BTC megaphone Elliot impulseHere we are ladies and gents the pattern we have been waiting for and for me personally what i think will be the decoupling of traditional risk assets and this good chunk of software.
I've been watching for anything that can come out of the wood works and i think we have found our area of capitulation. BTC hit the 50 EMA monthly and bounced right off that like a rubber band.
similar to what happened in 2020 and 2018.
Elliot impulse waves also seem to be at play.
i was looking for a decline to around the 23k to 25k area and it hit. theres a lot of things right now that is playing an effect on this though what i think could be the worst thing for the economy is higher asset prices and looks like we are going to get that both traditionally and non.
exciting times to be around.
That's all folks.
Russell2000
DXY Wyckoff distributionHere we go ladies and gentleman, after calling the bottom and an unprecedented run up in the dollar we have a top for now. (tested the 2016 highs)
This went a little over my initial projection though we can see that its finally confirmed (i think about 80%) that this is indeed the end of a great dollar era.
as far as the impact on equities I think that we could have a crazy blow off top rally with interest rates still needing to go higher to tame inflation and not much that the fed can do to pivot to tackle that.
Bonds are done for now.
commodities can still go higher.
Oil is still going to go much higher because of demand even though there is a slight trembling in the economic conditions. J pow can continue to raise rates because there is still somewhat of a strong economic backdrop and will not raise unemployment by raising rates.
only time will tell,
That's all folks
Vanguard Russell 2000 | Huge ABC correction inbound | $VTWOA five wave primary Elliot wave cycle has ended. A primary ABC correction will now take place before another primary downtrend begins. After two bear cycles there will be consolidation and reversal. Bull trend will follow consolidation.
1.) We have a right angled broadening bottom in progress
2.) We have an Adam and Eve double bottom on 1 hour and 5 minute charts
3.) The market is at exhaustion as the price cannot go lower than the mornings dump
4.) The daily chart show that the 5 elliot wave has stopped exactly at Fibonacci extension 1.236 of the 4th wave
1.5 YEAR as the INDUSTRY's been SHORTING. Sentiment RUssel 2000 small capitalization companies .
the cycles of growth and fall, aka distribution and collection (accumulating).
the index characterizes how much of private capital in market
15 months of institutions shorting
no private investors , no needed sentiment now , the Fed, wars and conflicts
I predict 1.5 year is enough and it's time for hedge funds and banks to close their short positions and start accumulating
fall 2022 when its gon be the new cycle of enormous rise
as the war ends and the Fed stops talking shit, people will be dragged to put their money into the stock market
look how Nasdaq index falls since January, there's no money in market currently , but it's about turning around in near months
remember my words
AUTUMN 2022
Market Sentiment is the most crucial
Nasdaq S&P500 big fall coming Nq!1 ES!1 qqq ndx spx r all downHi Everyone,
I will be posting my first idea after a long time. Here i am sharing my first idea.
I think Nasdaq and all other indices are up for a big fall
I have marked down the levels
I think we are in 3rd wave of 3rd of 3rd,... those who dont understand Elliott wave its allright...
this is 1.5 hours chart, I am looking for a bounce to sell from above...
FOMC Party is over folks!End of the relief rally after FOMC. Lots of shorts squeeze for the big expiry today. We should see a sharp pullback now.
We hit multiple resistances on Russel 2000 on multiple hourly, daily and weekly chart. Current price : 2050, Target is back to 1900. SL 2110
Disclaimer : I have short positions in Russel 2000 as mentioned here. This is not an investment advice but an educational idea.
Trouble ahead? SPX VIXChart 1: Whenever the the Russell 2000 came down and got close (from above) to the SPX, the SPX went further down.
(Pleased ignore the first red dot to the left, as the Russell die not come down there to meet the SPX but vice versa)
Chart 2: Whenever the VIX, coming from a modest down, crossed the red line, soon further spikes in volatility followed (red dots).
Particularly if the the VIX should cross the red line soon, you might consider hedging your positions.
Russell US2000 Daily Outlook | 22 - AprYesterday was massively profitable for me. Today, once again lets see how price will react towards my expectations.
Note: Am not a mentor, i am just a random guy who journals his trades on TView for trading community to read and comment their opinion. This not a signal hence copy at your own risk!
Kings.
Elliott Wave Analysis: Russell-Small Caps May Face More WeaknessHello traders and investors!
Today we will talk about small caps - Russell 2000 Index in which we see nice and clean bearish setup, which means that Russell may face even more weakness in current risk-off sentiment.
From Elliott wave perspective Russell can be trading in bigger, higher degree A-B-C corrective decline, where wave C is still missing. We can see five waves of decline into first leg A, followed by a three-wave corrective rally in wave B, so wave C can be now in play.
From technical point of view, Russell made an impulsive drop from the highs and retraced perfectly back to the former wave 4 resistance area, from where we can already see sharp sell-off that can take us much lower, especially if breaks channel support line.
Well, seems like bears are still in control and we should expect more downside pressure in upcoming days/weeks, maybe even down to 1500 area, but firstly we want to see broken 1900 bearish confirmation level.
Trade well!
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Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.