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SAR

Latest update on the gold market: bearish signalsHey friends and followers! 😊 I hope you're doing well. So, here's the latest update on the gold market. 📈 The gold price chart has just hit the 200-day EMA, and the MACD and SAR indicators are indicating a shift in the upward trend of gold. It looks like we might be heading towards a downward trend for XAUUSD. In my opinion, you can consider entering the trade, but remember to always prioritize risk management and trade responsibly. 📉💼
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Saleh_Toodarvari
2
Parabolic SAR Indicator ExplainedThe parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse) indicator is a tool used in trading that helps to show when to buy or sell a stock. It looks like a series of dots on a graph that follow the direction of the stock price. When the dots are below the stock price, it means you should buy the stock. When the dots are above the stock price, it means you should sell the stock. The dots move closer to the stock price as time goes on, and they can help you decide when to get in or out of a stock. Think of it like a game of "hot or cold." When the dots are far away from the stock price, it's like you're far away from finding the right answer. As the dots get closer to the stock price, it's like you're getting warmer and closer to the right answer. When the dots are right on top of the stock price, it's like you've found the answer and you should either buy or sell the stock depending on whether the dots are above or below the stock price. 💠Trend following: One common trading technique is to use the parabolic SAR indicator to follow trends. When the dots are below the stock price, it indicates an uptrend, and when the dots are above the stock price, it indicates a downtrend. Traders can use this information to enter long or short positions accordingly, with the goal of profiting from the trend. 💠Stop loss placement: Another way to use the parabolic SAR indicator is to set stop loss orders. When a trader enters a long position, they can place a stop loss order below the parabolic SAR dot. Similarly, when entering a short position, a stop loss order can be placed above the parabolic SAR dot. This helps to limit potential losses if the trade goes against the trader. 💠Reversal trading: The parabolic SAR indicator can also be used to identify potential trend reversals. When the dots change position from above to below the stock price, it indicates a potential reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. Similarly, when the dots change position from below to above the stock price, it indicates a potential reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. Traders can use this information to enter positions in the opposite direction of the previous trend, with the goal of profiting from the reversal. The start of the downtrend or uptrend levels can also be used to indicate stronger directional changes Remember that no trading technique is foolproof, and it's important to practice risk management and to have a solid understanding of the market before trading with real money. --------------------------------------------- How the parabolic SAR is calculated : The calculation of the indicator is based on two main factors: the price of the stock and the acceleration factor (AF). The AF is a starting value of 0.02 that increases by 0.02 every time the price reaches a new high (or low) until it reaches a maximum value of 0.20. The AF is used to increase the speed at which the parabolic SAR moves closer to the price. The calculation of the indicator is done in two steps: Finding the first parabolic SAR value: The first parabolic SAR value is equal to the lowest low of the stock over the past "x" periods, where "x" is the length of the period used in the calculation. This value is used as the starting point for the indicator. Updating the parabolic SAR value: After the initial value is found, the indicator updates each period based on the previous period's parabolic SAR value. The formula for updating the parabolic SAR value is: Parabolic SAR (n) = Parabolic SAR (n-1) + AF * Where: -Parabolic SAR (n) is the value of the indicator for the current period. -Parabolic SAR (n-1) is the value of the indicator for the previous period. -EP (Extreme Point): EP is the highest high or lowest low of the current trend, depending on whether the trend is up or down. It is used in the calculation of the parabolic SAR value for the next period.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDEducation
by ChristopherDownie
2
