NIO Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the NIO`s speculative bubble:
bubble
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NIO prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 4usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-9-6,
for a premium of approximately $0.24.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
SELL
XAUUSD H4 Analysis - Bullish or BearishPair Name = Gold
Timeframe = H4
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Please see the Above chart To see The Gold Next Moves.
We are currently in new Price Ranges. But we are also using our previous analysis and data to Follow the exact Path.
Currently We Can see between two strong support and Resistance levels. As we can see at chart 2590 Gold Price level and 2663 Gold Price level.
EMA 5 is indicating the trend of the market. EMA Cross over can range between 2577 to 2580. That indicates if Price breaks this level. Then we will see a small retesting period.
This kind market allow us to buy the dip and cash another next trend move.
Strongest retesting zone exists between the price level 2545 to 2556 price level.
EMA 5 Crossing levels:-
2580 To 2577
Retracement Zone:-
2545 To 2555
Bullish Gold Levels:-
2590
2615
Bearish Gold Levels:-
2564
2556
2545
2530
Stay tune we Will update again when market will give up another good direction move. With Different different time frame we check the market to get the Accuracte analysis according market next move.Happy trading.
Is Gold at Its Brightest?On the charts, gold prices are continuing their strong upward momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and moving towards testing new highs. This is supported by data from the Kitco News surveys, which show strong optimism from both professionals and retail investors on the outlook for gold.
Technical analysis on the 4-hour chart shows that gold prices have broken through key resistance levels and are entering a “new price discovery zone”, a period that could see high price volatility due to the lack of resistance. The next resistance level on the chart is located at around $2,600/ounce, and this will be the next target that investors are aiming for.
With the Fed expected to cut interest rates on September 18, along with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, gold is expected to continue to receive attention as a safe-haven asset. Investors should closely monitor the Fed’s statements and the geopolitical situation to adjust their investment strategies accordingly.
In addition, the demand for physical gold remains high in the context of devaluation of domestic currencies, showing that gold is not only an investment channel but also a means of protecting assets. The current growth in gold prices and the possibility of continued growth in the long term is a positive signal for those who are looking for safety in their investments.
GOLD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GOLD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously rising on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 2,529.890 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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GBP/AUD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/AUD is making a bullish rebound on the 1D TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.922 level.
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GBP/CHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/CHF pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 1H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.108 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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USDCAD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.358.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.355 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBP/NZD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on GBP/NZD right now from the resistance line above with the target of 2.097 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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SPY: Short-Term Selloff Anticipated After Fed Rate Cut DecisionIf you haven`t bought the recent dip on SPY:
Now you need to know that as the Federal Reserve approaches its rate cut decision this week, speculation is high that we may see a larger-than-expected cut of 50 basis points rather than the anticipated 25. This could trigger a short-term selloff in equities, including the SPY (S&P 500 ETF), despite the initial market reaction.
The market often exhibits a “buy the rumor, sell the news” behavior, and this situation could be no different. With expectations set for a 25 basis point cut, a surprise 50 basis point reduction might lead to concerns about the underlying economic conditions. This could prompt a selloff in major indices, including SPY, as traders and investors react to the Fed’s unexpected move.
In the immediate aftermath of the Fed decision, SPY might see a brief uptick as market participants adjust their positions and optimism prevails. However, this short-term rally could be quickly overshadowed by a broader correction. As the market digests the implications of the Fed's actions and potential economic concerns come to light, SPY is likely to experience a pullback.
For those looking to capitalize on this potential downturn, the $550 strike price puts expiring on October 18, 2024, could be a prudent choice. These puts offer a strategic way to hedge against or profit from the anticipated short-term decline in SPY. Given the expected correction following the Fed's rate cut, this option could provide significant value as SPY faces downward pressure.
While SPY may experience an initial rise in response to the Fed’s decision, the broader market sentiment is likely to shift towards risk aversion, leading to a correction in the weeks following the announcement. By October 18, the broader market and SPY could be reflecting these adjustments, making the $550 puts a timely investment.
