Seasonality
Possible reversal zone and eventual target of the BTC.D+ETH.DPossible reversal zone and eventual target of the sum of BTC and ETH dominance, taking into account past cycles.
Considering that there are increasingly more projects and that projects from previous cycles like Solana have been gaining more market share, it is assumed that the dominance of BTC and ETH will not surpass the peak of the previous cycle (as occurred in the previous cycle, where the peak reached the maximum of 2017).
The zone of relative equal lows below is the target for the movement preceding the blow-off top. Considering past cycles, the tops are made/hit before the blow-off top.
The dashed, red lines mark the peaks of the sum of the dominances, which, in comparison with the bitcoin cycle, precede the blow-off top. Until the blow-off top, both dominances lose to other projects, with bitcoin's dominance being the one that loses the most.
BTC USD confirm sellBitcoin (BTC) price action is showing strength and volatility after seven weeks of consolidation. The current weekly BTC candlestick has already registered a 9.30% gain and is likely to close on a positive note.
BTC overcame $42,289, which is the midpoint of the last cycle’s bear market crash of 77%.
Additionally, it has also flipped the $45,156 weekly resistance level into a support floor.
Hence, investors should keep some gunpowder dry, should Bitcoin price trigger a pullback. For now, the key levels for buying the dips include $45,156 and $43,823. A bounce coupled with a spike in buying pressure could send Bitcoin price to the next key weekly hurdle at $52,062.
dxy will fly today be cARE FUUUUULLLLLL!!!TVC:DXY AFTER CROSS THE black line and retest we could pump it tp 104/700 and we could get in trap because of funds i think the economic news is bullshit and it just cause a Volatility
if the red line happens we could short GOLD
but
if we traped in and we go for purple scenario we should long GBP and gold for NY session
BE HAPPY REGARDLESS berleo
Short in Lean HogActive COT Signal and downtrend on weekly:
The 1d bearish market structure is still in place.
On the 4h timeframe a small correction is confirmed and upper range of 1d market structure. If next 4h candle close below last low then lower high is confirmed and 4h down trend is in line with weekly and daily time Frame
RR: 1:2
Make your own decisions!
King Bitcoin is going to be ready for next falling down !!!Dear All,
Hope you have a good day!
According to chart, you can see that I understand bitcoin is going to complete last upward moving for grabbing enough liquidity for its next falling down wedge if price could not break the 52K - 55K.
Anyway, I just want to warn you that maybe it is not so that fancy and good time now to have long positions for long term or holding purposes, It is better to wait until price straggling around 55K and see if buyers are the winners or sellers take their position back.
It is just a financial advice BUT the risks of your trades are on your own and upon your decisions.
Take care and have nice day !
Oil to Clear 79.00 Big FigCurrently watching Crude Futs (NYMEX) to clear an Intermediate term High at 79.00 Big Fig.
As my mentor says...
"To & Through"
Reasons:
Crude Bullish Seasonally until march/April (Possible Quarterly Shift to downside)
Commercials Net LONG
DXY Bullish
Failed to break lower on Daily (Indicating to me higher prices are in order)
HTF MMSM, however Long in play to clear Buyside before reversing above highs & clearing distribution leg Sellside
HTF (Daily):
Expecting BSL to be ran and staying Bullish until trend broken & IOF Turns Bearish (Should happen above Highs)
H4:
Expecting a retracement into Internal Range Liquidity as outlined to target External Range Liquidity (Markets are booked like this, in a form of "Handshaking")
LTF:
Tuesday Feb 13th: US CPI
Weds Feb 14th: US Crude Oil Inventories
If Bias is correct and Weekly candle is due to expand to upside, I'd be looking for Tuesday to Form Weekly Low & take Longs Wednesday NY IF my model plays out.
DXY 103.413 - 0.11 % SHORT IDEA MTF 🐻🐻🐻HELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great 🛑
A look at DXY ahead of the day 📌
DXY 4H TF
* Looking at DXY from the 4H we see a break above BSL
* Swept BSL but traded back into the range with some bearish momentum.
* If we see momentum back into the range i would be looking for shorts.
* Looking for some short ideas on the dxy.
* Especially because of that body closure back into the range.
DXY 1H TF
* On the 1h alike, strong bearish momentum in play.
