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Are altcoins ready to take off ? Hello Traders! 🐺 You might have noticed that I haven't posted in a while—so, why the silence? Over the past two weeks, we've seen massive market manipulation by whales and major players. In times like these, it's often safer to step back, observe, and let the charts reveal the market’s true direction before making any moves. But now, I genuinely believe the dump is over. Looking at the BTC.D chart, it's currently forming a bearish pattern right at a key resistance level. That alone is enough for me to say: I'm bearish on BTC.D —and by extension, bullish on altcoins ! Why? Because a rising wedge on the weekly BTC.D chart is a strong signal of a bear trap, suggesting money could soon start flowing into altcoins. Additionally, in the TOTAL3 chart (which excludes BTC & ETH), we see a massive cup and handle pattern on the weekly timeframe. The price has already broken the neckline and is now accumulating above the support line, potentially gearing up to break past its all-time high and push toward a $3 trillion market cap —which, in my opinion, is a conservative target. I hope you find this idea valuable! Don’t forget to like and follow for more insights. Your support means the world! 🚀 🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by Kiu_Coin
18
USDT dominance. (USDC is similar). 03 2025Time frame 1 week. Crypto market dominance to % USDT. I showed this for the first time on 03 2022, nothing has changed since then, everything is the same and the logic is identical. USDT dominance. USDT pumping indicator to the market 03 2022 USDT dominance. Indicator of USDT pumping to and from the market 05 2022 ✔️Stablecoin dominance is falling — the market is growing. ✔️Stablecoin dominance is growing — the market is falling. It cannot be otherwise (capital movement), until the time when ETFs with the US dollar are not massively introduced and popular, they will draw some of the liquidity to themselves. Which will slightly change the logic of this trend itself. Comparable, in terms of impact on the market, as before the introduction of trading pairs to alts/USDT instead of BTC/alts (everyone was like that). Until then, USDT was needed. You need to understand that the main " transitional dollar for the people ", that is, USDT , - reflects the trend of all stablecoins. In particular, the main "competitor" - USDC, all the others (a temporary phenomenon) do not matter. Until USDT exists and can be used to track the direction of the money flow, that is, the direction of the cryptocurrency market. In 2022 09, I also showed this game of liquidity flow into ideas with the combined dominance of USDC + USDT + BTC chart. But this is already a complication, everything is already visible and clear on the dominance of USDT. Domination of USDT + USDC and lows/maxims of BTC. Correlation 2022 09 Remember, any stablecoin is an alt. The experience with UST (Moon Falling into an Urn) has taught many not to equate stablecoins to a real dollar. The price stability of any stablecoin depends only on people's faith in its stability. This faith is projected by marketing activity, and first of all by the real capital that stands behind the creators. Everything conceived and implemented has a beginning and an end. Bitcoin dominance to alts. I will duplicate my latest idea on Bitcoin dominance here once again. I used it before (it was rational), before 2020 (I used to make a lot of ideas about local zones as triggers for market reversals). Now it doesn't do much. But I see people are fixated on this, not understanding the essence, and why it was so effective before and childishly clear when the market would be reversed (there were no pairs to USDT, but only alts to BTC). Before 2018 (100% efficiency), before 2020 (partial), the dominance of Bitcoin to other alts was such an indicator of the pump/dump of the market. As it was the main direction of money flow. Almost all alts were traded only to Bitcoin. Доминация BTC к альткоинам. Доминация стейблкоинов и памп рынка. 07 2022 Have a plan and understand what you are doing, observing money and risk management. As a result, you will be calm and satisfied with your profit from the market, if you are an adequate person. Alt dominance. And this is the idea of ​​training/work (understanding the reversal zones of the crypto market of secondary trends) in 2023 on alts. That is, the dominance of alts without stablecoins, bitcoin and ether, which take away most of the market capitalization as a whole. The dominance is growing, naturally money is pouring into alta and vice versa. There are also similar ideas (look for publications in 2023) for certain groups of assets. That is, the point is to catch the hype, by groups of candy wrappers or, on the contrary, the threshold of stopping the flow of money into another hype. BTC dominance to altcoins. Dominance of stablecoins and market pump . 