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Russell2000

FISHY moves in the STOCKMARKETHey tradomaniacs, Current markets mood is harder to indentify as we see the same cashflow like we`ve seen with the first vaccine-wave this year. Comparing RUSSELL 2000 and SPX500 it looks like we see a flow out of big companies into the small-cap-section. This is very weird as the small businesses were those who suffered the most during the COVID-Lockdown in the USA. Does the market expect a BOOM of these companies with the upcoming vaccine? There is one fact: More than 50% of these companies listed in RUSSELL are not making any profit 👉 They are the "zombies" of the market who are only able to survive due to financial injections by the central bank. These odd moves are forcing me to trade a bit less as I don`t think that institutional traders are willing to buy stocks of companies that only just able to buoy up. Sell off coming soon? LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me. Any questions? PM me. :-)
TVC:RUT
by Trading2ez
2
November 15 Market Update | Technical, Fundamental, NewsDescription: An analysis for the week ahead. Points of Interest: Four-Day Balance, $3,580 Spike Base, $3,506.25 Excess Low, Friday’s Late Rally Away From Value. Technical: Broad-market equity indices ended the week mixed with S&P 500 closing at a new all-time high. During Last Week’s Action: Alongside the unwind of election hedges and news that a vaccine developed by Pfizer Inc (NYSE: PFE) and BioNTech SE (Nasdaq: BNTX) was effective in preventing cases of the COVID-19 coronavirus, market participants showed increased confidence in their exploration of higher prices. Going back, last week started off with a clear break and acceptance above the $3,500 high-volume area, which suggested initiative buyers were firmly in control. Index futures pared gains after Monday’s end-of-day spike liquidation, balancing for the remainder of the week. Given Friday’s end-of-day rally, away from value, the week ended just above the balance area, providing a clear trading framework for the week that follows. Therefore, if participants were to continue their initiative activity and spend time outside of the balance area, then it's likely the market will continue higher. Otherwise, the potential exists for a failed break, which may precede re-entry into the prior balance area, and further range-bound, responsive trade. Fundamental: In a commentary, BlackRock discussed investing after the U.S. election and suggested more of the same market trends. bit.ly “Joe Biden’s victory in the presidential race likely ushers in a near-term market environment dominated by low rates, a hunt for yield and growth stocks. A Democratic takeover of the Senate looks unlikely, which would constrain the Biden administration’s ability to implement large-scale fiscal stimulus and public investment, tax, healthcare and climate related legislation.” Additionally, BlackRock cautioned investors to pay attention to economic data from the euro area and U.S., as well as watch for the government’s response to the resurgence of COVID-19 coronavirus cases which may pressure the pending recovery. Key Events: Monday: Fed Clarida Speech, Fed Daly Speech. Tuesday: Retail Sales MoM, Industrial Production MoM and YoY, Business Inventories MoM, NAHB Housing Market Index, Fed Bostic Speech, Fed Daly Speech, Fed Williams Speech, Foreign Bond Investment, Overall Net Capital Flows. Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, Building Permits MoM, Housing Starts MoM, Fed Evans Speech, EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change, EIA Distillate Stocks Change, Fed Williams Speech, Fed Bullard Speech, Fed Bostic Speech. Thursday: Continuing Jobless Claims, Initial Jobless Claims, Fed Mester Speech, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, CB Leading Index MoM, Existing Home Sales MoM, Fed Mester Speech. Recent News: Negative 2021 outlook as pandemic fallout weighs on economies. bit.ly Pfizer Inc (NYSE: PFE) COVID-19 vaccine data is credit positive. bit.ly Resurgent COVID-19 threatens corporate credit’s improved trend. bit.ly Eurozone consumer prices likely to slide for the month of October. bit.ly Joe Biden’s clean energy platform is very heavy on clean transport. bit.ly US banks’ tightening of underwriting standards slows, but remains. bit.ly IEA says oil demand will not get a vaccine boost until later in 2021. reut.rs Sour China-Australia ties hit talks over a liquefied natural gas deal. reut.rs Joe Biden’s path back to an Iran nuclear deal won’t be easy or fast. bloom.bg A