Gold price downtrend with PPI news⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) extended their decline for a second consecutive session on Thursday, marking the third drop in the past four days and slipping to a more than one-month low below the $3,150 mark during Asian trading hours. The sustained downward pressure is largely driven by renewed optimism following signs of a meaningful de-escalation in the US-China trade dispute — a development that has dampened demand for traditional safe-haven assets like gold.
The announcement of a 90-day trade truce between the world’s two largest economies has also helped ease recession fears in the U.S., prompting investors to scale back expectations for aggressive monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve. This shift has supported a continued rise in U.S. Treasury yields, further weighing on demand for the non-interest-bearing yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Downtrend, bears continue to put downward pressure on the market, heading towards the 3100 price zone
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3198- 3200 SL 3205
TP1: $3190
TP2: $3180
TP3: $3170
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3101 - $3099 SL $3094
TP1: $3110
TP2: $3120
TP3: $3130
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Sellsetup
XAU/USD continues sideways above 3200 zone⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
U.S. President Donald Trump stated on Monday that he does not anticipate reinstating the 145% tariffs on Chinese imports following the current 90-day suspension. In a Fox News interview on Wednesday, he emphasized the "excellent" relationship with China, which fueled trade optimism and weighed on safe-haven demand for Gold during the Asian session.
Meanwhile, on the geopolitical front, Russia and Ukraine are preparing for their first high-level, in-person negotiations since 2022, scheduled to take place in Istanbul this week. The talks come amid mounting international pressure for Moscow to accept a proposed 30-day ceasefire. Representing the U.S., Secretary of State Marco Rubio, along with special envoys Steve Witkoff and Keith Kellogg, are expected to participate in the discussions.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Accumulation price zone, gold price sideways around 3200 - 3270, balance between buyers and sellers
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3282- 3284 SL 3289
TP1: $3270
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3250
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3167 - $3165 SL $3160
TP1: $3178
TP2: $3189
TP3: $3200
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
CPI - inflation assessment, gold accumulation⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Swap markets have now fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, with expectations for two additional reductions by year-end. This marks a slight shift from last week, when traders had anticipated the first cut as early as July and a total of three rate cuts in 2025.
On the geopolitical front, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi stated on Monday that military operations against Pakistan are merely on hold, warning that future actions will depend on Islamabad’s conduct. Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed willingness to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin later this week, following US President Donald Trump's call for him to "immediately" accept a peace summit invitation in Turkey. Heightened geopolitical risks from these developments could fuel demand for safe-haven assets like gold, reinforcing the metal’s appeal amid ongoing global uncertainty.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
CPI assesses the level of inflation in the US economy, gold prices continue to strive to maintain the price range around 3200
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3281- 3283 SL 3288
TP1: $3270
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3250
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3176 - $3174 SL $3169
TP1: $3185
TP2: $3198
TP3: $3210
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Bears are active at the beginning of the week, prices are down⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The United States and China announced “substantial progress” following two days of trade negotiations in Switzerland, marking a potential turning point in efforts to ease tensions between the world’s two largest economies. Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng characterized the discussions as “an important first step” toward stabilizing bilateral trade, while US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent echoed the sentiment, noting meaningful advancements were made. The US is expected to release more details about the outcome of the talks on Monday.
While signs of progress may dampen demand for safe-haven assets like gold, lingering uncertainty around the specifics of any deal could still lend some support to the precious metal. “Ongoing ambiguity surrounding tariffs remains one of the most influential factors sustaining gold,” noted David Meger, Director of Metals Trading at High Ridge Futures.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The short-term downtrend is maintained, gold price accumulates around 3300 and continues to go down to lower support zones.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3315- 3317 SL 3322
TP1: $3300
TP2: $3290
TP3: $3280
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3223 - $3225 SL $3218
TP1: $3238
TP2: $3245
TP3: $3260
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
H4 frame accumulation 2 trend lines✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 05/12/2025 - 05/16/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices advanced over 1% on Friday, rebounding as the US Dollar (USD) softened following a two-day winning streak, pressured by declining US Treasury yields. Renewed risk-off sentiment, fueled by persistent geopolitical tensions, bolstered demand for the safe-haven metal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading near $3,338.
US equity markets slipped as investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of Saturday’s high-stakes meeting between US and Chinese delegations in Switzerland. While hopes for a de-escalation in trade tensions remain elevated, uncertainty continues to dominate sentiment.
Adding to the volatility, US President Donald Trump reignited trade concerns by stating on social media, “80% Tariff on China seems right! Up to Scott B.”
