Ethereum (ETH) – Strategic Trade PlanEthereum (ETH) continues to show resilience, currently trading around $1,790 after a strong bounce earlier this month. While the crypto market remains volatile, ETH is holding key technical levels that could fuel a major move in the coming weeks.
🎯 Entry Points:
Market Price: $1,790 — Ideal for an early position, as ETH holds above critical support zones.
$1,645 — Secondary strong support, aligning with the 20-day EMA; great for scaling in if market pulls back.
$1,400 — Deep value zone, offering a high-risk/high-reward setup if broader market correction occurs.
💰 Profit Targets:
$2,500 — First major resistance. A realistic mid-term target if bullish momentum sustains.
$3,000 — Psychological milestone and breakout confirmation level.
$3,800+ — Ambitious but achievable with broader crypto market recovery and strong ETH network metrics.
🛡️ Risk Management:
Set stop-losses dynamically below each entry support level.
Scale into positions progressively to manage volatility.
Monitor macroeconomic trends and Bitcoin's influence closely.
🔍 Key Observations:
Strong on-chain activity supports a bullish thesis.
Current resistance around $1,812 must be broken to confirm bullish continuation.
Be cautious of sudden market-wide corrections — always plan your exits and manage your risk accordingly.
📢 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk, and you should only invest what you can afford to lose. Always perform your own research before entering any position.
Seasonality
AMSC | Bullish Momentum Building Breakout in Progress?📈 NASDAQ:AMSC 🚀
American Superconductor (AMSC) is quietly showing strength, and it's time to pay attention. After bouncing off the support zone near $18.80–$19.30, the stock has reclaimed the $20.50–$21.10 entry range, with volume picking up as it challenges key resistance.
🧠 Why it's interesting now:
✅ 56% YoY revenue growth last quarter 📊
✅ LSE:80M in cash, no urgent need for dilution
✅ Clean energy + grid modernization = tailwind
🧩 Technical Setup:
✅ Entry Zone:
$Market price
$19.5-20.5
$18.5
✅ Breakout Trigger: $22.38
🎯 Target 1: $23.50
🎯 Target 2: $25.70
🎯 Stretch Target: $28.00 +
This is a high-beta, high-volatility name — perfect for swing traders who can manage risk. Watch that breakout above $22.38; it could open the door to a fast move toward mid-$20s.
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research before making any trading decisions. I'm not a financial advisor.
NDX Index Funds Vs Foreign NDX funds performance post rotationThis nothing but an idea I am publishing to track my performance for rotating profits in NDX funds into averaging down foreign funds in a retirement portfolio. I want to point out had taken profits previously and was trading bitcoin and GME with them until i found a candidate for rotation at a price point i liked.
I am neither bullish or bearish. The publication is for me others to learn how well rotation performs over time versus setting and forgetting.
Thesis — How XRP Could Reach Triple Digits Within 12 MonthsAbout a month ago, I pointed out a pattern that preceded XRP’s explosive bull run in 2017. That same pattern is now playing out almost identically — and if the fractal continues to hold, XRP could be gearing up for another major move.
Frankly, the 4-hour chart is a near-mirror image of 2017’s setup. I’ve overlaid the original bar pattern onto today’s price action — the resemblance is hard to ignore.
If this plays out:
We could see a test of all-time highs within a week
Double-digit XRP by mid-year
Triple-digit XRP by late 2025 or early 2026
No guarantees, of course — but the structure is clear, and the setup is there.
For context, I view the November rally as XRP simply reverting to where it would have been had regulatory pressure not artificially suppressed the price. That move wasn’t the bull run — it was a reset.
Importantly, alt season still hasn’t kicked off (just look at BTC dominance), and XRP’s fundamentals are stronger than ever:
Lawsuit behind us
ETFs likely coming
Ongoing partnerships
Pro-crypto regulatory tone globally
Technically and fundamentally, XRP has never looked better.
Is It "GO" Time for $DOGE Dominance to Flippen BTC?Been talking about this for a while.
Early, but not wrong.
Remember: nothing ever moves in a straight line except c0caine- and even then, only if you're a degenerate.
But enough about my theory- this market is breaking a lot of old "ObViOuS" patterns, because they never repeat perfectly.
What do YOU think is going on here?
Is it actually GO time?
