Get started

Rsi_overbought

ETHUSDT: Support at $1.3k according to the Fibonacci RetracementIn this ETH/USDT chart, we use the Fibonacci Retracement to look at resistance and support levels and try to predict what will be Ethereum's next move. We see resistance at 0.65 (price at 1.7k), 0.786 (price at 1.8k), and at the "GOLDEN POCKET". What is the Golden Pocket? It is an area between 0.618 and 0.65 where significant reversal often happens, and in Ethereum's case, we see that the price dropped all the way from 1.7k to 1.1k in only four days after reversing in the Golden Pocket. The price also received support at 0.5 (price at 1.5k), 0.382 (price at 1.4k), and especially at 0.236 (price at 1.3k). Following these observations, we can expect the current price to use 0.236 again as support before rallying at least to the nearest resistance 0.382. Also, pay attention to the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to see any overbought signals (ETH is overbought if the RSI goes above 70. The market will then correct the price shortly by bringing it down. However, if the RSI oscillates between 50 and 70, it is a sign of a healthy bullish trend). Yanak
by YanakTrading
4
RSI Trends and Extremes with Color-Fill What is the RSI Color Extremes Script? The RSI Color Extremes Script is a different take on the traditional RSI. With a shorter period setting, short-term trends and extremes can be detected. How is RSI Color Extremes different from the traditional RSI and Connors RSI (CRSI)? While the traditional RSI is 14 periods, the default setting for this script is 2 periods. The 2-period setting was borrowed from Connors RSI (CRSI) where 2 and 3 periods are used, however, the interpretation here is different. Credit goes to user fikira as this is a different take on his/her original script. The period setting is adjustable. How to use the RSI Color Extremes Script When the RSI(2) crosses above the 70 line, this is a buy signal, when it crosses below the 30 line, this is a sell signal. As the intensity of the green color increases this indicates a strengthening of an up-trend. As the intensity of the red increases, this indicates the a strengthening down-trend. Extremes of above 95, (the red dotted line), or below 5, (the green dotted line) are rarely reached and can be viewed as potential reversal points or proactive profit taking. This script can be used with other indicators (Stochastic, moving averages, or MACD for examples) for confirmation or confluence of indicators. Settings: * The default setting is 2 periods * color intensity increases as the indicator rises or falls * The period setting is adjustable. Observations: * Not all signals lead to major moves. However, all major moves give this signal. it is important to use other indicators for confirmation. * setting alerts on the indicator (crossing above 70 or crossing below 30) can be a good way to identify early potential trends. * The script works on any security and in any timeframe. The period setting is adjustable.
AMEX:UPRO
by UnderwearMillionaire
Relative Strength IndexThe Relative Strength Index is one of the most widely used tools in traders handset. The RSI is an oscillating indicator which shows when an asset might be overbought or oversold by comparing the magnitude of the assets recent gains to its recent losses. A common misconception is that the RSI draws a comparison between one security and another, but what it actually does is to measure the assets strength relative to its own price history, not that of the market. The Relative Strength Index is useful for generating signals to time entry and exit points by determining when a trend might be coming to an end or a new trend may be forming. It weighs the prices upward versus downward momentum over a certain period of time, most often 14 periods, thus showing if the asset has moved unsustainably high or low. The RSI is visualized with a single line and is bound in a range between 1 and 100, with the level of 50 being considered as a key point distinguishing an uptrend from a downtrend. You can see how the RSI is plotted on a chart on the following screenshot. J. Welles Wilder, the inventor of the Relative Strength Index, has determined also two other fundamental points of interest. He considered that an RSI above 70 indicates that the asset is overbought, while an RSI below 30 suggests an oversold situation. These levels however are not strictly set and can be manually switched, according to each traders unique trading system. Trading platforms allow you to choose any other value as overbought/oversold boundary apart from the conventional levels. How is RSI calculated? The formula is as follows: RSI = 100 – Where the RS (Relative Strength) is the division between the upward movement and the downward movement, which means that: RS = UPS / DOWNS UPS = (Sum of gains over N periods) / N DOWNS = (Sum of losses over N periods) / N As for the period used for tracking back data, Wilders original calculations included a 14-day period, which continues to be used most often even today. It however can also be a subject to change, according to each traders unique preferences. After the estimation of the first period (in our case the default 14 days), further calculations must be made in order to determine the RSI after a new closing price has occurred. This includes one of two possible averaging methods – Wilders initial and still most commonly used exponential averaging method, or a simple averaging method. We will stick to the most popular approach and use exponential smoothing. The UPS and DOWNS for a 14-day period will then look like this: UPSday n = / 14 DOWNSday n = / 14 What does the RSI tell us? here are several signals that the Relative Strength Indexs movement generates. As we said earlier, this indicator is used to determine what kind of trend we have and when it might come to an end. If the RSI moves above 50, it indicates that