The one and only buy signal you should never ignoreWeekly RSI is approaching 30 again. Historically, this has signaled the cycle bottom . Whether you consider this a 4-year-cycle bottom, or a local bottom within a mega cycle , it doesn't really matter. All that matters is that a bullish reversal is just around the corner, and we likely won't see another buying opportunity like this for a few years.
Could price dip again to $25k or $20k? Sure, and I'll buy there too. Either way, we're a hell of a lot closer to the bottom than the top, and that's what this game is all about.
I'm stacking all my alt positions and reducing my BTC allocation in favor of alts.
Rsi_oversold
NZDCAD moment of reversal; RSI/BB_BANDS/HAIKEN_ASHIBUY NZDCAD RSI/BOLLINGER_BANDS/HAIKEN_ASHI
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows that the asset is momentarily overbought/oversold, suggesting a possible trend reversal.
The Bollinger Bands indicator shows that the asset is currently in the upper/lower resistance/support zone.
In addition, I use Heiken Ashi candles, which help to see the trend in a smoother and smoother way.
Intervals:
D1:
H4:
H1:
M30:
Conclusion:
Based on the analysis of RSI, Bollinger Bands and Heiken Ashi candles, it seems that the NZDCAD asset may be at a turning point. However, keep in mind that technical analysis does not guarantee 100% accuracy, so I recommend carefully monitoring the situation and confirming this signal with other indicators or fundamental analysis.
Please note that this analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
I wish everyone successful investments!
Greetings
EURUSD RSI Divergence - Bounce incoming?Simple idea here,
A) Touched the downward trendline, even if this turns out to be a downward channel this is the bottom of the range.
B) Deeply oversold on RSI ( <20 on both 1H and 2H ),
C) RSI divergence on the 1H
Just targetting a short term pullback here, short term Target 1.083 but potential for a runner up to the 1.09s.
Good time for long on EURUSD /BB/RSI/ICHIHi, TradingView community! I would like to share with you my analysis on EURUSD. It looks like we have a potential opportunity to take a buy position, based on several key factors.
I present my observations below:
Duration of analysis:
H1-D1 intervals (position: daytrade / max 2 days)
Current situation:
Ichimoku: .
D1: EURUSD after the dead cross signal from D1 - realized the target (touching the cloud)
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Bollinger Bands + RSI: .
D1: Price is at the lower Bollinger band
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H4: Price is at the lower Bollinger band and RSI is at ~30
H1: Price stops 3 times at the lower Bollinger band and RSI is at ~30 level
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In addition, on the lower intervals the Haiken Ashi candles are turning upward:
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Please keep in mind that trading in the financial market involves risk, so it is always important to apply appropriate risk management principles. This is just my personal analysis, so I always recommend that you carefully check the data and make your own assessment before making a trading decision.
I encourage you to share your insights and opinions on this topic. I look forward to your comments!
Warning: this publication does not constitute investment advice. Trading in the financial market involves the risk of capital loss, so always evaluate your investment decisions carefully.
Stochastic RSI in detail and how to use it.The Stoch RSI (Stochastic Relative Strength Index) is a technical analysis indicator used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in financial markets. It is a combination of two popular indicators: the Stochastic Oscillator and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The Stoch RSI applies the Stochastic Oscillator formula to the RSI values, aiming to provide a more sensitive and faster signal for potential trend reversal.
The Stoch RSI is calculated as follows:
Choose the time period for which you want to calculate the Stoch RSI. The most common period is 14 .
Calculate the RSI: (Detailed post on this in the link below)
Determine the highest and lowest RSI values: Identify the highest and lowest RSI values over the same time period (e.g., 14 days).
Calculate the Stoch RSI: Use the following formula to calculate the Stoch RSI:
Stoch RSI = (Current RSI - Lowest RSI) / (Highest RSI - Lowest RSI)
The resulting Stoch RSI value will range from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). A value above 0.8 (or 80%) typically indicates an overbought condition, suggesting a potential price correction or reversal, while a value below 0.2 (or 20%) indicates an oversold condition, which may represent a buying opportunity.
