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Seasonality

Hannover Rück / HNR1 / Symmetry and SeasonalityI am looking at that Chart again because i bought this stock on 14.10.2024. Not the best trade so far, - but since this company give good dividents and can in my View seen as a value investment I dont give too much about the short term result and I am not worried. On the chart I drew an arrow for the first strong move and copied tat arrow to start again from the low of the correction we are in right now. A 2nd dotted arrow I drew from the same starting point of observation to the highest point in the correction and again copied that arrow to project a price target for a potential next upmove. Together with some fibonacci / percentages I marked a target area.... Seasonality analysis suggests that this move should come soon and then could (like the first strong upmove) reach a somewhat 10% gain for me (entered at 260 euro per share). Maybe this makes sense for you ? Leave a comment and/or like. Hope it helps to find a profitable entry in a good trade... Cheers!
XETR:HNR1Long
by ernstschwarz
enqAI - Low Cap Gem #9Altseason is upon us, and now is the time to start dollar-cost averaging into your favorite crypto gems. One of our picks for this altseason is enqAI - best characterized as an Artificial Intelligence project. 🚀 Why? Our altcoin picks are based on the following criteria: High growth potential : Projects with room for exponential gains. Undervalued : Market cap still flying under the radar. Limited CEX listings (for now) : Undiscovered gems poised for exposure. Community-driven momentum : A strong, dedicated community pushing adoption. High risk, high reward : A speculative but calculated play. Partnerships and roadmap promises : Indicators of future expansion and relevance. Potential for major exchange listings : A game-changer that could drive price action. Circulating Supply Ratio : A circulating supply close to 100%, indicating robust tokenomics and minimizing dilution risk. 🌊 Prerequisites for Thrill and Euphoria For low-cap altcoins to thrive, specific market conditions need to align. Here's what we're assuming: Bitcoin follows the 4-year cycle: Maintaining historical trends of market phases. We remain in a crypto bull market: A rising tide lifts all boats. Altseason begins: A period of intense growth and volatility for altcoins. Retail money floods in: Increasing mainstream interest and participation. Global markets are "healthy-ish": No major economic black swans. Monetary policy shifts to QE (quantitative easing): A return to liquidity-friendly environments. 💬 What is your top picks for this altseason? This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before investing.
Long
by arcone
LightLink - Low Cap Gem #8Altseason is upon us, and now is the time to start dollar-cost averaging into your favorite crypto gems. One of our picks for this altseason is LightLink - best characterized as a Infrastructure, Smart Contract Platform and Layer 2 project. 🚀 Why? Our altcoin picks are based on the following criteria: High growth potential : Projects with room for exponential gains. Undervalued : Market cap still flying under the radar. Limited CEX listings (for now) : Undiscovered gems poised for exposure. Community-driven momentum : A strong, dedicated community pushing adoption. High risk, high reward : A speculative but calculated play. Partnerships and roadmap promises : Indicators of future expansion and relevance. Potential for major exchange listings : A game-changer that could drive price action. Circulating Supply Ratio : A circulating supply close to 100%, indicating robust tokenomics and minimizing dilution risk. 🌊 Prerequisites for Thrill and Euphoria For low-cap altcoins to thrive, specific market conditions need to align. Here's what we're assuming: Bitcoin follows the 4-year cycle: Maintaining historical trends of market phases. We remain in a crypto bull market: A rising tide lifts all boats. Altseason begins: A period of intense growth and volatility for altcoins. Retail money floods in: Increasing mainstream interest and participation. Global markets are "healthy-ish": No major economic black swans. Monetary policy shifts to QE (quantitative easing): A return to liquidity-friendly environments. 💬 What is your top picks for this altseason? This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before investing.