The Bollinger Bands are Squeezing the Juice out of GrainsSoybean short swing trade: The Bollinger Bands width has narrowed to 2.56% of price which is a level not seen in over a year. A new 6-month or greater low in bandwidth indicates that a volatility squeeze breakout is likely upon us. Similar volatility squeeze situations exist in wheat and corn but they both broke to the downside significantly last week. Wheat was -6.42% on the week, corn -4.21%, and soybeans lagged at -0.20%. Soybean price reached the lower parabolic SAR which is a signal to short the volatility squeeze. The stop loss is positioned at the upper SAR for this trade. A stop above the 20-day SMA would be more conservative. The overarching price pattern is a rising wedge with what appears to be a fake breakdown in late January. If we hold below the 20-day SMA it will roll over in 3 days. Wheat shows a similar setup already occurred a couple weeks ago but it was a head fake to the upside. There is risk in wheat being at the recent low pivot for the 3rd time. It could moon from here like gold did after making a triple bottom. Note the gigantic head and shoulders. Wheat: Gold: Note the lack of a Bollinger Band squeeze at the pre-moon triple bottom: Corn also shows a similar setup, but there was no head fake, it just broke down out of the band squeeze. Corn: Soybean Crush spread: It appears positioned for a big move in either direction. Seems likely to bounce back up in concert with a soybean drop. It’s in volatility squeeze territory as well. Oil: The mother of all commodities has an inverse head and shoulders continuation pattern suggesting more downside: tldr; short soybeans
CBOT:ZS1!Short
by Skipper86
2
Bitcoin volume and momentum predict impulse buildingTLDR On Balance Volume 10 and 20 SMA Rossing bullish below the 100 SMA is mega bullish, the Stoch RSI above 80 confirms momentum is shifting. In the idea text ADX also looks hella bullish. Impulse to $41-50k very likely next couple of months before stall. Introduction I got my start trying to swing trade on 2018 on bitcoin. Before then I was pretty lucky at buying and holding, as many of us are, and tried to step up my game. I got wrecked pretty bad. I later complete miss the April Fools Day pump of 2019 and watch in doubt for months as Bitcoin rallies to a lower high in June 2019. I spent a lot of time trying to see why I missed the uptrend and found the On Balance Volume with SMA indicators by mattzab and I learned its strengths and its weaknesses (it is kinda hard to look for bearish volume divergences on a asset that has flow like bitcoin does). I renewed my understanding of the basics like zooming out to higher time frames and use of simple momentum indicators like the Stoch RSI or using common pairing of indicators, like the Parabolic SAR and the ADX. All that to say a big move to the upside is very likely. Main Chart The similarities between the 2019 and current 2022 bottoms are very clear on this set of indicators and price action. Bitcoin is basing out and showing strength after some long tern topping structure. The 2018 low was proceeded by a yearlong descending triangle and the 2022 low was preceded by a double top that took over a year to play out. Price and the Stochastic RSI The blue circle shows that price where price has been slowly strengthening and the orange circle shows that the Stochastic RSI has breached above 80. When that happened in 2018 the indicator ran across the top for several periods before having a massive pump. On Balance Volume with SMAs While the Stoch RSI was climing the On Balance Volume was also strengthening and showing bullishness. Generali accumulating when the OBV is below the 100 SMA is a good idea. Even better, if you have trust in the project, when both the 10 and 20 OBV both get below the 100 SMA. That is a sign you are in a deep and painful bear market and you are buying what other people don't want. Waiting to see the 10 and 20 cross bullishly under the 100 SMA means we have confirmation that volume as transition's to the bulls at least temporarily. It is possible for some double and triple crosses to appear. That means it is an even longer accumulation period which suggest an prolonged uptrend once the indicators and price fully turn bullish. More cautuious traders can wait tull the OBV is above the 100 or when the 10 and 20 OBV also get above the 100 EM.A. This does not get them the best prices but does get them in the trade when volatility has picked up. . The Second Chart Parabolic SAR and ADX The ADX and Parabolic SAR are often combined into the same chart. I currently favor a weekly chart for the ADX and a monthly chart for the Parabolic SAR. This gives me the sensitivity I desire on the weekly timeframe but keeps me alert to where major stalls or reversals in a move could occur. With the D+ and D- converging