What does Stoch RSI tell us ?
Stoch RSI is a measure of how fast the RSI is changing. As an analogy. Imagine you are driving your car and have foot on the accelerator which will cause increase in the speed of your cat at every moment, now the rate at which your car's speed increases is acceleration. The bigger the more powerful engine your car has the more acceleration you get and the faster you get to the top speed of your car. So, in this analogy speed of your car at any instant is RSI , acceleration is Stoch RSI and top speed of your car is overbought condition of an asset.
RSI measures who is relatively more aggressive among buyers and sellers at a given instant. Stoch RSI measures how aggressive the buyers or sellers are at a given instant.
So just like in a fight if someone is too aggressive, they are going to spend themselves too quickly and even though they want to fight more they won't be able to until they ease up and relax a bit, this is similar to Stoch RSI of an asset getting to overbought condition and then asset either retraces or takes a pause as buyers are exhausted and need to regain strength by taking profits which turns them into sellers and the asset starts moving in opposite direction.
Why is 80 considered overbought?
The number 80 is chosen based on empirical evidence, suggesting that when the Stoch RSI reaches these extreme values, there is a higher probability of a price reversal or correction. When the Stoch RSI is above 80, it indicates that the asset's price has risen significantly over a short period and could be overextended. In this situation, the asset may be overvalued, and traders may consider selling or taking profits as the price could reverse or correct.
How to use Stoch RSI to enter a trade?
How to enter a Long Trade:
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Step 1. Always use Stoch RSI along with RSI to make a decision:
Step 2. Use it on mid to high term time frame (4h and higher).
Step 3. Make sure both RSI and Stoch RSI are in oversold zone.
Step 4. Make sure the asset is resting on a key support level and holding it.
Step 5. Fearlessly enter the trade.
How to enter a Short Trade:
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Step 1. Always use Stoch RSI along with RSI to make a decision:
Step 2. Use it on mid to high term time frame (4h and higher).
Step 3. Make sure both RSI and Stoch RSI are in overbought zone.
Step 4. Make sure the asset is rejected from a key resistance level and is not able to breach it.
Step 5. Fearlessly enter the trade.
What happens if Support or Resistance is broken in Step 3 above:
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That's where divergences come into play.
What is a divergence?
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Divergence is a technical analysis concept that occurs when the price of an asset and RSI/Stoch RSI indicator move in opposite directions, indicating a potential trend reversal.
There are two types of divergences: bullish divergence and bearish divergence.
Bullish divergence occurs when the price of an asset makes a new low while the RSI/Stoch RSI indicator makes a higher low. Remember from explanation provided in sections above, this suggests that even though the price is going lower there
are more buying activities than selling and the assets are becoming stronger, and a potential trend reversal may be imminent.
Bearish divergence, on the other hand, occurs when the price of an asset makes a new high while the RSI/Stoch RSI indicator makes a lower high.
I have highlighted bullish divergence in chart with purple line. Shown in Red line is bullish Divergence in Stoch RSI, when RSI is not fully oversold, this can happen when a new support is being formed on the chart due to changes in fundamentals of the underlying asset or some news events.
Bullish and Bearish Divergences are even more powerful signals for taking trades, but we must make sure price is holding a support or rejecting from a resistance before taking the trades, otherwise divergences can easily disappear.
Why do traders fail to effectively use RSI?
The primary reason is lack of experience in trading.
Which leads to impatient behavior.
Not knowing how to mark key support/resistance levels.
No risk management skills. (Taking too much risk)
Lack of trust in self when taking trades, (Keep stopping losses too tight which knocks them out of the trades).
I have shown several instances where RSI generated long signals and all of them were successful, the only reason a trader would not be able to use RSI effectively is because of the above reasons.
RSI Forex: A quick review of the market situationWhat is RSI: .
RSI, or Relative Strength Index, is a momentum indicator that is used to measure the strength of a trend. RSI works by comparing the average profit and loss over a specific period. It is primarily used to identify moments of overvaluation or overestimation in the market, allowing investors to enter the market with a much greater chance of profit.