🔥 Identify:
Gold prices slow down, starting to accumulate more. Trade negotiations will appear more, putting selling pressure on gold prices in the near future.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3402, $3435
Support : $3282, $3203
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Downtrend - will gold price return to 3233?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) rebounded from an early Asian session drop to a multi-day low, reclaiming ground above the $3,300 psychological level in the past hour. The precious metal continues to draw support from persistent geopolitical uncertainties, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict, intensifying tensions in the Middle East, and renewed friction along the India-Pakistan border. That said, the upside appears constrained by improving risk sentiment, driven by renewed optimism surrounding a US-UK trade agreement and the launch of US-China tariff negotiations over the weekend.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices are under great selling pressure as trade negotiations on tariffs are becoming more active. They may return to the 323x price zone and continue to accumulate.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3351- 3353 SL 3358
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3232 - $3234 SL $3227
TP1: $3245
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3270
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
AUDJPY Set to Slide – Targeting 91.560
AUDJPY is currently showing signs of a bearish continuation after a corrective pullback from the recent swing low. Price has retraced up to the 0.786 Fibonacci level (92.447) and is now stalling below the key resistance zone near 93.200, which aligns with the 0.382–0.5 retracement levels. This confluence zone acts as a supply area, increasing the probability of downside movement.
🟩 Support Zone to Watch:
A major support and expected price reaction is anticipated around 91.560, which coincides with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level. Further continuation may test deeper zones near 91.093 or even 90.800 if bearish momentum strengthens.
📰 Fundamental Outlook:
- 🇦🇺 Australia RBA Policy Hold: The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) held interest rates steady recently, signaling cautious optimism but refrained from any hawkish guidance. Markets have priced out further hikes, weakening AUD sentiment.
- 🇯🇵 BOJ Dovish Shift Easing: The Bank of Japan has started to unwind ultra-loose policy, hinting at more flexibility in yield control. This has brought some relief to the JPY, adding pressure on JPY pairs like AUDJPY.
- 📉 Risk Sentiment Cooling: Global equities have shown weakness due to concerns over slower Chinese growth and geopolitical tensions, making safe-haven assets like the Japanese Yen more attractive.
bullish momentum, accumulating around 3400⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) regained strong upward momentum during the Asian session on Thursday, rebounding sharply above the $3,400 level in the past hour and recovering much of its overnight pullback from a two-week high. The renewed demand for the safe-haven metal comes as US President Donald Trump downplayed expectations of an imminent resolution to the US-China trade dispute, stating he feels "no rush" to finalize an agreement. Heightened geopolitical tensions—including the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, instability in the Middle East, and escalating military friction between India and Pakistan—further support gold's appeal as a defensive asset.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to recover well around 3400, FED's speech is quite moderate, predicted early by investors, the market is positive in the recovery trend this week
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3438- 3440 SL 3445
TP1: $3425
TP2: $3410
TP3: $3395
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3352 - $3350 SL $3345
TP1: $3365
TP2: $3380
TP3: $3400
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Interest rates, will gold prices fall sharply today?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
However, US Dollar bulls appear cautious, holding back from making bold moves as they await clearer signals regarding the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) future rate-cut trajectory. This wait-and-see stance, combined with ongoing geopolitical tensions—particularly the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict and unrest in the Middle East—continues to bolster demand for safe-haven assets like gold. As such, investors are likely to remain on the sidelines until the conclusion of the closely watched two-day FOMC policy meeting on Wednesday.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price awaits today's interest rate result, there was a good recovery above 3400 but then fell immediately after, showing that the market is not ready for the first interest rate cut if any, gold price may face strong selling pressure today
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3438- 3440 SL 3445
TP1: $3425
TP2: $3410
TP3: $3395
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3396- 3398 SL 3402 scalping
TP1: $3390
TP2: $3380
TP3: $3365
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3308 - $3306 SL $3301
TP1: $3315
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3345
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GBPUSD Sell Insight Last week cleared the previous week's high 1.34232 and closed below it.
This signifies more push to the downside from the weekly perspectives
I'm anticipating the previous weekly low to be the first draw on Liquidity 🧲
On the daily timeframe we have a break of structure from 1.33044 to the downside and the QML level 1.33784 whic6also aligns within an imbalance on the H4 would be used for sell continuation after the short reversal that happens.
Look for entry on the H4 and sell to the draw on Liquidity zone
Kindly share if you find this insightful.
