IWM Volume TrendVolume spike very likely soon! Trend has been:VOLUME UP=PRICES DOWN. Watch for initial divergence where IWM could spike before correction. Eyes on that volume! This is not necessarily a good place to go long on IWM but it certainly could make a strong move up before any correction. I am positioned mostly short on market but I've had a small "long" hedge in IWM call options. Small caps have been lagging behind market oddly- I cannot discern if this is a red flag warning to the entire market or small caps are about to catch up. The volume certainly tells a story worth reading and the the 36,000ft view tells me be very careful up here- market pressing upward with major decrease in volume is a recipe for a major PIVOT down.
Russell2000
E-MINI RUSSELL 2000 INDEX : LONGThe Russell index is a SME-oriented index that mostly addresses the American domestic market.
This index should generally show parallel movements with the Dow Transportation index.
In this respect, we received a good confirmation.
Determine the position size in small amounts.
For this analysis:
STOPLOSS : 1542.5
GOAL : 1743.5
RISK REWARD RATIO : 1/3
SPX OVernight Top in Place? Lower before Higher; Correction Inc!Chart says all. Been shorting too soon as usual, but the 7-wave Triple combo is a rare and confusing pattern.
Overnight ES futurez tapped the intersection of long-term TL and near-term TL in this wedge; they converged at 3056.
China says they were just kidding and wont get serious with the Great Donald, such a big surprise!
Expect to fill the gaps from past weeks, get support around 295 on SPY and bulls may try again for the 9th wave.
A real Bearish Correction can start anytime; but seasonally Feb-March would be a likely scenario with trade and election worries looming.
On Wednesday 60% of trading was selling, only 40% buying to reach new ATH; RUT and DJT diverged, Transports just got killed; these are leading indicators.
Broader market is not in step with the indexes, which advance on progressively smaller volume and fewer issues with each successive bull wave.
VIX is sub-13 again and in a compressing wedge, expect a big pop in volatility very soon! Play the VIX with UVXY calls if you dare!
This is an idea and does not in any way constitute investment advice- trade at your own risk! GLTA!
RUSSELL 2000 - More Overvalued than During 2000? - #ValueCyclesThat's right, more overvalued than during year 2k and the subsequent tech wreck that ensued.
How?
Simple, measure the RUT against something that is not transient, i.e. in this case silver.
Frustrated with the back and forth of the market during late 2018-2019?
Not if you were measuring assets correctly, for those with the forethought to do so, they are sitting on a healthy 30%+ gain since August, with plenty of upside remaining.
Buy and Hold is dead, get smart or go broke.
#ValueCycles
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S&P 100 versus all the rest S&P 500 and also Russell 2000S&P 100 versus all the rest S&P 500 and also Russell 2000... Note that in the previous cycle 2003-2007 was a value cycle so the S&P 100 big cap names were underperform the broad market, growth cycles are mostly a concentrated big cap names phenomenon.
RUSSELL 2000 (RUT) BEARISH SIGNAL SMAsThis index just trigered a triple death cross signal (10 SMA under 50 SMA under 200 SMA). The triple cross has happened at the same time (very unusual).
Wait and see with a bearish bias until proven wrong. To be noted that the Russell 2000 index usually warns ahead of troubles in the big cap indexes.
US Small Caps with a nice Chance to Risk play on the short sideI am expecting that a bigger 5 wave move to the upside has been finished in the US Small Cap Index. Therefore we should see a corrective ABC move to the downside with the C wave still to come. This setup is valid as long as we don't make any new ATH, should we move over the 76.4% retracement this setup already becomes questionable, however at the moment it looks well intact.
ISM Manufacturing index contractionDrop below 50 = economic contraction. What's concerning is market has been making all-time highs while ISM has been going down. I interpret that as a fundamental problem and as a friend once told me, "Fundamentals are king...eventually".
RUT update for week ending 27 September 2019Weekly Data Summary Suggests:
Current Weekly Trend is Bearish
The anticipated upcoming trade range is between 1485.51 - 1555.43
If RUT is capable of maintaining the current strength as of today, there is a projected weekly target price of 1653.52
Price movement has returned to the Trending Moving Average this suggests either a stall while averages catch up to the prices or a turn in the prices in the opposite direction
The RSI that monitors bullish strength has a current weekly reading of: Neutral Bull
The RSI that monitors bearish strength has a current weekly reading of: Neutral Bull
The strength demonstrated over the last 5 weeks is currently: Bearish
Price Consolidation has formed between: 1506.77 - 1590.5
Current chart score suggests a Bullish Market is present.