RSI is expressed on a scale of 0 to 100, with a value above 70 usually indicating overvaluation and a value below 30 indicating overvaluation. However, there are many other ways to interpret RSI values.
Use in practice: .
Here are some ways to use RSI in forex trading:
At the bottom of the chart: RSI indicator
Red dotted line: Level 70
Green dashed line: Level 30
Blue solid line: RSI level
Entry signal - The appearance of RSI values below 30 or above 70 can indicate the possibility of entering the market. When the RSI exceeds the 70 level, we expect prices to fall and can open a short position. Conversely, when the RSI falls below the 30 level, we expect prices to rise and can open a long position.
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Divergence - In the case of divergence, which is the difference between the behavior of the price and the value of the RSI, we can look for signals that the trend may reverse. For example, if the price is rising and the RSI value is falling, this could indicate a possible trend reversal and a signal to open a short position.
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Use of the neutral zone - Some traders use the RSI neutral zone (between 30 and 70) to identify the trend. If the RSI remains in the neutral zone for an extended period of time, it may indicate the absence of a trend. However, if the RSI leaves the neutral zone, it may indicate the emergence of a new trend and a signal to open a position.
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In conclusion, RSI is a very popular and effective technical indicator that can be used in forex trading. However, like any other indicator, the RSI is not perfect and requires closer analysis in combination with other indicators. Our dedicated Manticore Investments strategy is based on a combination of 3 indicators, which together provide a very effective position entry signal. We use Haiken Ashi Candles, RSI and Bollinger Bands. In future materials we will show how to apply this combination in practice.
Relative Strength Index/RSI Made SimpleThe RSI (Relative Strength Index) is like a tool that helps people who buy and sell stocks and other things to figure out how strong the price of something is. It works by looking at the prices of that thing over a certain period of time, like 14 days, and then putting those prices on a scale from 0 to 100.
🔸When the RSI is high, like over 70, it means the price has gone up a lot and might be too high. When the RSI is low, like under 30, it means the price has gone down a lot and might be too low.
But just looking at the RSI by itself is not enough.
While many traders do use the RSI to buy at the 30 level and sell above the 70 level, this is not the only way to use the indicator. (As shown below)
🔸The RSI should be used in conjunction with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis to make informed trading decisions. In fact, relying solely on these levels can lead to missed opportunities and suboptimal trading decisions.
🔸It's also worth noting that the RSI can be used to identify bullish and bearish trends. When the RSI is above 50, it is considered bullish, indicating that the market is trending upwards. When the RSI is below 50, it is considered bearish, indicating that the market is trending downwards.
🔸While the 70 and 30 levels are popular levels to buy and sell, traders can also use other points based on how price reacts at those levels. For example, if the RSI reaches 80, it may indicate an especially strong upward trend, while a drop to 20 may indicate an especially strong downward trend. Traders should use their own judgment and analysis to determine which levels are most appropriate for their trading strategy. You can also find that as the name suggest (Relative Strength) traders should look for levels in price action where there is a strong reaction and then check to see at what level on the RSI this occurred because it might happen again once we got to that RSI value. (As seen below )
So as you can see in the image above you do not need to wait for price to go to levels 80 or 20 in order to look for reactions you can look at how price has reacted at previous levels before and monitor those levels in the future.
Finally lets talk about divergence.
🔸RSI divergence is a trading strategy that involves looking for differences between the movement of the price of an asset and the movement of the RSI indicator.
When there is RSI divergence, it means that the price of an asset is moving in a different direction than the RSI indicator, which can signal a potential change in trend.
There are two types of RSI divergence: bullish and bearish. Bullish divergence occurs when the price of an asset is making lower lows, but the RSI indicator is making higher lows. This can suggest that the price of the asset is oversold and may be due for a rebound.
Conversely, bearish divergence occurs when the price of an asset is making higher highs, but the RSI indicator is making lower highs. This can suggest that the price of the asset is overbought and may be due for a correction.
