THORCHAIN - Do You Think It's Possible?Could this count actually be valid? It might seem like a stretch given the sharp drop we just saw—but what if Wave D still needs to play out? Is it possible we see the RUNE token hit $11 again in this cycle?
It doesn’t sound so far-fetched if you’ve been following the Bitcoin pattern I mentioned in my recent post about AVAX (linked below). At the end of the day, it all comes down to solid risk management to see how this plays out.
Rune
RUNE - Make or break ...RUNE is currently in a prolonged downtrend, respecting the descending resistance lines since its peak. Price is now approaching a critical horizontal support zone:
🔴 Key Support: $0.75
🟠 Minor Support Zone: $1.00 – $1.10
🟢 Major Resistance Levels:
$2.50 (First trendline test)
$4.00 (Second trendline)
$6.00+
The price action is compressing near the lower boundary of the descending channel, while RSI is drifting toward oversold levels (RSI ~37.85). Historically, RUNE has seen relief rallies from this region.
⚠️ Scenarios to Watch:
Bullish:
Price holds above $0.75 and RSI enters oversold territory.
Break and close above $1.10 could trigger a relief rally toward $2.50.
Confirmation would come with increasing volume and break of descending trendline.
Bearish:
Breakdown below $0.75 support could open doors for further downside.
Possible targets below $0.75: psychological levels at $0.50 or lower, especially if volume increases on the breakdown.
📈 RSI Indicator:
RSI nearing oversold, currently ~37.85.
No confirmed bullish divergence yet, but worth watching closely for potential reversal signals.
🧩 Strategy Notes:
Conservative traders: Wait for reclaim of trendline and a close above $1.10–1.20 for safer entry.
Aggressive traders: Look for bullish RSI divergence or price action confirmation around $0.75 for a potential bounce play.
Risk management is crucial — set tight stop losses below critical levels.
🎯 Summary:
RUNE is at a make-or-break zone. $0.75 is a crucial historical support. A bounce from here could send the price towards the first resistance at $2.50, while a breakdown may lead to further bearish momentum. Watch RSI and volume for clues!
THORChain: Your Altcoin ChoiceTHORChain (RUNE) looks great, for buyers. Right now the action is happening right above a major low, the November 2022 low.
RUNEUSDT hit a major low in November 2022 together with Bitcoin. It then went on to produce a lower low that was followed by a ~1,400% bullish wave. This is only the preview pre-bull market year. In this bull-market year, growth should be much stronger.
Much of this bullish wave has been erased, corrected and now RUNEUSDT stands above long-term support. This is the buy-zone, a long-term buy-zone. The accumulation zone.
This is a great place/price to buy-up, buy-in, rebuy and reload. Buy, buy, buy, buy focusing on the long-term. This is truly a great opportunity and entry price. We do not focus on the fact that prices are dropping nor the short-term. We focus on the future and the potential we have for growth.
Just as the 2022/2023 bearish cycle produced a major bullish phase; this strong correction we are seeing now in early 2025 will launch the next bull market, growth will be many times bigger compared to the last wave.
This is a good one. You are wise if you are looking at this pair.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
RUNEUSDT (THORChain), Your TOP Altcoin Choice.
A strong and solid target for this cycle can be $30. It can go higher just as it can reach lower, but this is a good level to look for. A good price to use as a reference point.
Namaste.
TradeCityPro | RUNE: Decoding Its Descent in DeFi Markets👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to discuss the RUNE coin, which was requested in the comments of yesterday's analysis. This project is one of the DeFi projects, with a market cap of $383 million, ranking 118th.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, as you can see, it has started a downward leg from the peak of 6.894 and is moving downwards, reaching the area of 1.110.
✔️ Currently, it seems that the downward momentum has slightly decreased, and the price is moving downward more slowly. The RSI oscillator is also near the 30 area, ready to enter into Oversell and introduce a new downward momentum into the market.
💫 If this occurs and the price consolidates below 1.110, the next support will be 0.816, which is a very important floor, and if this area breaks, the last support the price will have is 0.386.
🔑 On the other hand, if the price is supported at 1.110 and breaks the trend line that the price has, we can confirm a trend change and the start of a new upward trend. The main trigger will still be 6.894.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, the price has a range box between 1.091 and 1.504, and after the downward leg following the break of 3.210, it has now entered a ranging phase and is ranging in this area.
