RTY UpdateJust drifting sideways, indicators are neutral. I think MFI goes oversold tomorrow morning on RTY and ES, will wait until then to BTFD, lol.
I think it's gonna be a whipsaw day. Futures need to sell off but lots of dip buyers already. Slept in (kinda obvious now, lol) because I was all cash, no positions. Will take a potshot at the market again tomorrow if indicators go oversold.
No idea which way the market gaps tomorrow, I'm not bullish on TSLA earnings. FDAX MFI is dropping but the index isn't. Maybe another small gap down again? i dunno.
Really thinking it might be a good time to take a break from the market... but PCAR earnings next Tuesday. Maybe after that.
RTY1!
RTY UpdateAppears to be a complete pump and dump failure. I got bullish because of the buy volume the past couple of days, but it hit overbought on MFI and now is dropping. i think there's potential for it to stay oversold for a day or two when it gets there because it's dropping on much lower volume. Those that bought have to sell, and volume isn;t matching up yet.
RTY UpdateRSI oversold again, but I wouldn't consider going long until ES and NQ also go oversold.
ES MFI has a LONG way to go before it hits oversold. Plus the market gave up on the short squeeze and lost all interest in garbage stocks. PTON down 7% now. Friday is when funds rebalance their portfolios, and I'd imagine they'd want to get rid of garbage stocks and move to dividend stocks. Flight to safety trade tomorrow, I think. Problem is ES MFI needs to go down....
ES UpdateGotta be on the road this morning so posting an early update. Futures slightly green but ES and RTY MFI are heading to overbought quickly. Chances are good they hit overbought this morning.
CPI numbers tomorrow before market open. I'm bearish, but could be another pump and dump like Europe CPI. Might just grab $1k worth of puts in garbage like BTC or ARKK for kicks and giggles, but that'll be about it. Total crapshoot tomorrow. Decided against doing a straddle, I don't think it'll move as much as I want.
RTY is on the way to the Fakeout targetI was expecting this move, it came on time for the Fed day catalysis.
If you look at smart vs Dumb money as well as overbought conditions and negative divergences, you can see that this is a fakeout move, which happened many times in history.
I had a very important update last night, and will be doing a follow-up tonight.
Russell Futures ( RTY1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Russell Futures ( RTY1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation
Type: Bullish Continuation
Resistance: 2033.0
Pivot: 1909.8
Support: 1832.2
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for RTY1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. Expecting price to retest the pivot at 1909.8, where the overlap support is before heading towards the resistance at 2033.0, where the previous swing high is.
Alternative scenario: Price could head back down to break the pivot at 1909.8, where the overlap support is, before heading towards the support at 1832.2, where the previous swing low and 38.2% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.