Gold is forming a correction rhythm ! Increase⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price fell slightly on Tuesday in the North American session due to a weaker-than-expected S&P Global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) report. Despite the Greenback's weakness, buyers were unable to take advantage, while US Treasury yields declined. XAU/USD traded at $2,323, down 0.11%. The US 10-year Treasury yield remained steady at 4.402%, while US real yields, which have an inverse relationship with gold prices, dropped 0.41% to 2.192%, benefiting the precious metal.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices are showing a downward adjustment after a strong price increase in early April. They will continue to decrease after military tensions show signs of cooling down.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2283 - $2285 SL $2278
TP1: $2295
TP2: $2302
TP3: $2310
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2347 - $2350 SL $2355
TP1: $2335
TP2: $2320
TP3: $2300
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Sellgold
BREAK 2360, Gold price adjusted DOWN⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) experienced a significant drop of over 2% on Monday, marking its largest daily decline since June 13, 2022. This decrease was primarily attributed to diminishing concerns about a broader conflict in the Middle East, which led to a reduced demand for traditional safe-haven assets. Additionally, the non-yielding yellow metal was dragged down below $2,300 levels, reaching a two-week low during the Asian session on Tuesday, due to decreased expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed).
As a result of this recent decline, the price of gold has now corrected by more than 5% from its all-time high reached earlier this month. However, it is expected that any further decline in the price will be limited, as there is speculation that major central banks will implement interest rate cuts later this year. In light of this, traders may choose to adopt a more cautious approach and refrain from making aggressive bets, opting instead to wait on the sidelines ahead of this week's significant macroeconomic releases in the United States. These releases will commence with the flash PMIs on Tuesday.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price dropped sharply, BREAK through the $2360 area, entering a corrective wave around the $2300 area
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2285 - $2283 SL $2278
TP1: $2295
TP2: $2302
TP3: $2310
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2325 - $2327 SL $2332
TP1: $2315
TP2: $2300
TP3: $2290
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold is still in an Uptrend - waiting for a DOWN rhythm⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold began the week on a positive note, rising in early trading. This increase was primarily driven by the escalating conflict between Iran and Israel over the weekend. Concerned investors sought refuge in gold, a traditional safe haven, as they prepared for the new week after Iran's drones attacked Israel on Saturday evening.
The price of gold continues to be supported by market fears that Iran's unprecedented strike on Israel could lead to retaliatory actions. However, there is some comfort for the markets as the UK, France, and Egypt have condemned Iran's actions, and Saudi Arabia has called for restraint. This has helped to improve risk sentiment, creating a more favorable atmosphere in early Asian trading.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Still within the two upward trend lines - buying volume is decreasing. Wait for a downward adjustment
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2329 - $2327 SL $2322 scalping
TP1: $2335
TP2: $2340
TP3: $2350
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2305 - $2303 SL $2297
TP1: $2312
TP2: $2325
TP3: $2335
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2381 - $2383 SL $2388
TP1: $2370
TP2: $2360
TP3: $2350
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report, we said traders must be aware of the conditions they’re trading, and markets are moving at extreme levels, we said would be looking for that sudden turn in Gold that may catch traders out. We gave the initial resistance level on the open of 2330-35 where we anticipated the first move down into support, this gave traders an opportunity but it was short lived and only netted us 100pips. The move however, was pinpoint, into support and then the bounce giving the long trade back up level to level. We said a break of that support level is what will be needed for Gold to go down further, otherwise, the reaction from those levels could give the bounce, which is what we got into the region we wanted 2350-55.
During the week, upon breaking the resistance level, we continued with KOG’s bias of the week, looking for the higher levels 2365 and above that 2372, which we completed. Excalibur however had other plans and kept activating long and looking at the move we decided to continue with the move taking longs until Thursday’s close, where we suggested no more longs and gave the levels for the potential turn.
The third level worked a treat, giving traders the opportunity to short the market for a huge move to the downside, which is where we closed for the week. An absolutely fantastic week in Camelot, completing targets not only on Gold, but the numerous other pairs we trade, giving a record breaking pip capture for us since we started sharing our work.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Are we now bearish? That’s the question on everyone’s mind at the moment! Answer, simply, no, not yet! This is a correction, but most likely profit taking at the moment, we still need a complete swing turn here to then start looking for this to target the lower levels we wanted last week, which are sitting around the 2270-50 region. For that reason, we’ll initially want to see how the markets open before taking any positions, there is a chance we will see gaps on open that may again catch some traders out, especially those who entered late session Friday and didn’t protect their trades!