Nasdaq US100 Wave 3 Expansion Toward 31,606 in PlayNasdaq US100 has completed a significant wave cycle with a confirmed wave 1 in the broader Elliott Wave structure. Following this, price underwent a corrective wave 2 that extended from the $22,237 supply zone down to $16,334, marking the conclusion of the previous cycle’s correction. This structure now signals the initiation of a fresh upward impulse, setting the stage for a powerful wave 3 advance.
The emergence of wave 3 will gain full confirmation once price successfully breaks above the external supply zone, reclaiming $22,237. If this breakout occurs with sustained momentum, the wave 3 projection targets an expansion toward $31,606, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension from the prior cycle. This forthcoming rally is anticipated to unfold in a five-subwave format, indicative of a high-momentum bullish leg.
As long as price action remains above the key support at $16,334, the bullish cycle remains valid. All eyes should now be on the breakout structure and volume profile around $22,237, as it represents the gateway to a much broader impulsive move.
BTC to create a low and then a new ATH!BTC may go low around 95k before pushing for a new ATH. This analysis is based on past price action as seen in red lines and previous circles. It confirms to the basic market structure analysis of HH, HL and HH.
However, do note that past price actions do not indicate certainty of future price. DYOR
BTCETH parabolic run pointing towards 100:1Historically, during bull markets, Ethereum frequently surpassed Bitcoin at various moments.
However, this time around, that trend has not materialised, leading to a decline in investor confidence.
With capital exiting the ETH market, sentiment has soured, and critical indicators are revealing significant losses.
Unless a robust bullish turnaround occurs, Ethereum's struggle may persist, as the market currently favors Bitcoin as the more secure option.
However once this parabola breaks, we could see a strong snap back reaction in favour of the more riskier #ALTS, #DEFI and #MEMES as #ETH is still the home for stablecoin issuance and still the most trusted secure smart contract blockchain available.
Bitcoin dominance and the altseasonIn this chart, you can see the Bitcoin dominance from 2017 till now.
The depth of the altseason was 35.14% and for the bear market we went up, up to 73.02.
If we take a Fibonacci retrace level, we can see during 2021 altseason we were only retraced 0.893 or 89.3% what we lost during bear market.
It was something new and for the first time, Bitcoin Dominance didn't make the new all time low.
Following the same fact, I decided to find the possible levels for bitcoin dominance to top. we are getting closing the the 0.786, this level usually the last level that we could be bearish in any chart, however remember that last altseason we passed 0.786 but rejected at 0.893.
My opinion would be we are reaching to the top of Bitcoin dominance sooner than later, I can easily see Alts are reversing from bearish in short term and BTC Dominace Maxing in stoch RSI.
When you stay longer than usual in max excitation in stoch RSI you will be doing longer in opposite direction as well
Max BTC dominance can reach 66.2%
However, worse case scenario I am expecting at least BTC Dominace during altseason drop to 49.14% which is a historical support and also resistance during BTC season and Alt Season.
Ideally, we should go down up to 45.30% as it would be the 0.786 of the range from 39.9% to 66.2%
However, if we are able to make a new All time low in BTC dominance first idea place to see rejection or reaction would be 32.38%
NFLX Institutional Momentum Anchored in Multi-Decade ChannelNetflix (NFLX) has maintained a structurally intact long-term bullish momentum, consistently trading within a well-defined ascending channel dating back to the early 2000s. Price action has respected dynamic support and resistance levels within the channel, establishing a sequence of higher highs and higher lows that validate the primary uptrend.
Following a breakout from a major resistance zone around 2023, the stock exhibited accelerated bullish momentum, aligning with internal demand structures and confirming institutional accumulation. Price is currently advancing toward the upper boundary of the long-term channel, with the projected target around 4,935, coinciding with channel confluence and historical extension levels.
As long as the price action maintains structural integrity above the key anchored support near 1,154, the prevailing trend remains decisively bullish. A clean break and close above the upper bound of the channel may trigger an extended rally, while any rejection at this level would likely result in a cyclical mean reversion toward mid-channel equilibrium.
S&P 500 - Sell in May, return anther day. The truth - 2025No doubt everyone has heard a variation of the phrase:
“Sell in May, return another day.”
In Wikipedia it is written:
“Sell in May and go away is an investment strategy for stocks based on a theory (sometimes known as the Halloween indicator) that the period from November to April inclusive has significantly stronger stock market growth on average than the other months. In such strategies, stock holdings are sold or minimised at about the start of May and the proceeds held in cash”
A public comment from last year:
“Over 100 years ago, the (practical) reason to sell in May and September, was to pay seasonal workers to seed the field (May) and to harvest (September). Caravans of landlords and farm owners went to New York to sell stocks and withdrew money from the banks to do payrolls
so for people without agricultural business, i'll say it's okay to hold in May”
If we are to take all this at face value then we should be unwinding our long term positions until the Autumn?
