End of Year Palladium Bull Run \o/From the current notation, I see this leveraged ETF on Palladium rising approximately 45% until the end of the year. The reasons are as follows:
Fundamental Factors : With increasing sanctions on Russia, one of the main exporters of palladium, global supply may become constrained. Furthermore, inflationary pressures might drive commodity prices higher. Technical Indicators : The Palladium chart has recently formed a higher high, and a higher low appears to be developing. The price has crossed above the 200-day SMA, and now the 30-, 50-, and 200-day SMAs are bullishly aligned. Seasonality: The seasonal strength in OANDA:XPDUSD is expected to begin the week after next.
So, we could get ready for rising prices in Palladium!
Seasonality
Will Bitcoin Hit ATH Before Halving?I posted a Log Regression when #Bitcoin was 15k.
I publish now when it is 62k. So CRYPTOCAP:BTC has already done x4.
What now? Shall we break the ATH? Let's consider the pros and cons.
This is why yes:
➕Increasing global liquidity.
➕So far, positive flow from ETFs.
Here's why not:
➖Strong overbought
➖Previously, there was no ATH breakout before the halving. And immediately after, the "sell in May" season.
➖Strong sales began (in medium wallets), because many people consider ATH a good zone to sell the part.
💡Conclusion. If we do not break the ATH in the next 2 months, it will likely happen in the autumn. In the base case scenario, I only expect a test ATH unless ETF flows and liquidity increase significantly.
Current trade idea 28/11/24Current trade idea for gold, with today being a bank holiday in the US I would expect lots of liquidity during London session as we ae also approaching the end of the month.
If we can just hit the top of this range again id be happy and would only look for further buys if we break AND CLOSE above 2655.
As always happy trading
Nifty SmallCap 100 Elliot Wave ViewWave 2 of 3: This corrective wave occurred between September 2022 and March 2023, lasting approximately 28 weeks, as highlighted in the chart.
Wave 4's Progression: The recent peak in September suggests symmetry in the cycle, mirroring Wave 2's timeline. If Wave 4 matches Wave 2 in duration (around 28 weeks), the current upward movement could still be part of the corrective Wave 4 rather than a new impulse wave.
Time Symmetry: Considering the reverse channel projection and the similarity in duration with Wave 2, March 2026 emerges as a potential time window for the commencement of Wave 5 of 3, which could lead to a significant breakout beyond the current range.
$TOTAL3 & $OTHERS Alt Season Breakout vs $BTC.D !!!If you’re still wondering whether Alt Season is here or not, this is the only chart you need to see to prove it is.
BTC.D has been going down while CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 has broken previous ATH with CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS lagging a bit behind.
This shows the rotation from CRYPTOCAP:BTC -> Mid Caps -> Small Caps
Monetary policy, more importantly rate cuts, have signaled “Risk On”, and the market has responded accordingly.
MNMD 600% in 2025With Trump and RFK challenging the stronghold of big pharma, the suppression of psychedelic medicines may soon be over. Analysts have set a price target of $26. Market conditions and fresh speculative details render these companies highly volatile and speculative, as many are in trial phases and are losing money rather than profiting... for now.
Alt Market been super boringUntil Eth makes its run, alt coins tied to it for the most part will continue their boring pattern.
AI hype seems to have died down and Fetch will probably make a run, but a 2-4x on this coin is probably the most we will see. Hopefully I am wrong.
Keeping my eye peeled for the next faction of this market run up.
BTC Huge Gap!!! We going back to 75k?Hey guys!
Congrats all with BTC ATH and recent profits, I was not commenting the situation, because it was pretty clear, and we all know what was happening.
But also, as we know, even in the bull cycle have to be corrections and consolidations.
So here at the futures chart, we can see a huge gap around the healthy correction possible zone (max to 30%). Also, we have RSI oversold for sure and descending volumes.
Plus, in December there were no promises about decreasing US Interest rate, so possibly December can end up in this correction phase.
What's your thoughts about when and how much we could go? Let's chat in the comments =)
Is Now The Time To Call The Top?With a new higher high formed on the Dollar, which mitigated a monthly Order Block and weekly Fair Value Gap, is now the time to be asking whether the top is in and a major reversal is pending?
Personally, I say yes, but price action still needs to confirm this as we can always continue trading higher. On the daily we have minor and major swing points from which IRL can be mitigated before a continuation higher and for the time being I'll be monitoring the various points as per the analysis for signs of a continuation higher or
The subjectivity in my analysis stems from the fact that pairs are no longer trading in unison across the board with EU still tumbling lower with the Dollar while AU has begun shifting higher. UJ is not clear as it's exhibiting signs if going both higher and lower so monitoring further development will be key.
My bias for the WEEK is as follows:
DXY - LONG
EURUSD - SHORT
AUDUSD - LONG
GBPJPY - SHORT
USDJPY - LONG
Crypto 4-Year Cycle, Monthly ViewThis chart paints a macro view of the 4-year cryptocurrency cycle, which is based around the Bitcoin halving events. This should give you a general idea of when a bull run is likely to occur, but you should use many other indicators for actual buying/selling decisions.
A few quick notes on this chart:
-BTC, ETH, and DOGE USD pairs are displayed on this chart (the top crypto, the top L1, and the top meme coin).
-My definition of the the bull run is when BTC dominance begins to fall on the monthly chart. This is when things tend to go a bit parabolic for the rest of the market. The end of the bull run is marked by BTC dominance rising on the monthly chart.
-The vertical yellow lines represent every subsequent 12 bars/months post-halving.
-Dates are estimates as this chart is in the monthly timeframe. Results may vary in different timeframe views.
-There are many other factors that may impact the 4-year cycle, such as ETH/BTC valuations, ETH dominance, USDT dominance, quantitative easing/tightening, black swan events, federal funds rates, etc. - none of these are considered in this chart.
Enjoy! :)
Eyes on $NEIRO: Ready for a Move or a Setback ;)Time to start adding back some exposure to $NEIRO. It might be a day or two early on this one, as I anticipate a move on high caps, mostly CRYPTOCAP:BTC , just this week, but the setup looks good enough.
If it fails, I’ll look to jump in at 0.0017 and ride it towards ATHs. I’ll choose the levels accordingly.
Going in here with a clear invalidation below current lows.