BTCUSD Potential Bottom, Longterm Monthly Outlook & DCA StratJudging by the Volume, I am quite confident a potential bottom might be in.
Unfortunately, i do expect a painfully boring and long consolidation phase after this.
During these months / years, i will try to DCA as much as possible.
good luck!
S-curve
Long Curve DAO Token(CRV) vs USDTCRV is turning the weekly resistance into support. The chart is looking really bullish. No need for some fancy indicators, CRV breakout is a matter of time.
Weekly close above $5 will be a great sign of strenght, but when CRV closes weekly above $6 it will really get sent.
My target is 700% from here, by the end of the bull run, will update manually.
Curve DAO Token Straight UpCurve DAO (CRVUSDT) has been moving ahead compared to other altcoins pairs as its price today trades above EMA100.
One interesting signal to notice here is the really high bullish/green volume bars since mid-June.
We can see really strong and rising volume, while the bearish/red volume bars are small and weak.
MA200 stays just a few "inches" away but that is a very nice 50% potential gain.
This is not financial advice.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
CRV/USD - Curve about to break from the downtrend! 🚀With another push CRV can leave the downtrend represented by the resistance line at $1.4.
This 3-day chart looks quite bullish in my book, but the resistance is still firm into place.
However, the momentum favors bulls right now and should BTC not crash the whole market, strong alts like CRV are posed to have a stellar recovery.
MACD, RSI and OBV indicators are all bullish. Volume is rather flat, but buyers are in control so far.
Bias is bullish on this price action and expect some significant fireworks in the next few days. All eyes will be on $1.9 resistance if CRV breaks away.
Like and follow if you liked this idea!
DXY $119 target for short term Could we see the DXY target this curve metric all the way to $119? I am using a fractal as a visual for this possibility. This target has great resistance back in 2001 and 2002 as the DXY peaked several times. Interesting to see if we will respect this curved arch all the way through. This arch is parabolic till October 2022 if it respects the metrics.
CRV - Update of the last idea Reasons to take short:
⭐️ BTC bearish
⭐️ Trendline is 8 days old
⭐️ Trendline is clean
⭐️ Price is squeezing to the trendline
⭐️ Had false breakout
⭐️ 7th touch
⭐️ Under VWAP
Will enter when price squeezes to the trendline on 5m timeframe, the base will form and the tape will get faster.
If you don't understand the previous sentence, just use swing stop-loss 3-5%
Fix profit by parts:
1% - 1/3
2% - 1/3, stoploss to breakeven
What's left, hold to the maximum
What do you think of this idea? What is your opinion? Share it in the comments📄🖌
If you like the idea, please give it a like. This is the best "Thank you!" for the author 😊
P.S. Always do your own analysis before a trade. Put a stop loss. Fix profit in parts. Withdraw profits in fiat and reward yourself
CRV - Curvy trendline for the winReasons to take short if BTC allows:
⭐️ Trendline is 7 days long
⭐️ Trendline is clean
⭐️ Price is squeezing to the Trendline
⭐️ Volume appeared at top
⭐️ 6th touch
⭐️ 40 ATR
⭐️ Under VWAP
Will enter when price squeezes to the trendline on 5m timeframe, the base will form and the tape will get faster.
If you don't understand the previous sentence, just use swing stop-loss 3-5%
Fix profit by parts:
1% - 1/3
2% - 1/3, stoploss to breakeven
What's left, hold to the maximum
What do you think of this idea? What is your opinion? Share it in the comments📄🖌
If you like the idea, please give it a like. This is the best "Thank you!" for the author 😊
P.S. Always do your own analysis before a trade. Put a stop loss. Fix profit in parts. Withdraw profits in fiat and reward yourself and your loved ones
CURVE double bottom 📖💡🚀 Hello 🐋
Based on the chart after a long time, correction to the downside these days we have appropriate amount of volume, or we can say new volume for the price and the price is close to the major support and shape the double bottom pattern ✔️
if
the price breaks the major resistance or better to say the round number$1 to the upside and stays above this level, we will see more gain beside the range market is an acceptable scenario too 📖💡🚀
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
Bitcoin 4 Year SMA. Best tool we have to call the bottom for BTCNotice the price action near the green & red lines. Look below the green line (23.61% Fibonacci), there are 2 grey lines and then the orange & the same thing when looking above the red line (76.39% Fibonacci).
History shows us that we rarely go above or below the red/green line, and if we look to the right, it looks like it's trying to break below. When price action bounces off one of these logarithmic fib levels.
That should be a very good sign that things are turning around. But you also gotta remember that anything is possible. With $BTC at the KEY LEVEL, fighting to stay above the green 23.61% Fib...