* Retracement into some of the internal LIQUIDITY .
* looking for some retracement into PD ARRAYS ( FVG + OB & balance price range)
* & should they hold looking for continuations with the bears.
DXY 15 M TF
* ASIAN LOWS taken.
* Possibly signaling a bearish NY SESSION.
* TRADE IDEA
1. london open - bullish setup for asian highs
2. short set-ups NY session.
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOURS BELOW🛑
lets see how it goes.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE
SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
What happens if COTI has the same climb up that it had last runThis idea looks at what COTI did in the last Crypto Bull season post-halving and replays that same climb up for the coming CRYPTOCAP:BTC halving.
www.tradingview.com has a slight advantage this time around as it moves to be an Ethereum layer2 solution with a focus on privacy using a breakthrough using garbled circuits.
You can read about the need that CRYPTOCAP:ETH has for such a solution on Vitalik Buterin's blog
vitalik.eth.limo
Blockchain privacy will be one of the main narratives for the next few years, and COTI appears to have a nice head start on its solution.
This chart shows past price action, and we can see from above that it's currently expected to outperform in the coming two years.
Strap-in.
Short at all time highAs many financial equities have had a hard time during these economically challenged hardships are for the average consumer, without realizing this as a Major bank and would most likely be provided help from the government if any issues were to arise to its value. From a technical perspective, price is currently sitting at an all time high banks or the financial sector in general have fared poorly amongst these high interest rate environment. It may be time to short or take profits near its all time high even breaking above its most recent highs, although the uptrend has stayed strong the sentiment around the market hasn't changed. as many finance stocks have suffered although value has held, from a technical trader its about time to exit and take profit. 2024 leading into 2025 with no answer to when interest rate cuts will happen or not happen anytime soon is on all investors minds, ones investment should be moved elsewhere very soon as high interest rates for longer.
Last time was ugly!The last time the 5 day Gaussian channel turned red and turned down, with rejection from the center trend line , BTC lost 63% of it value to the US dollar in 140 days. Price targets down to the low 20Ks and high teens would be in the cards should history repeat itself.
This is not financial advice. I am not your financial advisor.
Enter long entryTo my dismay, financials are in disarray. Oh I look far and wide for one that will raise my pay. As I carefully look around within this space, Fiserv looks to be the way. Upside I see along the way, enter I must say. To my finance bros, I do must say. Why treat other finance stocks like so with so much at stake. Today is yet another day, for I have found one that the technical's lead up to one way. Up I say.
BEARISH SELL STOP 🫡My trading plan does not allow me to buy into new highs.
However it's not safe or practical to aimlessly short the high.
A sell stop order is how I safely trade the highs.
I am Bearish to Neutral for now. Waiting for significant signs of bullish support.
Seasonally, the market is Bearish/ corrects on average going into February.
🫡🌊
Bearish Sell Stop OrderMy trading plan does not allow me to buy into new highs.
However it's not safe or practical to aimlessly short the high.
A sell stop order is how I safely trade the highs.
I am Bearish to Neutral for now. Waiting for significant signs of bullish support.
Seasonally, the market is Bearish/ corrects on average going into February.
BTC - Expected Price Up Until HALVING📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
With the ETF approval priced in, next thing is the upcoming BTC halving expected in April - but wat does this mean for the price of BTC?
When there's an unprecedented event that will affect the markets, it's helpful to return to the basics:
👉 Buy the rumor, sell the news
👉 Macro Analysis
👉 Candlestick analysis
👉 Buy the rumor, sell the news
The ETF was again, a perfect example of this. Although it's possible for the price to increase days leading up to the halving, from a previous analysis we determined that BTC usually drops before halving.
👉 Macro Analysis
Bitcoin is due for a correction / pullback. Even dropping to lower 30K zone would still be a lower high, classic Elliot Wave Theory before the next upwards impulse wave, which is the biggest ( wave 2).
👉 Candlestick analysis
BTC has made 8 consecutive green candles in the two week timeframe. A few red ones are definitely overdue. This will support as a "fundamental reason" for the halving drop.
NOTE that I am still BULLISH on BTC. We're in the opening moments of a new bullish cycle, but there are pullbacks and corrections in upward cycles - and I'm expecting that we're currently trading in correction wave 1-2.
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