Traders can use RSI divergence to help them make trading decisions. For example, if they see bullish divergence, they may consider buying the asset, while if they see bearish divergence, they may consider selling the asset. However, traders should always use RSI divergence in conjunction with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis to make informed trading decisions.
Example is shown below:
🔸Settings of the RSI:
Traders can customize the settings of the RSI to suit their trading style and preferences. They can adjust the number of periods used in the calculation, which can range from as low as 2 to as high as 200 or more, depending on the timeframe being analyzed.
In addition to the default settings, traders can also adjust the overbought and oversold levels of the RSI. By default, the RSI is considered overbought when it is above 70 and oversold when it is below 30. Traders can adjust these levels to suit their trading style and the specific asset being analyzed.
Traders can also add other indicators on top of the RSI to help them analyze the market. For example, they may add a moving average to the RSI to help them identify trend direction and potential areas of support and resistance.
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Also keep in mind that the RSI can be used as a reversal tool and also a trend trading tool. For example, when the RSI reaches extreme levels of overbought or oversold, it can signal a potential reversal in the price trend. When the RSI reaches these levels, traders can look for other confirming indicators or price action to help them decide whether to enter a trade in the opposite direction.
On the other hand, as a trend trading tool, traders can use the RSI to identify the strength of a trend and to help them decide when to enter or exit a trade. When the RSI is above 50, it can indicate a bullish trend, and when it is below 50, it can indicate a bearish trend. Traders can use the RSI to help them identify potential areas of support and resistance within the trend and to enter trades in the direction of the trend.
It's important to note that traders should not rely solely on the RSI to make trading decisions. The RSI should be used in conjunction with other technical indicators, such as moving averages, and fundamental analysis to get a complete picture of the market. By using the RSI as both a reversal tool and a trend trading tool, traders can better identify potential trading opportunities and make more informed trading decisions.
AUD/USD 4HR CHANNEL DOWN PATTERN OANDA:AUDUSD
HI , TRADER'S .. MARKET IS IN DOWN CHANNEL OR DESCENDING CHANNEL
It's a bearish reversal pattern , After completing retest of down channel trendline , market can make a double bottom
Or any reversal candle like hammer or doji can be formed , buyer's can push market up from lower support .
Ideal to buy once market breakout of channel down
❤️Please, support my work with follow ,share and like, thank you!❤️
A brief history of DXY and the RSIThere are just some of the Key points on the chart but the real trick is to watch the RSI here ( the blue line above the US inflation index at bottom of chart)
The US inflation indicator shows RED after 1995, when inflation is above the 2% dictated by the FED as Good. Inflation peaks are marked on chart with thin solid vertical lines.
Compre these to RSI and PA levels
The USA was in an inflation explosion from 1979 to 1984 and it reached a height of 14% before turning down
The Thing to note here is the value of the $, as inflation rises, so does the value of the $, logically I suppose.
As inflation is fought with higher interest rates ,the $ becomes a money earner, for the banking industry and savers
Look at the RSI, See how it rises, Ranges and then eventually dips
Then RSI Ranges, as does the $ till we get to July 1995 and the Barings banks Saga.
This was a banking collapse and yet, Look. the $ GAINS value and RSI drives higher, Tops out and Drops,
Then again in 2008, another banking crash, this time Leman Brothers cause a Loan repayment Surge, bit like a bank run
Again, at a time of Stress, the $ Pushes up in value, RSI Runs high and Tops
Since then, RSI has remained mid / high and topped out again in July 2022
Since then, it has retraced and has recently tried turning again
But now, the $ has less demand globally as Countries around the world Stop using the $ as international trading currency, including Oil
So the question is, Where for the $ now
Technically, It has been up in the higher range RSI for a long time, inflation is High and as we can see from the past, PA tends to drop
Bitcoin and the SQuare RooT (SQRT) Function: Facts, DeductionsAs my title indicates, this plot highlights facts above all:
- Bitcoin price follows "Square Root" channels (SQRT function)
- All with an alternation of local Dips (each time higher than the previous ones) and new All Time High (ATH)
- These cycle Dip always materialize by an RSI 14 under a value of 34, showing an oversold (see my analysis of 2018-12-18 in link below)
- These ATH always materialize by an RSI 14 exceeding a value of 84, showing an overbought
- There is a clear correspondence with the Halvings dividing the block rewards by two for the miners, which is a programming of the progressive scarcity of generation of BTC.
