VIX - still a fakeout to meI still see this as a fakeout, very likely to close the previous gap.
Everybody expects a bullish sentiment around christmas - as it always was. Well, I think this time it's gonna be different.
Up.
Secretguy
DJI - time to take profitsDown ! Down ! Down !
My indicator triggered THE signal. Time to go down finally
SPX - New findings These last waves were really similar to some movement I've already seen in some other time - So I placed it and they fit the nowadays Price Action like the Glass Slipper fits Cinderella's foot.
It Looks like SPX has an excuse to close a gap above and touch the top trendline. I was more conservative with my ceiling for this EOY price action but it seems it will fully head there. Also Timewise it fits my expectations - Retracement now, and bullish after that till mid December.
Still seeing that drop mid December.
TL;DR
Short now for a small retracement, and then long till 4100 area - then biggest drop.
BTCUSDT - quick ! check! Lowtimeframe - wyckoff distribution - This is a local top. Sorry for the quick publish - but this confirms my short term prediction on BTC.
Russell 3000 - Elliot Waves countingElliot waves counted on Russel 3000.
Waves 3 and retracements of waves 2 suggest the counting should be shifted by 1 - and a possible breakout could happen - allowing the price to move towards the ATH - if that happens you know what to do - but due to fundamentals - I'm more keen to think this is properly counted and we are headed toward that tick curve at the bottom.
We will soon know.
BTCUSD - what I expect nextRetest - done.
Breakout the the downside to higher 14's - ahead.
Retest of broken curve - ahead.
This years bottom at mid 13's - ahead.
DXY - it's timeIt's time to push up - handle formed and showing strong resistance - stocks at ceilings and exhausted.
SPX - big gap to get filledWe have a huge gap to be filled and we are now at the ceiling - both curves coming to an end. It's time to end this euphoria and take profits.
SPX Futures - A quick mid term look!So here is the idea - I DON'T THINK THE FALL WILL HAPPEN 1:1 as in 2008 - there will be more trickery around - that's why we need to monitor those two marked areas - breaking the lower one will very likely hit target #1 - that would be THE crash - Target #2 is marked just because it makes sense within the past lows (extended trendline).
My bias is still strongly short-biased.
SPX - what's comingSo today's open may result in a first bullish wave but overall we are headed down - stocks had their euphoric push up - but not expecting a break out here - if we do, it will be a big one - but until then - I remain as bearish as I was for past few months.
VIX - nothing changesNothing changes with VIX - it is creating a bottom on the bottom long-term curve - this is really bearish for stocks and crypto and we have an exact sentimental replica of 2008.
Stay safe!
BTC.D - keep monitoring !At some point alts will popup like mushrooms after the rain - and it will most likely happen when BTC bottoms at 13,8 area and will head to 20-22k - then alts will go crazy and this chart shows it.
Good luck !
BTCUSD - touched local bottom curve!This Asian selloff was marvellous - now we touched a local bottom before Europe's open - very likely we can see Europe consolidating/bullish after asian selling - and possibly NY will retrace that selloff. Expecting a retest of that upper local curve before moving to 15k.
Cheers !
PS: just a small long, still bearish short term.
DXY - beautiful inversed HSAs expected - dragged down by overly euphoric stocks - but now forming an inversed HS bottom with a target inside the bullflag again - expecting only up from here.
BTC still before 13,8. Not buying.I'm waiting for 13,8 before I buy anything - also will consider many factors before I long. $17k is our top area for now. Monitor the price action and stocks.
Still short.
BTC/SPX - still more downsideNot yet reached my target - actually have marked a second support in case a sell-off kicks in for whatever reason. Big BTC inflows to exchanges - aswell as some alts.
Some are preparing for something big.
Still short.
DXY - lower because of SPX, but...... the story stays the same - it held support and now should pop up as stocks will decline - new highs ahead.
SPX - higher than expected, but toppedDefinitely stocks moved higher than I expeccted - I projected my expectations from US100 onto SPX - but definitely those two didn't correlate on this bounce - either way, what's coming next is known - and down we go from here.
Watch the show.
VIX - it's happeningVIX is holding that area pretty nicely - stocks topped out - what else is there to say.
Watch the show from now on.
BTCUSD - Monthly hides a lot of hintsI'm a fan of curve channels just because they are clearer and they represent a more fluent trajectory of the price which makes more sense, than linear lines (Sentiment isn't linear, pa isn't linear , so channels shouldn't be aswell).
And it still works - you can see on the monthly created a clear orange channel (curves are basically copy pasted from each other and wicks match pretty nicely).
But good news - price has broken from those two and created a clear second channel ! So if you copy that new channel based on waves's tops - you can see the area of confluence and actual retest at the strong support area.
It's there where you want to actually long short/mid term.
Good luck!
BTCUSDT - Fractal life3 fractals agreeing on the movement - all of them show confluence at 13700 before going up to 22-25k.
Final flush afterwards.
Follow this idea and trade accordingly.
Fractals source: Different Assets and BTC Timeframes.
BTCUSD - as simple as I can put itWe don't need fancy charts - here is what you need to know.
And this is what I'm trading unless clear deviations get confirmed.
BTC - quick update - not bullish yet!As you see - my area hasn't been reached yet. I see whales are fomoing in, but I prefer to catch the bottom of this fall - expecting $14k before I put longs. Not expecting sub $10k as many out there - that won't happen this year, but first 14 and then maybe 12 is in the reach - will know more in December.
