RUT Russell 2000 same level as December 2020The Russell 2000 index lost all its gains from 2021 and is now at the pick of December 2020.
I expect 2022 to be the year of this index, that has a lot of undervalued gems, like 2021 was they year of the Big Tech with high multiples.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Russell
RTY - Daily Russell 2000Looking about cooked for now.
2/5 Setting up.
The 2282 was a brilliant SELL, it simply collapsed
from there 250 Ticks.
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Small Caps have no real hope, nor access to Capital.
Later in 2022 after 5/5 completes, this Index will lose
90% of its Price Value.
Best places to go long or short the RussellThe Russell is even cleaner than the Nasdaq. Two major buy / sell areas on the chart. So far the Russell has been playing the game of chop. Sweep the lows, sweep the highs and move in the other direction. The same way we had a failed breakout, we could get a failed break down.
Best place to sell 2310-2360. Resistance/Gap combo and the real direction for now is down, so it is with the main trend.
2200 & 2080 are decent for short term trades. As we go down they are good for a bounce. If they get broken they are good to put shorts if the market bounces from lower.
Best place to buy long term is 1980-2030. Extreme support combo with 1. Untested breakout / gap, 2. Key Bollinger bands, 3. 400 DMA
Russell 2000: In the triangle and bullish divergenceWe are in the middle on the never-ending triangle on the daily chart. There was a false breakout a couple of weeks ago but it seems bulls are strong enough to break out this triangle once and for all. For swing traders, sell with an adjusted stop loss and for long-term traders, buy if there is a correction to the lower part of the triangle (2155) or after the correction if there is a breakout (2287). The bullish signal on the RSI is there and it must be taken into consideration and the 2575 level should be reached if the triangle breakout takes place, but normally, after 1 year going sideways, the uptrend should be much longer.
RUT Russell 2000 Santa Rally?The Santa Rally is set to start on Monday, Dec. 27.
This period gave positive return for the S&P 500 78.9% of the time.
Since 1950, the average return of the Santa rally was 1.33%.
How do you think this will be reflected in the Russell2000 index?
The reasons could be optimism over the new year ahead or holiday spending.
IWM short term up and then go downJust to be consistent, when I publish my monthly fib retracement is in Red, weekly in Blue and short term in Pink.
Perfect reversal from 23% monthly fib level and today it has touched 23% weekly fib level and now moving towards 38.2% weekly fib level. In my view if there is a correction before it goes higher from here then that should be helpful for an nice entry for 222.5
Russell, 22 Dec. End of a Gigantic RangeIWM has been in a range for 329 days. It has tested the lower boundary 7 times. Many analysts now believe that 2022 will see a rotation back into value and small-caps, after 2021 was the year of the big tech corporations.
Elliott:
The range makes it difficult to determine a clean count, however we can count 5 waves to the downside in the last swing from 8 Nov. This is important because any complex correction such as the WXYXZ would complete with a 5-wave move, before price departs to the upside.
Oscillators:
The MACD crossover is imminent and the MFI is pointing upwards after a bullish divergence.
Geometry:
Price has reversed on the 50% Fib of the current pitchfork with a typical reversal doji. The next resistance is the pitchfork median at 221, potentially the end of wave (i).
How I trade it:
If we assume that the range is a completed re-accumulation, we can begin to build back long exposure. In Wyckoff terms, we would now be looking for the LPS/SOS stages. If price gives us a wave (i)-(ii) structure (in blue), we will get a H&S pattern that provides a solid bullish setup (long above wave B of (ii)). Support on the pitchfork median and a break of the 20 week MA at 224 would then signal that our assumption is likely correct.
A well-prepared entry is important because price can also exit the range to the downside. The bullish idea is invalidated if price moves out of the pitchfork altogether, which is below 202.
Elliott Wave View: Russell (RTY) Extends LowerShort-term Elliott wave view in Russell (RTY) shows a lower low bearish sequence from November 8, 2021 high. Decline from November 8 high is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure where wave ((A)) ended at 2136.8 and rally in wave ((B)) completed at 2279.83. The Index has extended lower and broken below wave ((A)) suggesting wave ((C)) lower has started. The internal subdivision of wave ((C)) is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse.
Down from wave ((B)), wave 1 ended at 2196 and rally in wave 2 ended at 2227.10. Index then resumes lower in wave 3 towards 2160.10 and wave 4 ended at 2165.9 as a triangle. Final leg lower wave 5 ended at 2130.10 and this completed wave (1). Correction in wave (2) ended at 2227.60. Index then resumes lower in wave (3) as another impulse in lower degree. Down from wave (2), wave 1 ended at 2102.30. Rally in wave 2 is in progress to correct cycle from December 16 high before the decline resumes. Near term, as far as pivot at 2279.83 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in the sequence of 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
A good place to start scaling for a bounceI think this is a good place to start scaling into the RTY longer-term or short-term potential bounce.
In 6 months we will be at a very different place.
With the proper position sizing you could start scaling in 5-10% of your planned investment in Russell if you don't have any position already.
Risk reward potential is greater that it one day will retest any of the levels above.
