XAU/USD: Gold Eyes $3400+ After Explosive Surge! (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that price once again hit our targets! As expected, gold had a strong bullish rally yesterday and today, reaching both $3328 and $3345, and even extending to $3387.
This surge was fueled by escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Yemen. Since the conflict shows no signs of easing and further threats remain on the table, I believe gold is not done yet — we may soon see it push above $3400.
These are sensitive days, so please be extra cautious with your trades. Don’t let fear or greed take over — consistency and emotional stability are key to long-term success in this market.
I’ll continue posting more frequent updates to help you stay informed — but that depends on your strong support! Let’s keep growing together!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
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Bitcoin - LifeTime Opportunity! Satoshi = AliensThis is probably the last time we see Bitcoin above 94,000 USDT! In the next months we can expect prices below 70k and 60k. Why? It's because of a huge bear market that started in February 2025 with Donald Trump's election.
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On the 4H chart, Bitcoin is breaking down! The price is now below 2 major trendlines and 1 ascending channel. It seems like the minor uptrend from 74k to 97k definitely ended, and we are going to go only down. From the Elliott wave perspective, this minor uptrend looks corrective rather than impulsive. Even though there are no overlaps between major waves, the minor waves themselves look corrective. We have 3 major supports on the way down that you can use as your profit targets (see the chart).
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! It is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GOLD Analysis - Can buyers push toward 3,410$?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a clear ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting there's chances for potential continuation on the upside.
The price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and now came back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,410 target, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, a failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a deeper pullback.
Remember, always confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
BTC - Golden Pocket test & what comes next?Bitcoin (BTC) has been steadily recovering from its January correction, entering a promising uptrend that has now brought it to a crucial technical juncture: the Golden Pocket Fibonacci zone, which lies between the 61.8% and 65% retracement levels. This area is widely watched by traders, as it often serves as a springboard for either significant reversals or continuation of the trend.
4H timeframe
On the 4H timeframe, BTC recently formed an ascending triangle, a classic bullish continuation pattern. The price managed to break above the triangle’s resistance, but it failed to hold above this level, closing back below the breakout zone. This lack of follow-through signals weakness and suggests that a short-term pullback could be imminent.
Daily timeframe
Turning to the daily chart, the situation becomes even clearer. After reaching the Golden Pocket, BTC printed a bearish engulfing candlestick, a strong reversal signal. The subsequent price action saw BTC break below both the 4H support and a daily FVG, further strengthening the case for a deeper correction or trend reversal. If this downward momentum continues, the next major support zone is likely between $89,000 and $91,000. This area marks an imbalance created during the previous rally and is a natural target for buyers to step in.
However, the bullish scenario is not entirely off the table. If BTC can reclaim and hold above the Golden Pocket, it would signal a resumption of the uptrend, with the next key target being the psychologically significant $100,000 level. For now, though, the technical structure suggests that a retracement toward the $89–91k zone is more likely before any attempt at new highs.
Conclusion
In summary, Bitcoin’s recent test of the Golden Pocket Fibonacci zone has resulted in a short-term rejection. The immediate outlook is cautious, with a likely retracement toward $89–91k. Traders should watch closely for confirmation signals in both price action and volume before making new commitments. A successful hold above the Golden Pocket would open the door for a rally toward $100,000, but for now, patience and careful observation are advised.
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GOLD → An amazing recovery. Up to 3400?FX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen, testing resistance in the range, with buyers not giving up. The price breaks through the flat line and enters the buying zone; everything depends on the bulls...
Gold is rising for the second day in a row amid a weak dollar, increased demand for safe assets, and escalating conflicts in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.
Market nerves are being stoked by trade risks and instability in Asia, while investors await the Fed's decisions and Powell's speech.
GOLD is breaking out of its neutral range. Focus on 3369 and local resistance at 3381. The fundamental backdrop is favorable for gold. If buyers hold their ground above the indicated levels, the price may continue to rise.