more market players are buying the asset than selling, thus pushing the price up. When movement crosses below 50, it suggests the opposite – more traders are selling rather than buying and the price decreases. You can see an example of an uptrend below where the RSI remains above 50 for almost the duration of the move. However, do keep in mind to use the RSI as a trend-confirmation tool, rather than just determining the trend direction all by itself. If your analysis is showing that a new trend is forming, you should check the RSI to receive additional confidence in the current market movement – if RSI is rising above 50, then you have a confirmation at hand. Logically, a downtrend has the opposite properties. Overbought and oversold levels Although trend confirmation is an important feature, the most closely watched moment is when the RSI reaches the overbought and oversold levels. They show whether a price movement has been overdone or it is sustainable, thus, indicating if a price reversal is likely or if the market should at least turn sideways and see some correction. The overbought condition suggests a high probability that there are insufficient buyers on the market to push the asset further up, thus leading to a stall in price movement. The reverse, oversold, level indicates that there are not enough sellers left on the market to further push prices lower. This means that when the RSI hits the overbought area (in our case 70 and above), it is very likely that price movement will decelerate and, maybe, reverse downward. Such a situation is pictured on the screenshot below. You can see two rebounds from the overbought level with the first move being extraordinary strong and bound to end with a price reversal, or a correction at least. . Having noted that prices tend to rebound from overbought/oversold levels, we can therefore reach the conclusion that they tend to act as support/resistance zones. This means that we can use those levels to generate entry and exit points for our trading session. As soon as the price hits one of the two extremes, we can use the Relative Strength Index to confirm a probable price reversal and enter an opposite position, hoping that prices will reverse in our favor. We can then set the opposite extreme level as a profit target.
Editors' picks
Education
by FOREXN1
27
Ethereum’s 145-Days Cycle Calls for a Rally in DecemberSince the start of the year, Ethereum's (ETH) price has followed a 145-day low-to-low cycle that now calls for a rally in December. Historically, the Ethereum price has a clear seasonality, with a tendency to produce high median returns in December. ETH 145-Days Cycle This cycle shows ETH's tendency to bottom every 145 days or so. ETH's price has followed this cycle very closely as follows: • On January 23, 2022, we had the first major low of the year. • 145 days later, we had the second major low for the year in mid-June. • On November 10, 2022, Ethereum printed another low, which is precisely 145 days from the previous low. The last 145-days cycle low also coincided with the FTX-driven crash, making it more relevant. We can distinguish an almost perfect symmetry between ETH's peaks and troughs, and the 145-days low-to-low cycle can also be observed as measured from high to high. There has been a 133-day high-to-high cycle since the start of the year. This means that every 133 days, we can expect the ETH price to make a high as measured from the previous high. If we project the 133-day cycle from the most recent high (August 14), we can expect the next cyclical high to develop on December 25.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by cryptohopper
Everything I've learned about the RSI BINANCE:BTCUSDT In this post, I'll make an attempt to share everything I've learned over the Relative Strength Index (RSI) Over the past 24 months. Nothing described in this post is financial advice, it's just me, sharing thoughts and ideas with you. nb: this post is more suited for traders and investors that are already educated about the RSI Indicators. A brief introduction about the indicator itself : The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis. RSI measures the speed and magnitude of a security's recent price changes to evaluate whether it's better to buy, sell, or wait. The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph) on a scale of zero to 100. The RSI is probably the most used oscillator in finance nowadays, by both retail traders and institutions, hence meaning that when used well , it can be used as a great edge to profitability. RSI popular uses : - An asset is usually considered overbought when the RSI is above 70 and oversold when it is below 30. - The RSI can give us insights on a potential trend's loss of momentum or validity when the price pivots levels are diverging with the RSI indicator (hidden and regular divergences) - The most popular RSI length is 14 periods. My findings 1. Overbought and oversold: myth or reality? RSI's 30 and 70 levels never proved themselves to be a strong enough edge for me to be used as a standalone signal for trade entries. As an example, just look at the irregularity of the results you would get when using just these zones : My take on it is that as a price oscillator when it crosses into extremes, it simply means price momentum is at extreme levels. To me it's basically like a mountain cyclist in the middle of a race: he might very well go faster and higher, however, the quicker and higher he goes the more unlikely he is to keep up with that speed. Eventually, he might either decrease its speed or even go backward. What does this tell us ? The RSI 30 and 70 levels seem to be better used when used as timing indicators. For example, the 70 and 30 levels could be used as a filter for a trader to eliminate market noise when using a trend reversal strategy (mean-reversion). For trend traders, the levels could be used to timing signals where they'll start looking for price to do a pullback (consolidation) to get in the trend. My experience using the 30 and 70 levels as exit signals however has been better (when it comes to using it as the only signal for a trade exit). Say you are long on BTCUSD, in profit, and you get an RSI closure above 70. Well, in that case, you could exit 50% of your position and wait for the oscillator to cross down the 70 levels to exit the rest (as the overbought and oversold zones are rarely a defining factor for trend reversals and corrections). 