NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/11/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 19461.50
- PR Low: 19370.25
- NZ Spread: 204.0
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | JOLTS Job Openings
Value decline continues, finding 19200s inventory
- Advertising continued selling, keeping slight gap above previous session high open
- Holding auction above previous session close at the lows
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 3/11)
- Session Open ATR: 498.26
- Volume: 83K
- Open Int: 297K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -13.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Selloff
BNTX BioN Tech Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BNTX BioN Tech prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the $115usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $17.40.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/4/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 20557.75
- PR Low: 20490.00
- NZ Spread: 151.25
No key scheduled economic events
Friday range supply sweep, placing auction at the lows of previous 2 sessions
- Rotating off 20400 inventory
- Advertising continued selling into new week lows
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 3/4)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 418.05
- Volume: 52K
- Open Int: 287K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -8.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Downward momentum, downtrend next week, XAU ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 03/3/2025 - 03/07/2025
🔥 World situation:
US President Donald Trump confirmed that 25% tariffs on Mexican and Canadian goods will take effect next week on March 4. Meanwhile, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the Core PCE Price Index, signaled continued progress toward the central bank’s 2% target.
Following the data, expectations for further Fed policy easing grew. According to Prime Market Terminal, the Fed is anticipated to cut rates by 70 basis points this year, with investors betting on the first reduction in June.
🔥 Identify:
Breaking the trend, gold continues to maintain a downtrend
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2876, $2903, $2956
Support : $2810, $2773
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
To Thine Own Shoe be True - $BTC's Other Foot is About to FallBitcoin’s Floor Must Be Lower – Chart Physics and Market Psychology at Work
In this video, I explain why Bitcoin has no choice but to find a lower floor, despite many traders believing the worst is behind us. While price is briefly going to appear to confirm support, this is just part of the process before it comes back down and breaks through it on the third test. The real focus here isn’t whether this level holds for another day or two—it’s about why Bitcoin must go lower before it can establish true support.
For a long time, Bitcoin has been floating over clear air with no real structural support. When price climbs too high without building a strong foundation, it eventually has to fall back down to fill the gaps. Right now, the market is in denial, desperately trying to hold Bitcoin in the $90,000 range, but this isn’t about what traders want—it’s about chart physics and liquidity. When there’s nothing left to hold the price up, it must seek a lower equilibrium.
Psychologically, traders don’t want to accept that Bitcoin might have to revisit $70,000 or lower to reset before moving higher. But markets don’t move based on hope—they move based on supply, demand, and liquidity positioning. Right now, there are no meaningful buyers willing to absorb the sell pressure at this level, which means Bitcoin has nowhere to go but down. Once it finally breaks through, it will likely move quickly, as there’s no real support structure beneath it.
Know thy shoe.
The shoe will find the ground.
(My sincerest apologies about the volume ladies and gentlemen. The problem which I thought I had corrected from a prior video still exists in this video. It is an issue I'm hoping Trading View can correct before too long on their end… The problem originated on my end, but there was nothing I can do after it was recorded, and I had to get this video up there - I believe it contains important time sensitive information…
Please try listening with the volume turned all the way up or perhaps with headphones until the problem can be corrected.
My system issue has been corrected for the future, but Trading View if you can, please tweak this on your end and amplify it. This video is extremely worthwhile..)
That's the Way the Bitcoin TumblesWhy I Think the Sell-Off Isn’t Over Yet
Bitcoin is already in the middle of a sharp sell-off, but at least half the market seems convinced the worst is over and that a recovery is underway. I don’t see it that way. Bitcoin has been grinding sideways into the Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart, and now that it’s finally colliding with the basis lines, I think it’s about to plunge straight through them. This doesn’t look like a market that’s ready to bounce—it looks like one that’s about to take another leg down. Maybe I’m wrong, maybe I’m early, but in my experience, when people start celebrating too soon, things tend to get a whole lot worse.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
CRYPTOCAP:BTC
CME:MBT1!
CME:BTC1!
CRYPTO:MOBILEUSD
COINBASE:RNDRUSD
CRYPTO:SHPINGUSD
CRYPTO:FXUSD
CRYPTO:ALEOUSD
CRYPTO:HONEYUSD
COINBASE:ACSUSD
CRYPTO:ASMUSD
CRYPTO:BATUSD
CRYPTO:FILUSD
CRYPTO:VTHOUSD
CRYPTO:B3USD
As always, this is not investment advice, any trade you make is on you, because good golly Miss Molly, I got my own things to worry about.
XRP, what are you doing?
There is a good chance price starts to move sideways. A weekly SIBI has formed at 2.59-2.89 and might be the resistance to keep price sideways.
If price does not, I foresee a possible bear retracement occurring.