Resistance levels: 3369, 3381, 3408
Support levels: 3352 (0.5f), 3330
I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of the local liquidity zone (long squeeze) at 3352 (0.5f) before continuing to rise. But at the moment, the focus is on 3369-3370, which are key levels (currently acting as support).
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Bulls vs Bears: 88k or 100k?Bitcoin has broken through the 4H imbalance zone that also acted as an old resistance area. The break came through a clear displacement candle, which showed strong intent from the market. That same move left behind a new gap just under the previous resistance. Although price already retested that area once, it didn’t fully fill the gap, so we could see one more retest to complete the 50% line before the market chooses direction.
Consolidation Structure
The range before the breakout was clean, with multiple rejections from the resistance zone. That zone was front-run several times, then finally broken with conviction. Now, price is hovering just under that broken level, and the new gap created by the displacement candle is still fresh and technically unfilled.
Below current price, there’s a large inefficiency sitting between 88.2k and 90k. This zone stands out because it’s not only a clean 4H imbalance, but it also aligns with the golden pocket retracement from the last major leg up. That type of confluence usually attracts liquidity, especially if price gets rejected from the gap above and starts moving lower.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
The bullish scenario would play out if price manages to reclaim the gap zone, pushes back above the resistance cleanly, and treats the gap as support. That would be a classic structure flip, where the previous resistance becomes a new base, and the gap gets inverted into a continuation zone. If we see that, the next upside targets would sit around the 96k to 97k area, where more liquidity is likely resting.
On the other hand, if price moves into the gap and gets rejected again, that confirms sellers are still active at that level. In that case, I’d expect the market to push down and start filling the inefficiencies below. The 88.2k to 90k area becomes the primary draw. It’s packed with confluence from the 4H imbalance and the golden pocket, and it also lines up with previous demand zones. If price reaches into that area, it could trigger a strong reaction and potentially form the next higher low.
Price Target and Expectations
If we see rejection from the current gap, the target shifts to the 88.2k to 90k zone. That’s where I’ll be watching for bullish signs, since it’s the type of level where buyers often step in. A clean reaction there could be the start of a new leg higher. But if the market doesn’t get that low, and instead pushes up through the resistance, then the bullish breakout scenario is active, and we’d be aiming higher toward the 96k range or even the 100k.
Current Stance
Right now, I’m in reactive mode. The trade will depend on what happens at the gap zone. If we get another rejection from it, I’ll look for a move into the golden pocket below. If we reclaim the gap and break resistance, I’ll be looking to enter on confirmation of the flip. No trade from the middle, only once price gives clear direction from either key level.
Conclusion
This is a clean two-scenario setup. Either price fills the remaining gap and flips resistance, triggering the bullish continuation, or we reject from that area again and drop into the 88.2k to 90k range for a deeper liquidity grab. Both are valid, and both offer high-probability trades once price confirms the path.
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BTC - Will history repeat itself?In this description, I will compare the current price action of BTC with the market behavior seen in 2021. Both cycles share notable similarities in their structure.
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2021 bullmarket
During the 2021 bull market, BTC displayed classic topping price action. The chart showed slightly higher highs and higher lows, eventually forming a bearish Head & Shoulders pattern. This signaled a shift in momentum, and BTC subsequently broke down, confirming the bearish outlook.
At the lows later in 2021, Bitcoin’s price action became more corrective, with slightly lower lows and lower highs-often an early indication of a potential trend reversal. That reversal materialized as BTC launched into a strong impulse move to the upside, rallying all the way to the key Golden Pocket Fibonacci level before experiencing a modest retracement.
Following this healthy pullback, BTC gathered enough strength to break through resistance and surge to a new all-time high (ATH), which ultimately marked the peak of that bull cycle.
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This bullmarket
In the current bull market, BTC formed a classic double top pattern, echoing similar setups from previous cycles. After reaching highs near $110k BTC experienced a significant correction, dropping to around $74k. At this level, the price action turned corrective, with a series of slightly lower lows and lower highs-reminiscent of the consolidation seen at the 2021 market bottom.