COVID vaccine would boost the global economy, but not at once. on.wsj.com Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ: GOOGL) delivers internet with light beam. bit.ly Monthly Funding Recap: Unicorns are born, funding holding steady. bit.ly The IPO pipeline looks robust and these companies could go public. bit.ly Dalio suggested markets are at a special moment with China's rise. bloom.bg Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE: WFC) executives charged by the SEC. reut.rs Ford Motor Co (NYSE: F) considers making its own EV batteries. reut.rs U.S. consumer sentiment ebbs; producer prices maintain their rise. reut.rs Insurers face questions on ability to cover claims after a Fed report. reut.rs Key Metrics: Sentiment: 55.8% Bullish, 19.3% Neutral, 24.9% Bearish as of 11/11/2020. bit.ly Gamma Exposure: (Trending Neutral) 6,032,392,989 as of 11/13/2020. bit.ly Dark Pool Index: (Trending Neutral) 43.1% as of 11/13/2020. bit.ly Disclaimer: This is a page where I look to share knowledge and keep track of trades. If questions, concerns, or suggestions, feel free to comment. I think everyone can improve, especially me. In no way should this post be construed as investment advice.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by Physik
IWM : What next?? Double Top?Recently I suggest a bounce up was likely and it was correct.(see link below). Here is my current favored EWT count. It is supported on the weekly by negative divergence in the weekly RSI and dropping volume. The same is true on the 2 day chart. Also the suggest down arrow on the the 2 day chart is right at the mid-channel line which often is a resistance or support line. All of this is my best guess. SO it is important to wait for price action to confirm. If price does not go above the down arrow on the 1 hour and drops below the near term 1 hour up trend line a I will take a partial position. A drop below the 2 day up channel would be a confirmation. BUT as always process your way. Best to ya.
AMEX:IWMShort
by goodguy
Early Warning SystemI've scripted my own early warning indicator. This system has provided very accurate warning signals the last few years as to where potential tops were forming. There are several occasions where it detected changes weeks or even months ahead of trend changes. Occasionally, it's a little too early at providing these signals. I can't reveal all my secrets but I was able to use data provided in TradingView that measures true investor sentiment and implied volatility. It also provides decent confirmational bullish/long signals, but it really depends on the type of market that we're in. Pre-2017, bearish signals were flattened and mostly ignored as the market rocketed higher.. I'll continue tracking this going forward and at least use it to assist my other forecasts - just another tool in my toolbox. My current view of the market is not good. If you follow my updates, you'll know that I've been warning people about this drop and zone of volatility. Check out my other updates on the markets as well as the vix. I think it's likely to continue the next couple of months. However, take a look at the indicator and how the avg. is slanting upwards (green circle). This could be signaling a bounce in the market...but will it be like Feb of this year where we made a higher high in the market before the death drop? I have some long exposure as a strangle for such an event, but have been net short since end of August. I don't need to explain to you how the market is currently retarded in light of the fundamental picture. I'm not calling for a great depression-like melt-down yet.. We could see a lot of volatility the next few months but it may be just another opportunity to go long the market. I'll be here to provide all of the most accurate data I can for you.
SP:SPX
by gghsusa
18
STRANGLE FOR PROFITThis year has been one of the best to be a (smart) trader. We've had absolutely historic opportunities and I'm sure there's more to come. This little ascending wedge (abcde) could be creating an opportunity for a strangle (long & short). I have several strategies I follow for the other indices but I will occasionally play a strangle where I can see it going either direction. Personally, I may wait until (E) is tagged and will buy a long position in calls and hedge that position with puts. There are other ways to play the breakout but I prefer to buy at (E) and wait until a target is reached (up or down). I also like to use options that have a medium term expiry (5-6 months out) so decay and noise aren't too dramatic. Let's see what happens!