2. Divergences in the overbought and oversold zones : The lower the time frame you are trading on is, the higher the noise when it comes to divergences, especially with volatile assets such as BTCUSD. So you might want to filter out most of the ones you see to only take the best ones. On the 15M and 5M timeframes, on BTCUSD, I find that on average about 1/3 of the divergences I see play out. However, we are not expected to take every divergence we see. Here's what has helped me get better results with divergences : - When approaching supply and demand zones, especially the higher timeframe ones, we might want to be more aggressive with the divergences we enter into. As the hit rate is not always amazing, the R:R is usually much better, and if the trade works out, it might give you great results which accounts for the low win rate. - If you want to increase your win rate, I also find that going for higher timeframes is usually better when it comes to divergences. - Take only divergences where RSI divergence's first pivot point is over 70 or under 30. Ideally, you don't want the noise to go below 60, or above 40, so that your trade has the necessary momentum to play out. - For extra confirmation, wait for a break of the noise level to enter the trade. - Regular and hidden divergences play hand in hand creating a form of momentum equilibrium. Hidden divergences always create regular divergences and vice versa. Hence a hidden divergence can be considered an early pullback warning to get in a bigger-picture trend. - Regular divergences tend to play out better than hidden divergences. This is especially true when the volume is decreasing, or after a longer period of consolidation when volatility has been contracting and might be about to expand soon. - Regular divergences in strong trends can be both a disaster and a treat. "The trend is your friend". This saying is especially true here. However, 2-3 drives of regular divergences are a great indication of a potential reversal, with enough confirmation factors to produce (often time) a great entry. - The angle of the trend line between divergences pivot points, both on the price chart and the RSI, can be a good indication of the severity of the divergence occurring. - The ideal lookback period for detecting divergences for me has proved to be between 5 and 28 bars. (Below 5 bars is not enough to confirm a true pivot point for me and above 28 bars has probably already played out in past price movements). - Like all edges, using a divergence strategy always produces better results when used in confluence with other signals. I find the best confluences happen when divergences occur: alongside a stochastic cross, near medium-slow moving averages, near horizontal supply and demand zones, alongside volatility expansion, when the volume is decreasing (meaning market makes are in disagreement with the move occurring), near Bollinger bands 2.5 to 3 standard deviations (period 20). - Convergence between your timeframes and higher timeframes is key to understanding how to better choose your trades. Try to play the big divergences but enter smaller timeframes divergences. - When you lose a divergence trade, don't get disappointed. Jump back in because often time, and price will need to do several divergences before getting in your desired direction (however, be careful not to jump in tilt mod. Know your win rate and R:R and keep your money management serious. You'll get blown out if you start tilting on this, especially if you trade reversals with divergences, as it's difficult to get the right timing every time). 3. RSI as a trend filter? - I've found that in trending markets, when RSI's Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crosses above the 50 line, it's an indication of an uptrend and vice versa. However, this is less effective in ranging markets as there's more noise, hence more invalid crosses. - I've found that in trending markets when the RSI line crosses above the EMA (I use a 12 period), it's an indication of an uptrend and vice versa. However, this is less effective in ranging markets as there's more noise, hence more invalid crosses. - As an indication of the trend's direction, I don't find any value in using bullish and bearish control zones. The only use I can find them is when using them for divergence levels filters. This is the end of the first post of this 2 parts series. There's just so much more you can discover about this indicator that it simply cannot be constricted to a few lines of writing. However, you are welcome to take a few of my findings and go test them out using replay and backtesting. See for yourself, and find your balance. Most of my learnings have been made through screentime, trial, and error, backtesting, mistakes, and research. Have a good day, Arthur Girard
Education
by arthurgirard15
Update to H4 BTC Short using MetaWorld Crypto Advanced RSI Although I exited the trade (fear, was uncomfortable with potential reversal of bearish momentum, see linked Idea), setup is proving valid as the price continues to move downwards with wicks reaching down the 9/21-10/19/22 Fixed Range Volume Profile. Note how the Advanced RSI indicator provided Advanced Oversold DOTS multiple times(see 10/18/22 11:00am) when the price wicked down to the FRVP support level. These would have been great signals to take profit. 2.26% x 5X leverage = 11.3%. Not bad.