During this consolidation, BTC established three notable lows, forming a potential base for a reversal. Following this corrective phase, BTC surged upward in a strong impulse move, reaching the critical Golden Pocket-the 61.8% to 65% Fibonacci retracement zone, which is widely regarded as a key area for potential reversals or continuation of trends.
Currently, BTC is consolidating near this Golden Pocket. Traders are watching closely to see if the price will face rejection here, as it did in 2021, or if it can break above and sustain a new uptrend. The outcome at this level will likely determine whether the next major move is a continuation to new highs or a deeper retracement.
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Conclusion
When comparing the corrections following the 2021 and 2025 peaks, the similarities are striking. Both cycles feature a bottom formed through a similar pattern, followed by a strong move up to the Golden Pocket Fibonacci level. The key question now is whether BTC will experience another corrective pullback before making a renewed attempt at the all-time high, or if it will break through resistance and continue its upward momentum. Only time will tell which path the market will choose.
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BITCOIN - Bullish Continuation After BreakoutCOINBASE:BTCUSD has broken above a key daily resistance zone and is now pulling back for a potential retest. This area previously acted as a resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this level, price is likely to continue upward toward the 102,000 level, which serves as a logical target based on previous structure. Conversely, a failure to hold this support could signal a potential shift and invalidate the bullish continuation.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wick rejections from the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Lingrid | GOLD structure BREAKOUT. Potential BULLISH RallyThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD has broken out of a descending triangle and bearish channel, signaling a short-term reversal. After printing a Lower Low near the support area, price surged past the downward trendline and is now forming a consolidation above it. This suggests bullish strength, but a retest of the breakout level may occur before a continuation.
📌 Key Levels
Support Zone: 3,219 – 3,321
Breakout Target: 3,435
Invalidation Level: Below 3,219 (re-entry into previous bearish structure)
⚠️ Risks
Rejection near 3,435 or failure to hold above the trendline could trigger a correction.
Bearish divergence or strong resistance at 3,487 may cap upside.
Upcoming economic news (e.g., NFP, CPI) could lead to volatility.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Bitcoin - Is It Possible to Test the ATH Once More?The weekly structure on Bitcoin remains firmly bullish. After consolidating below major resistance through much of 2024, price finally broke out decisively in November 2024, triggering a clean impulsive move that led to a new all-time high in January 2025. That breakout was significant, not just a short-term spike but a structural shift that confirmed long-term bullish momentum.
Since then, Bitcoin pulled back in a controlled and clean fashion, retesting the same zone that initiated the breakout. This type of price action, revisiting the origin of displacement and holding above it, is classic trending behavior and shows that the market still respects the bullish order flow.
Consolidation Structure
The zone that once acted as resistance has now flipped into support. Price dipped into the weekly candles that caused the breakout and closed above them, showing that buyers are still in control. That area also aligned with a fair value gap, giving additional confluence. The reaction out of this zone was strong, confirming it as a valid demand level.
Since that retest, we’ve seen another leg up, and now a new weekly fair value gap has formed just beneath the current price. I’m watching that imbalance as a potential short-term pullback area, and ideally, I want to see price fill it to around the 50 percent level before continuing higher.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
The bullish scenario remains valid as long as Bitcoin continues to hold above the previous breakout zone. I’m expecting a pullback into the newly formed fair value gap, ideally down toward $89,000, which marks the 50 percent line of the imbalance. If price taps that level and begins to bounce, that would be a potential signal for continuation toward the highs.
The bearish scenario only comes into play if price breaks back below the original breakout zone, invalidating the structure and showing weakness across the weekly levels. As long as we stay above that structure, there’s no reason to fade the trend.