In summary, while SPY might see some early gains next week, a correction is expected to follow as the market reacts to the Fed’s decision. The $550 strike price puts expiring on October 18, 2024, could offer a valuable opportunity for those anticipating this short-term volatility.
BTC Bitcoin Brief Rise, But Correction LoomsIf you haven`t sold the top on Bitcoin:
Now you need to know that as the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated rate cut approaches, the market is bracing for potential volatility, and Bitcoin could be no exception. While many expect a modest 25 basis point cut, a more aggressive 50 basis point reduction is also on the table. This larger-than-expected move could trigger a “buy the rumor, sell the news” scenario, affecting not only traditional assets like the S&P 500 (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) but also risk assets like Bitcoin.
Initially, Bitcoin may see a slight uptick in price at the beginning of next week. This short-term rise could be fueled by optimism and increased demand for alternative assets as the market digests the Fed's decision. Bitcoin has historically benefited from periods of loose monetary policy, and in the immediate aftermath of the rate cut, it might experience some buying pressure.
However, this rally could be short-lived. With broader markets such as SPY and QQQ expected to correct following the Fed decision, Bitcoin is likely to follow suit. Given its high correlation with risk-on assets during periods of market stress, Bitcoin may see a sharp pullback as traditional equity markets start to sell off. Traders could also unwind their positions in Bitcoin alongside stocks, leading to a broader market correction in both traditional and crypto assets.
In the short term, a Fed rate cut that exceeds expectations might signal concerns about the underlying economy, leading to heightened volatility across the board. As risk appetite wanes, Bitcoin's upward momentum could quickly reverse, aligning with the expected correction in SPY and QQQ.
RUT2K Short-Term Selloff Likely After Fed Rate Cut DecisionIf you haven’t seen my RUT 2000 prediction for 2024:
Now you need to know that as the Federal Reserve’s rate cut decision looms, speculation is rising that we may see a larger-than-expected 50 basis point cut instead of the anticipated 25. While rate cuts are typically a positive for equities, this aggressive move could lead to a short-term selloff, particularly in smaller-cap stocks, represented by the RUT Russell 2000.
The reasoning is tied to the market's well-known "buy the rumor, sell the news" behavior. With expectations already priced in for a 25 bps cut, a surprise 50 bps cut could trigger concerns over economic health, prompting investors to de-risk. This would likely lead to a temporary selloff in riskier, smaller-cap stocks, with RUT2K potentially taking a hit in the near term.
Given this outlook, I’m considering the $204 strike price puts expiring on October 18, 2024. These options could provide a solid hedge or a potential profit opportunity if the market reacts negatively to the Fed’s decision in the short term, as I expect smaller-cap stocks to feel the pressure more acutely than large-cap counterparts.
Despite this expected volatility, the broader market should recover before the end of the month, once investors fully digest the news. By November 5th, on U.S. election day, we could even see new all-time highs in major indices like the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (NDX). Small caps, however, may take longer to rebound, adding further value to a short-term put position in IWM.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell appears motivated to support a strong market ahead of the elections, which could benefit Democrats. Former President Donald Trump has indicated he would not reappoint Powell if he returns to office, potentially giving Powell incentive to maintain market stability leading up to November.
In summary, while a larger-than-expected rate cut could cause IWM ( Russell 2000 ETF ) to face short-term turbulence, the market will likely stabilize by the end of September. The $204 strike price puts expiring on October 18, 2024, offer a timely opportunity for traders seeking to capitalize on this brief volatility.
QQQ Short-Term Selloff After the Fed's Rate Cut DecisionIf you haven`t bought the recent dip in QQQ:
Then you need to know that as we approach the Federal Reserve's rate cut decision this week, there is growing speculation that the central bank may implement a larger-than-expected 50 basis point cut, instead of the anticipated 25. While rate cuts are typically viewed as bullish for markets, this unexpected move could trigger a short-term selloff, particularly in tech-heavy indices like the QQQ.
Why? The market tends to operate on a "buy the rumor, sell the news" mentality. Investors have already priced in expectations of a modest 25 bps cut, so if the Fed delivers a more aggressive 50 bps cut, it may signal heightened concern over economic conditions, causing traders to pull back. Such a scenario could spook the market, leading to a temporary selloff in major indices like the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ).