Multiple FVGs are below current price (2.34). A 4HR SIBI rests at around 2.45-2.46. If price does go up, that SIBI might be the resistance to hold prices from elevating upwards.
Based on what the charts are showing me, we might be headed to another sell-off.
Reason for this assumption is due to the 1-day liquidity zone that sits at $1.77. Also keeping in mind that the bottom 1/3 of the weekly FVG has still been untouched.
If I was analyzing this chart without experiencing yesterday's (2/2/25) sell-off, I would say that we wouldn't get that low into the FVGs. But yesterday was crazy, and I did not think we could get into those gaps. So I am giving more respect to those gaps with this analysis.
CVNA Carvana Sell-Off: Hindenburg Research Short PositionIf you haven`t bought CVNA at $25:
Carvana Stock Now Faces Major Risks: A Price Target of $127
Carvana Co. (CVNA), currently trading at $199, faces mounting scrutiny after allegations from Hindenburg Research. The short-seller’s report, titled “Carvana: A Father-Son Accounting Grift for the Ages,” accuses the company of unsustainable growth fueled by lax underwriting standards and questionable insider dealings.
Key Concerns:
Insider Selling: CEO Ernest Garcia III and his father, Ernie Garcia II, sold $3.6 billion in stock between 2020-2021, with an additional $1.4 billion sold last year after a 284% stock surge.
Loan Portfolio Risks: Claims suggest Carvana approves nearly all loan applicants, increasing exposure to subprime defaults as economic conditions tighten.
DriveTime Transactions: Allegations of inflated revenues through sales to DriveTime, owned by Garcia II, raise conflict-of-interest concerns.
Manipulated Results: Extensions on subprime loans reportedly delay delinquencies, misrepresenting financial health.
Outlook:
While the stock has shown resilience, we believe these risks significantly outweigh the rewards. With questionable accounting practices and a vulnerable loan portfolio, our price target is $127.
UNH Selloff Unreasonable - Still 15% ROI Short-TermSince my first NYSE:UNH idea a couple of days ago the price of this stock dropped significantly. If you've been part of the first idea you should've been able to lock in around 1.x% of return when using a tight stop-loss. Otherwise you've been stopped out with break-even. Nevertheless, the sell-off was not helpful and is completely exaggerating the situation at UNH since the company is not really effected by the current PBM debate.
"Deutsche Bank sees a potential divestiture as not having a significant impact on earnings, estimating the risk at likely less than $200M of the company’s roughly $30B+ operating earnings. Deutsche Bank noted, however, that CVS (CVS), Cigna (CI) and UnitedHealth (NYSE:UNH) 'could face additional risk from losing the ability to vertically integrate the PBM, fulfillment and manufacturing functions of biosimilars through organizations like Cordavis and Quallent.' Despite concerns about the potential breakup of their pharmacy businesses, Deutsche Bank maintained it's buy rating on UnitedHealth (UNH)."
From a technical standpoint we can see a confluence of support:
Weekly SMA200
Strong Trendline from March 2020
Horizontal Support at $480
UNH managed to bounce from the trendline intraday today. This could mean we're going to see a turnaround from here. If we break below the trendline on the daily chart this trade will be invalidated. Otherwise our target sits at $550.
TON Toncoin potential SelloffTelegram CEO Pavel Durov has been charged for failing to prevent extremist and illegal content on the messaging platform and placed under judicial supervision, according to the Paris prosecutor's office on August 28.
Durov must report to the police twice a week and is barred from leaving France, the prosecutor's office stated on X.
Parisian investigative judges have also ordered the Russian-born Telegram co-founder to post 5 million euros in bail.
Meanwhile, TON Toncoin is currently in a bearish falling wedge pattern, with a new price target of $3.9.
The Upcoming Collapse of USDT Theter - Thesis Binance and its CEO ‘CZ’ plead guilty to federal charges and agreed to pay $4.3B in fines.
But that`s not all!
The crypto market is facing increased scrutiny as part of an agreement between Binance's CEO, CZ, and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
This agreement grants the SEC unprecedented access to Binance's comprehensive records, shedding light on various transactions, fraudulent activities, and instances of price manipulation linked to tether, which significantly influenced the surge in Bitcoin's value.
Of particular interest to regulatory authorities is the revelation that CZ has agreed to provide the SEC with access to tether transactions, signaling a deeper investigation into the controversial stablecoin. Tether (USDT) has long been tethered to the value of the U.S. dollar, yet recent events have sparked concerns about its stability and transparency.
What makes this development particularly noteworthy is the emerging focus on tether by U.S. agencies, who seem to be strategically positioning themselves to potentially replace it with Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs). Unlike stablecoins such as USDT, CBDCs are issued and regulated directly by the central bank of a country, eliminating reliance on private entities or community-driven initiatives.
