Understanding Volume In TradingVolume is one of the most crucial yet often overlooked aspects of trading. It represents the total number of shares, contracts, or lots traded in a given period and provides insight into the strength of price movements. By analyzing volume effectively, traders can identify trends, confirm breakouts, and detect potential reversals before they happen.
Unlike price action alone, volume adds a critical layer of confirmation. A price move supported by high volume is more likely to be sustainable, while a move on low volume may indicate weakness or manipulation. Institutions, hedge funds, and large market players leave footprints through volume, and understanding these patterns can give traders an edge.
Volume Types 🎯
Volume
Buy/Sell Volume
Delta Volume
Cumulative Delta Volume
Relative Volume
Cumulative Relative Volume
Open Interest
Volume Profile
01. Volume 🔥
In trading, volume refers to the total quantity of assets traded during a specific time frame, whether they are stocks, futures contracts, options, or currencies. It measures the activity level of a security and provides insights into the strength or weakness of price movements.
Key aspects:
Market sentiment: High volume often indicates strong interest in a security and can signal the strength of a price move. Conversely, low volume may suggest a lack of interest and can indicate that price movements may not be sustainable.
Liquidity: High volume generally indicates better liquidity, meaning it is easier to enter and exit positions without significantly impacting the asset’s price. Low volume may lead to higher slippage and greater price volatility.
Volume spikes: Extremely high volume after a prolonged trend may signal the end of that trend (blow-off tops or panic selling bottoms).
Market types: Volume can vary by market type. In stock markets, it is usually reported in shares. In futures and options, it is reported in contracts, while in Forex, it is often measured by tick volume (the number of price changes).
Impact on market orders & liquidity
High Volume = Lower Slippage: Large orders can be executed more efficiently in high-volume environments.
Low Volume = Higher Volatility: Thin order books in low-volume markets can lead to erratic price swings and wider bid-ask spreads.
02. Buy/Sell Volume 💹
Buy volume and sell volume are key metrics that indicate the level of buying and selling activity in a market. They help traders assess the strength of price movements and market sentiment.
Buy Volume
Buy volume represents the number of shares, contracts, or lots traded at the ask price (or higher). It occurs when buyers are willing to pay the seller’s asking price, indicating buying pressure and potential bullish sentiment.
How buy volume is measured:
Transactions that execute at the ask price are counted as buy volume.
In some cases, aggressive market orders (where buyers take liquidity) are considered buy volume.
Buy volume is often compared to total volume to determine demand strength.
Sell Volume
Sell volume represents the number of shares, contracts, or lots traded at the bid price (or lower). It occurs when sellers accept the buyer’s bid price, indicating selling pressure and potential bearish sentiment.
How sell volume is measured:
Transactions executed at the bid price are counted as sell volume.
Market sell orders (where sellers take liquidity) contribute to sell volume.
Higher sell volume relative to buy volume suggests downward price pressure.
03. Delta Volume ✨
Delta Volume (often referred to as Volume Delta) is a key order flow metric that measures the difference between buy volume and sell volume over a given period.
Calculation
Delta Volume is defined as: Delta Volume = Buy Volume − Sell Volume
Where:
Buy Volume is the total volume transacted at the ask price (aggressive buying).
Sell Volume is the total volume transacted at the bid price (aggressive selling).
Interpretation
Positive Delta (Buy Volume > Sell Volume): Indicates more aggressive buying, suggesting bullish momentum.
Negative Delta (Sell Volume > Buy Volume): Indicates more aggressive selling, suggesting bearish momentum.
Near Zero Delta: Indicates a balance between buyers and sellers, often seen in range-bound markets.
04. Cumulative Delta Volume ⚡
Cumulative Delta Volume (CVD) is an advanced order flow metric that tracks the cumulative sum of Delta Volume over time.
Calculation
CVD t =CVD t − 1 + (Buy Volume − Sell Volume)
Where:
Buy Volume = Volume transacted at the ask price (aggressive buying).
Sell Volume = Volume transacted at the bid price (aggressive selling).
CVD*t = Current cumulative delta value.
CVD\*{t-1} = Previous cumulative delta value.
Interpretation
Rising CVD (Positive Delta Accumulation): Buyers are dominating, indicating bullish momentum.
Falling CVD (Negative Delta Accumulation): Sellers are in control, signaling bearish momentum.
Flat or Divergent CVD: A divergence between price and CVD can indicate potential reversals or absorption by large traders.