07 2022 Without pain, there is no way for someone to gain benefits in the speculative market. Who will experience pain and who will gain benefits depends only on the qualities of the person who decided to engage in trading. That is, the totality of his positive/negative qualities that project his actions in the market. Everything is extremely simple and honest. Dollar Index. There are a series of interrelated ideas (three, detailed explanation), about the dollar index, that is, the larger cyclicality of the markets in general, and the crypto market as a small projection. Also, all publications of 2022-2023. DXY Dollar Index USA. Recession and Pump/Dump Market Indicator 09 2022 DXY (Dollar Index) and Pump/Dump BTC. Market Cycles . 09 2022
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DEducation
by SpartaBTC
6
U.S. Stock Market Hits Extreme Fear: Understanding the Decline aThe U.S. stock market has reached an extreme fear level, with the Fear and Greed Index plunging to 24, signaling heightened uncertainty and risk aversion among investors. This sharp decline coincides with a notable drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), which fell by 427.51 points (-0.99%) to 42,579.09. Why Is the Market in Extreme Fear? 1. Concerns Over Federal Reserve Policy Investors remain on edge about the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates. With recent economic data showing persistent inflationary pressures, the Fed might delay anticipated rate cuts. Higher interest rates for longer could hurt economic growth and corporate profits, driving fear in the markets. 2. Weak Corporate Earnings and AI Stock Sell-Off Some major technology and AI-driven stocks, previously market leaders, have shown weaker-than-expected earnings. For example, Marvell Technology reported disappointing revenue guidance, raising concerns about a slowdown in AI infrastructure investments. This led to a broader sell-off in the tech sector. 3. Geopolitical Tensions and Trade Policy Uncertainty The announcement of new U.S. tariffs on key imports has reignited fears of a global trade war, affecting investor sentiment. Small-cap stocks in the Russell 2000 Index have been hit particularly hard due to their reliance on domestic manufacturing and global supply chains. 4. Bond Market and Recession Signals The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has fallen from 4.8% to 4.2%, reflecting a shift towards safer assets. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow Tracker has adjusted its real GDP forecast to -2.4% for Q1 2025, reinforcing concerns about an economic downturn. 5. Technical and Psychological Market Factors The Nasdaq Composite has entered correction territory, down more than 10% from its recent peak. The S&P 500 is testing its 200-day moving average, a crucial technical level. The Fear and Greed Index at 24 indicates extreme pessimism, often associated with oversold market conditions. Investor Advice in the Current Market 1. Stay Calm and Avoid Panic Selling Extreme fear can create attractive long-term buying opportunities. Historically, markets recover from corrections, and selling out of fear may lead to missed gains when the market rebounds. 2. Focus on Quality Stocks with Strong Fundamentals Look for companies with durable competitive advantages, strong balance sheets, and consistent cash flows. Defensive sectors like healthcare, utilities, and consumer staples may offer stability during market uncertainty. 3. Diversify and Hedge Risks Consider increasing exposure to bonds or dividend-paying stocks for more stable income. Holding gold or other safe-haven assets can provide downside protection. 4. Use a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Strategy Instead of trying to time the market, gradually invest in tranches to reduce the impact of short-term volatility. 5. Watch Key Economic Indicators and Fed Signals Pay attention to upcoming CPI inflation reports, job data, and Fed meeting outcomes for clues on interest rate direction. A clear signal of rate cuts could trigger a market rebound. Final Thoughts While extreme fear in the market reflects investor anxiety, it also presents potential opportunities for disciplined investors. Understanding the driving factors behind the sell-off and taking a strategic, long-term approach can help investors navigate this period of uncertainty. As Warren Buffett famously said, "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."