🔽 For a short position, given that the price has hit a lower high compared to 1.504, the likelihood of breaking the floor of the box is high, and with the break of 1.091, we can enter a short position.
📊 An important point is that the market volume in this range box has decreased significantly and keeps decreasing. With the entry of volume in any direction, the market can start moving in that direction.
📈 If buying volume enters the market, the first long trigger is the break of the 1.504 area. This area overlaps with the 0.236 Fibonacci, and breaking this area, the next important levels are 0.382, 0.5, and 0.618 Fibonacci.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
RUNE Long OpportunityMarket Context:
RUNE has been trading within a range for the past few weeks, and price has now retraced to the lower support level of this range. This presents a solid opportunity for a long entry targeting the next resistance levels.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $1.18
Take Profit Targets:
$1.30 - $1.35
$1.45 - $1.60
Stop Loss: Just below $1.10
This setup offers a strong risk-to-reward ratio, with potential for range-bound trading before a breakout. 🚀
Rune - Thorchain: A Mid-Term Opportunity Too Good to IgnoreThorchain (RUNE) presents a compelling short-to-midterm opportunity that’s hard to pass up. Despite reports suggesting that North Korean hackers have used it to launder stolen Ethereum, the technical indicators are extremely bullish.
Volume: One of the highest levels we've seen in a long time.
RSI: Oversold on the weekly chart, signaling a strong potential for a rebound.
Midterm Target: A 5x to 6x increase.
This looks like the best buying opportunity at the moment—unless I’m overlooking something fundamental. If I am, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. Thanks!
RUNE sell/short setup (4H)The RUNE token, after experiencing heavy drops due to negative news, is now trading within a range.
A price top has been fake out, leading to a drop. On a retracement to higher levels, we can look for a sell/short setup.
We have identified two entry points for a short position.
Targets are marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this view.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
THORChain Bullish Confirmed: 361% Back To Baseline PotentialWhen a Cryptocurrency trading pair moves and closes daily above EMA13, this confirms a bullish bias. The longer the moving average the stronger the signal/confirmation.
Here we are looking at RUNEUSDT (THORChain) and we can see a move and close above EMA13 and EMA21. The move above EMA21 happened today and this one is confirmed only when the session (daily candle) closes above this level.
EMA13 is a short-term exponential moving average when it comes to Cryptocurrency trading charts. A move above this level signals the change of a bearish bias towards a bullish one.
The fact that RUNEUSDT is moving also above EMA21 fully confirms the short-term bullish signal given by the break above EMA13. In simple terms, we are going up —bullish confirmed.
When there is a strong drop, as shown in this chart, there is always a counter move "back to baseline." The baseline here is the last high because of a double-top between May and December 2024.
Back to baseline would give us a minimum of 361% potential for growth. This is short-term. There is sure to be more, much more because we are in a bull-market year. Prepare for massive growth. This is an easy chart, an easy trade.
Thank you for reading.
Your continued support is highly appreciated.
Namaste.
RUNEUSDT: The Unstoppable Breakout? Eyes on the Resistance!BINANCE:RUNEUSDT has been showing remarkable strength while the broader market struggles, repeatedly holding support and now pushing towards a key resistance level. This consolidation phase suggests a potential explosive move ahead. A breakout above this major resistance could trigger strong bullish momentum, making BINANCE:RUNEUSDT unstoppable in the short term. Volume confirmation will be crucial, as increasing buying pressure could validate the breakout and fuel further gains. However, risk management is essential false breakouts are always a possibility, so setting a stop loss just below recent support levels is key to protecting capital. All eyes are now on the breakout level. if BINANCE:RUNEUSDT clears it with conviction, it could be a high-potential trading opportunity. Trade smart, stay disciplined, and always keep your stop loss in place.
BINANCE:RUNEUSDT Currently trading at $1.41
Buy level: Above $1.4
Stop loss: Below $1.1
Target : $4
Max Leverage 3x
Always keep Stop loss
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RUNEUSDT Strong Support Zone – 300%-400% Gains Potential!RUNEUSDT is currently trading at a strong support level, which presents a significant opportunity for potential upside. Support levels act as critical price points where demand is expected to be strong enough to prevent further declines. The fact that RUNEUSDT is holding well at this support level suggests that the price may reverse course and initiate a rally. With solid volume backing this level, there is a good chance that RUNEUSDT could see substantial gains in the coming weeks, with projections of 300% to 400%+ if the price rebounds and continues to surge from here.