Price Target and Expectations
Main expectation is a healthy pullback into the $89,000 zone to partially fill the new weekly imbalance. From there, I’ll be watching for signs of strength such as bullish engulfing candles or strong closes above the midrange of the gap. If buyers show up there, the logical next step is another attempt at the all-time high.
The ATH remains the key target for this leg, and that’s where I’ll be looking to take partial profits or reduce risk depending on how price behaves near that zone.
Current Stance
Still leaning bullish. Structure is clean, key levels are being respected, and the market has shown a clear tendency to react from weekly imbalances. I’m not chasing price into highs, but I am interested in the 89K region as a potential re-entry zone. If price gives a clean reaction there, I’ll be looking to scale in or add to existing positions.
NEWS TOMORROW
Keep in mind that FOMC is scheduled for tomorrow, which could bring a wave of volatility across all risk assets. That might trigger wicks or erratic price action even if the higher timeframe trend remains intact. Manage risk accordingly, don’t overreact to the first move, and stay focused on the weekly structure. As long as the market respects it, this still looks like a setup that wants to reach for the ATH once more.
Conclusion
Bitcoin broke out in November 2024, reached a new ATH in January 2025, and has since pulled back to retest the zone that caused the breakout. That retest held perfectly and has now led to another move higher. With a new weekly gap in play, I’m watching for a 50 percent fill around 89K before the market potentially gears up for another attempt at the highs.
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If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts with our chart idea playing out as analysed.
After completing 3260 and 3308 yesterday, we stated that we now had ema5 lock above 3308 opening 3340.
- This was done perfectly completing this target with plenty of time to get in for the action. We are now seeing ema5 lock above 3340 leaving 3428 open. Any rejections on this zone will see price testing the lower Goldturns for suport and bonce inline with our plans to buy dips within the overall structure.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3260 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3260 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3308 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3340 -DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3382
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3382 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3217
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3217 WILL OPEN THE BEARISH TARGETS
3174
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3174 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3126
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3078 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3034 - 2979
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD - Bullish Structure with Potential Continuation PlayThe current 1-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) demonstrates a clean bullish structure supported by an ascending channel and multiple unmitigated Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) acting as potential demand zones. This setup highlights the strength of the ongoing uptrend and offers insights into a high-probability continuation entry should price retrace.
Market Context and Trend Structure:
Following a prolonged downtrend visible in the earlier part of the chart, Gold reversed decisively with a bullish break of structure. Since then, price has been consistently printing higher highs and higher lows while respecting an ascending parallel channel. This channel, marked by two trendlines, encapsulates the short-term bullish momentum.
The current move is strong and impulsive, suggesting that institutional order flow is behind this leg. Candles are elongated with minimal wicks on the upside, reinforcing the idea of aggressive buying pressure.
Key Demand Zones and FVG Analysis:
Three major Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have formed along the recent bullish leg, each potentially acting as a zone of reaccumulation. These FVGs are marked in green and correspond to areas where price left inefficiency after strong upward moves without immediate retracements.
* The most recent FVG, located just beneath current price, aligns with a minor structure support zone and overlaps partially with the lower boundary of the ascending channel. This area stands out as a prime candidate for a bullish continuation entry, particularly if price retraces and shows signs of holding.
* The middle FVG, slightly lower in the structure, represents a deeper mitigation level and could serve as a secondary entry in case the initial zone fails to hold.
* The lowest FVG is a broader inefficiency zone that formed near the base of the bullish reversal. If price returns this far, it would likely signify a temporary shift in momentum or deeper liquidity hunt before another leg upward.
Channel Structure and Momentum:
The ascending channel has been respected throughout the rally, offering visual confirmation of trend strength and the rhythm of pullbacks. The current price is near the upper boundary of the channel, and a short-term retracement is a logical expectation before continuation.
A pullback into the FVG + lower channel region would represent a convergence of structure, imbalance, and trendline support. These overlapping technical elements enhance the probability of a bounce from this zone.
