% over the next 25 trading days if not sooner.
NYSE:LVS
by StockSignaler
Mastercard Always Drops When This HappensMastercard has been in a bull trend since 2013. On five occasions through this bull, three of the technical indicators discussed below are at the same or higher levels than they are now. I have laid out the reasons and levels to which the stock may dip while it most likely continues its overall bull trend. When we look at technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 76.2216. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. Currently the RSI is oversold. The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.3193 and the negative is at 0.5613. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The positive and negative values are currently at extreme levels which the stock always retreats. The stochastic oscillator K value is 95.5822 and D value is 96.0369. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The stochastic is currently overbought. The D value just crossed above the K value meaning the stock is most likely beginning its descent. Since the current long-term bull began in 2013, there have been five times when the RSI and the positive VI were at or above their current close while the stochastic was also overbought. These occasions led to a drop in the stock. The median drop occurs over 10 trading days and results in a 5.97% loss. The minimum drop on these occasions was 3.19%. Considering the RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction favors a move to the downside. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the fund could drop at least 3% over the next 25 trading days if not sooner.
NYSE:MAShort
by StockSignaler
MSFT Always Drops When This HappensMicrosoft has been in a bull trend since 2012. On six occasions through this bull, three of the technical indicators discussed below are at the same or higher levels than they are now. I have laid out the reasons and levels to which the stock may dip while it most likely continues its overall bull trend. When we take a look at technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 75. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. Currently the RSI is oversold. The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.2626 and the negative is at 0.7155. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The positive VI is currently at an extreme level to which it and the stock always retreats from. The stochastic oscillator K value is 90.1109 and D value is 87.9759. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The stochastic is currently overbought, and the stock should decline in the next few days. Since the current long-term bull began, there have been six times when the RSI and positive VI were at or above their current close price while the stochastic was overbought. These occasions led to a drop in the stock. The median drop occurs over 8.5 trading days and results in a 4.34% loss. The minimum drop on these occasions is 3.58%. Considering the RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction favors a move to the downside. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the fund could drop at least 3% over the next 28 trading days if not sooner.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by StockSignaler
Nice Structure on CHFJPY!Hi guys, after a dead calm Monday, we're now ready for the intense week ahead. Here's what i'm going to look attentively over the next week, very nice setup on the daily chart. RSI Divergence, with an Engulfing and a psychological number at a previous Structure level. This could be a reversal: bus as you may know from my previous analysis, i usually get my entries down on lower timeframes, therefore keep you eyes peeled on the hourly and 4h chart. I'll update you in case of entries. If you want to share your view, or just ask questions, feel free to comment below. Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
Short
by Roker1
7
Patient! Be patient! (Short AUDUSD)Hey guys, i've been waiting for this setup to complete for two weeks now, and finally price has reached the level that i was waiting for, and in addition to that, it also gave us some nice shorting signal. First, the yellow box represents a daily level of structure, this is a key factor in my strategy and it allows me to find reversal trades in smaller timeframes such as 4hr and 1hr; in this case in the 4hr you can see we're in overbought RSI condition, we're facing a strong psychological number along with some fibonacci ratios and we've put an engulfing candle that tells us bears could change the current 4hr trend. In the overall picture in fact, we are in a downtrend, and that's why i think the second target could go very low, depending on the future market condition. As of now, i'm waiting for a pullback in order to short, with stops above the highs, target1 at roughly 1-1,25:1 RR, target2 to be determined. If you have any questions or ideas to share, feel free to comment below. Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
Short
by Roker1
15
Patient! Be patient! (AUDUSD Short)Hey guys, i've been waiting for this setup to complete for two weeks now, and finally price has reached the level that i was waiting for, and in addition to that, it also gave us some nice shorting signal. First, the yellow box represents a daily level of structure, this is a key factor in my strategy and it allows me to find reversal trades in smaller timeframes such as 4hr and 1hr; in this case in the 4hr you can see we're in overbought RSI condition, we're facing a strong psychological number along with some fibonacci ratios and we've put an engulfing candle that tells us bears could change the current 4hr trend. In the overall picture in fact, we are in a downtrend, and that's why i think the second target could go very low, depending on the future market condition. As of now, i'm waiting for a pullback in order to short, with stops above the highs, target1 at roughly 1-1,25:1 RR, target2 to be determined. If you have any questions or ideas to share, feel free to comment below. Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
Short
by Roker1
7
Double Top at Structure! (EURAUD Analysis)Hi guys, if you take a look at the daily chart of this pair you'll notice right now we're testing a previous structure level that acted as resistance in the past. Being the case, i want to look for reversal setup down on lower timeframes, such as 1hr and 4hr. As you go down on the 4hr chart, it's apparent price is having some troubles breaking through 1,5050 level and it's forming a nice double top with RSI divergence. I would reconsider this setup when the current candle will close, then i'll decide whether to enter or not. If you want to be updated, follow me! If you have any questions, or if you want to share your view, feel free to comment below. Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
Short
by Roker1
Double Top at Resistance (EURAUD analysis)Hi guys, if you take a look at the daily chart of this pair you'll notice right now we're testing a previous structure level that acted as resistance in the past. Being the case, i want to look for reversal setup down on lower timeframes, such as 1hr and 4hr. As you go down on the 4hr chart, it's apparent price is having some troubles breaking through 1,5050 level and it's forming a nice double top with RSI divergence. I would reconsider this setup when the current candle will close, then i'll decide whether to enter or not. If you want to be updated, follow me! If you have any questions, or if you want to share your view, feel free to comment below. Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
Short
by Roker1
14