There are some nice trades that can be made with this.
that's what SL is for.recently russel broke the ceiling that was holding it for almost a year.
now it would be interesting entering a long during the retest. placing the SL just bellow last low made the 27th of october.
not because it's a safe trade but becasuse of the RR involved, since that the range has been broken, this leaves us with a proyection to the up side equivalent to the range it selve, wich is also the 1.6fib proyection of the recent impulse after the lst corrective phase.
currently the price is sitting on the 50% retracement of the move done until now.
on daily there are clear signs of a correction in act, volume is not as high as during the ceiling break and tho it made almost the sale movement.
on 4htf stochastic is starting to cross to the upside, i find stochastic the best indicator to trade russel's mid high tf, since it's a "range indicator", and in a range is where rus has been for almost a year.
on the 1H ft, there are divergences on stoch and rsi. this doesn't mean that the divergence can't follow forming.
in the end, it's a nice RR trade of 4:1, in'm already booked in at the 50%fib, and if goes to 38% i will think about adding contracts, using the same sl.
take in count that trading is not about having a 80% hit rate, that's impossible, and if some one says he does...well he was probably long during 2020/21. i mean, it doesn't surprise me that people will have had great RR these 2 years, but that shouldn't be taken as reference. the normal hit rate should be around 50% and risk managing like if your life depended on it makes your account grow steadily and constantly.
use the power of a steady compound growth rather than a yolo
and use SL, que pa' eso estàn Ramon
iShares Russell 2000 ETF Taking off. IWMUpgoing zigzag with a Wave C is confirmed. This is fairly, given that we passed the most recent max on this one. Just a heads up - this is on a weekly chart, so don't expect any overnight miracles on this one.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in green with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
RUSSELL BREAK COMING SOON!!The Russell 2000 has been in a year long consolidation pattern - w/ price finding supply above 2315 & demand below 2165 - We are currently opening the month inside last months & last quarters value - which makes price action neutral at the moment - BUT price held up well durning this latest equity selloff showing some relative strength & a possible short term higher low - looking for a break & buildup above 2257 top setup for another test of the highs w/ probability of finally breaking out of this range increasing - however price action below this months open should b considered negative and any bullish setups would have to wait till we move back above.
Watch & see how it plays out!!!
RUT (Russell 2000 ETF) - Resistance, Support, Trend - 09/05/21RUT has been consolidating between $2123.55 and $2348.03, for this year 2021.
Bullish scenario:
-RUT price breaks up above resistances to new all-time-highs.
-Resistance levels: $2348.03, $2392.66.
Bearish scenario:
-RUT price pulls back down to test supports below (horizontal and trendline supports).
-Support levels: $2240, $2123.55, $2060.54.
Note: On the Weekly chart, RUT price has always been consolidating sideways for 2021.
Short Russell! Heck pick anything and short itMarkets look weak looking everywhere. I don't know in deep about markets and economics. But my tecnical analyse I know very good. And everywhere I see is weak technicals.
Volumes are weak
Trends are down
Rallys are weak
Dips are strong
Upper wicks are long
Vix are low
So right here I take a short on RTY. And we see how today is to go.
I still be in my gold trade from last idea. I will get stopped out though very soon. But I already make great money on gold. Now moving it into the index.
Thanks for following me and reading me.
Ms. Bunny
Long RUSSELL with Short Term UPTRENDTrend is up on the 4h chart and we are looking for entry before close to the swing low at the bottom of the first blue box.
Drumming down to the 15 minute chart it is evident there has been an accumulation close to the pivot before the impulsive move (big green candles) that created the new swing low.
Looking to buy at the BUY AREA with a Stop Loss set below this area should the trade fail, possibly marking a change of trend direction on the 4h chart.
The only concern is that the Daily trend is more sideways and therefore profit potential is limited and probability of success slightly lowered. This said it is still a great short term trade opportunity.
RTY looking a little shortI have decided to go short on RTY here at 2271. Today might be the day for the big drop, but it do not have to be today. I think we are due for the fall. Volume has been low and my dynamic moving average is starting to curl down. This often is a meaning of volatility going to increase which VIX is showing to already. We have been ranging and I have a tight bollinger. My signal hasnt gone off yet but it will soon even if RTY goes up a bit. Good luck to all!
Ms. Bunny
bearish wedge in IWM could lead to support test?IWM cant seem to make it back to all time highs like the major indices. Potential bearish wedge formation set up. Usually there is an attempt higher that if fails causes dip to wedge support.
My best guess and view is that IWM tries to rise and fails and then dips to support.
Disclaimer: I know nothing and cannot predict the future, listening to me will lose you money.
S&P 500 still near ATHs. So when top? Where bottom?Although stocks are up 100% from their March 2020 lows and up 200% from their 2000-2008 peaks, I still think there is an even bigger move coming. The way the system is structured and the direction the world is heading are all telling me that we have more upside. But will there be a break? I think there will be, but it will be a buy the dip opportunity.
In my opinion the SPX500 has a decent chance of having a 10-20% dip before the end of the year as the last two major dips it had were in Sep-Nov 2020 and the market is already up 30% above its Feb 2020 highs. So having a decent correction wouldn't indicate a bear market. After the March crash I doubt we will see a 30-50% correction in quite some time.
However once SPX starts reaching 4500-4800 I believe it will pull back down to 4000 and could even get to 3600. So the first dip to buy is 4000 and then the next one 3600. Getting to 3600 means that the vaccine/election pump has fully retraced and that would be a great place to buy.