It's been a while here. I'm more active on X (Twitter) now
Sideway range, gold price accumulates below 3302⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) kicked off the week on a positive note, rising toward the $3,271 level during Monday’s Asian session as a blend of geopolitical and economic concerns fueled demand for the safe-haven asset. The prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict, coupled with renewed tensions in the Middle East, continues to elevate global risk sentiment. Meanwhile, lingering uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump's tariff agenda has added to investor caution, further supporting the appeal of gold as a hedge in times of instability.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to accumulate, low amplitude at the beginning of the week, waiting for the most important interest rate information this week
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3302- 3304 SL 3309
TP1: $3290
TP2: $3280
TP3: $3270
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3204 - $3206 SL $3199
TP1: $3215
TP2: $3224
TP3: $3240
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Lack of bullish momentum, gold price waits, slight decrease✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 05/05/2025 - 05/09/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold (XAU/USD) slipped by more than 0.35% on Friday and is on track to close the week with a decline exceeding 2.5%, as easing trade tensions and upbeat US labor market data boosted investor risk appetite. This shift in sentiment encouraged profit-taking ahead of the weekend, weighing on the safe-haven asset. At last check, XAU/USD was trading around $3,226, pulling back from an intraday peak of $3,269.
Adding to the improved market mood, China’s Commerce Ministry confirmed that the US has shown a willingness to resume discussions on tariffs, while reiterating that Beijing remains open to dialogue.
🔥 Identify:
Gold price continues to adjust down, lacking momentum to increase price. around price range 3200 - 3350
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3285, $3316, $3355
Support : $3202, $3155
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
NF fluctuates in a downward trend⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
China’s Ministry of Commerce announced Friday that the United States has recently initiated communication through official channels, expressing interest in reopening talks on tariffs. Beijing is currently evaluating the proposal, fueling optimism that a resolution to the prolonged tariff standoff between the world’s two largest economies may be on the horizon.
This renewed hope for a breakthrough in trade negotiations helped lift the US Dollar to a three-week high on Thursday, pressuring Gold prices down toward the $3,200 mark. However, bullish momentum for the USD remains tempered as markets increasingly price in the likelihood of more aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, especially with the closely watched US Nonfarm Payrolls data looming.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
NF news volatility is certain, with the big accumulation from last week. Gold price has confirmed the trend after breaking 3267, will fluctuate in a downtrend below 3200
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3312- 3310 SL 3317
TP1: $3290
TP2: $3280
TP3: $3270
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3175 - $3177 SL $3170
TP1: $3185
TP2: $3200
TP3: $3210
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold price weakens, correction 3176⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold’s intraday decline appears partly driven by technical selling pressure after decisively breaking below the key $3,265–$3,260 support zone. However, the US Dollar (USD) struggles to sustain any significant recovery as expectations grow for more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts—fueled by an unexpected contraction in US GDP and signs of softening inflation. These factors may continue to support demand for the non-yielding precious metal, suggesting that traders should remain cautious before anticipating a deeper pullback from the recent all-time high near $3,500.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Crossing the 3264 mark in the sideways price zone, gold prices continue to weaken.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3270- 3272 SL 3277
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3250
TP3: $3240
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3178 - $3176 SL $3171
TP1: $3185
TP2: $3200
TP3: $3210
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
continue to accumulate, gold price waiting for NF⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) continues its downward trajectory, slipping toward $3,315 during early Asian trading on Wednesday as improving global risk sentiment and signs of easing trade tensions weigh on demand for the safe-haven asset. Market participants remain cautious ahead of key US economic data releases, including the ADP Employment Change, the Core PCE Price Index, and the preliminary Q1 GDP figures, all scheduled for later in the day.
Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump is reportedly aiming to reduce the overall impact of automotive tariffs by avoiding cumulative duties on foreign vehicles and loosening restrictions on imported parts used in domestic production. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent added that major trade partners have made “very good” proposals to avert further US tariffs. Furthermore, exemptions on select US goods from retaliatory duties suggest a growing intent to de-escalate ongoing trade disputes.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price maintains accumulation range of 3265 - 3360, temporary stability awaits big fluctuations
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3368- 3370 SL 3375
TP1: $3350
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3330
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3264 - $3262 SL $3257
TP1: $3280
TP2: $3300
TP3: $3318
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3285 - $3283 SL $3280 scalping
TP1: $3290
TP2: $3295
TP3: $3300
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
SHORT ON GOLDGOLD has created a nice head and shoulders pattern and has also broke the neckline.
Since then we have created a lower high and are starting to push down.
Dollar should rise after news today at 8:15 this would aid in pushing gold down.
I will be selling gold to the 3000 price level looking to catch 2000 pips.