05. Relative Volume 📉
Relative Volume (RVOL) is a key trading metric that measures current trading volume compared to its historical average over a specified period. It helps traders assess whether a security is experiencing unusual trading activity and provides insights into liquidity, volatility, and potential price movements.
Calculation
Relative Volume is typically expressed as a ratio:
RVOL = Current Volume / Average Volume Over A Given Period
Where:
Current Volume = The total shares/contracts traded in the current period (e.g., 1-minute, 5-minute, daily).
Average Volume = The average volume over a past period (e.g., 10-day average, 50-day average).
A higher RVOL (>1) means the security is trading at above-average volume, while a lower RVOL (<1) indicates below-average activity.
Interpretation
RVOL > 2: Indicates significantly higher-than-normal volume, often linked to news events, earnings reports, or breakout trends.
RVOL around 1: Suggests normal trading activity with no unusual volume spikes.
RVOL < 1: Indicates low trading activity, which may lead to weak price movements and lower liquidity.
06. Cumulative Relative Volume 💥
Cumulative Relative Volume (CRVOL) is an advanced volume metric that tracks the total volume traded throughout a session relative to its historical average at the same time of day.
Calculation
Cumulative Relative Volume compares the ongoing total volume at a given point in time to the average cumulative volume at that same time over a historical period.
CRVOL = Cumulative Volume at Time X / Average Cumulative Volume at Time X over N periods
Where:
Cumulative Volume at Time X = The total volume traded from market open up to time X.
Average Cumulative Volume at Time X = The average total volume at that point in time over a selected historical period (e.g., 10 days).
N periods = The number of historical sessions used for comparison.
A CRVOL > 1 indicates higher-than-normal trading activity, while CRVOL < 1 suggests lower-than-average activity.
Interpretation
CRVOL > 1.5: Significantly higher trading activity than usual, often linked to news events, earnings reports, or institutional participation.
CRVOL ≈ 1: Normal trading volume, suggesting typical market conditions.
CRVOL < 0.8: Below-average trading volume, often indicating low liquidity and reduced volatility.
07. Open Interest 📊
Open Interest (OI) is a key metric in derivatives markets (futures and options) that represents the total number of outstanding contracts that have not been settled or closed. It is an important indicator of market activity, liquidity, and trader commitment.
How it works?
Open Interest increases or decreases based on the interaction between buyers and sellers:
OI Increases: When a new buyer and a new seller enter the market, creating a fresh contract.
OI Decreases: When an existing buyer and seller close their positions (either by offsetting trades or expiration).
OI Unchanged: If an existing contract is transferred between traders (one trader closes, another opens an equal position).
Interpretation
Rising OI + Rising Price: Suggests strong buying interest, indicating a bullish trend with conviction.
Rising OI + Falling Price: Indicates strong selling pressure, confirming a bearish trend.
Falling OI + Rising Price: Signals a short-covering rally or weakening trend, as traders close positions.
Falling OI + Falling Price: Suggests a lack of commitment to further declines, indicating potential trend exhaustion.
08. Volume Profile 🎢
Volume Profile is a powerful market analysis tool that plots trading volume at different price levels over a specific period. Unlike traditional volume indicators, which show volume per time interval, Volume Profile reveals where the most buying and selling activity occurred, helping traders identify key support and resistance levels, market structure, and potential price reactions.
Components
Volume Profile is displayed as a histogram on the vertical axis, showing the amount of volume traded at each price level. It is built using tick data or intraday price action and is often calculated for different timeframes (daily, weekly, monthly, or custom sessions).
Key components of Volume Profile include:
Point of Control (POC): The price level where the highest volume was traded, acting as a major support/resistance zone.
High Volume Nodes (HVN): Price areas with heavy trading activity, indicating consolidation zones where price is likely to stabilize.
Low Volume Nodes (LVN): Price areas with little trading activity, often leading to fast price movements as there is little resistance or support.
Value Area (VA): The price range where 70% of the total volume was traded, representing the "fair value" zone of the market.
Value Area High (VAH) & Value Area Low (VAL): The upper and lower boundaries of the Value Area, acting as dynamic support and resistance levels.
Types
Session Volume Profile: Analyzes volume for a single trading session (daily or intraday).
Composite Volume Profile: Covers a longer period (weeks, months, or custom-defined ranges).
Fixed Range Volume Profile: Analyzes volume for a specific price range or custom-selected area.
Developing Volume Profile: Updates dynamically throughout the trading session to show real-time changes in volume distribution.
