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Russell

Equities' Last Push 7-31-18Friends, as you can see from the linked ideas I have been able to use fib levels to good effect when predicting where price will go. Let's use them once more! As we can see, the Nasdaq (as well as several other indices including the all-important Russell 2000) have been bouncing off respective fib levels. Russell once again seems to say GO. This time, however, I expect limited upside. It appears the markets are in a larger-scale consolidation. They may be rolling over or, as the case may be, gathering strength for new highs. I'm sure the exact move will depend somewhat on the news. I conservatively target the boundary of the consolidation for trade completion. The Nasdaq in particular has been hard-hit due to poor numbers from tech names, and may be due for a rally. A trade is Nasdaq at this level is a 1:4 / risk:reward.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Ian_Carsen
1
IWM Broken Wing ButterflyTaking advantage of a little IV in the Russell with a Put BWB. Trade Setup: -1 IWM Mar 17 134/136/136/137 Put Butterfly @ 0.18 DTE: 31 Max Win: $118 Max Loss: $82 Breakeven: $134.82 Trade Management: I will look to take 50% off this trade if we come down to $136.00 in the upcoming cycle, so around $59. If the market decides to crash, I am comfortable with the risk in the trade. I would likely take of the winning put side of this strategy and roll out the short put side for more premium, if that was the case. Because of the structure of this trade, you will see that this trade has $0 upside risk and will in fact, end up with a max of $18 win if the options expire worthless. We will see if we get there. Green is profit zone; vertical bar is expiration.
AMEX:IWM
by Benji
Linear regression suggest an uptrend in RUSSELL 1000A r(0.942) linear regression on Russell 1000 index suggests an uptrend in the coming months. There are two possible scenarios: (1) the trend continues to travel along the linear regression channel eventually reaching the ~120 level. (2) in a less likely pattern, the price breaks the 5 regression channel, and then bounces back in the strong support level at ~86 I am going LONG on this. Traders should take special care trading and watch for worldwide events that may have a negative impact on it. --- "If you have trouble imaging a 20% loss in the stock market, you shouldn't be in stocks." - Jack Bogle
NASDAQ:VONELong
by adelriosantiago
LONG Russell 1000 Value / SHORT Russell 1000 GrowthLong Russell 1000 Value / Short Russell 1000 Growth In a market with declining corporate profits and a stagnant real disposable incomes, growth is scarce. However, with bond yields indiscriminately driving equity valuations towards records across nearly all sectors (both cyclical and non-cyclical) value is even more scarce, and becoming scarcer as multiple expansion drives US equities to all-time-highs. There are many other reasons for the return to value, including crowding within many sectors (e.g. XLP) and names (notably 'FANG'). With the US equity market beginning behaving almost like a bond, any sort of yield shock (see linked ideas) could spark a simultaneous sell-off in equities , causing a rush for the exit in a market with little margin for error. In this event, less crowded/under-owned sectors ('value') would provide a greater cushion for equity investors and help them weather the volatility. Bringing it back to textbook market theory, value should outperform growth in a rate hiking cycle. Whilst the consensus expects US rates to remain low, and possibly even be cut, any sort of upside surprise in inflation (energy prices on top of rising core pressures) or economic growth prospects (oil 'dividend', or the US avoiding a recession in 2017) will likely see the Fed press on with further rate increases following the announcement of the current hiking cycle in December 2015. The repricing of Fed funds implied probabilities for a rate increase following the June and July jobs report illustrated this perfectly. Natural resources and financials remain the two 'value' sectors in the US with abundant single name opportunities to choose from. Within Europe it is a similar story, with automotive and real estate featuring to a lesser extent. Consider a spread trade LONG Russell 1000 Value / SHORT Russell 1000 Growth (IWD/IWF) with the ratio towards the lower 2016 channel line, expecting reversion to the middle of the range before making a higher-high. For further insight and discussion please contact me via Tradingview or LinkedIn , on Twitter @James_LVDTA, and visit www.lexvandam.com to become a member of the Trading Club.
AMEX:IWDLong
by JamesHelliwell