The support level is crucial as it indicates that buyers are stepping in and absorbing the selling pressure, preventing the price from breaking lower. The good volume accompanying this consolidation adds to the strength of this support zone, making it more likely that RUNEUSDT will bounce higher once it consolidates further. The growing investor interest suggests that traders are starting to recognize the potential in this project, which could trigger a wave of buying pressure once the price moves past key resistance levels. With the projected gains of 300% to 400%+, this makes RUNEUSDT an asset to keep an eye on for those looking to capitalize on potential explosive moves.
RUNEUSDT's position at the strong support level also indicates that the current downtrend might be coming to an end. If the price successfully breaks above the resistance level that has formed after the support zone, it could signal the beginning of a significant upward trend. This is supported by the increasing investor interest in the project, which further suggests that market sentiment is turning positive. If the price rebounds and gains momentum, the target of 300% to 400%+ is within reach, making this an exciting setup for traders looking for high-reward opportunities.
Investors should keep a close watch on RUNEUSDT as it holds at this critical support level. A successful bounce off this level, combined with strong volume and buying interest, could signal the start of a major rally. With the potential for significant returns and an improving market sentiment around this crypto pair, RUNEUSDT presents a promising opportunity for those seeking high-potential trades in the market.
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Can RUNE recover and go parabolic? THORChain's native token, RUNE, has experienced a significant decline in value recently. Despite the recent drop, RUNE is still holding strong at its support level. If this support remains firm, I believe RUNE has the potential to not only recover but go parabolic in the coming years.
THORChain Convert Debt into Equity: What about RUNE Holders FateTHORChain ( CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ) has taken a bold step to address its $200 million debt crisis by converting unserviceable debt into equity through a new token, TCY (Thorchain Yield). This strategic move follows the suspension of THORFi services on January 23, 2025, due to financial instability. While this decision aims to stabilize the ecosystem, the market response has been mixed, with CRYPTOCAP:RUNE experiencing sharp volatility.
THORChain’s Debt-to-Equity Move
The newly introduced TCY token will be issued at a rate of 1 TCY per dollar of defaulted debt, effectively turning affected lenders and savers into equity holders. To further support this transition, THORChain plans to create a RUNE/TCY liquidity pool with an initial $500,000 backing, pricing TCY at $0.10 per token. Additionally, TCY holders will receive 10% of THORChain’s revenue indefinitely, providing a long-term recovery mechanism.
Despite these efforts, concerns linger regarding the timeline for full financial recovery. However, THORChain’s core functionality—cross-chain swaps—remains intact, ensuring continued utility for its users. Market sentiment, however, reflects uncertainty, as seen in CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ’s price action.
Technical Outlook: Can CRYPTOCAP:RUNE Recover?
Following the debt-to-equity announcement, CRYPTOCAP:RUNE has exhibited mixed performance. Initially, it plunged 10% within 24 hours, extending its 30-day decline to nearly 50%, in line with the broader market downturn. However, as of the latest data, CRYPTOCAP:RUNE is showing signs of recovery, posting an 11% gain and trading within a moderate zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 38, indicating potential oversold conditions and a buying opportunity.
- 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement Level: The $3.58 price mark aligns with this critical resistance; a breakout above this level could fuel a bullish rally.
- 1-Month High Target: If momentum sustains, CRYPTOCAP:RUNE could push towards $5, the next major resistance level.
Conclusion
THORChain’s move to convert debt into equity is a double-edged sword. While it provides a structured approach to managing financial challenges, investor confidence remains uncertain. The success of the TCY token will heavily influence market sentiment around CRYPTOCAP:RUNE in the coming weeks.
As the market digests this pivotal restructuring, all eyes remain on CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ’s price action and the effectiveness of THORChain’s recovery strategy.
$RUNE is crashing. What is the consequence for Defi?This idea focuses more on DeFi and Web3 as a whole rather than the specific case of $RUNE.
What is happening to CRYPTOCAP:RUNE can happen to any other DeFi protocol, so it’s crucial to analyze how these protocols work, identify the risks, and explore how to mitigate them.
### How DeFi Protocols Work
CRYPTOCAP:RUNE , like many other protocols, is powered by smart contracts. These are small programs that execute tasks like lending, swapping, and other DeFi functions automatically and without human intervention. Investors love these protocols for their decentralized nature and trustless execution, enabled by blockchain technology.