Projected Path:
The chart also suggests a conservative bullish continuation projection, aiming toward the zone marked around 3449.12. This level appears to be a measured move extension and a safer target in relation to the overall structure. However, the note on the chart implies that the all-time high (ATH) could also be in play if momentum continues and market conditions remain supportive.
The key here is the behavior around the nearest FVG. If price retraces and holds this area—potentially forming a bullish engulfing or confirmation on lower timeframes—it may offer an ideal continuation entry with minimal drawdown.
Conclusion:
This Gold 1-hour chart reflects a strong bullish structure with clear institutional footprints left in the form of unmitigated FVGs. The alignment of ascending channel support and bullish imbalances creates a favorable setup for continuation traders. Watching the immediate FVG zone will be critical, as it may define the next impulsive leg toward higher targets. If that zone fails, deeper FVGs below offer secondary opportunities while maintaining the bullish bias as long as structural higher lows remain intact.
Euro will exit from pennant and grow to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at this chart, we can see how the price, after a strong upward impulse, the price entered into a consolidation phase, forming a classic upward pennant pattern. Throughout this structure, the price repeatedly respected both the support line and resistance line, tightening inside the pennant while still holding above the support level at 1.1300. This zone, between 1.1280 and 1.1300, marked as the buyer zone, has acted as a strong floor multiple times. Every touch to this area sparked bullish reactions, and most recently, we can see the rice once again starting to grow after dipping into this zone. On the upper side, the resistance level at 1.1430 coincides with the breakout target of the pennant, and also lies just below the seller zone, making it a logical TP 1 area for bulls. The current price action suggests that after a minor pull-back, the price may test the lower pennant edge and then rebound, potentially initiating an impulsive breakout toward 1.1430. Given this structure and the strong base forming around 1.1300, I expect Euro will grow upward toward my TP 1 at the 1.1430 level, thereby exiting from the pennant. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
AUDUSD - Sell Setup at Key Supply ZoneOANDA:AUDUSD has reached a key resistance level, marked by significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reaction if sellers step in again.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance level, there is a high probability of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 0.63650 level, which serves as a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
GOLD → Gold not ready to fall? What's going on?FX:XAUUSD is forming a local bottom and is not ready to continue falling. The price is breaking through the downward resistance amid a weakening dollar and a complicated fundamental backdrop.
At the beginning of the week, the price of gold stabilized above $3,250 as investors returned to defensive assets due to ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade agreements with China and Japan, as well as growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine.
The weakness of the dollar ahead of the Fed meeting and declining expectations of a rate cut are also supporting demand for gold. The focus remains on US trade news and the possible hawkish tone of the Fed this week.
Technically, the price is testing the bottom of the range as resistance. If there is no reaction to the false breakout and the price continues to storm 3268, then a breakout and consolidation above the level will allow it to strengthen to 3292-3314.
Resistance levels: 3269, 3294, 3314
Support levels: 3243, 3222, 3204
The price is forming a second retest of 3269 since the session opened. Buyers are testing resistance for a breakout. If the bulls break 3269 and consolidate above 3270, the chances for growth will be good. I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of the liquidity zone at 3243 before growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Although our plan to short from the initial level didn't work as the level was broken through, the 2nd level gave us a scalp for a decent capture. Today we shared the long trade with the wider community, again giving a nice return, and that was enough on gold for the day.
We're a little stretched now and going long can be a bit risky with this 3390-95 region accumulating and starting to draw the mean upside. For that reason we've highlighted the potential range with support below at the 3360-5 level and resistance 3420 and above that 3431. These higher levels if attacked before a retracement we feel may give the opportunity to take the short, otherwise, support below holds, we're active above.
A break below 3385 is needed to go lower!