Long
by arcone
Speed Breakers on the Road to WealthInvesting in equity markets can often feel like navigating a road trip with speed bumps—periods of market correction or consolidation that test investors' patience. The journey of the Nifty 50 from 2011 to 2025 provides a clear narrative: 2011-2013: After a downturn, the Nifty 50 consolidated, hovering around 4,500. This period was marked by resilience in sectors like IT and Pharma, which contributed to market stability. 2014-2016: Global economic uncertainties led to another correction. However, recovery in sectors like Banking and Finance helped push the index upward once more. 2019-2020: This period was volatile, with a significant drop due to the global health crisis. Yet, sectors like Healthcare and Technology not only recovered but thrived, pushing the Nifty 50 towards recovery. 2024-2025: The current correction might seem sharp, but with the Nifty 50 having reached a peak of about 26,200 in 2024, it reflects the market's cyclical nature. Sectors like IT , Renewable Energy and Consumer Goods , Defence, Railway, Consumer Discretionary have been key in maintaining market buoyancy. From 4,500 in 2011 to 26,200 in 2024.... the Nifty 50 has shown significant growth, demonstrating wealth creation for long-term investors. Key Insights: Volatility as Opportunity: Corrections often precede growth phases, offering buying opportunities at lower valuations. Patience Pays Off: Long-term investment through market downturns has historically led to substantial returns. Equities for Wealth: Over time, equities have proven to be a superior asset class for wealth accumulation. Sectoral Influence: Each market phase has been influenced by different sectors, showcasing the dynamic nature of market recovery and growth. The current market situation is a reminder that these 'speed bumps' are integral to the journey towards wealth creation, not roadblocks.
NSE:NIFTY
by pratik2358
Gold and Silver Are Gearing Up For Higher PricesKicking off my 2025 posts with a positive outlook on Silver and Gold prices! 😊 Over the past three months, I’ve highlighted the "Nice areas" that have held prices well for both gold and silver. Hopefully, you’ve found those levels useful so far. So, what’s next? 🤷🏻 In this post, I’ll focus more on technical analysis. If gold closes above $2,740 this week, I’d expect its movement to follow the orange line I’ve drawn on the chart. My target is $2,850 to $2,900, which I hope to see reached within the next three months. However, I’d also like to see a brief revisit to the area below $2,700 before that move. For silver, I’m looking for a strong close above $32.30. Only if that happens, I’d view any corrections as a great opportunity to add to my position, targeting $36. Ideally, I’d love to see this happen by the first week of March. Note: Never try to time the market. The timeframes I mention are based on the seasonality patterns of Gold and Silver and don’t hold significant weight in my analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SamanFx0
target reached I analyzed this trade during the weekend following how price moved previous week intermarket analysis gives broad idea of the pair you trading , its easy to show fter effect but it is always nice to see it beforehand now how do you take advantage ? wait wait wait patience and risk management is next your bias is correct now the real part begins patience and proper risk management mondays are not my trading days but now target reached it has given me a hint of what it can possibly do #remember it is a industry of probabilities
OANDA:US30USDLong
by mphomichaeldouw0
Buy When Others Sell, Sell When Others Buy – Time to Reflect.The current market sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish. The anticipation surrounding Trump’s inauguration and the potential for pro-crypto regulations has created massive optimism for continued upside. But isn’t this the perfect time to ask – is now a good moment to lock in some profits? On the chart, I’m showcasing two of my custom indicators: PrimeMomentum Long Term Signal BTC and Weekly Peak Finder. Both indicators are based on long-term analysis and have historically been extremely reliable at identifying key market turning points. Current Situation 🔸 Both indicators have flashed simultaneously. Historically, such occurrences are rare and have consistently signaled significant downward movements. 🔸 Historical correction analysis: For Weekly Peak Finder, after a bearish signal: - The first correction resulted in a 25% drop. - The second correction saw a 65% drop. - Now, with both indicators flashing together, the market has only dropped by around 5%. This is the smallest correction in history following such combined signals. Is this really it, or is the market preparing for a larger move downward? Can we assume this time is different and the correction is over? Or is the current euphoria and optimism masking a potential larger drop? My Decision Considering the historical reliability of these indicators and the fact that both are flashing simultaneously, I’ve decided to lock in 50% of my BTC position. This approach allows me to secure profits while still leaving room for potential further upside. Is the market gearing up for a historic rally, or is this the perfect setup for a deeper correction? I’d love to hear your thoughts – what’s your take on this setup?