Interpretation
POC as a Magnet: Price tends to revisit the POC due to high liquidity and market agreement at that level.
Breakouts from Value Area: If price breaks above VAH with strong volume, it signals a bullish trend; if it breaks below VAL, it signals a bearish trend.
Reaction at LVN: Price moves quickly through LVN areas but may reverse or stall when approaching HVN.
Rejections at VAH/VAL: If price rejects VAH, it may return to POC or VAL, and vice versa.
09. Indicators 📦
Volume indicators help traders gauge market strength by analyzing the number of shares or contracts traded.
Volume (Default) – Displays the total volume traded per candle, often color-coded based on price movement.
Volume Profile (Fixed Range, Session, Visible Range) – Shows volume distribution across price levels to identify support and resistance zones.
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) – A dynamic support/resistance line that calculates the average price based on volume.
On-Balance Volume (OBV) – Measures cumulative volume flow to detect price trends and confirm breakouts.
Money Flow Index (MFI) – A volume-weighted RSI-like oscillator that identifies overbought and oversold conditions.
Volume Delta – Measures the difference between buying (ask) and selling (bid) volume.
Cumulative Delta Volume – Tracks the cumulative sum of volume delta over time to assess buying/selling pressure.
Relative Volume (RVOL) – Compares current volume to historical averages to highlight unusual trading activity.
Key Takeaways 📋
Volume is a crucial market indicator that reflects trading activity and liquidity, often preceding price movements.
High volume confirms trends and breakouts, while low volume can signal weak or false moves.
Volume Profile identifies key support and resistance zones, with High Volume Nodes (HVNs) acting as strong barriers and Low Volume Nodes (LVNs) allowing fast price movement.
Relative Volume (RVOL) highlights unusual market activity, while Delta Volume and Cumulative Delta reveal buying and selling pressure.
VWAP serves as a dynamic support/resistance tool commonly used by institutional traders.
Rvol
Groupon long position/swing trade idea - $NASDAQ:GRPNNASDAQ:GRPN may be a long from here. It put in a monthly indecision candle last month, along with a relative volume per range signal, after sweeping below a pivot near an area of interest. Also swept under prior weekly low and reversed, heading back toward prior week high.
I've started a tiny feeler position today looking for a potential weekly breakout and run up toward the highs around 19-20 and beyond, perhaps even starting a long run back up to the IPO price. I will tighten and add more if it takes out the weekly high.
Normally in this distribution I would only look for a long if it first dropped to $7.5, and it may still do that or continue lower, but the monthly relvol signal made me want to make an attempt at this one from here. Monthly and quarterly relvol signals tend to lead to the best trends.
S&P500 - Week 35 Recap and Takeaways This week was full of twists and surprises in the stock market. We managed to execute three trades, all of which ended in profit, but there were some key lessons to carry forward into next week. Let's dive into the rollercoaster that was Week 35.
1. The Bulls Lost the Fight for a Breakout
Our initial Plan A was geared toward a bullish breakout above the blue resistance level, with hopes of reaching a new all-time high (ATH). However, the market had other plans. As soon as the index dipped below the VWAPs with strong volume, our Plan B automatically kicked in.
2. Trade 1 - Initiating Plan B
As we outlined last weekend, our backup plan was to look for a 4-star bearish setup between the key zones (blue and green). The idea was to enter a short trade if the RVOL was greater than 3 and the market dipped below VWAP1 and VWAP2, provided the risk/reward (R/R) ratio was in our favor at a minimum of 1.7. This setup unfolded perfectly on Monday. We entered the trade, but as the price paused at an R/R ratio of 1.5, we decided to take 50% off the table, move our SL to the entry level, and let the market decide the rest. Although we aimed for a TP2 at an R/R ratio of 2.5, the price didn't drop that low and started a comeback later in the day. When the intraday downtrend broke near the end of the session, we closed Trade 1, netting a realized R/R ratio (r) of 0.885. Given the shaky conditions, we were happy to walk away with clear signals and a modest profit.
3. Understanding R/R Ratio(e) vs. R/R Ratio(r)
Both estimated (e) and realized (r) R/R ratios are crucial in trading. Success in trading isn't just about estimating potential gains but also about tracking what you actually realize. This distinction is vital, especially during back-testing, as it separates profitable traders from those who break even or worse.