DJ:DJILong
by theartofinvest
USDCHF Short at 0.89099 w Technical analyis;Fundamental,..Trade Idea: Short USD/CHF Entry: 0.89118 Stop Loss: 0.89293 Take Profit: 0.88528 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 3.25:1 Risk per Trade: 1,8% Analysis: OANDA:USDCHF • Technical Setup: Price is rejecting the MR50 and pivot point, showing bearish signals. Long wicks suggest a potential reversal. • Indicators: Williams %R shows overbought conditions, supporting the short setup. • Timeframe: Entering on the 50-minute chart after confirmation of price rejection or lower highs. Fundamentals: • Swiss CPI: 0.6% (actual) vs 0.5% (forecast) indicates a stronger Swiss Franc, supporting the short trade on USD/CHF. • COT Data: Positions are bearish on USD and bullish on CHF, aligning with the setup. Market Sentiment: • DXY: A bearish USD supports the downside in USD/CHF. • Overall Sentiment: Bearish sentiment towards USD in March suggests continued weakness for USD/CHF. Risk Management: • Stop Loss at 0.89313 and take profit at 0.88528, offering a 2.97:1 risk-to-reward ratio. This is a high-probability short setup with solid technical, fundamental, and sentiment alignment. Always use proper risk management. (70-75% Probability of Winning this Trade)
Short
by theprofithunter07
4
ETH in a LIVERMORE Accumulation cylinder.What is a Livermore accumulation cylinder? The Livermore Accumulation Cylinder gained fame through the insights of Jesse Lauriston Livermore, a Massachusetts-born American investor celebrated as one of the most exceptional traders in history. His theory revolves around what is often referred to as an ascending broadening wedge, a phenomenon that unfolds over extended time frames. What is an accumulation cylinder with a widening mouth? First recognized by the iconic trader Jesse Livermore, who essentially laid the groundwork for technical analysis, the 'Accumulation Cylinder with Widening Mouth' is a unique and gradually developing pattern. In this scenario, the price oscillates between two diverging lines, creating a tension that can lead to a significant upward breakout. Is Ethereum resolving its own Livermore cylinder? This isn’t the first instance of cryptocurrency showcasing a Livermore cylinder: Ethereum might currently be in the midst of resolving its own version, and Bitcoin may have experienced a similar pattern back in 2017. While the charts may seem to align quite well, it’s crucial to remember that they are not a guarantee of future outcomes. Instead, they can serve as a valuable guide for managing risk, setting expectations, and establishing realistic profit targets. Many newcomers to crypto dream of achieving a 100x return, but as demonstrated by Bitcoin whales, true profits often come from strategically trimming and adjusting their positions, making only a few calculated moves from cycle to cycle.
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by BallaJi
DXY Long-Term Analysis (1988-2024): Post-US Election Price CycleBased on a 36-year historical analysis of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), a clear cyclical pattern emerges in relation to U.S. election cycles. Key Observations: Election Year Impact: After every U.S. election, DXY tends to move in one clear direction (either bullish or bearish) for the first 1 to 2 years. Reversal Phase: Following this initial move, the next 1 to 2 years typically see a reversal, where the price trends in the opposite direction of the first phase. Consistent Historical Trend: This pattern has repeated consistently across multiple election cycles since 1988, making it a significant factor to consider when analyzing DXY’s medium-term trends. Practical Implications: If the post-election trend is bullish for the first 1-2 years, traders should anticipate a potential bearish shift in the following 1-2 years—and vice versa. This can be used as a macroeconomic roadmap to align trading strategies with historical probabilities. Exception: 1996-2000 – Why It Did Not Follow the Seasonal Pattern The 1996 to 2000 period is the only major exception in this 36-year analysis. Instead of following the typical 1-2 year trend-reversal pattern, DXY remained bullish throughout the entire Clinton second term (1996-2000). Here’s why this period did not comply with our seasonal analysis: Unprecedented U.S. Economic Strength ("Clinton Boom") The late 1990s saw an extraordinarily strong economy, driven by the Dot-Com Boom, technological advancements, and record corporate profits. Unlike other election cycles where economic slowdowns or policy shifts led to reversals, the U.S. economy kept accelerating, keeping the USD strong. Federal Reserve’s Tight Monetary Policy (Rising Interest Rates) From 1997 to 2000, the Federal Reserve aggressively raised interest rates to control inflation. Higher rates made the USD more attractive, increasing foreign capital inflows and preventing a mid-term reversal. Global Financial Crises (1997 Asian Crisis & 1998 Russian Default) These crises caused global capital flight to the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven asset. Instead of a seasonal decline in DXY, the USD kept rising as investors sought stability in U.S. assets. Foreign Investment in U.S. Markets (Tech Stock Bubble) Foreign investors poured money into U.S. stocks and bonds, increasing demand for USD. This prolonged DXY’s bullish trend, overriding the usual election-based trend reversals. Conclusion: The DXY's movement post-elections follows a structured two-phase cycle: initial directional trend (1-2 years) → reversal phase (1-2 years). So you guys can plan your trades accordingly and take advantage of this repeating pattern to maximize profitability.
TVC:DXY
by MAAwan
Crypto is correlated to the 4 yr business cycleISM survey results show 4 distinct phases (seasons) we are in the beginning of the expansion phase when ISM ticks up, and crypto, benefiting from all the newly injected liquidity, benefits This chart shows the last few cycles for comparison, and to illustrate that 2021 was a shortened cycle because of the black swan impact of covid. Expect financial conditions to improve dramatically this year, and you can use this chart as a forward indicator to demonstrate that patterns don't repeat exactly, but the rhyme quite often.
