Standard Bank just made a huge signal to SELL to R150Standard Bank has formed an M Formation.
The nature of the analysis is down and is a sell as it's broken below the neckline and the price is below both the 20 and 200MA>
So it looks like the next target is R150.00.
FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals also came out today and yesterday which could influence the price and the large candle today.
Standard Bank Group Says FY Headline Earnings Per Ordinary Share At 2590.4 Cents
Standard Bank posted a 27% in annual profit.
And there was an appointment of a non-executive director
SBK
Standard Bank Showing upside to R200.00 with a major warningCup and Handle formed on Standard Bank.
The price broke above the brim, then it came back down to give a conservative entry.
7>21>200
RSI>50
Target R200.00
WARNING
The biggest issue is that a GAP has formed during the formation. Statistically, gaps close 70% of the time, which means we can expect downside to come in the next few days.
Look the bias is bullish but with the gap makes it a medium probability trade.
Standard Bank almost ready for a good buy to R200 or Goodbye Cup and Handle has clearly formed on Standard Bank.
I don't like this Bearish engulfing candle that formed.
The price didn't break above the brim level so we will have to be a bit patient before buying.
We then have other bullish signs in the meantime.
7>21>200 - Moving Averages
RSI>50 -
Target R200.00
CONCERNS: Obviously we are not going to buy until we get the break. This can either go up or can crash heavily.
All we can do is wait and act accordingly.
Standard Bank upside to come to R186.29Falling Wedge has established on Standard Bank.
Price has just broken above, but it's early days.
7>21 but 200 is still flirting with the previous Moving averages...
My first target is R186.29.
CONCERNS:
The JSE is mirroring the upside of the American markets (with the good earnings results) With the Dollar strengthening again, this bull run could be short lived and the market could crash below forming a fake out. I'll nevertheless take the trade and only risk 1% of my portfolio...
Standard Bank - Sell shortWedge within a wedge - I just invented this pattern. I dub thee 'the wedgy pattern' (TM).
Price has gapped under the inner wedge.
Shaded area represents an important area for price to maintain.
A break of outer wedge would confirm my trade thesis. Sell short.
Historically, volume spikes seem to imply a start of a short-term downward trend. This holds true for the last 6-10 months.
Sugar Futures (SBK2022), H4 Bearish Reversal!Title: Sugar Futures (SBK2022), H4 Bearish Reversal!
Type : Bearish Reversal
Resistance : 19.40
Pivot: 18.99
Support : 18.34
Preferred case: Prices are on bearish momentum. Prices might potentially move from pivot level of 18.99 in line with 100% Fibonacci projection and 50% Fibonacci retracement towards the 1st support level at 18.34 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Our bearish bias is further supported by stochastic indicator as it is trading near resistance level.
Alternative scenario: Price can potentially goes up to the 1st resistance level of 19.40 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci retracement and 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Fundamentals: No major news
SA Banks & Financials packing their bag for a short trip south Well, everything on the globe is being marked down, and this includes SA banks & financials, despite much improving underlying fundamentals.
Prices for all of them are now under their 5EMA which is under their 15EMA. In this weak sentiment environment I'm looking for them to give back another 5% or so before bargain hunters like myself can't resist the risk. JSE:SBK target the R113-R115 area JSE:FSR target R48ish JSE:ABG target R116-R118 JSE:NED who knows and even JSE:CPI looks ready to retrace to the R1450 area.
Conversely stated, in the current environment the probability of these counters going up 5% is a LOT lower than them going down 5%.
In the background the fundamentals are improving - manufacturing data, bankserv transaction data, etc - so if they do dip nicely that would present a great opportunity to buy, imho. In short, take your profits and fall back :-)
Happy trading!
UC
JSE:SBK Standard Bank Joining in the FunAs for the other banking stocks, Standard Bank is looking to markup. The strength has been clear since December - see post link below. The pullbacks have been shallow and volume increases on up moves have shown buying interest. Now it is time to finalise the expected move back to R160.
JSE:SBK Standard Bank Last Push for 2020This is an odd time of year to look for any significant move but we just may have a last gasp attempt in some bank stocks to back up to previous support become resistance. After the covid drop, we have seen some accumulation in Standard Bank. Now after a sign of strength (SOS) in November we have seen a back up (BU) to the accumulation range that was formed. The breakout of the BU indicates that we could mark up to the previous support become resistance at between 16000 and 18000. This gives us a short term play to this level going into 2021. However, from there we are likely to be looking at the markdown to continue challenging the covid lows.
JSE:SBK Standard Bank Retest Breakout LevelSimilar to Nedbank and Firstrand, Standard Bank has seen a dramatic decline which ended in a selling climax (SC). We are now seeing a recovery back to the breakout levels. There is significant volume between R90 and R110 forming a last point of supply (LPS). A break above this could see a retest of the R160 level.
Dark Cloud Cover on SBKA dark cloud cover has formed on JSE:SBK which is a top reversal signal, so we can expect a downwards move.
A dark cloud cover follows a preceding up trend where a red candle opens up above the previous day's green candle and closes 50% below it's body.
This particular pattern has formed on quite a strong resistance level which solidifies the signal.
We will look at entering a short position if it trades around the 17200 level with a target around the previous support level of around 16000.
SBK Corrective Structure - Effort To BreakStandard Bank Group Ltd. is the ultimate holding company for the group’s interests and is a leading African financial services group with South African roots. The group is South Africa’s largest banking group by assets and currently operates in 20 countries in sub-Saharan Africa. Their strategic position enables them to connect Africa to other selected emerging markets and pools of capital in developed markets.
Technicals
Weekly: A predominant uptrend on SBK has been evident for a few decades now although there have been a few significant pullbacks. The current structure formation leads me to believe that we are in a large correction at this point in time. I expect some recovery soon and then will be looking for wave 3 of the correction to the downside. I expect this wave to complete on the support of the underlying trend where I will be looking for a reversal to enter the long.
Daily: There has been a break of the downward trendline but I am not convinced of the reversal as yet. I will wait for a confirmation structure on a smaller time frame before entering the long for wave 2 on the weekly time frame.
SBK ShortWill look to allocate off the shaded levels
- Shorting if price starts to trade below shaded level
- I have exposure to Financials for upside(x3), need to re-balance for downside risks. ie create synergies with open positions
- I have a bit of a bias to the down-side here, thinking JSE:MTN will drag JSE:SBK. Last time(2015) this was the case, in that instance the affect was delayed but highly correlated
My thinking is that the relationship should see JSE:SBK price affected