AMEX:IWM
by gghsusa
1
TWST, Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend on Oct 27, 2020.Over the last three days, Tickeron A.I.dvisor has detected that TWST's AroonUp green line (see chart) is above 70, while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the green line goes above 70 while the red line stays below 30, this is an indicator that the stock could be poised for a strong Uptrend. For traders, this could mean going long the stock or exploring call options in the next month. Tickeron A.I.dvisor backtested this indicator and found 114 similar cases, 101 of which were successful. Based on this data, the odds of success are 89%. Current price $80.72 is above $70.56 the highest support line found by Tickeron A.I. Throughout the month of 09/25/20 - 10/27/20, the price experienced a +15% Uptrend, while the week of 10/20/20 - 10/27/20 shows a -6% Downtrend. Bullish Trend Analysis The Stochastic Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected. Following a +3.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TWST advanced for three days, in 126 of 136 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%. The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. Tickeron A.I. detected that in 101 of 114 cases where TWST Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.
NASDAQ:TWSTLong
by AlTorress
October 25 Market Update | Technical, Fundamental, NewsDescription: An analysis for the week ahead. Points of Interest: $3,406.75 Excess Low; $3,470 Balance-Area High. Technical: Broad-market equity indices ended the week lower with S&P 500 retracing nearly 40% of the rally that began after the September sell-off. During Last Week’s Action: Alongside waning fiscal stimulus hopes, U.S. index products failed to show continued confidence to explore higher. Instead, as the week progressed, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi walked back her deadline for a fiscal stimulus deal. After the initial drop on Monday, equity indices remained range bound until Thursday’s session saw responsive buyers establish an excess low at the conjunction of multiple visual references. The buying continued into Friday’s close, at the high-end of the weekly range. Overall, the market’s failure to range-extend, in either direction, is a sign of minimal conviction. Currently, the market is in the thick of an earnings season, elections are nearing, and stimulus talks are off-and-on. Given that the week ended in balance, a clear change in perception will be followed by successful range extension in either direction. Adding, given Thursday’s responsive buying, there are good odds the market may make another attempt higher, confirmed by range-extension above $3,470 in the S&P 500. If participants were to auction into the $3,406.75 excess low, then the odds of downside follow-through increase substantially. Fundamental: In its global weekly commentary, BlackRock Inc (NYSE: BLK) suggested the most recent resurgence of COVID-19 is not a replay of the spring. bit.ly "We believe daily new infections are likely a fraction of the peaks then, and rising case counts are having a diminishing negative impact on mobility. The economic restart has been quicker than expected, but the part that remains will be hardest. We do not expect a similarly large hit to economic activity as seen in the spring.” Adding, however, the report noted that the economy is facing challenges as the pace of growth begins to slow. Risks to the near-term recovery include fading fiscal stimulus, a prolonged or worsened pandemic, geopolitical tensions, and election complications. Key Events: Monday: Chicago Fed National Activity Index, New Home Sales. Tuesday: Durable Good Orders, House Price Index, CB Consumer Confidence. Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, Goods Trade Balance, EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change, EIA Distillate Stocks Change. Thursday: GDP Growth Rate, Jobless Claims, Core PCE Prices QoQ, GDP Price Index, Pending Home Sales, PCE Prices QoQ. Friday: Core PCE Price Index YoY, PCE Price Index YoY, Core PCE Price Index MoM, PCE Price Index MoM, Personal Income MoM, Personal Spending MoM, Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final, Michigan Inflation Expectations Final. Recent News: House Speaker Nancy Pelosi on Sunday said the latest plan for aid is under review. reut.rs U.K.’s NHS is preparing to introduce a coronavirus vaccine soon after Christmas. bit.ly Commercial real estate, specifically office and lodging, faces greatest uncertainty. bit.ly Economy recovering slowly through October, but some sectors are still struggling. reut.rs Policy drive toward transformation of health insurance poses risk to profitability. bit.ly General Motors Co (NYSE: GM) investing $2 billion to build EVs in Tennessee. reut.rs Intel Corporation’s (NASDAQ: INTC) sale of memory business a credit positive. bit.ly Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ: GOOGL) breakup may be needed to end antitrust violations. reut.rs China’s recovery lifted industrial commodities as its economy improved materially. bit.ly Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) raised its full-year outlook after a third quarter beat. reut.rs American Express Co (NYSE: AXP) issued a dismal outlook on travel, entertainment. reut.rs Unacceptably high unemployment, low rates of resource utilization to rein in yields. bit.ly Union Pacific Corp (NYSE: UNP) reported a bigger-than-expected drop in profit. reut.rs American Airlines (NASDAQ: AAL), Southwest Airlines (NYSE: LUV) call for aid. reut.rs Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) released “Full Self Driving” software upgrade to drivers. reut.rs AstraZeneca (NASDAQ: AZN), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) resuming trials. reut.rs How blank-check acquirers could reshape emerging companies’ roles in markets. bit.ly Fintech startups broke apart financial services and now the sector is rebundling. bit.ly Texas Instruments Inc’s (NASDAQ: TXN) revenue outperforms, outlook improves. bit.ly China banking law changes will improve bank capital and formalize bank resolution. bit.ly Business activity rose to a 20-month high as pace of new growth and orders eased. reut.rs Courts rule against Uber Technologies (NYSE: UBER), Lyft Inc (NASDAQ: LYFT). reut.rs Canada’s annual inflation rate rose in September, as retailer sales growth softened. reut.rs FDA has approved Gilead Sciences Inc (NASDAQ: GILD) antiviral drug remdesivir. cnb.cx Central bank digital currencies would compound current digital disruption for banks. bit.ly The 2020 election could permanently change the way the United States does voting. bit.ly Pandemic, remote work causes migration to small towns near public lands, resorts. bit.ly Almost 60% of mutual fund assets will be ESG by 2025, according to a PwC forecast. bit.ly Google Inc’s (NASDAQ: GOOGL) dominance is reflected in search startup funding. bit.ly President Vladimir Putin saw no need for global oil producers to change supply. reut.rs More companies are offering earnings guidance, signaling adaptation to uncertainty. reut.rs The third quarter could be the ‘biggest quarter of growth’ in United States history. bit.ly Verizon Communications Inc (NYSE: VZ) beat estimates for its third-quarter profit. reut.rs Purdue Pharma LP agreed to plead guilty to criminal charges over prescription opioid. reut.rs European Union to cut Canada, Georgia and Tunisia from “white list” travel countries. reut.rs Key Metrics: Sentiment: 35.7% Bullish, 31.2% Neutral, 33.0% Bearish as of 10/21/2020. bit.ly Gamma Exposure: (Trending Lower) 2,051,710,147 as of 10/23/2020. bit.ly Dark Pool Index: (Trending Neutral) 40.9% as of 10/23/2020. bit.ly Disclaimer: This is a page where I look to share knowledge and keep track of trades. If questions, concerns, or suggestions, feel free to comment. I think everyone can improve, especially me. In no way should this post be construed as investment advice.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by Physik
RUSSEL (4H) Backtest : 68% win rate across 19 trades => 17.8 RDetailed backtest result : prnt.sc Non-looser = 84% Icons on the chart Thumbs up : Trade was a win Thumbs down : Trade was a loss Circle with a cross : Trade was breakeven Cross : Did not take the trade due to presence of liquidity (equal highs/lows) behind the stop loss Variables Avg winner = 1.6R Strategy : wait for market structure break, then trade the retest of that zone. Zone is drawn using the first candle which crossed the pivot high/low to begin trapping the traders.
CME_MINI:RTY1!
by makuchaku