Red boxes:
Break above 3235 for 3243✅, 3245✅, 3247✅, 3252✅ and 3270✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3220 for 3210, 3206, 3196, 3188 and 3179 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
HelenP. I Bitcoin may continue to grow inside upward channelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After bouncing from the lower boundary of the ascending channel and reacting strongly from the support zone near 92000, the price continues to respect the bullish structure. This level, which also aligns with the dynamic trend line, has acted as a powerful area of interest for buyers. Every touch to the trend line has resulted in a reversal to the upside, and this time may be no different. Previously, we saw a clear upward impulse that formed the base of the current trend channel. Then the market entered a consolidation with smaller pullbacks and held the 93000 zone with confidence. The recent retracement toward the trend line and support area is forming a higher low, which confirms buyer strength and sets the stage for another bullish leg. Given the strong support zone, the presence of an upward channel, and the steady bullish structure, I expect BTC to resume its upward move. My current goal is 99000 points. All elements signal bullish continuation. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout Confirmed – Bulls Eye Higher TargetHello guys!
Gold has successfully broken above the key resistance level marked as the breakout level, confirming bullish momentum. This breakout follows a clear bullish divergence, indicating a reversal from the recent downtrend. The strong upward movement suggests increased buyer interest and continuation potential.
Two bullish scenarios are in play:
Scenario 1: Price continues upward from the current breakout zone without a retest, targeting the next resistance area around $3,440–$3,470.
Scenario 2: A pullback to the breakout level or the demand zone near $3,325–$3,340, followed by a bullish continuation.
What I see:
✅ Bullish divergence identified at the recent low
✅ Breakout from a significant resistance level
📈 Momentum favors continued upside
Bitcoin Still Stuck in Resistance – Eyes on CME Gaps & USDT.D%Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) touched $92,830(first target) and started to rise as I expected in the previous idea . Overall, Bitcoin has been moving in a range for about 12 days .
Note : In general, trading in a range market is more difficult than in a trending market . If your performance in a range market is not good, it is better not to trade until the trend is clear (this is just a suggestion).
Bitcoin is currently trading at a Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) and has failed to break through it, and it seems like Bitcoin needs more momentum to break through this zone. Do you think Bitcoin will finally break through the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500)?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it appears that Bitcoin has completed a five-wave impulsive and we should expect Corrective waves .
The analytical conditions of the Bitcoin chart have been a bit ambiguous in the past few days, so it's better to take a look at the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart to increase the accuracy of Bitcoin analysis .
USDT.D% failed to break the Support zone(5.13%-4.95%) after several attacks. It currently appears to be forming an Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern . It appears that USDT.D% needs to complete this pattern to break the support zone, and if this pattern fails , we should expect further increases =Bitcoin crash .
I expect Bitcoin to decline to the Support zone($92,910-$91,414) , 21_SMA(Weekly) and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($93,359-$92,296) and probably fill the CME Gap($92,525-$91,415) this time and then start to rise and prepare to break the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) and fill the CME Gap($97,680-$96,455) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,989-$97,924
Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the Support zone($92,910-$91,414), we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-6 : GAP Breakaway patternToday's pattern suggests a morning GAP will take place and price will continue to break away from yesterday's body range.
Given the fact that the markets are already almost 0.8-0.9% lower than yesterday's closing price level, this suggests the markets will continue to trend downward today.
Is this it? Is this the breakdown for May 2-5, seeking the Major Bottom I've talked about for the past 3+ weeks?
We'll find out over the next 5-10+ days.
Ultimately, the EPP patterns have aligned across multiple instruments/symbols to present a very clear opportunity to the downside. Now, we need to watch and wait as the markets should be moving into the early FLAGGING stage of the downward EPP pattern.
After the FLAGGING pattern, we should get the breakdown into consolidation, which is where I believe big profits can be made. That breakdown into the consolidation phase is usually very aggressive and can often be after the FLAGGING range.
Gold and Silver are making a move higher. I suggested this would be the case over the past 5-10+ days - but, boy, was it frustrating to watch Gold and Silver consolidate over the past few weeks.
At this point, I'm looking for Gold to rally above $3500 and for Silver to attempt to rally above $34.00.