We have the immediate resistance above sitting at the 2355-65 region, if held during the early part of the week, we feel there is an opportunity to short the market back down into the lower support regions, 2330-35 and below that 2310-2295. This is where we want to see the first RIP, and if we get it we feel the long is available into the higher regions where we will only follow Excalibur and hopefully get to carry and trades, if we get them.
Please note, breaking above that higher resistance level of 2365-70 will give us the move to fill that wick and potentially take us into an even higher high, so please be careful if you’re in the wrong way, make sure you act accordingly and have a risk model in place.
On the flip, continuing downside from the open, we suggest traders leave runners on any shorts from above, looking for the levels below 2310 and below that 2290-95 where we feel there may be RIPs, but only temporary, giving traders an opportunity to long the market level to level upside. If we get this move, we will be looking to add short trades and move with the market.
One key thing to note here, if this is a bearish move here, we need more confirmation on it, as institutions don’t usually stop in one day, they tend to continue the move so breaking that lower level of 2290-95 is important. Don’t worry about capturing moves from tops and bottoms, it’s extremely difficult to do unless you have the right guidance and experience in identifying the key levels. The market will always give opportunities, take it at your stride, use the levels provided and make sure you have a risk model in place.
More extreme conditions to come in the week’s ahead!
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 2365-70 with targets below 2310 and below that 2295
Bullish on break of 2375 with targets above 2425 and above that 2447
Keep an eye on the daily analysis as well as KOG's daily bias which as many traders have seen, work extremely well.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
PPI - will Gold prices continue to adjust downward?⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) fell on Wednesday due to strong US consumer inflation figures, which reduced expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. However, it recovered during the Asian session on Thursday amid a weaker tone in equity markets. The prolonged higher interest rates by the Fed and concerns over the Middle East crisis are causing investors to turn to Gold as a safe-haven asset. Additionally, profit-taking in the US Dollar and lower US Treasury bond yields are also supporting Gold. Traders are now focusing on the US PPI data and Fedspeak for potential trading opportunities.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
After yesterday's CPI data, suddenly all is well for the dollar. Today, another index assessing the level of US inflation PPI is predicted to continue to be positive for the dollar. Gold is under downward pressure
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2305 - $2303 SL $2297
TP1: $2312
TP2: $2320
TP3: $2330
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2353 - $2355 SL $2360 Asian and European trading sessions
TP1: $2345
TP2: $2338
TP3: $2330
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold price approaches $2,300 price expectation⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) has surged to record highs of nearly $2,250 per troy ounce in the early Asian session on Monday. This increase is driven by several factors, including the anticipation of a shift in monetary policy by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in the second half of 2024, ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and hopes for China's economic recovery.
The possibility of central banks implementing looser monetary policies could further drive up the price of gold. Currently, financial markets have factored in a 68.5% chance of a quarter-point interest rate cut by the US Fed before June, according to the CME Fedwatch Tool. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell affirmed on Friday that the recent inflation data in the US aligns with their expectations, maintaining their stance on potential interest rate cuts this year. It is important to note that lower interest rates could make gold a more attractive investment since it doesn't generate interest.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The FOMO from the market is huge, the new peak of Gold is gradually reaching $2300 according to experts.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2236 - $2234 SL $2230
TP1: $2242
TP2: $2255
TP3: $2267
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2265 - $2267 SL $2272
TP1: $2260
TP2: $2250
TP3: $2236
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold moves in a wide range, sideways⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to take advantage of the small gains made the previous day and is moving within a narrow range around the $2,170 mark during the Asian session on Tuesday. However, caution is advised before placing aggressive bearish bets on the precious metal and expecting a continuation of the recent significant decline from the record high near the $2,223 area reached last Thursday.
Last week, the Federal Reserve (Fed) projected a less restrictive monetary policy in the future and indicated that it remains committed to reducing interest rates by 75 basis points this year. As a result, the US Dollar (USD) bulls are on the defensive, which benefits the non-yielding gold price. Additionally, escalating geopolitical tensions are supporting the safe-haven XAU/USD and should help limit any significant downward movement.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The price range of $2150 - $2190 becomes the sideway range of Gold price, waiting to break the trend
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2150 - $2152 SL $2145
TP1: $2160
TP2: $2170
TP3: $2180
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2188 - $2190 SL $2195
TP1: $2180
TP2: $2170
TP3: $2160
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold price sideway is stable above $2150 - $2180⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) remains above the mid-$2,100s in the early hours of Asian trading on Monday. The increase in the value of the yellow metal is supported by the likelihood that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may reduce interest rates later this year. Traders are anticipating the release of the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures for the fourth quarter (Q4), which are expected to stay stable at 3.2%, in order to gain new momentum. Currently, the price of gold is trading around $2,168, with a gain of 0.15% for the day.
