Bitcoin Continues to Diverge Bullishly even as it Breaks SupportDespite BTC's price action breaking below the support zone, it still continues to Bullishly Diverge on the RSI as it forms Bullish Harmonics at the lows. As of right now we are at a shared confluence PCZ of a Bullish Gartley and a Bullish Butterfly which also about aligns with the 200 week SMA and we could be double bottoming here preparing for the big move up.
Rsitrendline
5 Important Points About BTC.D🦍BTC.D or Bitcoin Dominance is one of the most important factors for investors to find out, if it is better to keep more Bitcoin in their bag or Altcoins. Don't forget, it's not all you need to make your decision but it's the important one!
To make a decision about BTC.D, I've checked multiple parameters on weekly time-frame chart, so we dive deep into them one by one. Let's hit it.
#1: Indicators (RSI and MACD) :
MACD is showing a bullish divergence on the chart, that means the bearish momentum is getting weaker. It doesn't mean we're going up, but it means if any bullish power happens we can easily go up because Bears are weak now.
Let's check RSI on the chart, the RSI is completely moving above a ascending trendline (Yellow line). Until we're above it, then BTC.D is good to go up. It looks like RSI is going to touch it's trendline again, if it does, I'll consider it as an important date to check my altcoins to swap with Bitcoin.
#2: Consolidation channel for 1.5 year :
This is a very strong and important channel for BTC.D because it has trapped BTC.D inside of it for more than 1.5 year, and many traders have used it to accumulate more BTC. How? Swap altcoins for Bitcoin in the bottom of the channel and the opposite in the top of the channel.
Now that we're very close to the bottom of the channel so we have to consider swapping again, from Altcoins to Bitcoin. But be careful, you have to check each of your altcoin's chart one by one before making any decision.
#3: Very strong support area (green area) :
At the bottom of our consolidation channel, you can see a green area that is the strongest support area in BTC.D history. Because almost every time BTC.D had reached this level, it has forced BTC.D to move upwards. The overlap of this support area with the bottom of consolidation channel makes me seriously consider to swap most of my altcoins (with capital/risk management) with Bitcoin. SO TAKE BTC.D AROUND 40% SO SERIOUSLY.
#4: BTC.D All Time Low :
It is possible to have a downward fake breakout to 35.4%, because this is BTC.D ATL (all time low). It has happened before, so I'm still bullish on BTC.D unless this area is strongly broken downward. Other than that I believe we're in the BTC.D floor or at least close to it. It means, I prefer Bitcoin to Altcoin for long run as this is a weekly time-frame.
#5: Comparing Bulls and Bears :
I compared last two waves in the consolidation channel, greens from bottom to top and reds from top to bottom. As you can see on the chart, it took 20 candles (week) for bulls to go from bottom to top and 13 candles for bears to cove top to bottom. It means, in last two waves bears we're definitely stronger than bulls and we didn't see enough momentum in bulls.
Although BTC.D is on the floor but my impression is that, BTC.D doesn't have enough momentum to break the channel upwards with one bullish wave. I think we need at least one strong correction in the middle of the road, before upward breakout. This will be my tough about breakout unless we see a super strong momentum when the bulls start pushing BTC.D.
I wanted to add something else about this breakout, no matter when it happens, the target of BTC.D will be something around our green area (58%). So that date, will be a good time to check the market to swap Bitcoin for Altcoins.
Well, this is my analysis on BTC.D, don't forget this is a weekly timeframe, so it is for long-term investors not short-term traders.
Feel free to add up your ideas about my analysis in comment section, I do like to discuss different ideas with you guys to educate ourselves and take the best out of the market.💖
Is BTC really ready to break ATH?To be honest, i don't think so, at least not until the purple area is broken, the area is a very important one since the sellers from the last drop are very interested to sell their remaining assets at that level again
BUT as Elliot waves shows, there is clear ABC happened by the drop and a new 5 waves is about to take place, not too far from happening though but the purple area should break and the supply area should be invalidated for it to go up, IF it goes up the next target areas are already on the chart.
BUT be careful, as RSI trend-line suggests, the purple area is highly to reject the price for a while, it either breaks, or falls even more
in this period a consolidation of price could occur which results in a growth in Alts
if you have any tips or ideas share with me :)
CTK possible short?1) at important trend level
2) at top median line
3) at resistant level
4) clear rsi divergence
5) at important rsi trend level
what would happen next? let's see ;)
LINKUSD 4HR PlanThis is how I hope LINKUSD plays out over the next 24 hrs. I would love to retest RSI support and middle pitchfork support before a nice pop pushing past $32. It has played out how I had hoped so far since I posted yesterdays chart. Continuation may occur depending on BTC behavior. COINBASE:LINKUSD
Cipla - Double TopCIpla has double top and it need to break neckline for confirming pattern, Presently getting daily trendline as well as RSI trendline support. If it broke trendline and neckline then will get a good opportunity for short. For now it seems it wll reverse from here as trendline is supporting it.
*Retracement of 78.6 at trendline support shows a reversal .
I am Feeling bullish ... only time will tell ... Not in a leverage long position
However I am Always in a hodel position :)
Expecting Price action to rally or rise over the next 24 hours ...
time will tell ...
The Usual Disclaimer:
I am just having fun
This is not financial advice
I am not your financial adviser
I am publishing my chart for personal historic archival Purposes
Trading or speculation is extremely risky
Bitcoin is extremely volatile
Never invest more than you are willing to loose
Always do your own research
the market is not your friend it is like riding a bucking bull
always looking to buck you out of your position :)
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as well as many more I have forgotten to list ...