In light of this, it may be worth considering a bearish strategy for the short term. Specifically, the $475 strike price puts expiring on September 20 could be a prudent option, as they stand to gain value in the event of a selloff following the Fed decision. The short-term market reaction could make these puts a strategic play for traders anticipating a dip.
While the reaction to the Fed decision could be sharp in the short term, it’s unlikely to be long-lasting. Market participants will soon digest the news, and I expect a recovery by the end of the month. In fact, by November 5th—U.S. election day—we could see new all-time highs in both the S&P 500 (SPX) and the Nasdaq 100 (NDX).
Fed Chair Jerome Powell has been keen on maintaining market stability, which could give the Democrats a slight edge in the upcoming elections. After all, former President Donald Trump has stated he wouldn’t reappoint Powell if re-elected, possibly adding a political dimension to the Fed’s moves.
In conclusion, while the QQQ might face near-term turbulence due to the Fed’s potentially larger-than-expected rate cut, the broader market is likely to recover soon, with tech stocks regaining their upward momentum as the election approaches. The $475 strike price puts expiring on September 20 could serve as a timely hedge during this brief period of volatility.
FDX FedEx Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought FDX before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of FDX FedEx Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 270usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $4.40.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
EURCAD Will Fall! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURCAD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.503.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.498 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBPCAD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPCAD.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.783.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.780 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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VFS VinFast Auto Options Ahead of EarningsIf you didn’t short VFS before the major selloff:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of VFS VinFast Auto prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 5usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $1.97.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
EUR/CHF BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/CHF pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is evidently rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.931 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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EUR/NZD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/NZD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.793 area.
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EURUSD Hits Resistance, Risk of Decline to 1.10000 USDEURUSD is trading around 1.10756 USD after hitting resistance at 1.10934 USD and showing signs of a correction.
If the price fails to break through the descending resistance, the pair may drop to the support level of 1.10000 USD.
The EMA 34 and EMA 89 support the short-term uptrend, but downward pressure is increasing.
If the 1.10000 USD support holds, EURUSD could recover.
News from the ECB and U.S. economic data will play a crucial role in EURUSD's next moves.
Gold Hits Record High Above 2,570 USDXAUUSD is trading around 2,578 USD after breaking through a key resistance level.
The upward trend remains strong with solid support at 2,560 USD.
There is a possibility of a pullback to this support zone before continuing the rise toward 2,612 USD.
In terms of news: The 10-year US Treasury yield remains in the red, below 3.7%, as markets reassess the likelihood of significant Fed rate cuts, which is boosting XAUUSD higher.
EUR/USD: Recovery or Further Decline?The current EUR/USD chart shows a positive trend with important test points, but even though it is moving in a fairly stable pattern, the market's hesitation can provide opportunities for investors to pay attention.
On the daily chart, EUR/USD has demonstrated its ability to maintain levels above two moving averages (EMA 34 and EMA 89), a positive sign that shows the strength of the current trend. However, there are also signs of hesitation with recent candles being small and having long shadows, indicating uncertainty in the market.
Investors and traders should closely watch the support level at 1.10750, where a resumption of the uptrend could be confirmed if the price breaks through this level convincingly. The key resistance on the upside is at 1.1100, a level that could test the resolve of buyers in the coming period.
Gold Knocks on New Highs: What Does It Mean for Investors?In the recent trading session, gold prices recorded a strong growth, breaking through several important resistance levels, and are now approaching the new red resistance zone on the chart. With this increase, gold prices have the potential to challenge higher levels in the near future, supported by several technical and macro factors.
The 34 EMA and 89 EMA are both showing bullish trends as they maintain an upward slope. The position of gold prices above both these EMAs is a sign of a sustainable uptrend that could continue.
The current red area on the chart marks a major resistance level that gold prices need to overcome to continue the uptrend. A successful breakthrough of this level could lead to a new bullish phase, while a failure could trigger a price correction.