Sellgold
XAU/USD -Short but bumpy rideXAU/USD GOLD -Short but bumpy ride down.
With the Dollar set to gain slightly, we could see a move down over the upcoming weeks - this only disregarding fundamental key points that could otherwise dictate a different outcome, as pure technicals are the main driving force for the yellow metal.
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$GOLD #GOLD will it behave or be irrational? #XAUUSD$GOLD #GOLD will it behave or be irrational? #XAUUSD
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Prologue
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Gold has been on a makro view in a uptrend but painting now lower highs and lower lows on smaller timeframes it is maybe coming into exhaustion. Given past market condition of retracing Index & Stock market prices it gained because in general Gold is viewed as a safe haven asset. This state of uncertainty makes a little bit harder to apply technical analysis because at any point an irrational move can happen.
So we need to take this irrationality in our risk Management calculation and be prepared.
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Macro View - Neutral to Bullish
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just to sum it up on a Makro View (Weekly, 3Day, 2Day and Daily) nothing has changed.
Gold has not broke the 0.236 Fib Retracement to the downside and is still in a Macro Uptrend.
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Mikro View - Bearish
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Looking at the H4 Chart the Stochastic oscillator is leaving the bullish control zone crossed and pointing down.
Also we because we are painting lower lows and lower highs on the price chart and RSI we are in a downwards channel
The RSI is trending upwards, regained the EMA and ist still above it but is confluent with price still in a downward channel.
The upper descending Trendline of the downwards channel is creating resistance around the 1520 price.
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Key Levels to Watch
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1.) Resistance 1520 (Downwards Channel and Start of Resistance Zone)
2.) Resistance 1550 and 1st Target of a upside move
3.) a Break of the Downwards Channel to the Upside is pointing to 1580 (measured move)
1.) Support 1485
2.) Support 1460 - 1440 (Support Area and lower trendline of downward channel)
3.) Support 1420 (Measured move from break of 1485)
4.) Support 1375 (Major Support and measured move from downwards channel breakthrough)
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Have your stops in place and trade Safe!
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USOIL in Wave 3 Buy oil and Sell GoldDear Traders,
Oil has finished wave 2 and wave 3 is started. In my idea wait for the correction and tomorrow on Thursday, August/15 take one buy order on Oil and Sell Order on XAUUSD ( Gold). You will get huge money. For sure gold will drop around 500 pips minimum and oil will reach to 60.
Good luck and enjoy your trade
Gold sell pattern. Sell XAUUSD right nowI see sell pattern on Gold. So i opened sell order on 1313.66 SL near 1321.50 because gold can make last higher correction.
TP1 - 1308.50 RRR - 0.7
TP2 - 1305.60 RRR - 1
TP3 - 1297.50 RRR - 2.1
TP4 - 1277.00 RRR - 4.76
I do not hope that Gold will quickly reach TP4. But it really can and we need to know potential.
And if gold and USDJPY has negative correlation - so USDJPY maybe go higher and higher.
GOLD Elliot Waves Analysis The day will most likely close with a bearish engulfing candle. A possible sign and confirmation for a bearish correction move (corrective impulse) back toward an important support area.
Should price break that support, we could se the major corrective wave (III) form throughout all of next week and possibly the week after that; depending on how fast the market falls (if it indeed falls).
The areas are illustrated as simple and clear as possible.
Best of luck!
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Gold ShortBased on price action in the weekly chart and DXY possibly edging higher to 100, it might still take more time before gold recovers. Most likely it will continue to go sideways.
Entering sell stop order few pips below @1200 to continue riding bearish momentum of XAUUSD and take advantage of stronger dollar, with TP between @1180 - 1185, and SL near its recent high @1206.
Need to watch out for consolidation in dollar especially DXY is now in its new 2018 high. Also CPI news and Fed Powell speech tomorrow, and geopolitical risks that might suddenly arise for any developments about the upcoming Trump-Xi meeting later this month.
DXY:
www.kitco.com
www.cnbc.com
bigthink.com
investingnews.com
Daily:
Weekly:
Confidence: B (because of upcoming news about USD, other geopolitical risks, and USD and Gold slowly getting a little overbought and oversold respectively)