by metadimensional
$SUSHI | Similar Fashion Here PotentiallySUSHIUSD has done this pattern similarly if you scroll to the right: breaking Bollinger Bands upper band with extreme levels of over bought in an almost TRIPLE TOP fashion. Plus a decent sized bearish candle that followed. Difference we have here is it's being rejected off of a major resistance zone (drawn off WEEKLY). I think we see the beginning of a downtrend which follows suit with the crypto market in general currently. Potential landing points are the support lines drawn off the daily. A safe trade is the STOP LOSS above the SWING HIGH and take profit above the nearest support line but if an avalanche happens I suspect the 2nd support line to be adequate because you also have to take into account the 20 MA and 50 EMA which would be around that area.
COINBASE:SUSHIUSDShort
by CryptoHotep
1
BTC bottom range based RSI indicator, 24-period based on highsINDEX:BTCUSD RSI is a trend indicator... Based on the RSI period 24 based on the high of each candle, being oversold at 30 and overbought at 90, we have incredible results in anticipating bull runs, and always buying in the bottom range, As well as taking the operation to optimal sales values In 2017, the sale indication was at the exact top, in 2020/2021, on the other hand, the sale was well anticipated, but still very profitable, but the repurchase came at much better values ​​than the sale is soon a success.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by NoobOslo
AUD/USD rises to resistance ahead of RBA meetingThe RBA are expected to hike interest rates by 50bp at 14:30 today and take the cash rate to 2.85%. From here we suspect they’ll revert to 25bp hikes with the potential to pause in December or January. The Aussie remains within an established downtrend and within a wider bearish channel on the 4-hour chart. It appears it is within the third wave of a 3-wave correction, with the 50/100 EMA’s and monthly pivot point nearby for potential resistance levels. Should we see evidence of a swing high then then 0.6300 – 0.6360 comes into focus. Note the RSI(2) is recently moved over 90 to indicate the potential for a near-term high.
Short
by CityIndex
$USDCHF | Potential Stopping Point?With USDCHF at extreme overbought levels and rejection from the previous resistance along with the long candle stick, we are looking at a short for the Swiss Franc with a stop loss set above the entry candle and take profit below the 20 MA and 50 EMA right above the 200 EMA. I think for the time being we trade in this channel here highlighted by the blue lines, which designate a short term (DAILY time frame) support and resistance whereas the zones are more longer term. (WEEKLY time frame)
Short
by CryptoHotep
$DOGE | Finally reaching over bought status again$DOGEUSD 🐕 has finally reached overbought levels, that haven't been seen since mid-August. To put it bluntly it's been particularly quiet on the $DOGE front. We may have a SHORT opportunity here upcoming and my eyes are peeled on this near term resistance level on the 4hr and breakout of the upper band. Waiting for a confirmation candle as well as RSI to point downward before a move is made. Also remembering that $BTCUSD moves opposite of $DOGEUSD TYPICALLY. So if $DOGE is pumping then $BTC is stagnant or on the decline. This is where patience comes into play.
BITTREX:DOGEUSDShort
by CryptoHotep