Short
by SetKryptoBalans
4
NzdUsd could rise to 0.58 (swing trade)The final quarter of 2024 was particularly challenging for the NZD, with the currency declining by 800 pips from its peak to its lowest point. More significantly, this drop represents a devaluation of over 12%, which is substantial for a major currency pair. As 2025 begins, however, OANDA:NZDUSD has entered a consolidation phase, holding above the critical support zone near 0.5550. This level is noteworthy and deserves attention as a potential turning point. While the overall trend remains bearish, a rebound from this key support area is likely. If this occurs, the pair could move higher toward the 0.58 resistance level. In summary, dips near the support zone present buying opportunities with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, targeting a return of at least 1:2.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
9
EUR USD - the battle of parityG'day traders, Welcome back to a new trading year. First up, i'll be taking a look at the EURO/USD as it is still in a strong downward to the right pattern respecting the strong curve of the weekly trendline. Please see below the Daily and weekly charts marked up. Follow along the video and hope it assists with your trading. I'll be looking for sells upon daily closes, weekly set and forget supply limits. Demand limits. Master Key for zones Red = Three Month Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily) Orange = Daily Risk Warning Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual. Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed. Previous charts Daily Chart Weekly Chart Updated in line with the video: Daily Weekly Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Focus on investing for long term positional moves Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. LVPA MMXXV
Short
by LupaCapital
Bitcoin Cash golden cross and January 20thBitcoin Cash golden cross is a buy signal before January 20th. When a 100-day moving average crosses above a 200-day moving average, it's commonly referred to as a "golden cross". Indicating a potential bullish signal, suggesting a possible shift from a bearish trend to a bullish trend in the market. In 2023 BCH went from a low on January 20th to a high of + 214%. In 2024 BCH went from a low on January 20th to a high of + 207%. Is the 3rd time a charm? If BCH can go +200% from January 20th 2025 the high would be around 1300 per Bitcoin Cash! Trade idea: Long = sma100 stop = sma200 profit = 1300
COINBASE:BCHUSDLong
by Options360
3
I've got some wisdom to share. Take some notes #BitcoinHey members, apologies for being offline for a while...I'm back (kinda) Tradingview is happy to ban me from speaking to you and for these reasons I might not be making videos on here for much longer Today I want to share with you some truths that others dont speak about. It's beyond trading mentality, which is why it works Please learn from my pain (or don't, but do) "Energy" runs the you and it runs the markets, focus on respecting market energy and your managing your emotions within it Know the game you're in Humans have emotions, and if can't manage them those then you're not playing the game right The market has energy, if you can't identify the energy of the market then you're not playing the game right Hopefully I'll be catching up with you soon Ciao for now. Blayno
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Blayno_MTOPS
Traeger | COOK | Long at $2.50Traeger NYSE:COOK is in an accumulation zone and approaching a change in the downward trend based on my selected simple moving average. Insiders have shown confidence in future price improvement by buying shares and being awarded options in the low $2s. With a 58M float and anticipated earnings improvement through 2027, this ticker may be poised for a run soon. There is a tiny gap in the daily chart between $2.19 and $2.20 that may get filled before then, but Traeger has a strong brand name and can be found in multiple big box stores. A slowing economy may dampen this move in the near-term, but NYSE:COOK is in a personal buy zone at $2.50. Target #1 - $4.15 Target #2 - $5.00 Target #3 - $8.50 Target #4 - $19.00 (very long-term...)
NYSE:COOKLong
by WorthlessViews
$CHILLGUY How to Spot Euphoria LessonHere's a good lesson on spotting EUPHORIA. I was over a friend's house who is a retail crypto trader on Thanksgiving. He was telling that I had to buy $CHILLGUY because its the biggest meme ever. I didn't even bother looking at the chart because of my past experience knowing how to gauge market sentiment, but I replied, "you telling me this should be an instant sell signal for you". From that day on, it was DOWN-ONLY 80% for the next 1.5 months 🤓
CRYPTO:CHILLGUYUSDEducation
by jonnieking