Russell 2000 Futures Headed To 2668?Exactly one year ago this month the Russell 2000 broke out to new highs and many were calling it the November to Remember as the RTY had an all-time record 18.4% monthly total return This November the Russell 2000 is also breaking out to new highs and on my strategy the look is exactly the same as last year. Will this be another November to remember? I think so, but I don't think it will be an 18.4% rally like last year. I do think that the RTY could rally 10% and look to test 2668 before the end of the year. I use Bollinger Bands with 20 period, 3 standard deviation settings along with a simple 10 period simple moving average on a weekly, daily and 60 min charts as my strategy for this long swing trade.
RTY1!
RTY UpdateThis is what I mean by pump and dump, look at the sell volume in the morning.
The algos have managed to convert futures trading into a pump and dump scheme and teh dip buyers are letting them make their money, lol. Small caps still flat despite the dump. Sideways action until the dip buyers are gone.
Watch MFI though, as soon as it goes oversold we'll see another pump
Futures Levels | Head Fake Or Higher? (ES, NQ, ZN, GC)It's nice when a projection comes together. Last week, our outlook suggested that we could see rates breakout, which would likely lead to broader stock index futures weakness. We got it half-right. Rates did breakout, but the rate rise ended up looking more like a head fake, so the selling was contained, with Friday even seeing a strong rebound.
This week there's not much to go on with earnings still a few weeks away. We'll be watching the BTC $50K level, 4400 ES, and if Gold can hold 1750.
RTY whipsaw continuesStill doing the rangebound whipsaw, looks to me like it goes overbought by Tuesday and drops back down.
Small caps have a tendency to fill gaps (on the index, not futures) so maybe it fills the gap then cycles back down. If anyone has a good way to predict this whipsaw, I'd like to hear your theories.
Market Dashboard - RecapWith NAS and SPX making Lower Lows it time to be on the look-out for RSI Divergences, Volume and a reversal pattern. The prospective i-H&S pattern on NAS was swamped by Russell confirmation of a H&S: as the Vix breaks out a pennant. The game changes Vix +20, in this case resistance is being met with instant selling pressure.
ES updateWell, I had to take mom to teh airport so I missed all teh fun.
I said yesterday that today would be a pump and dump, only they left out the pump, lol. MFI almost oversold, RSI not there yet. Of course they can do the same thing they did this Monday....
No idea which way the market goes Monday, hoping it goes oversold and I'll buy some calls. Staying cash, there's no play here, too late to do anything.
RTY Daily Range Looking For Long IdeaThe RTY daily time frame is in a large sideways
movement. The market hit resistance price point
2302.4 and is now falling towards support price
point 2113.3. It will be a good idea to look for a
bullish U-turn the closer the market gets to
the daily support price point 2113.3.
I plan on turning to the one hour time frame
and looking for a bullish trend to form near the
daily support.
Futures Levels | Week Ahead Sept 19 (ES, YM, NQ, RTY, ZN, GC)Yoooo Speculators - let's look at some levels in the futures stock indices following a telegraphed week of selling into last Friday's quad witching.
Overall, the markets have cooperated with our most recent analysis that suggested shorts in the NQ and ZB. Now, I'm gonna go out on a pretty firm limb (you know, since markets never go down), and say that we're probably close to the end of the selling in this cycle.
FOMC policy statement on Wed.
Trade Like You Mean It!