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FED and Shoulders - Massive Bear Setup in Stock Indices Amid depression-level unemployment, the stock market is nearing all-time highs. But how and why? THE FED! The Federal Reserve is funneling money into corporations via buying corporate bonds. Corporations then take this money and buy their own stock, hopefully netting out those who can see the writing on the wall. The average age of a Baby Boomer is 66 - retirement time! How do we retire a generation when the stock market is at 2000-2008 levels or lower? The FED indirectly provides the liquidity with printed dollars. Boomers will not think about putting Trump back in this November if they go into retirement without cash. For corporations to also benefit from all this free money, do they just buy their stocks and hold? Is it not the rational choice to convert their new stock inventory to cash for themselves as a matter of survival? Will the FED be there to keep buying? Do we in fact live in a world without consequences? As a false bull wave hypnotizes the masses, those with cash to buy stocks 'since the market is going up' will provide this liquidity to corporations. Market participants will lose faith in a market where price discovery becomes compromised. Market cycles and pandemics cannot be printed away. When numbers come out at the end of this and subsequent quarters, when real prices rise, when stimulus checks don't make it to consumers, the bottom will inevitably fall out. It will inevitably and indirectly be the FED who bears the losses in the stock market, as opposed to the boomers. Or that's the idea anyway. Significant buying opportunities ahead, as soon as the FED stops fiddling. That, or we see an end of public markets in the United States. When the government enables corporations to buy their own stock, risk free, with magic money, what are the big-picture implications of that?
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by scottybfx
1
SHOP - Shopify Sell BubbleHello traders, Description of the analysis: Shopify selling bubble speculation. About me: Hi, my name is Jacob Kovarik and I´m trading on stock exchange since 2008. I started with a capital of 3000 USD. My first strategy was based on OTM options. (American stock index and their ETF ). I´ve learnt on my path that professional trading is based on two main fundaments which have to complement each other, to make a bussiness attitude profitable. I´ve tried a lot of techniques and many manners how to analyze the market. From basic technical analysis to fundamental analysis of single title. My analytics gradually changed into professional attitude. I work with logical advantages of stock exchange (return of value back to average, volume , expected volatility , advantage of high stop-loss, the breakdown of time in options, statistics and cosistent thorough control of risk). At the moment, my main target is ITM on SPM index. Biggest part of my current bussiness activity comes from e mini futures (NQ, ES). I´m trader of positions. I´m from Czech republic and I take care of a private fund (4 000 000 USD). During my career I´ve earned a lot of valuable experience, such as functionality of strategies and what is more important, control of emotions. Professional trading is, in my opinion, certain kind of mental training and if we are able to control our emotions, accomplishment will show up. I will share with you my analysis and trades on my profile. I wish to all of you successul trades. Jacob
SShort
by Jacob_Kovarik
USD/CAD - BEARISH Potential MoveHello Everyone ! Below we have USD/CAD pair on a SHORT Possibility, Price has been breaking and retesting the wedge by failing to create a Higher High. We are seeing some Bearish Pressure on this Pair, We seek to get into this Trade once the Market is Open. We Will be Monitoring Price Action on the Market Open for more Updates. Extra Note : Price is at the 78.6% Fib. Retracement successfully rejecting it couple of time ( 4H TimeFrame ) Feel Free to share your Opinions on the Comments Below. Instagram : Cosmic_forex Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a HIGH LEVEL OF RISK, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose!
Short
by CosmicFX
SH, cleared for take off, runway Covid2020, no delayEquities are about to burst, I am very bullish SH. USA leadership has spectacularly fumbled the ball in responding to covid. Hot spots are developing as Trump is hellbent on reopening the economy. This will set the USA up for a massive 2nd wave this fall, unfortunately. This will ensure business remains crippled, if not completely shuttered till spring 2021. Trump doesn't realize that 'the economy' isn't an abstract thing--it's comprised of individuals whose health under-girds all else. The general health, safety, and well being of the country is our chief capital stock. Queue Abraham Maslow: Meet basic health and safety needs 1st. Insane R:R available Targeting $75-100 to begin
AMEX:SHLong
by scottybfx
1
Where will the FTSE Index bottom, or has it already....We have just experienced the largest market sell-off in history, just few weeks ago it was difficult to see where price would find some support - especially when market circuit breakers where triggering left, right and centre. As we're in the midst of the largest global health/economic crisis for at least the past 100 years, its clear the aftermath ripples of COVID-19 will influence some aspect of our daily lives for a long time...At this point it looks like we are headed for The Great Depression 2.0. However, recently market sell-offs appear to have slowed down, as it looks like price has possibly found a little support. But in a general downtrend, its completely normal for market movement to slow down multiple times, even have a some small rallies to the upside before continuing to lower levels. The FTSE 100 seems to have found support at c.4,900 level, however if it doesn't hold above this level, then it's highly likely that we are headed towards the c.3,500 area - bringing us back to the bottom of the last financial crisis. If the market does play out in this way, then there will be some epic shorting opportunities ahead. In the meantime stay safe readers, and I would like to leave you with the below thoughts from our good friend, which summarises the good old days (pre COVID-19) perfectly..... "We're the middle children of history, man. No purpose or place. We have no Great War. No Great Depression. Our Great War's a spiritual war... our Great Depression is our lives. We've all been raised on television to believe that one day we'd all be millionaires, and movie gods, and rock stars. But we won't. And we're slowly learning that fact. And we're very, very pissed off" - Tyler Durden
TVC:UKXShort
by PavanUK
CAC 40 At Crucial Support CAC40 opened With massive Gapdown trapping all the bulls at higher level This must have forced the small leveraged Trader to exit Their Position at the lower rates forcing the index downwards. Index can Face Heavy Selling Pressure from tops All the trapped brave Traders who didn't exit their position in today's fall will be waiting for their prices on the higher side. So Sell on rise pattern could be seen in this index CAC40 Is currently trading Below its 100 EMA at crucial Support Level of previous swing low. Fresh Sell Off Can be Seen Below The swing low till 5720 Levels which is 200 EMA and 4th Decembers Low.