So much for the facts.
Now here are my deductions:
- I have extended the layout of the SQRT channels to 2023: we are seeing a tightening of the price there, but beware, we are on a logarithmic scale! All the same, there emerges a new ATH > $ 60,000 followed by a potential local Dip which would remain higher than the current price.
- An average of the timing differences observed between the different Dip cycles allows me to consider the point of fall for a next Dip within 20 bars.
- This analysis is a little more pessimistic than my previous ones, while noting that it would still not be possible to buy 4-digit BTC (under $ 10,000) from 2022. So those who buy BTC currently will necessarily be winners on HODL.
DISCLAIMER: This is not investment advice. Invest only what you can afford to lose.
Do not listen to any "prophet" or other "evangelist", it is important that you make up your own mind.
TWT - Oversold- Small BounceThe chart shows that the Trust Wallet Token(TWT) is in an oversold condition.
The indicators used for identifying the oversold condition are the Bollinger Bands, the Relative Strength Index, and the Stochastics. They are all indicating that the condition is oversold and it is likely for a small bounce to the upside before continuing to the downside.
All furter details are shown on the chart.
Goodluck!
RSI Trends and Extremes with Color-Fill
What is the RSI Color Extremes Script?
The RSI Color Extremes Script is a different take on the traditional RSI. With a shorter period setting, short-term trends and extremes can be detected.
How is RSI Color Extremes different from the traditional RSI and Connors RSI (CRSI)?
While the traditional RSI is 14 periods, the default setting for this script is 2 periods. The 2-period setting was borrowed from Connors RSI (CRSI) where 2 and 3 periods are used, however, the interpretation here is different. Credit goes to user fikira as this is a different take on his/her original script. The period setting is adjustable.
How to use the RSI Color Extremes Script
When the RSI(2) crosses above the 70 line, this is a buy signal, when it crosses below the 30 line, this is a sell signal. As the intensity of the green color increases this indicates a strengthening of an up-trend. As the intensity of the red increases, this indicates the a strengthening down-trend. Extremes of above 95, (the red dotted line), or below 5, (the green dotted line) are rarely reached and can be viewed as potential reversal points or proactive profit taking.
This script can be used with other indicators (Stochastic, moving averages, or MACD for examples) for confirmation or confluence of indicators.
Settings:
* The default setting is 2 periods
* color intensity increases as the indicator rises or falls
* The period setting is adjustable.
Observations:
* Not all signals lead to major moves. However, all major moves give this signal. it is important to use other indicators for confirmation.
* setting alerts on the indicator (crossing above 70 or crossing below 30) can be a good way to identify early potential trends.
* The script works on any security and in any timeframe.
The period setting is adjustable.
BTC Bottom Finder with RSI 📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫
I'll be exploring a few scenarios for a potential Bitcoin bottom. In today's analysis, I make a use of Technical Indicator the RSI (relative strength index) over a long period of time, in other words a macro view. For more data that goes back further, I'm using BTCUSD instead of BTCUSDT. The RSI is trading in the historic oversold zone, but as we can see during the bottom of end 2014- beginning 2015, another leg down into the oversold zone is possible before continuing back upwards. This is indeed the scenario that I would be expecting, considering we have already tested this zone once but with talks of a global recession in 2023, we could see another leg down to support zone $11K before the final accumulation phase ends.
I am by NO MEANS predicting the bottom date; just a simple overview that BTC is generally accumulated at a good price around this zone.
Keep your eye on these 4 altcoins that have great upside potential during 2023, possibly even during a bear market as they are prone to pump and dump untimely 👀
XLM and DOT
XRP and LTC
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