4. Trade 2 - The Day Before NVIDIA’s Quarterly Report
On Wednesday, NVIDIA released its quarterly report after the NY exchange closed, and the results fell short of market expectations. The day started below VWAP with high RVOL, which matched our criteria for another short trade. We again set our TP in two stages—TP1 at an R/R ratio of 1.5 and TP2 at 2.5, as the market confirmed a new intraday downtrend. This trade played out perfectly, with both the estimated and realized R/R ratios matching.
Some might wonder why we closed the trade even with strong momentum. The answer lies in the green long-term bullish trend line. We placed our final TP just above this line, anticipating support in that area, which is exactly what happened. The market bounced back just before the end of the day, and we closed out the trade before NVIDIA’s report was released. The risk of holding on for more was simply too high.
5. Trade 3 - The Day After NVIDIA
After NVIDIA’s report, the S&P 500 dipped below the long-term trend line during the Asian session, but by the time the London session began, the price was fighting back. With RVOL greater than 3 and the index reclaiming VWAP1 and VWAP2, we entered another short trade with an estimated R/R ratio greater than 1.7. This trade also hit both of our TPs, and we exited just as the market approached the blue resistance zone.
6. Were There More Setups This Week
As we reviewed the week, we found that no additional trades aligned with our strategy. On Tuesday, the market bounced back from VWAP with high RVOL but didn’t offer a favorable R/R ratio. On Thursday, RVOL was below 3 during a potential setup, and on Friday, despite strong RVOL, the R/R ratio was again too low. Later on Friday, the market surged, but low RVOL kept us on the sidelines.
Conclusion
The key takeaway from this week is the importance of patience and discipline. It’s crucial to sit on your hands when not all your rules are checked. Even if the trade you didn’t take would have worked out, letting your ego guide your trading decisions can be a trap. Your ego might remember that one missed opportunity and push you to take the next trade without all your criteria being met, but that’s a recipe for disaster.
Sticking to your trading rules is like maintaining trust in a relationship. Ignoring your rules is akin to cheating; it might be thrilling at first, but it will eventually lead to more pain than gain. So, stay calm, trust your process, and let the market create the trade for you, not the other way around.
We hope this update adds real value as you continue to navigate the markets this week. Stay disciplined, patient, and focused on making smart, strategic trades!
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Trading Idea of week 35 - S&P500 - TradingMasteryHubWelcome to the TradingMasteryHub Trading Ideas!
Are you ready to gear up for the upcoming week? Join us as we dive into a detailed analysis to uncover top trading opportunities that could potentially boost your trading account. We’ll break down our strategy, defining precise Entries, managing Risk, and pinpointing the optimal Exit zones—steps that can transform your trading performance. Whether you’re just starting out or looking to fine-tune your approach, these insights are crafted to help you on your path to mastering the markets.
S&P 500 Poised to Break New All-Time Highs!
The S&P 500 has climbed back above its long-term uptrend (green trend line) that’s been in play since early November 2023. The current all-time high (ATH) of 5,680.4, set on July 16th, also marked the beginning of a mid-term downtrend (red trend line). However, two weeks ago, we witnessed a significant breakout from this downtrend, accompanied by high volume, which also reestablished the long-term uptrend. The last four trading days have been range-bound between key support (green) and resistance (blue) zones, with a stable volume profile (orange box) in between.
If the price manages to break through the key resistance zone (blue), new ATHs are highly likely. This presents a clear and compelling trading opportunity that we’re excited to share with you.
How to Turn This into a 5-Star Setup!
Before we rush into a trade, excited by the prospect of bullish momentum, it’s crucial to do our homework. This means waiting for multiple confirmations before entering the trade:
1. The Trend is Your Friend: The chart shows different trends depending on the time frame. We’re trading on a 15-minute chart, where the uptrend is clear. But we also need to confirm that the higher time frame (above our execution trend) is in an uptrend and not in a consolidation phase following a longer-term downtrend.
- Box Checked: We saw a breakout from the mid-term downtrend on August 15th with high volume (RVOL > 3) and a 15-minute close above the last higher low of that downtrend on August 19th, also with high volume.
2. We Need New Bullish Momentum: To hit new ATHs, we require strong buying pressure. This could come from a catalyst like favorable news (e.g., interest rate cuts by the Fed) or a technical breakout above the key resistance zone (blue).
- Box Checked: We’ll look for a 15-minute close above the blue zone, RVOL > 3 at the breakout, and ideally, a U.S. market opening above the previous day’s Volume Profile high to confirm a trending day.
- Plus: Price must be above both the session VWAP and 2-day VWAP.
- Bonus: An additional catalyst in the form of a market-moving news event.