TVC:CAC40
by TradingOx
1
Stock Market Analysis - 2/27/2020This is what real panic selling looks like. SPY just blew through all important Anchored VWAP and moving averages. SPY is clearly in a downtrend and I would not be a buyer anytime soon until the trend termination is confirmed. "A trend is innocent until proven guilty". Don't try to fight this trend or you will get burned. Of course we are getting to extremely oversold conditions and this selloff has expended too much energy to sustain this current trend. My plan is to not take any new positions and manage my current shorts by moving stop losses down as the trade works. Putting on new shorts or taking longs hoping to catch some meat off the bounce seems silly to me in terms of Risk vs Reward. Next important level to watch is 295. SPY is currently stuck in a HVN therefore a real flush in the morning would need to occur past 295 for continued, sustained selling. Otherwise if we gap up or stay flat, expect some consolidation within this HVN between 301-295.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Trader_Kaji
This selloff is going to lastAccording to the Cashflow and CICO reports (both available free on Tradingview), today's selloff vector was larger and more dramatic than August. The daily candle is a clear sell. Several month long lower support was also broken (Oct. 2019). It appears like Scrouge McDuck and his buddies were selling at a large profit to swim in their pools of money before things get really bad. I wouldn't touch stocks until we see some incredible upward momentum. Don't rely on fake news stories, use logic.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Johnny_Nickles
The glass broke 2 days agoAccording to the CICO report and Cashflow indicator, the selloff began two days ago. Hello friends, its been a minute. I try not to overwhelm you with daily noise. My intent is to give only important information. Trust me, if you heard from me everyday you would be annoyed. According to the CICO 13 MA on the daily chart, we had our first red day in about a month. What this means is the running sum of new money is leaving the SPY. More people are selling than buying; they want their cash. When a sell off begins the only certainty is nobody knows when it will end. I am a self proclaimed bear. What this means is I naturally prepare for results to be the worst case scenario and then I peel back layers of the emotional onion. Meaning, I think of the worst possible scenario and then question the reasoning. My goal is to uncover as much information as possible and then make a decision. I try to look at the good and the bad in totality. Being thorough in a decision is very important to me. However, the unique thing about the stock market is it has no feelings. Computer programs literally ignore emotion. Machine learning and AI are currently trading against you and they don't care about the impeachment or a trade war. I want our politicians to work together and solve problems. I think our present circumstances present a unique opportunity for unity. I'd suggest that border security is both digital and physical. Democrats want digital security from the Kremlin. Republicans want physical security on all borders. I suggest a comprise that all Americans want, complete security. Please focus on making life better for all Americans, not just half of us. I'd love to hear your feedback on the indicators listed. Leave them a like if they help you in anyway. I hope you take your money back today.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Johnny_Nickles
4
$WKHS My view on this stock and harsh prediction.I have been long here, trading in and out and believe that this stock has a great future. I would like to eventually establish long term position but for now, I earn extra shares by trading it. Here is my view on what is going on here. Stock is flooded with a bunch of emotional fools that overleveraged and go all in because this time it is different. Any time when you have a crowd that is emotionally charged, you will see nasty things happening to any underlying security they trade. If you read posts on ST you will see that there is a lot of nonsense, naive people jumping up and down, talking about yachts that they already order. With each uptick, they behave like a bunch of kids. Partially that is because they are overextended here and their farm is on the line... Bunch of guys posting pics of cats (have no idea why). Overall that board is a bloody mess and I even hate to go there to sort a pile of garbage trying to find any valuable information. Well... things do not work this way. To behave like that is against the laws of God and nature. Pride, foolishness, and arrogance will not be unrewarded. So... what I see here that this stock most likely will have another nasty selloff where the majority will bailout. (I think the chance of that is 70-80%). I expect prices to hit near $2 - $2.25 where I will enter back when there is blood on the street. I understand that people will hate to read this post there and will not agree. But I am not short and not planning to go short. I just see danger and today I waited for a moment to get out. Sold my position @ $3.68. If I was wrong, that is ok. I will find another entry point that is based only on TA. Work the best for me.
NASDAQ:WKHS
by Trade2Double
3
NASDAQ - Engulfing on 4H chart, more downsidside expected.Trade Idea Broken out of the channel formation to the downside. A mild correction has been posted from yesterday’s low, this is seen as a retest of the breakout level. The bearish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart is negative for sentiment. Negative overnight flows lead to an expectation of a weaker open this morning. Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 7500, resulting in improved risk/reward. Stop: 7570 Target 1: 7160 Target 2: 7000
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by Signal_Centre