Last week, after its March meeting, the Fed decided to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged within the range of 5.25% to 5.50% for the fifth consecutive time. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell hinted that the central bank was planning three interest rate cuts in 2024, which increased investor demand for the precious metal and caused the price of gold to rise. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, investors have priced in a 72% chance that the Fed will begin cutting rates at the June meeting, up from 65% before the rate decision.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
After the terrorist incident in Russia, Gold price increased slightly and returned to above $2170. Stable sideway $2150 - $2180 continues to wait for new moves and information from the FED
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2150 - $2152 SL $2145
TP1: $2160
TP2: $2170
TP3: $2180
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2183 - $2185 SL $2190
TP1: $2175
TP2: $2165
TP3: $2150
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
FOMC, Gold prices peak or fall sharply ???⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) is still struggling to gain momentum and remains within a limited range, staying above the $2,150 level as we head into the European session on Wednesday. Speculation has been fueled by strong US consumer and producer inflation data released last week, suggesting that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain its stance of keeping interest rates higher for a longer period. As a result, US Treasury bond yields remain elevated, which continues to support the US Dollar (USD) and puts pressure on gold, which does not provide any significant boost due to its lack of yield.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Interest rate information is very important today, a lot of previous information showed that interest rates will continue to stay the same
The US economy needs more time to reduce inflation, which is the factor pushing Gold prices to DOWN, facing huge buying pressure from the beginning of 2024.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2148 - $2146 SL $2143 scalping
TP1: $2155
TP2: $2160
TP3: $2165
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2135 - $2137 SL $2130
TP1: $2145
TP2: $2160
TP3: $2174
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2175 - $2177 SL $2183
TP1: $2170
TP2: $2160
TP3: $2150
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold price sideway waiting for interest rate information⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to benefit from previous day's rebound, hovering around $2,145, a one-week low. Speculations arise that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain higher interest rates due to strong US consumer and producer inflation figures. This supports elevated US Treasury bond yields, bolstering the US Dollar (USD) and creating resistance for gold.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price sideway on Tuesday waiting for the results of FED interest rates, the price range fluctuates from $2145 - $2170
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2135 - $2137 SL $2130
TP1: $2142
TP2: $2150
TP3: $2160
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2175 - $2177 SL $2182
TP1: $2165
TP2: $2158
TP3: $2148
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAU is in a short-term DOWN trend⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) hovers around $2,155 in early Asian trading on Monday. US inflation data suggests a potential delay in interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), causing a downtick in the yellow metal. However, positive developments in Chinese stimulus measures or strong demand from China could lift gold prices. The Fed may hold its interest rate at the March meeting, as they need more evidence of inflation easing before considering a rate cut. This could diminish the appeal of non-yielding metals and impact gold prices.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price broke through the $2,150 support zone in the opening session of the week.
Shows that the corrective DOWN trend continues to prevail
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2135 - $2137 SL $2130
TP1: $2142
TP2: $2150
TP3: $2160
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2163 - $2165 SL $2170
TP1: $2155
TP2: $2148
TP3: $2140
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Friday of volatility! Gold adjusted DOWN⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) faced renewed selling pressure on Thursday and declined closer to the weekly low in response to the US Producer Price Index (PPI), which was higher than expected. This data indicated persistent inflation and dampened market expectations for early interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). As a result, US Treasury bond yields rose, boosting the US Dollar (USD) and prompting investors to move away from gold, which does not generate interest.