As the SEC gains access to the intricate details of Binance's operations and tether transactions, the crypto community is left on edge, grappling with uncertainties regarding the future of stablecoins and their role in the broader financial landscape. The evolving narrative suggests a potential paradigm shift as regulatory bodies aim to instill confidence in the market through the adoption of government-backed digital currencies over privately issued stablecoins.
The SEC's focus extends beyond Binance to specifically target USDT, with the intention of replacing it with Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) to assert control over all transactions. This strategic move is seen as a prerequisite for potential approval of an ETF in the future. Notably, Binance has been implicated in facilitating transactions linked to terrorist groups, including Hamas' Al-Qassam Brigades, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, al-Qaida, and ISIS, as highlighted in a statement by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
ASML (ASML): Massive Sell-Off - What's next after the $50B loss?We are sure you’ve heard about ASML’s massive drop yesterday, erasing $50 billion in market value within hours following a technical error and the earnings report published a day earlier. ASML, Europe's most valuable tech company and a critical supplier to chipmakers, is now facing doubts—not about its long-term prospects but regarding short-term sales and whether it can continue to outperform the market in the long term.
As always, we’re not focused on intraday trades but are looking for bigger, high-risk-to-reward swing trade setups. To assess this, we’re turning to the Weekly chart to analyze ASML’s most important levels. Our most likely scenario at this point is that the All-Time High represents a wave B, after exactly respecting the 138% Fibonacci extension level. Coupled with the bearish divergence on the RSI, this pullback was expected.
While it's difficult to predict the exact point of reversal, we see $600 as a major psychological support level that could hold in the short term. To reverse the current downtrend, ASML must break above the resistance zone of $850–$895. However, as this is a potential wave ((ii)), even reaching the All-Time High is not out of the question. Merely reclaiming this resistance zone might not be enough to signal a trend change.
We’re keeping an eye on all major support zones, but the largest position we plan to open would be between $250 and $140. While this is still far off, and there will likely be opportunities along the way, this zone would provide the most textbook setup according to Elliott Wave Theory. The recent dip has also opened up more potential plays for the future.
Stay tuned as we monitor the situation for further developments! 🔥
NAS100 - End Of August - Are you not satisfied???Hello Traders.
Come on guys, interact with the post if you seeing how accurate this is !
Notes for today
Price tapped into our zone i mentioned in the previous post, 19,666 was to far but but 19,630 was my entry.
Price was kind enough to come back to this point again today before NY killzone time.
If you followed me from Monday, i mentioned we will see lower prices possibly up to 19,120. So far so good.
If you caught it, you would be + 300 ticks minimum.
For today, i am done. Will relook at the charts tomorrow.
Trade safe 👌
KEY KeyCorp Options Ahead of Earnings If you haven`t sold KEY before the selloff:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of KEY KeyCorp prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 15usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-8-16,
for a premium of approximately $0.21.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ZION Zions Bancorporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ZION Zions Bancorporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 45usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-8-16,
for a premium of approximately $0.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Coca-Cola (KO): Strength in Uncertain TimesAfter not taking a look at Coca-Cola for quite a while, it's definitely worth analyzing. As one of the biggest assets in the stock market, Coca-Cola seems to have the most resistance with a relatively low risk/return profile, making it very interesting in times of uncertainty. A shift from risk-on assets to risk-off assets could happen easily. Just by looking at the latest rise, we can see that while there was a big sell-off in all stocks, NYSE:KO only fell by about 1.2%. This showcases the strength I am talking about.
After finishing Waves 1 and 2, we got the structure shift for a possible bullish rise. Because the intra-waves aren't very clear on NYSE:KO , we are looking at it from mostly the market structure perspective. Two points are highly interesting: the 3D POC just above the 3D Demand at around $60 and the Weekly Demand at $54.
We are looking for a possible long bid on Coca-Cola but will wait for the opportunity to come. When it does, we will share it with you, of course. 🤝
Jobs Data Giving Recession Vibe. Is the Fed Late to Act (Again)?Why does it seem like the Fed is playing catch-up with the economy? In 2021 and 2022, the US central bank was jamming stimulus at a fast clip. Suddenly it stopped and reversed course to raise interest rates at never-before-seen speed (that’s when officials were saying inflation was transitory). Now, the skyrocketing interest rates are threatening to derail the economy. Or worse — throw it in a recession.
The red-hot US labor market is no more. Or at least there wasn’t anything red-hot for America’s workers and job seekers in July (except for maybe the coast-to-coast summer heat). And now financial markets are in limbo.
America’s employers added just 114,000 new hires to the workforce — a far cry from the expected 174,000 and even that consensus view was soft. The bigger-then expected slump in US jobs growth fanned concerns over a flailing economy and there was one major player to pin the blame on — the Federal Reserve.