ECONOMICS:USBCOILong
by rabbidfly
1
BEARS ARE TRAPPED - $2990's SOONAs illustrated, Im visualizing a strong beginning to a historical bullish MARCH. On average in 15, 10, and 5 years, MARCH has been mostly bullish. To anticipate a bullish march, FEB must make sense and leave a few clues that could indicate a healthy setup for a potential buy opportunity. In this case, FEB made a natural correction toward the end of the month which makes total sense and it is completely appropriate and necessary to setup March for what COULD be next: A STRONG BULLISH MARCH that could potentially take the yellow metal to see $3,000 USD/Oz for its first time in history. The setup looks beautiful; with a bullish engulfing candle closing above previous candles, and such bounce having taken place below a major daily support and very near FEB's breaker block that served as a major support - trampoline level for the month (of February) to expand so strongly. Market has grabbed liquidity at a discount price level, below the 50% retracement of the expansive move of FEB; yet another positive sign of a potential continuation to the upside since: THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND . I could be off in my timing by 1 week; maybe 2 AT MOST.. But there will be a continuation simply because the demand for gold just keeps rising with all the BS going on around the world + USA's insane tariffs THAT COME INTO EFFECT IN MARCH ... JOIN THE DOTS @!#$% ... -- GOOD LUCK!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PersaGold
Privacy matters, and it will cost you in the futureGood day Investor and traders, When the criminals run show, they definitely don't want you to know it.  Privacy is a double edged sword. However, just because criminals use it doesn't mean it should shunned upon. Criminals also wear clothes and use curtains. Both are fashion statement second, but serve as privacy first.  Enough of my opinion, the chart speaks for its self. Other than my additions, this is a naked chart of XRM on the weekly. It shows a very distinct patterns of how it moves.  XMR is another coin that was in my thesis from a couple years back in the bear market of 2022 that was the "lengthening or alternating" altcoin cycles. Another cycle that looks like it want to repeat, just much more drawn out. I do believe it will repeat, it might take 10-20 years or so to do so.  The next big phase of privacy might have to have people getting a taste of CBDC or UBI, before they realize how much it will, or most likely could infringe upon their privacy. The chart shows early investors already knew this. Look at that move from 2016 to 2017  25 cents to $480 dollars. WOW, that rivaled XRP's big move!!!  The key pattern here is the initial move then the big correction, the retest (double top) and how it moves with the fib levels. I have highlighted this in the chart with the Monero XMR logo and and a circle then with the yellow rectangle. Its the same pattern just waaaay drawn out. So, after this double top M then correction, marks the key  before price explosion. IMO, I don't think it's and "IF" it happens, but "WHEN" it happens. These types patterns are what sparked my original thesis on these coins. IMO there is a reason  other than just profits, early investor recognized the eventual use case, just like in Bitcoin. Let me know what you think in the comments. Kind regards, WeAreSat0shi
CAPITALCOM:XMRUSDLong
by WeAreSat0shi
6
$LLY Long-Term BuyHealthcare could possibly be the next rotation coming out of this tech bull run. Using the Trade Jeanie (Jeanius Screener/Indicator), I was able to see the current technical buy signals happening on NYSE:LLY : Inside a HTF fair value gap (3M timeframe) Took out an untested low (liquidity) The Jeanius Indicator shows green 'Combo' labels every time this same combination of signals happened The Jeanius Screener lets me filter my favorite tickers to see which ones are currently taking out untested lows or liquidity
NYSE:LLYLong
by jeanius_tech
Yield Curve Inversion Watch Chart - Fed Has To Cut!If you’re worried about a recession, you should be watching the Yield Curve Inverting. Historically, an inversion signals a recession, but with a lag. We can see this on the chart whenever the yield curve hits 0% This shows the 2Y yield higher than the 10Y which is a signal that the market expects slow economic growth. To counter-act the inversion, the Fed cuts the EFFR, although they are always late. One would think that the Fed would learn from history, and get ahead of the curve this time around. Only time will tell. I’m cautiously optimistic as Treasury Secretary Bessent has stated that he has a weekly meeting with Fed Chair Powell.
FRED:T10Y2Y
by jonnieking