Daily Data Summary Suggests:
Current Daily Trend is Bearish
The anticipated upcoming trade range is between 1506.64 - 1534.32
If RUT is capable of maintaining the current strength as of today, there is a projected daily target price of 1543.02
Price movement has returned to the Trending Moving Average this suggests either a stall while averages catch up to the prices or a turn in the prices in the opposite direction
The RSI that monitors bullish strength has a current daily reading of: Neutral Bear
The RSI that monitors bearish strength has a current daily reading of: Neutral Bear
The strength demonstrated over the last 5 days is currently: Bearish
Prices have broken through the consolidation low
Current chart score suggests a Bearish Market is present.
Comments:
Mixed sentiment between weekly and daily charts. Daily chart maybe bearish at this moment, however it may be prepared to turn again and continue back up. This is based on the divergence on the indicators between the stronger trend (week) and weaker trend (day).
** If data does not significantly change between trade dates, a daily update may be skipped. Monthly and Weekly updates will always be provided. **
RUT update for 25 September 2019Daily Data Summary Suggests:
Current Daily Trend is Bullish
The anticipated upcoming trade range is between 1536.28 - 1565.02
Price movement has returned to the Trending Moving Average this suggests either a stall while averages catch up to the prices or a turn in the prices in the opposite direction
The RSI that monitors bullish strength has a current daily reading of: Neutral Bull
The RSI that monitors bearish strength has a current daily reading of: Neutral Bull
The strength demonstrated over the last 5 days is currently: Bearish
Price Consolidation has re-established itself between: 1530.33 - 1590.5
Current chart score suggests a Bearish Market is present.
** If data does not significantly change between trade dates, a daily update may be skipped. Monthly and Weekly updates will always be provided. **
RUT update for 24 September 2019Daily Data Summary Suggests:
Current Daily Trend is Bull
The anticipated upcoming trade range is between 1519.45896 - 1547.72104
If RUT is capable of maintaining the current strength as of today, there is a projected daily target price of
Price movement has slowed below the average trade range and are suggesting either a stall for averages to catch the prices or a turn in the prices in the opposite direction
The RSI that monitors bullish strength has a current daily reading of: Neutral Bull
The RSI that monitors bearish strength has a current daily reading of: Neutral Bull
The strength demonstrated over the last 5 days is currently: Bearish
Prices have broken through the consolidation low
The price relationship to the moving averages currently suggest closing longs and protecting profit.
Current chart score suggests a Bearish Market is present.
** If data does not significantly change between trade dates, a daily update may be skipped. Monthly and Weekly updates will always be provided. **
RUT Update for 23 September 2019
Daily for 23 September 2019
In Bull territory.
Price Projection:
HMA: Bull
Bull RSI: Bullish
Bear RSI: Neutral Bull
BSI: Neutral Bull
5 RSI: 5 day relative strength appears Bearish
Consolidation: In Consolidation between 1541.88 - 1590.5
Price-Trend: .81x ATR
Comments: Time to take profit? The prices have closed under the 8MA, usually a sign of profit taking.
Prices are caught in consolidation.
Neutrality has entered into the indicators and the 5 day RSI is bearish.
Might be time to lock in some profits.
** Weekly updates will always be provided, if not updated daily, it generally means the underlying primary signals have not changed since last reported. **
RUT Update for week ending 20 September 2019Week update for week ending 20 September 2019
In Bull territory.
Projected range for upcoming week 1594.72 - 1524.82
Price Projection:
HMA: Neutral Bull
Bull RSI: Bullish
Bear RSI: Neutral Bull
BSI: Bullish
5 RSI: 5 day relative strength appears Bullish
Consolidation: In Consolidation between 1506.77 - 1590.5
Price-Trend: .56x ATR
Daily for 20 September 2019
In Bull territory.
Price Projection: 1549.42
HMA: Bull
Bull RSI: Bullish
Bear RSI: Neutral Bull
BSI: Neutral Bull
5 RSI: 5 day relative strength appears Bullish
Consolidation: In Consolidation between 1541.88 - 1590.5
Price-Trend: .94x ATR
** Weekly updates will always be provided, if not updated daily, it generally means the underlying primary signals have not changed since last reported. **
RUT Update for 19 September 2019
Daily for 19 September 2019
In Bull territory.
Price Projection: 1597
HMA: Bull
Bull RSI: Bullish
Bear RSI: Bullish
BSI: Bullish
5 RSI: Positive
Consolidation: In Consolidation between 1541.88 - 1590.5
Price-Trend: 1.13x ATR
** Weekly updates will always be provided, if not updated daily, it generally means the underlying primary signals have not changed since last reported. **