CRYPTOCAP:RUNE gained popularity because its decentralized protocol allowed its price to be tied to factors like its total value locked (TVL) and fee earnings. The more people staked, provided liquidity, or used its lending services, the more CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ’s price increased. For instance, we saw CRYPTOCAP:RUNE rise from $3 to $12 last year as people used the protocol to loan CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH during their price surges.
### The Mechanism Behind CRYPTOCAP:RUNE
DeFi protocols like CRYPTOCAP:RUNE rely on the token itself as collateral. For example:
- When users send CRYPTOCAP:BTC or CRYPTOCAP:ETH to the protocol, it automatically buys and sells CRYPTOCAP:RUNE , which drives its price up.
- Conversely, when users withdraw CRYPTOCAP:BTC or CRYPTOCAP:ETH , the protocol sells CRYPTOCAP:RUNE to repay those users, which puts downward pressure on its price.
This mechanism can create vulnerabilities, as we’ve seen with $RUNE.
### What Went Wrong?
While all altcoins were losing value, CRYPTOCAP:BTC outperformed to the point where the total value of CRYPTOCAP:BTC being staked and loaned on the protocol exceeded the total value of $RUNE. In simple terms, if everyone requested their CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH back, the protocol would not have enough CRYPTOCAP:RUNE to sell and repay them. This is known as **insolvency**.
Last year, when authorities paused Rune Swap for a week to investigate criminal activity, CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ’s price plummeted from $2.2 to $1.3 as smart contracts automatically compensated for reduced earnings and people redeemed their staked assets, forcing the protocol to sell $RUNE.
### The Catastrophic Validator Decision
This month, with the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC surging, some inverstors decided to cash out from CRYPTOCAP:RUNE and that is when they realized that the price of CRYPTOCAP:RUNE was so underperforming CRYPTOCAP:BTC that the protocol might be insolvent. They createed a "bank run" and an avalanche of investors lost their trust and asked their coins back.
To prevent a complete collapse, validators—who are essential for running the blockchain—used a private key to manually stop the protocol. This halted the smart contracts from continuing to sell $RUNE. However, this move backfired.
Observers saw the protocol being manually interfered with, highlighting its insolvency and raising serious concerns. This decision led to even more fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD). It became clear that DeFi’s lack of flexibility and inability to adapt to emergencies can create destructive outcomes.
### Broader Implications for DeFi Protocols
This exposes a significant vulnerability in all DeFi protocols. Many rely on their own coin as collateral, but if CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to rise in value and users decide to withdraw their CRYPTOCAP:BTC , the protocols could face the same insolvency issue. In some cases, the amount required to repay users may exceed the protocol’s total collateral—or even the market cap of the altcoin itself.
### The Potential Domino Effect
If platforms like Uniswap, PancakeSwap, Hyperliquid, and others fail to address this issue, we could see a domino effect:
- Investors may withdraw their funds from DeFi protocols, leading to a collapse of the entire DeFi ecosystem.
- Such an event would have dire consequences for the broader altcoin market.
### The Solution
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues its bull run alone, DeFi platforms may need to reconsider their reliance on CRYPTOCAP:BTC and stop lending/staking and swapping to $BTC. Failure to adapt could render many protocols insolvent, triggering unprecedented FUD and potentially causing the crypto market to crash.
### Conclusion
The current situation with CRYPTOCAP:RUNE is a cautionary tale for the entire DeFi industry. Without proactive measures, the very mechanisms that make DeFi appealing—decentralization and automation—could become its greatest weaknesses.
RUNE COIN PRICE ANALYSIS AND NEXT POSSIBLE MOVES!!CRYPTOCAP:RUNE Coin Updates!!
• From Last 4 weeks we are seing now massive draw down in CRYPTOCAP:RUNE Coin Price.
• in any condition its need to hold 1.70$-1.50$ weekly support area for pottential bounce back.
• Without SL Don't try to build trade on it ( because of recent fuds selling pressure is still high on it)
Warning : That's just my analysis DYOR Before taking any action🚨
THORChain (RUNE)Rune is another crypto project which has great features and possibly a bright future. After the corrective wave hit 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, it seems Rune is oscillating. It is too soon to conclude that the corrective wave is finished, it might go further down. However, there are two lines, one horizontal and another a downtrend, which can help us figure this out. Let's see what happens.