Equity markets set for further downside? - THREADEquity markets preparing for the next wave of selling.
There are a few signs that equity markets could be on the verge of a fresh move to the downside. Here are a few charts to explain.
1. Equity/Bond Ratio
The ratio between equities bonds has rallied into a significant resistance zone and is showing signs of rolling over, this suggests the bullish momentum has stalled and we could be about to see a shift out of riskier assets (equities) and into safer havens (bonds).
Read below for more...
Selling
To see with more EYES👁🗨 for "A trader" & "Technical Analyst"?
How to see with More EYES is important for "A trader & Technical Research Analyst"?
Answer: Whenever this question come to my rain, I --> Sherlock Holmes ...! Let's learn from each other, If you have trick/suggestion/advice on this question, kindly type in comment section.
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Let's talk Without procrastinating, I predicted approx. 1700 $ fall from back on events and historical data. The chart below and if you look minutely, you will find a lot that is small but each ticks will give you a clue for next.
I am not going to predict future move right now but, I will post in Time-Line after sometime . If you have hit LIKE button , you will get surely Real-Time Notification of next move on bitcoin.
I have done! Thanks.
FTSE has broken out of a channel - Looking to sell a re-test. UK100 is Bearish - We look to Sell at 5867
▪️ Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
▪️ We have a 38.2% Fibonacci pullback level of 5872 from 6209 to 5664.
▪️ Negative overnight flows lead to an expectation of a weaker open this morning.
▪️ Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 5867, resulting in improved risk/reward.
▪️ Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Stop: 5917
Target1: 5637
Target2: 5530
SOLD HERE DUE TO POTENTIAL HAS FORMATIONHere is what I have been doing today. Still just practicing, but I correctly/luckily(?) speculated that the price would increase where I bought in, at the support I identified. Then, after the impulsive buys, it started to slow down, and it looks to me like there could be a HAS formation starting here? So, I sold. Any feedback/advice welcome, as I am still very new to this :D
THIS IS PANICK SELLING ACROSS THE BOARD, DONT PANICK !!!! Dont panic stay calm this virus will be contained like always in the past they have learned from the SARS that's why you see massive Quarantine
Just breathe deep and wait next week with a fresh view
wowww we are not used to it anymore lolllll
USD/JPY -- 400 pip sell off??USDJPY has continuously been supplied by 105.000 for quite sometime now, every bounce that has came from 105.000 has produced a Lower High in price.
The 109.709 level is the high close of 2019, and has consistently held price below. I believe this big bullish push back into the high this week could be a very big "Fakeout".
**Multiple Confluence levels** 5 Wave Structure completed, 3rd touch of the downtrend, triangle, etc. I am sure there are many different chart formations that can be found bearish in this structure. I won't waste time trying to identify them.
I will be looking to see if we get some rapid volatility back at the 109.700 psychological level, and look for a sell stop on any daily inside bars to minimize my exposure from any bull trap spikes above the 109.709 level.
Disclaimer: I stand behind my analysis 100% of the time. you should trade this set up the way that you know how to trade it, not based on me simply saying price will fall 400+pips from the 109.709 level.
JPM Dark Pool Quiet DistributionJPM has been running well over the past quarter. However, as the fractional and odd lot new investors buy, the giant Buy Side Institutions are selling. The white candlesticks over the past few days reveal just how heavy the Dark Pool large lot selling is, as the gains are below the previous highs. The risk is that the new investors may run out of capital, which could create a sell down at least temporarily.
Shorting UGAZ - The Dangers and controlling the risk, Part 2This is a supplemental chart to the following post:
Part 2 - How to Protect
ngetf.com
In the above post, I use the UGAZ chart to find the worst case scenario for shorting. In the first 371 days from Dec 21, 2017 to Jan 3, 2020, a short position will see the largest move UGAZ has ever made against a short position. In the next 371 days, the same UGAZ short position will go on to make more than an 80% gain. As anyone holding a short position should know, the amount of funds dedicated to a trade is critical to prevent blowing up an account. I begin with this, limiting a short position. In the coming posts, I will expand to using UNG or Natgas contracts to cover the short position.
Also in this chart, I've marked the chart from Nov 1 of each year to near Feb 14, to point out the max backward moves for each winter. 2014 goes past 14th of February by 10 days, something that will not be missed when I get to analyzing the rest of the chart.
Oldinvestor
EURJPY Weekly Outlook 1/4/20Bears in the house for this pair with geopolitical atmosphere that could be changing very quickly over the next few months or throughout the year, the Yen becomes a safe haven asset to park big money. Expecting a pull back into 1.29 zone for a nice entry point that has some big potential on the downside for short and long term trading. One of the pairs I'm watching very closely too for nice gains to start the year right.
Let me know what you know with FX Lo
Shorting UGAZ - The Dangers, and controlling the riskThis is a supplemental chart to the following post:
Part 1 - The Dangers
ngetf.com
In this chart I've shown a short-and-hold with annual gains vs backward movements against potential short positions. I'm being quite conservative with the gains and as extreme as possible with the hazards of shorting UGAZ. The bulk of this idea is published in the blog.
SWKS Bending TrendA commonly missed trendline pattern is the bending that occurs in a momentum trend as buyers begin to disappear. Profit-taking by professionals can create a sudden surge of selling, which can easily drive price into a retracement or correction. Speculative price action is riskier to enter at this level as the runs are shrinking. SWKS may have more speculation but this is an expert level for a trade, and is not suitable for a new or novice trader due to the risk factors.
CTXS at Strong ResistanceCTXS has risen with momentum to challenge its previous all time high resistance level. It is currently in a retracement that has been triggered by High Frequency Trader selling. Support is weaker at this price level.