Bitcoin seems to be leading the SPY/QQQ (again) and appears to be about 2-3 days ahead of the major US indexes, attempting to move into a downward FLAGGING formation.
This could be very interesting if BTCUSD continues to lead the SPY/QQQ. Meaning, we may be able to rely on the structures/setups in BTCUSD as a 2-3 day early window of that the SPY/QQQ may be doing (for a while). I'm sure it won't continue to align at some point in the future.
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Tim's Fundamental View LayoutHere is the way that I view any stock for an initial analysis to get an idea of what the market is valuing and viewing the company.
I first look at the free cash flow, so that is directly under the price chart. Free cash flow is the life-blood of the company and can be used to pay dividends and to reinvest in the company to grow the top line or to buy back stock.
Next I look at the PSR or Price-To-Sales-Ratio. This ratio is paramount for me since the top line shows up first for companies and is the starting point for analysis. Companies with low or no sales growth get priced very differently from companies with high growth. Start with sales growth in your analysis. There are many great books on the topic written by Kenneth L. Fisher, the creator of the tool.
Next "Avg Basic Shares Outstanding" to see if the company is constantly diluting investors and raising capital or hiding expenses by giving out stock options each year. Old companies in slow growth industries tend to buy back stock and growth companies grow shares outstanding and is a strong headwind for investors.
Next is "Long Term Debt"... which is another extremely important variable to look at with any company. In the long run, debt is the cheapest capital since you can pay it off cheaply but it can also drag down a company when the future is uncertain and unpredictable. Companies with predictable sales and growth often load up on debt which enhances returns for equity owners, but increases the risk long term. Jet Blue NASDAQ:JBLU is case in point for this as in 2000 before the pandemic it had a $5 billion market cap with $1 billion in debt and now it has over $8 billion in debt and the market cap is down to $1.5 billion. It is very difficult to get out from under such a heavy debt load. Debt can be "death" for any company if overused.
Next is "Revenue" graphed annually. Essential to see if inflation impacts sales growth or if it can't keep up with inflation. The last 5 years was between 20%-50% inflation depending on the industry so if a company doesn't have higher revenues by at least 20% since 2019, then this reveals a weakness in their pricing power which is a very competitive market with likely declining or low margins.
Last is "Market Cap". It is always good to know the market capitalization of any stock that you own. It is the foundation for understanding if any investor would ever want to buy the whole company and what would it cost to buy it and what are the "returns" from owning the whole company.
I hope you can copy this layout for your own so you too can have a one-page view of the history of a company to help you get your mind around its valuation and potential along with understanding the risks all in one, easy picture.
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPUSD is currently trading around 1.33400 and is displaying a promising bullish setup. The price action is coiling within a symmetrical triangle, which typically signals a potential breakout. A clear bullish structure has already formed following the recent impulse wave, and with the consolidation tightening, we are now closely watching for a breakout to the upside. The expected bullish breakout aligns with the projected target of 1.36000, offering a strong risk-reward opportunity for trend-following traders.
From a fundamental standpoint, the British pound is showing resilience despite broader dollar strength. Recent comments from the Bank of England have maintained a cautious yet firm tone regarding inflation control, hinting at the potential for rates to stay elevated longer than markets previously priced in. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar index has seen some pressure amid mixed economic data and increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve may hold rates steady in the upcoming sessions.
Technically, GBPUSD remains well-supported above the 1.32500 level, with buyers defending key horizontal and trendline support areas. The recent compression in price suggests that volatility is about to expand, typically favoring the direction of the initial trend, which in this case remains bullish. Momentum indicators are beginning to curl higher, further supporting a breakout scenario.
In summary, GBPUSD is setting up for a high-probability bullish continuation. A confirmed breakout from the triangle could ignite a fresh rally toward 1.36000, especially if supported by dovish Fed rhetoric and firm UK economic sentiment. This setup is one to watch closely as it aligns both technically and fundamentally, positioning it as a favorable opportunity for medium-term swing trades.