However, the markets still believe there is a higher likelihood that the US central bank will begin cutting interest rates in June. This, combined with a risk-off sentiment, helped attract some buyers for gold before it reached the $2,150 level, leading to a slight positive bias during the Asian session on Friday. Nevertheless, the XAU/USD remains within a familiar range as traders await more clarity regarding the Fed's stance on rate cuts before making any significant moves. Consequently, all eyes are on the upcoming FOMC meeting next week.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Positive data for the dollar this week, caused Gold to correct DOWN. In line with the technical chart, Gold prices continue to decline
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2137 - $2135 SL $2130
TP1: $2145
TP2: $2152
TP3: $2160
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2170 - $2172 SL $2176
TP1: $2164
TP2: $2155
TP3: $2146
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2188 - $2190 SL $2195
TP1: $2180
TP2: $2170
TP3: $2160
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
PPI - Continue to adjust DOWN XAU⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Traders may also be hesitant and inclined to wait on the sidelines prior to the commencement of the two-day FOMC monetary policy meeting, scheduled to begin next Tuesday. In the interim, the release of Thursday's US macroeconomic data, including the monthly Retail Sales, the Producer Price Index (PPI), and the customary Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, could potentially impact the dynamics of the USD price. These factors, along with US bond yields and overall market sentiment, may play a role in creating short-term trading prospects within the Gold price.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Continuing to expect a correction from Gold, US economic data this week is assessed optimistically
Need price range of $2100 for Gold to accumulate more buying power
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2146 - $2144 SL $2140
TP1: $2150
TP2: $2155
TP3: $2160
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2136 - $2134 SL $2130
TP1: $2145
TP2: $2152
TP3: $2160
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2198 - $2200 SL $2205
TP1: $2180
TP2: $2165
TP3: $2150
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Continued DOWN correction for Gold !! Decrease⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts dip-buying in Asian session, reversing part of previous day's profit-taking slide to $2,150 area. US Treasury bond yields ticked higher after warmer than expected US consumer inflation for February, boosting the US Dollar (USD) and exerting downward pressure on gold. Bullish run in US equity markets also contributed to flow away from safe-haven precious metal.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
After yesterday's CPI data, it is good for the Gold dollar to fall. In line with the DOWN adjustment, Gold prices continue to decline to create more liquidity and further accumulation
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2125 - $2127 SL $2120
TP1: $2135
TP2: $2148
TP3: $2155
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2135 - $2133 SL $2130 scalping
TP1: $2140
TP2: $2148
TP3: $2155
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2168 - $2170 SL $2175
TP1: $2160
TP2: $2150
TP3: $2140
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold price - CPI waits for a DOWN adjustment⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices remained relatively unchanged towards the end of the North American session as traders prepared for the release of February's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. It is expected that the headline figures will remain unchanged, while core data is anticipated to cool down. This could put pressure on the US Dollar and provide a boost to XAU/USD. Currently, the price of Gold is trading at $2,180.60, showing minimal movement.
In the previous week, the price of Gold reached a record high of $2,195.15, just shy of breaking the $2,200 mark. This occurred after Jerome Powell, Chair of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), testified at the US Congress and acknowledged that inflation was decreasing. Powell mentioned that eventually, the Fed would begin to implement more accommodative policies, but stressed that the central bank's decisions are reliant on data. Despite expressing confidence that inflation is gradually decreasing, Powell emphasized that there is no urgency to lower borrowing costs.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
US CPI data assesses the current level of inflation.
It's time for a DOWN adjustment to create liquidity for the market
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2135 - $2137 SL $2130
TP1: $2142
TP2: $2150
TP3: $2160
BREAK OUT price range:
SELL: $2175
BUY: $2185
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2198 - $2200 SL $2205
TP1: $2190
TP2: $2175
TP3: $2160
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Sideway waits for economic data this week ! XAU⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) is consolidating its recent rally to the $2,200 neighborhood, reaching a fresh record high on Friday. The spike in the US unemployment rate has increased expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). As a result, US Treasury bond yields remain low, hindering the US Dollar's recovery and providing support for gold.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues its upward trend to create a new peak, Monday trading session shows signs of sideway accumulation waiting for important data during the week, expecting corrections DOWN
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2157 - $2155 SL $2150
TP1: $2162
TP2: $2170
TP3: $2180
Maybe scalping BUY zone $2162 - $2164
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2198 - $2200 SL $2205
TP1: $2190
TP2: $2180
TP3: $2170
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Expect an inevitable adjustment XAU / USD ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 11/3 - 15/3/2024
🔥 World situation:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) surged to a brand new record high above $2,180 during the early New York session on Friday. This was driven by a decrease in yields on 10-year US bonds, which fell to 4.04% after the release of the US NFP data. Market expectations for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to lower interest rates in the June policy meeting have increased due to a significant slowdown in wage growth and a higher Unemployment Rate.
According to the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the Unemployment Rate rose to 3.9%, surpassing expectations. The previous reading was 3.7%. However, Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) for February exceeded expectations at 275K, compared to a forecast of 200K. Nonetheless, it remained lower than the previous reading of 353K.
🔥 Identify:
FOMO from the markets during the week was huge. Along with the US economic news, which is mostly beneficial for Gold, it pushes the price of Gold up and increases sharply
This week, NOVA expects an inevitable DOWN correction for Gold
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2200, $2210, $2220
Support : $2132, $2110
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
A period of excitement and optimism for Gold⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) increased to a level not seen in nine weeks, just below the $2,100 threshold, early on Monday during Asian trading hours. Speculation about potential interest rate cuts later this year was fueled by discouraging economic data from the United States on Friday. Additionally, the decline in US Treasury yields gave further momentum to the upward trend in investor demand for gold. As of now, the price of gold stands at $2,085.55, showing no change throughout the day.