What does the chart say?
On the above monthly chart of the S&P 500 each vertical line marks the month of May going back to 2012. That is a dataset of 13 points.
The facts:
1) From the month of May onwards, 11 from 13 periods returned positive price action of not less than 10%. Selling in May was a bad choice.
2) 2015 and 2022 saw corrections of 15% from May onwards. However in both examples the correction was erased within 12 months as the index continued the uptrend.
In summary, 86% of the time a minimum return of 10% was seen before the year end. Amazing odds.
Furthermore, corrections up and until the end of April (like we’re now seeing) represented some of the best long opportunities.
Sell in May go away? I suggest it should be: Buy in June and watch it boom!
Ww
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Privacy matters, and it will cost you in the futureGood day Investor and traders,
When the criminals run show, they definitely don't want you to know it.
Privacy is a double edged sword. However, just because criminals use it doesn't mean it should shunned upon. Criminals also wear clothes and use curtains. Both are fashion statement second, but serve as privacy first. Enough of my opinion, the chart speaks for its self.
Other than my additions, this is a naked chart of XRM on the weekly. It shows a very distinct patterns of how it moves.
XMR is another coin that was in my thesis from a couple years back in the bear market of 2022 that was the "lengthening or alternating" altcoin cycles. Another cycle that looks like it want to repeat, just much more drawn out. I do believe it will repeat, it might take 10-20 years or so to do so. The next big phase of privacy might have to have people getting a taste of CBDC or UBI, before they realize how much it will, or most likely could infringe upon their privacy. The chart shows early investors already knew this. Look at that move from 2016 to 2017 25 cents to $480 dollars. WOW, that rivaled XRP's big move!!! The key pattern here is the initial move then the big correction, the retest (double top) and how it moves with the fib levels. I have highlighted this in the chart with the Monero XMR logo and and a circle then with the yellow rectangle. Its the same pattern just waaaay drawn out. So, after this double top M then correction, marks the key before price explosion. IMO, I don't think it's and "IF" it happens, but "WHEN" it happens. These types patterns are what sparked my original thesis on these coins. IMO there is a reason other than just profits, early investor recognized the eventual use case, just like in Bitcoin.
Let me know what you think in the comments.
Kind regards,
WeAreSat0shi
Price Action + Fundamentals Point to Dollar StrengthThe current market environment presents compelling evidence for a bullish move in the US Dollar Index (DXY). While some patience is required, the setup is increasingly favorable for the dollar to appreciate in the coming weeks and months.
Key Factors Supporting a Bullish Move:
Monthly Close Above 100.160:
A critical technical level to monitor is the monthly close above 100.160. If achieved, it would signal a strong bullish breakout, setting the stage for a continuation higher. Given current price action and market dynamics, this scenario looks highly probable. However, if the price fails to close above 100.160 and instead breaks below it, we could potentially start looking for short opportunities.
Bond Market Strength (30Y, 10Y, 5Y):
This past week, we witnessed notable strength across the US bond market. Yields declined as prices rose, typically a positive signal for the dollar as it reflects capital inflows into US assets.
COT Report Insights:
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals a critical shift: commercial traders, often considered the "smart money," are beginning to accumulate long positions in the dollar. This change in positioning historically precedes significant bullish moves.
Seasonal Patterns:
Seasonality also favors the dollar during this period. Historically, the dollar tends to strengthen in the mid-year months, aligning perfectly with the current technical and fundamental landscape.
Targets:
Initial Target: 106.120
Given the accumulation signs and supportive macro backdrop, a move towards 106.120 seems very realistic.
EURAUD, 68% FIb retracement completed, Buy setupFundamental Analysis
1. Seasonality shows bullish momentum in EURAUD from 10 Apr to Mid of May
2. COT data shows net positions reduction in AUD while Increasing in EUR
3. Overall score of EUR is bullish and AUD is bearish
Technical Analysis
1. EURAUD broke 2 year Rectangular consolidation box
2. strong breakout appear
3. Bulls are in charge
4. 68% fib retracement completed
5. Look for 2 setups
i. if breakout above sideways region then buy setup 2
ii. If breakdown, then look for setup 1