Rty
RTY IWM RUSSEL 2000 short , early positionRUSSEL 2000 gettin overbought due to sector heavy rotation of last weeks. Possibility to open a entry position here and scale in if it breaks down below 1815$. Average down if market push up higher or use SP500 as reference for stop loss. Shorting is super tricky and it's impossible to time them perfectly. This is a counter-trend play, so very risky. Regression to 20ema should be achieved before another push up.
PT1:1815 (small pullback)
PT2:1753 (retracement)
Long RTY / Short ESIf we're above these levels I gotta consider adding something like this position. Just a lil bit. And ease in more if it's working. RTY/NQ is also looking like a massive base is forming, but I feel like it will take more time to heat up. At any rate, at some point this train is leaving the station. Just don't want to be too early or too late.
Russell Version to the Mean
Continuing my idea from yesterday - multi day picture shows whats been going on.
Interesting is the volume profile - or rather the lack there of - this a one hundred point plus move that was initiated before the latest vaccine news.
Lots of measurable divergences - but the forces that be are keeping this up - the cumulative deltas have gone negative.
Look forward to seeing this return to the mean.
Russell Back Test
I monitor to RSI of bunch indexes using TV alerts - last night RTY was under 25% - and now it just turned to 75% as I'm typing.
However this looks like a back test before we move lower, impressive ranges in the Russell - its moving as much as the /ES on daily basis.
Good dose of divergence at this point which is outlined in chart.
Naked VPOC at 1744 that needs visiting - that's 40+ lower.
RTY Short at SupplyRTY experienced an explosive move down from a pivot level which historically has been a favorite pivot point, once being Supply, then becoming demand, etc... Looks like we are currently in Supply mode.
Take the Short at supply if price has the strength to retrace
Expect 3:1 profit and if possible trail it from supply level to supply level as long as we can
Higher timeframe is in a downtrend and RSI weakening at each pivot high encouraging continued weakness and permission to take the short.
Spooky Trendline NKDSince 2018 NKD1! has been posting diminishing returns within their market. Though, these are new times none of us have witness when it comes to new economic and monetary policy. Do we reject this trend and print yet another lower high? Or does the Japanese market breakout? What is interesting is that during the US market correction that occurred at the start of September, NKD merely chopped. This appears to be a bullish sign, but we shouldn't enter a play at this moment. We will wait for either a breakout or a breakdown to position ourselves in the correct manner.
RTY Update 10/9Well, I was all cash and overslept, lol. I'm on the west coast, not waking up at 6am when I'm all cash.
I warned everyone last night about "stimulus" news, everything overbought but still rallying. If they agree to a deal over the weekend, we get a huge gap up on Monday, despite all indicators. All other world indices were slightly red, which I expected and I wasn't going to bet against my indicators, so I stayed out.
RTY MFI did drop, and it will pop again when MFI gets oversold, so look for another pop next week on stimulus to close the COVID gap. YM (Dow) dropped when it closed the gap, expect the same here.
Wish I had bout FTNT or DLTR calls, both were on my radar. Oh well.
Also, don;t short on Friday afternoons, market always seems to rally. I think all cash and fade the gap when stimulus news is announced.