3. We Need Patience: Only when all the above criteria are met should we enter the trade.
- Entry: After a 15-minute candle closes above the blue zone, but only if the risk/reward ratio is >1.3 up to Target 1.
- Risk Management: Stop Loss (SL) at 5,624.7, just below Friday’s Pivot R1 minus 6 points for market noise. Take Profit (TP) Target 1 is set at 5,678, just below Pivot R2 (also the 1.618 Fib Extension), where we’ll scale out 50% of the position and move the SL to the entry level, making the trade risk-free.
- Profit Target 2 (50%): This will likely be around 5,730, just below the 2.618 Fib Extension. If we don’t see new ATHs, TP Target 2 will be triggered by a close below the highest green 15-minute candle.
4. We Need Discipline: Trading only when all conditions are met will give us an edge in the long run.
- Discipline: Sticking to your rules is crucial for consistent trading. Without discipline, you lose the ability to analyze and refine your edge, leaving you at the mercy of emotional decisions.
5. We Need to Review Our Trades: Keeping a Trading Journal is essential for learning from both mistakes and successes. We’ll provide another e-Learning session focused on this vital topic. A simple journal can significantly improve your trading.
Always Have a Plan B!
Sometimes Plan A doesn’t play out. That’s why it’s important to have a Plan B—a slightly less optimal, but still viable, 4-star setup.
In this case, if the breakout above the blue zone doesn’t occur and the market reverses towards the green zone, we might consider a short trade instead. But again, we need a separate checklist:
1. Range Trades Need a History: The market must test key zones (green and blue) more than twice each to confirm a range.
- Confirmation: More than two touches of the green and red zones have already occurred.
2. We Need Bearish Momentum: A bearish environment is necessary for a return to the range. This could be triggered by a negative catalyst (e.g., lower unemployment rates) or a breakdown below VWAP.
- Box Checked: We need a 15-minute candle close below both session VWAP and 2-day VWAP, RVOL > 3, and the market ranging within the Volume Profile.
3. We Need Patience: Enter the trade only when all conditions are met.
- Entry: After a 15-minute candle closes below both VWAPs, with a risk/reward ratio >1.7 up to TP Target 1.
- Risk Management: SL at 5,647, just above Friday’s Pivot R1 plus 6 points for noise. TP Target 1 at 5,602, just above Pivot P (0.382 Fib retracement), where we’ll close 100% of the position.
4. We Need Discipline: As always, sticking to the plan is key.
5. We Need to Review Our Trades: Keeping track of your trades ensures you learn and improve over time.
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Conclusion and Recommendation
By focusing on clear trends, momentum, and discipline, you can capitalize on high-probability trading setups like the ones we’ve outlined here. However, it's crucial to understand that not every 5-star setup will be a winner. Even the most promising setups don’t guarantee success every time. The true key to long-term profitability lies in consistently following a well-defined strategy and maintaining a favorable risk/reward ratio. Over time, this disciplined approach can lead to steady profits, helping you grow your trading account while minimizing losses.
Having a solid Plan B also keeps you prepared for whatever the market throws your way. With these strategies, you’re not just following the market—you’re mastering it.
Can’t Get Enough? Don’t Miss Out!
Subscribe to stay updated on all our latest trading ideas and strategies. Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s build a community of traders who are committed to learning, growing, and succeeding together. Your journey to market mastery is just beginning, and we’re here to guide you every step of the way!
What You’ll Learn:
- In-depth market analysis
- Proven trading setups
- Effective risk management techniques
- The importance of discipline in trading
- How to adapt to changing market conditions
- And much more!...
Best wishes,
TradingMasteryHub
ULTA Looking SPICY for an UP MOVE!ULTA is looking absolutely spicy for an up move! We're in a strong pivot zone (both internal and external) with increasing RVOL and high volatility. This is the recipe for a huge explosion. Just like I predicted NASDAQ:INTC 's explosive move before it happened earlier today! Now, we need to look for the continuation of increasing RVOL while the price stays in the pivot zone.
Key Points to Watch:
Strong Pivot Zone ✅
Increasing RVOL 📈
High Volatility ⚡
Get ready for a potential breakout! 💥
RateGain - Breaking out RateGain Technologies NSE:RATEGAIN is one of the largest SaaS provider in the travel & hospitality industry.
Breaking out with over 100% 50-Day RVOL in first two hours of the trading day.
Already a pocket pivot volume signal.
It is also an Easy Earnings Comparison (EEC) candidate, meaning it is expected to report very good earnings in the forthcoming quarter.