What’s the Fed?
The Federal Reserve, or just the Fed, is the central bank of the United States. Its daily grind is to keep the economy from veering off a cliff or overheating like a meme stock on WallStreetBets. The Fed is currently headed by Jerome Powell, or Jay Powell, or even JPow if you’re cool enough, and serves a dual mandate of maximum employment and stable prices.
For about a year, markets have been building up the conviction that the Federal Reserve should start thinking about cutting rates. But for months, the Fed didn’t even think about talking about cutting rates as a flurry of economic indicators was more or less suggesting that one slash might be a good idea. And now markets fear it may be too late for that.
The steep drop in the employment figure for July suggested that the economy has started to crack under the pressure of interest rates sitting at a 23-year high of 5.50%. When rates are high they make borrowing more expensive and discourage businesses and consumers from taking out loans to run their lives better. Instead, they shove their cash in deposit accounts and generate passive, risk-free yield. In a nutshell, high rates = economic contraction; low rates = economic expansion.
When rates stay higher for longer, the Fed runs the risk of tilting the economy into the very recession it is fiercely trying to avoid.
Talk About Bad Timing
The timing for that jobs data couldn’t have been more inconvenient. July’s nonfarm payrolls arrived just two days after the Fed praised the growth of the economy and voted against reducing its benchmark interest rate. To defend this decision, Chairman Jay Powell said that his clique of top central bankers need more good data that shows inflation is heading down toward the bank’s 2% goal. He also went on to say that he “wouldn’t like to see material further cooling in the labor market.”
The press conference after that rate call did end on a high note. The Fed boss noted that an interest rate cut was on the table at the next meeting slated for mid-September. The issue, however, is whether a single 25-basis-point cut, as communicated, will be enough. Markets have already ramped up bets for a juicier 50-basis-point reduction to borrowing costs — a more aggressive monetary policy measure that will provide a stronger lean against a faltering economy.
And while the difference between jobs added and jobs expected might be a factor, the severe pullback seems more about investors throwing a tantrum. "You should've cut rates, now deal with our unusually strong reaction as we make a statement," kind of play.
The painful scenario where the Fed may have fallen behind the curve shook Wall Street and spread into global markets. Stocks in the US are in a free fall. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slipped into correction territory, dropping 10% from its peak in mid-July.
Tech giants , the main driver of the broad-based gains across the major US indexes, are heavily battered. But the selloff is widespread, jolting everything from stocks , to the US dollar to Bitcoin .
Add to this an earnings season weighed by investor concerns over spending on artificial intelligence and you’ve got quite a few things to consider before you jump into your favorite stock out there.
What Do You Think?
Do you think the Fed will trim rates by a bigger 50-basis-point cut in September or even introduce an urgent interest rate cut before their next regular meeting? And are you comfortable betting on beaten-down equities across the board? Let us know your comments below!
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/25/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024
- PR High: 19304.50
- PR Low: 19257.50
- NZ Spread: 105.0
Key scheduled economic events
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- Durable Goods Orders
- GDP
Continuing strong value decline
- Recent political news taking the blame
- Broken 2 daily pivots, ~20400 & ~19800
- ~1000 points from 20-Keltner Avg
Evening Stats (As of 11:15 PM 7/24)
- Weekend Gap: +0.25% (filled)
- Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 323.73
- Volume: 32K
- Open Int: 250K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -8.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 18675
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
KEY KeyCorp Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the KEY KeyCorp options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $14 strike price Puts with
2023-6-16 expiration date for about
$0.27 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
24/06/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $67,290.83
Last weeks low: $62,212.60
Midpoint: $65,251.72
Despite the seemingly endless chop, last week was a very interesting one for BTC. Micro strategy added ~$800 worth of Bitcoin to their balance sheet, putting them at 226,000BTC, just over 1% of the entire BTC supply that will ever exist! In relation to microstrategy, Michael Dell has been sending some cryptic tweets reacting to the news that Saylor has added even more to their balance sheet. “Scarcity creates value” was his response. With the news that Dell is potentially buying or looking to buy Bitcoin it’s strange that BTC has dropped in price overall with overall sentiment in the space being very negative.
As we continue to slowly sell off and alt oins continue to get destroyed in both their stable and BTC pairs, I would like to see a clear capitulation wick with obvious strength on the bounce. It’s hard to say at what level that will come to, many are calling for GETTEX:52K which is a clear Bullish OB+, so it could be there however that would be devastating for all alt coins and may/probably have a bearish effect on the launch of the ETH ETF which is coming in the near future, 1/2 weeks.
For this week it’s purely about survival and looking for signs of capitulation, max fear and showing of strength following any potential sell offs. A slow bleed down within a range is very hard to catch the bottom but it would be better to see clear signs of reversal.