on one another a cross is very likely. It is very high probability when taking into consideration the main charts bullishness. A cross of the D+ and D- means a move to the monthly SAR is very likely. It also seems likely that price will have a stall in the red zone based off of previous support and resistance. I am going to use any potential stall to look at alts that are showing relative strength and rotate into them. That massive pump broke the long term downtrend of resistance shown in black and then price pumped to the red zone. For our 2022 bottom we have not seen a return to the red zone in over six months. A stall here could mean several things. Price could run beneath or at the red zone sideways and strengthen or it could impulse above all time high and then spend time confirming the previous all time high as support deep into the red zone. It way to soon to be sure. Linked Ideas and my operating assumptions These have not changed for a couple of months. The "OG" coins that did not set higher highs during the last crypto bull will set higher highs. Most of the top runners of 2021 will still be in consolidation for this cycle but we may still see a stand out. Some new coins like Optimism will have their first bull markets and go crazy then have over 90% draw downs.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by This_Guhy
3
using EMA CROSSOVER with Williams Trend IndicatorPurely for Educational Purpose Only: Indicators Used: Chart: Use Heikenashi Candles (trend detection gets easier) Signals: Buy Sell SIgnals are given by ema crossover indicator. Signals are triggered whenever EMA 5 crosses EMA25 in both directions. Blue Line: EMA 200 Long-term Trend Detection RED+GREEN Line: EMA100 Trend confirmation smoothed heikenashi candles for ENTRY parabolic SAR triangles for secondary entry signals ENTRY Condition: Buy: green candle + open above smooth candles+ ema 100 (Green Color) + open > ema200(blue line) Buy Confirmation: WIlliams Trend oscillator is above ZERO LINE and Green Color Sell: red candle + open below smooth candles + ema 100 (red Color) + open < ema200(blue line) Sell Confirmation: WIlliams Trend oscillator is below ZERO LINE and Red Color EXIT condition: when ever candle closes below smoothed candles for Buy when ever candle closes above smoothed candles for Sell
Education
by traderharikrishna
1
Saratoga Investment Corp is sailing further South than its name.SAR Goals are 24, 23. Invalidation at 33. We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
NYSE:SARShort
by Rykin_Capital
Rising Wedge in Energy ETFEnergy stocks have been ripping all year , but now there’s a potential reversal pattern in the key sector ETF. The SPDR Energy Fund has made higher lows and higher highs since mid-May, but the lows have ascended more quickly than the highs. The result has been a rising wedge. That’s a potential bearish reversal pattern with highs failing to confirm the enthusiasm of the lows. Next, the Parabolic SAR indicator just flipped from a bullish reading to a bearish reading. Third is the Moving Average Distance indicator at the bottom of the chart. This Custom Script shows price’s distance from a moving average -- in this case the 50-day simple (SMA). Notice how it recently neared the top of its range. While this isn’t a definitive signal in isolation, it shows how Energy is out of step with the broader market. (The S&P 500 is 7 percent under its 50-day SMA while Energy is 9 percent above .) This may create the potential for some catchup to the downside. Finally, you have the level around $89.22 where XLE peaked in November 2014 before beginning a six-year slide. The fund’s failed breakout through this area could also suggest longer-term resistance remains in effect -- at least for the time being. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more. Important Information TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. You Can Trade, Inc. is also a wholly owned subsidiary of TradeStation Group, Inc., operating under its own brand and trademarks. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates. Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
AMEX:XLE
by TradeStation
6
BAKE Long, shows signs of recovery. Many days of supportHello, This is our second signal after we improved our trading system. BAKE is already up 70% + from the lowest point and is holding support and rising the last 12 days. Possibility of continuation as just today we received our signal to enter, and after a long downtrend the price has broken the lip of the alligator and is going up. Enter with caution on the hourly timeframe and set stop loss @ 0.267 Hold until doji candle appears or SAR ball appears or a combination of the two. Take care
Long
by leftoudakia