The FOM C meeting could send us the right to the bottom of the channel. Coming down to that orange bottom fib would be around $18,000 - $20,000 depending on how long it takes to get down to that level.
We also have the 4-year SMA (1460 Day SMA) being hit again for the 4th time since 2015 & each time we came down to the MA the bottom was in and we flipped bullish.
One last thing... My 4 Year, 200 Week, 1460 Day M.A (whatever M.A you like better) is a heatmap, and if we take a look we can see that we have now stopped printing the teal/light blue & we now are starting to see
some dark blue beginning to appear. This is just another signal to add more confluence towards the idea that we might have bottomed out & we could see a reversal in the not-so-distant future!
MY MINIMALIST CHART ANALYSIS FOR $CRVCURVE
On a Daily Chart
04.24..22
0518H +8 SINGAPORE
The Market is going back to the ENTRY Zone of Interest.
Disclaimer:
The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the publisher of this idea and should not be taken as a piece of investment advice.
ALERT:
Entries on the 1.8-2.2 Zone for me.
Based on VITAL SIGNS ( RSI, STOCH, VOL., MA VOL.) Looks healthy.
1. RSI 59: still mid-high
2. STOCHS 79/72: on the HIGH
3. Volume is on the BUY side and supply is a bit low. Still have to see a spike in selling for BUYERS to really get in.
4. Downtrend went beyond the FIB 0.618 Reverssal area, so we expect it to go down further to 1.
5. Capitulation: Looking at this as a strong area for BUYERS.
6. We can expect it to push further down to the 1.1-1.8 zones. This is at the bottom of the brown minor and blue major box.
7. Expecting ave. 74% gains on the First Partial Exit - Area of Value.
My Published Ideas are not 100% Accurate. There are many factors at a given time that can change the forecast.
Looking back since the beginning of the year,
the Market had amazingly moved along the TOPS and BOTTOMS of our BOXES, signifying TURNING POINTS of PRICE ACTION, and verified by major FIB levels.
Hoping that this MINIMALIST BOX CHART ANALYSIS will efficiently help you with your DYOR as we Enter a NEW SWING CYCLE.
Charts are created on a MONTHLY, WEEKLY & DAILY Analysis of a MARKET'S CHARACTER.
It is designed for SWING TRADES at the LOWEST or START of a SWING CYCLE.
INSTRUCTIONS:
HOW TO USE THIS MINIMALIST CHART a.k.a (Bento Box)
"FOLLOW THE WHITE RABBIT!"
Just Follow the TOPS and BOTTOMS of the BOXES as a GUIDE to where the MARKET will take you.
TARGET ZONE IDENTIFICATION
The LARGE BOXES (Tops and Bottoms) are MAJOR turning points that will occur sometime in the future. While the SMALL BOXES (Tops and Bottoms) are MINOR turning points.
These can be entries to a BUY/ SELL POSITION, EXIT/PARTIAL EXIT/TOP-UP AREAS, as well as Support and resistance levels
Also includes MAXIMUM TARGET EXIT AREA OF VALUE - CONSERVATIVE (If price action conditions are right at that given moment.)
If it cannot break a TOP or BOTTOM of a BOX, It signifies a reversal.
At times I will include a WAY BEYOND PARABOLIC PRICE TARGET, depending on The Character of the Market (CRYPTOS ONLY).
DYOR for your Fundamentals, Volume, Chart Patterns, Candlestick Math, FIB COILS ( ABC ), Price Action, FIB LEVELS, Market Dynamics, especially institutional and retailer trading psychology.
NOTE: That PRICE TARGETS for ENTRY and EXITS are DYNAMIC and can CHANGE from time to time.
Wishing you all The Best Trades and Thank you all for your Appreciation and Support of My Work.
Much thanks to My 3 Mentors. They are so much of a Blessing that I also wish to share my knowledge.
Vive Le Autist!
The big orange curveA big support build upon a very large price pattern.
The trend is clear.
Also is possible to see the halvening cycles and how bullruns are more calmed in every cycle.
That means less volatility also. Good for adoption, bad for speculators.
Buy and hold looks to be the wise option.
Outlook for the Year and the Years to ComeTheoretically, the price of oil should keep going higher as the finite resource is being vehemently overused. Yet, somewhat paradoxically, the advent of alternative energy could produce the opposite effect. Between those two dynamics lie the supply-and-demand pump of the oil states, tweaking the price higher and lower as it fits the pockets of the developed world. The chart shows that oil rose from the ashes from 2016, which coincided ever since with the rise of the markets to the point of hyperinflation last year. Now as the economy is falling down, oil took an adverse course, partly due to the war in Ukraine, but largely due to the status of inflation. Politically and economically, the outcome doesn't seem to change soon. Mathematically, this is also confirmed. The orange line in the chart shows the bisecting trend line which was crossed decisively this year, marking it more likely that prices would stay on the higher levels for some years to come. Regarding Fibonacci levels, the higher point for this year seems to be around 140, to be surrounded by a relative ease in pricing, provided that nothing substantial happens at the macro political level.
LUNA/BUSD Daily TA Cautiously BearishLUNA/USD Daily cautiously bearish. LUNA currently having a Scarface moment, "You think you can kill me with bullets?". The Revival Plan posted by Do Kwon with help from the Lunatic community shows that perhaps there is enough support to have Luna rise from the ashes, but whether or not it ever reaches its previous ATH at $120 without removing or significantly modifying the UST:LUNA peg aspect of Terra is TBD. Recommended ratio: 5% LUNA, 95% cash. Price is currently trading for fractions of a cent ($0.00025748) just above max bottom as it has become a "meme coin" that some investors are betting big on recovering. Volume remains extremely high and is becoming more fairly balanced between buyers and sellers as it is attempting establish a new base. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at 30, this margin is bullish. RSI remains flat lining at the ATL of 14.25 for the fifth consecutive session. Stochastic also remains flat lining at max bottom. MACD is currently printing a new ATL at -24.65 and is beginning to form a trough; this is mildly bullish at the moment, though it would need to break out above -18 for a bullish crossover. ADX is currently trending up at 45 as Price remains near 0; this is bearish. If Price is able to break out above $0.01, then the next resistance is at $0.27. However, if Price stays below $0.01, it can trade down here for a while until LFG figures out the best way forward. Mental Stop Loss: (two closes above) $0.01.
*I'm using BUSD because the chart I had been doing LUNA/USD TA on was broken when Binance delisted that pair*
**You should only invest what you are prepared to lose into LUNA at the moment because it is currently still unclear how they plan to move forward**
LUNA is Rekt - The How and Why Terra UST was the 3rd biggest stable coin and lost its $1 peg causing LUNA to spiral
Once UST lost its peg from $1 to for example $0.50, someone could buy 100 UST for $50
and redeem it for $100 of LUNA and then sell that to USDT — making money on the arbitrage.
This essentially is what triggered the Death Spiral for LUNA because the price of LUNA is
dropping with the peg, it became race to redeem for LUNA before the value drops below
the redemption price
The UST peg failed for two main reasons:
Curve pool imbalance (On Chain Selling)
$350m UST was swapped for USDT using the Curve protocol. This left a disproportionate amount
of UST versus other stablecoins in the pool for users to swap against, thus lowering the
value of UST "on-chain"
Curve is a crucial piece of the DeFi ecosystem, allowing users and dApps to swap stablecoins efficiently.
The massive selling of UST on Curve created an imbalance in reserves, leading to the value of UST falling below the peg on the protocol.
The remaining portion of UST withdrawn from Anchor protocol was sold on centralized exchanges
like Binance driving down the value on those markets as well (Off Chain)
Curve | CRV at a potential reversal pointCRV currently trades below its MA50. Once it moves above $2.42 and closes above the MA50, I would like to enter and aim for at least $3.3, preferably higher.
What is interesting is that the volume hasn't been so low since last July. So, hopefully we can see some volume move into CRV and lift this off towards my targets.
If CRV cannot cross $2.42, I can see it dipping towards its white dashed support line.
Let's see how this plays out.
Thanks for your support.
Have a good one.
US30 SELL ZONE Continued US30USD now can stable inside the channel and if can break the curve will drop more so now will try to break it to down.
-----------------
SELL ZONE
from 34620
to get 34480 & 34350 & 34200
sl.: 34860
Recession warning on S&P500?The 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields inverted for the first time since 2019 . On Thu Mar 31st , the yield curve showed a possible warning signal that a recession could be happen at anytime, but the curve needs to stay inverted for a substantial amount of time before it gives a valid signal. People get excited about the yield curve because, historically it has been a good predictor of the onset of recession.
Against a backdrop of searing inflation, Russia’s War in Ukraine and a commodity shock, the relentless flattening of the yield curve and its predictive qualities has market watchers on edge.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. sees the odds of a U.S. recession as high as 35% in the next year, while Grant Thornton’s Diane Swonk sees the twin blow of Fed tightening and higher oil prices potentially tipping the economy into a recession. The yield curve may serve Economists more than Investors, the key factor in the yield curve inversion is that, while it can often forecast darker days ahead for the economy, it is NOT a sell signal for those who invest in stocks