According to data released by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) on Friday, the US Manufacturing PMI fell to 47.8 in February from 49.1 in the previous reading. This marks the 16th consecutive month that the index has remained below 50, which indicates a contraction in the manufacturing sector.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
In an optimistic period for Gold, Gold prices need a downward adjustment if they want to surpass the 2100 mark in the first quarter of 2024.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2064 - $2066 SL $2060
TP1: $2070
TP2: $2076
TP3: $2082
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2093 - $2095 SL $2100
TP1: $2088
TP2: $2080
TP3: $2070
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
PMI !! Will Gold price adjust DOWN?⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) is holding steady around the $2,045 mark during the Asian session on Friday. It remains within close reach of a nearly one-month high reached the day before. The release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index on Thursday showed that annual inflation in January was the lowest in three years. This has raised the possibility of a future interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed). However, this has not helped the US Dollar (USD) to continue its strong recovery from the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Instead, it has become a key factor supporting the precious metal.
Despite this, a number of influential members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have indicated that the central bank is not in a rush to lower interest rates. Additionally, investors believe that the Fed will wait until the June policy meeting before making any changes to borrowing costs. As a result, this supports higher yields on US Treasury bonds and limits the upward movement of gold, which does not generate any yield. Furthermore, the prevailing bullish sentiment in global equity markets is also acting as a deterrent for traders to make new bullish bets on the safe-haven XAU/USD pair.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continued to benefit from yesterday's US unemployment data. increase to $2050 Zone. Strong resistance zone, in Uptrend
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2032 - $2034 SL $2028
TP1: $2040
TP2: $2045
TP3: $2051
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2058 - $2060 SL $2065
TP1: $2052
TP2: $2046
TP3: $2040
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Sideway, weekend accumulation for Gold⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Meanwhile, yields on US Treasury bonds are increasing on the shorter end of the yield curve, indicating that investors are still doubtful about the possibility of the Federal Reserve reducing interest rates during either the March or May meetings. The most recent minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) emphasized that the US central bank is strongly committed to addressing inflation, despite the fact that there are more potential risks to the economy. Policymakers stressed that they would make decisions regarding monetary policy based on data analysis.
The FOMC Minutes revealed that Fed officials are still cautious about cutting rates prematurely. They stated that it would not be appropriate to lower interest rates until they have "greater confidence" that core inflation will consistently reach 2%. While policymakers acknowledged that the risks associated with achieving their mandates are becoming more balanced, they remain highly focused on inflationary risks, despite the downward economic risks.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
At the end of the week, Gold price supports a sideways trend and accumulates for the next week
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2012 - $2010 SL $2005
TP1: $2016
TP2: $2024
TP3: $2030
Pay attention to the sideway resistance and support areas: $2030 and $2020
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2038 - $2040 SL $2045
TP1: $2034
TP2: $2028
TP3: $2020
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
GOLD (XAU/USD) Analysis - Bearish biasHi Everyone,
It's been a while - I'm sharing with you my analysis on Gold and what I expect to see taking shape this week.
As you can see, I'm bearish on Gold.
I expect price to continue the current upward move to take liquidity above the marked area - however, as we approach 2035-2040 area, price will be facing a strong selling level , where bears could take over control of the market and drop the price lower, to fill those Imbalances as well as unmitigated Order Blocks .
I'll be taking short positions as the market approaches the upper grey area, in confluence with the bearish trendline. It could be a great trade with a largely favourable risk to reward ratio.
Let me know if you have any questions or have different views, I'd love to discuss!
Good luck!
Gaspar_Trader
Waiting for good news PMI for Gold⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold has remained largely the same following the release of the meeting minutes from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in January. These minutes provided assurance to market participants that the Fed does not have immediate plans to reduce interest rates. Although this could be interpreted as a "hawkish" stance, US Treasury bond yields remained stable upon the release, while the value of the US dollar (USD) slightly decreased by 0.04%. Currently, the XAU/USD is trading within the range of $2020-30.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
After yesterday's FOMC meeting, Gold prices still maintained the cumulative sideway trend, with not much change in concerns about inflation.
The war situation in the Middle East is still a factor helping Gold maintain above $2020
It is expected that today's PMI news will still help Gold have more motivation to increase in price
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2010 - $2012 SL $2005
TP1: $2018
TP2: $2024
TP3: $2031
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2038 - $2040 SL $2045
TP1: $2030
TP2: $2020
TP3: $2010
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest