FED lowers interest rates! Gold recovers in the short term⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) faces challenges building on Thursday’s strong rebound from the 50-day SMA support near $2,643, with some selling pressure emerging in the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar has regained strength, partly recovering from its recent slide, and a generally optimistic risk tone weighs on the safe-haven appeal of gold.
Meanwhile, the fading “Trump trade” and a lack of hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve keep US Treasury yields lower, potentially limiting USD bullish momentum and offering some support for gold. Traders are now focused on the upcoming Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and Inflation Expectations for near-term trading cues.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
As expected by the market, the FED cut interest rates by 0.25%, bringing positivity and optimism to XAU in the short term. Currently, other financial sectors are starting to become vibrant again, and it will be very difficult for gold to compete. The downtrend will continue
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2727 - $2729 SL $2734
TP1: $2720
TP2: $2710
TP3: $2700
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2668 - $2670 SL $2663
TP1: $2675
TP2: $2688
TP3: $2700
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Sellsetup
XAU/USD ! 11/8 ! downtrend line / scalping XAU / USD trend forecast November 8, 2024! SCALPING
Gold price (XAU/USD) stays below $2,700 as the European session approaches on Friday, weighed down by a slightly stronger US Dollar (USD) amid optimism that Trump’s policies may boost economic growth and inflation. Additionally, a generally positive risk sentiment is reducing demand for the safe-haven metal, pausing its recent recovery from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support, after hitting a three-week low on Thursday.
Still following the downtrend - waiting for trendline and retest 2689, scalping down today
/// SELL XAU : zone 2689-2692 scalping
SL: 2695
TP: 40 - 80 - 150 pips (2677)
Safe and profitable trading
Scalping ! XAU ! Trendline Recovery 2678SCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The US Federal Reserve’s policy decision on Thursday is in focus, with markets widely anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut, which could support gold by lowering the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 98.1% chance of this quarter-point cut in November.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Trendline + DOW , Gold price recovered briefly - for the upcoming decline to 2606
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2668 - $2670 SL $2673
TP1: $2665
TP2: $2662
TP3: $2658
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
SolanaHi guys
on the weekly time frame; If the red downtrend line breaks upwards, we may be ready to complete the flag pattern.
But the situation is not interesting here at the moment.
If the red support area ($104.5) is completely consumed, we expect a reaction from the area of $188.4 or $160.3, and the possibility of continuing the downward trend to the specified price area is strengthened.
If the support area of $104.5 is preserved and the downtrend line is broken upwards, our mentality for an uptrend will be strengthened.
What do you think?
Sideway rhythm - recovers and continues to decrease⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to decline for a second straight session on Thursday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar following Donald Trump’s election victory.
The reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold reflects market optimism and a shift towards “Trump trades,” spurred by the clarity of the election outcome, which contrasts with earlier fears of a contested result.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Yesterday's strong sell-off - proving the downward trend in gold prices by the end of 2024. Sideway rhythm - accumulates and continues to decrease to lower levels: 2606
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2678 - $2680 SL $2685
TP1: $2670
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2650
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2645 - $2643 SL $2640 scalping
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2658
TP3: $2670
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2606 - $2604 SL $2599
TP1: $2620
TP2: $2635
TP3: $2650
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold price drops - stabilizes by the end of 2024XAU / USD trend forecast November 7, 2024
Gold dropped to a three-week low below $2,700 per ounce on Wednesday following the 2024 US Presidential election, with former President Donald Trump’s win strengthening the US Dollar and Treasury yields. XAU/USD saw a decline of over 2.5%, trading around $2,667 at the latest.
Market uncertainty has eased, as Trump’s victory was more decisive than anticipated. Additionally, the Republican party secured majorities in both the Senate and the House of Representatives, completing a “red sweep.”
Gold price dropped sharply to 2644, strong downtrend. Still in the upcoming downtrend, ending the price increase cycle of previous months.
/// SELL XAU : zone 2682-2685
SL: 2690
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2655)
Safe and profitable trading
GBP/USD ! 11/7 ! sideway price zone - resistance signal SELLGBP/USD trend forecast November 7, 2024
The GBP/USD pair finds support during the Asian session on Thursday, moving up from its mid-August low near the 1.2830 area touched the day before. Spot prices now aim to sustain momentum above the 1.2900 level as focus turns to significant central bank events.
The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to announce a rate cut today, its second this year, in response to slowing inflation. However, expectations that UK Finance Minister Rachel Reeves' upcoming budget could boost inflation, potentially slowing future BoE rate cuts, help support the British Pound. A slight dip in the US Dollar also contributes to GBP/USD gains.
Against the backdrop of a rising dollar - GBP is not much changed. sideways and slightly down
/// SELL GBP/USD : zone 1.29520 - 1.29720
SL: 1.30100
TP: 60 - 120 - 250 pips (1.27220)
Safe and profitable trading
XAU! 11/6! Gold price down - soon to $2700XAU / USD trend forecast November 6, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to build on Tuesday's rebound from the $2,725-2,724 region, hovering between small gains and losses in Wednesday's Asian session. Rising demand for the US Dollar, fueled by exit polls showing Donald Trump leading in key swing states, poses a challenge for gold. Additionally, a strong rise in US Treasury yields and a risk-on market mood put further pressure on the non-yielding metal. However, expectations of heightened volatility around the US election results prevent traders from taking strong bearish positions, which should help contain any significant downside for gold.
After clearing the liquidity of the 2748-2750 price range, the gold price is still moving in the 2730-2745 price range. The election results will create a positive and optimistic financial market. The gold price cools down - drops to 2700
/// SELL XAU : zone 2742-2745
SL: 2750
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2715)
Safe and profitable trading
GBP/ USD ! 11/4! Resistance H1 SELL NOW ! not NEWS GBP/USD trend forecast November 4, 2024
The GBP/USD pair rises to around 1.2970 during Monday’s Asian session, aided by a weaker US Dollar (USD). The USD faces pressure after October's soft US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, supporting the pair's gains. Following a 50 bps rate cut in September that initiated the easing cycle, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to lower rates by 25 bps in its November meeting, with markets assigning a 97% probability to this move. The Dollar weakens as traders prepare for the US presidential election and the Fed’s rate decision this week.
There was no USD and GBP news data at the beginning of the week, the price recovered and hit the H1 resistance, along with the 2nd GAP. DOWN to fill liquidity, stabilize the price trend during the week.
/// SELL GBP/USD : zone 1.29970 - 1.30200
SL: 1.30500
TP: 60 - 120 - 200 pips (1.28200)
Safe and profitable trading
You Know: This Is Comprehensive Sell Trade setupCore Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts - 7 Dimension Analysis
This analysis provides a short-term sell setup within a larger bullish swing structure, using liquidity levels, chart patterns, and volume to determine an ideal entry point for a pullback.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H1
Swing Structure:
Bullish Structure with Break of Structure (BOS): The current structure remains bullish, with a BOS already confirmed. However, there are signs of a potential pullback.
Inducement Complete: Liquidity has been gathered in previous moves, indicating a probable short-term correction.
Current Price Zone: The price is positioned in a discounted zone, making it an attractive area for initiating a short position during this pullback.
Point of Interest (POI): Key Order Block (OB) and Fair Value Gap (FVG) areas are located around the 2724 price level, with liquidity resting here.
Pattern:
🟢 Chart Patterns:
A Rounding Top and Triple Top formation is present at the swing’s high, which could signal a reversal or the start of a Deep corrective move.
🟢 Candle Patterns:
A Double Bottom is forming, with the last candle closing as an inside bar and showing bullish support. This pattern suggests a potential short-term rally toward the FVG area before resuming a bearish correction.
Volume:
Sell-side volume is showing strength, indicating the presence of sellers and supporting a potential downside move within this pullback.
Momentum (RSI):
🟢 Momentum shows the price in a super bearish zone with signs of weakening bullish strength.
A bearish divergence is visible at the top, suggesting a decline in bullish momentum and adding weight to a probable short-term reversal.
Volatility (Bollinger Bands):
🟢 After a contraction, a squeeze breakout has been observed, with the price walking along the band. This formation often points to strong momentum, and in this case, it supports the downside breakout and potential continuation of the bearish pullback.
Strength (ROC & DMI):
Rate of Change (ROC) indicates an increasing bearish trend.
Bear DMI Line is above the 20 level, with an upward ADX curve, indicating that bearish strength is building.
Rating: ⭐⭐⭐
Probability: 60%
The overall analysis suggests a moderate confidence level, with strong indicators for a short-term bearish correction within a larger bullish swing structure.
Trade Setup:
Entry Details:
Entry Time Frame: M5
Entry TF Structure: Bearish
Point of Interest (POI): FVG
Trade Execution:
💡 Decision: Sell Limit
🚀 Entry: 2753
✋ Stop Loss: 2763
🎯 Take Profit: 2725
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 3.5 RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 1 Day
SUMMARY:
This setup aims to capture a bearish correction within a bullish structure on the H1 timeframe. Key reversal patterns, such as the Triple Top and bearish divergence on RSI, alongside increased sell-side volume, suggest potential for a short-term downward move. A Sell Limit order is planned around 2753, targeting a quick pullback to 2725, with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 3.5 RR.
NF - the market becomes negative! XAU decrease⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) regain some ground on Friday, supported by uncertainty around the US presidential election and ongoing Middle East tensions, both of which increase demand for safe-haven assets.
However, rising US Treasury yields and a stronger US Dollar (USD) could weigh on Gold. Traders are awaiting Friday’s October employment data, including Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings, for further direction. Strong results could reduce expectations for a softer policy approach by the Federal Reserve (Fed), potentially adding pressure on the non-yielding yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
After yesterday's unemployment data - good for the dollar - gold fell sharply. This could be a sign of a major correction as important NF data is released today
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2762 - $2764 SL $2767 scalping
TP1: $2755
TP2: $2748
TP3: $2740
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2788 - $2790 SL $2795
TP1: $2780
TP2: $2770
TP3: $2760
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2712 - $2710 SL $2705
TP1: $2720
TP2: $2730
TP3: $2740
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GBP/NZD Hits Highest Level Since 2016: Is a Move Down Ahead?The GBP/NZD is currently testing its highest price in recent years, nearing the significant resistance level of 2.1900. This area has served as a notable barrier since 2016 and often sees increased selling interest. The price action in this zone, combined with the emergence of a harmonic pattern, suggests a potential reversal or correction. Furthermore, recent price movements, particularly the candles from October 30 and 31 breaking below the low of October 29, indicate rising bearish momentum, reinforcing the possibility of selling pressure in the near term.
Bat Harmonic Pattern Structure
A Bat harmonic pattern is developing in the GBP/NZD chart, providing additional reversal signals near historical resistance:
Point X: The starting point of the move, at a previous significant high.
Point A: The bottom of the initial correction.
Point B: The price retracement to the 38.2% level of the XA extension.
Point C: The second correction reaching 88.2% of the AB move.
Point D (Potential Reversal Zone): Near 2.1847, aligning with the 88.6% level of the XA extension and the resistance at 2.1900, indicating an optimal area for potential sell opportunities.
The Bat pattern suggests a crucial resistance level where buyers might struggle, especially considering the proximity to historical highs.
Price Action Analysis and Sell Signals
Recent price action further highlights selling interest:
Selling Pressure at Highs: The October 30 and 31 candles broke below the October 29 low, signalling possible exhaustion of the bullish trend and indicating increased seller interest. This behaviour raises warning signals for a potential short-to-medium-term reversal.
Potential Move Down Ahead
Given the convergence of the harmonic pattern and historical resistance, a short strategy is advisable between 2.1800 and 2.1900. Here are critical points to consider for GBP/NZD:
Potential Sell Zone : The resistance between 2.1800 and 2.1900 represents a prime short zone, combining the D point of the Bat with historical resistance.
Primary Target : The support around 2.1400 corresponds to the B region of the Bat formation, typically the first target when trading harmonic patterns.
Secondary Target : Should a breakout continue, the next significant support is near 2.1000, coinciding with the C level of the Bat formation.
Traders should remain cautious of any breaks above 2.1900, as this could indicate a breakout above a crucial resistance level on the daily chart.
Conclusion
The GBP/NZD pair is in a complex technical setup, presenting potential opportunities for short positions due to the confluence of the Bat harmonic pattern and the historical resistance at 2.1900. With signs of selling pressure evident in the recent price action, especially following the candles on October 30 and 31, traders should closely monitor this region as it may signal the onset of a correction.
Disclaimer:
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
XAU! 11/1 ! Gold price adjustment - NF newsXAU / USD trend forecast November1, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) regains some ground on Friday, supported by US election uncertainties and Middle East tensions, which boost demand for the safe-haven asset. However, rising US Treasury yields and a stronger US Dollar may limit gains. Traders now await the US October employment report, with key data on Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings. A strong report could reduce expectations for Fed rate cuts, potentially weighing on gold.
Gold price adjusted down - market reduced FOMO. Waiting for NF news to officially return to the price range of 2700 - 2720
/// SELL XAU : zone 2769-2772
SL: 2777
TP: 50 - 200 - 300 pips (2742)
Safe and profitable trading
EUR/ GBP ! 10/31 ! resistance SELL NOW EUR/ GBP trend forecast October 31, 2024
EUR/GBP trades slightly lower near 0.8360 early Thursday in Europe, easing after gains from the previous session. However, the Euro may find support as investors reduce expectations for a large ECB rate cut in December, following stronger-than-expected economic data from the Eurozone and Germany on Wednesday. Focus now shifts to Thursday's release of the Eurozone HICP.
H1 resistance - selling pressure exists in this area, besides, today's EUR news data is also predicted by experts to be bad, creating conditions for price to decrease.
/// SELL EUR/GBP : zone 1.83780 - 1.83980
SL: 1.84250
TP: 60 - 120 - 200 pips (1.81980)
Safe and profitable trading
USDCAD! 10/30 ! Resistance H4 SELL signal USDCAD trend forecast October 30, 2024
The USD/CAD pair continues its upward trend on Tuesday, rising 0.23% to 1.3910, near Monday’s three-month high of 1.3908. The Greenback's strength, coupled with a drop in oil prices, supports this movement. Positive US economic data has fueled expectations for Fed rate cuts in November. September’s JOLTs report was mixed but slightly below forecasts, while August home price indices exceeded expectations, indicating persistent shelter inflation.
Resistance H4 - overbought zone. In the context of the falling dollar, inflation cooling down in the US, causing the USD/XXX currency pairs to adjust down.
/// SELL USDCAD : zone 1.39300 - 1.39500
SL: 1.39800
TP: 60 - 100 - 250 pips (1.37000)
Safe and profitable trading
Grab Your XAUUSD Scalping Chance!Market Analysis Summary:
Buy Opportunity: Targeting the 2750 zone from the 2730-27 level.
Market Structure: Overall bullish trend, indicating potential upward movement.
Short-Term Caution: Formation of lower lows may lead to a sell-off down to 2690.
Upcoming Events: NFP report is on the horizon, which could introduce market volatility.
Key Points to Consider:
Monitor the 2730-27 zone for entry signals.
Watch for price action around 2690 for potential reversals.
Be prepared for fluctuations around the NFP release.
Stay informed and adjust your strategies accordingly!
XAU ! 10/28 ! sideway move in trendlineXAU / USD trend forecast October 28, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) starts the new week with a slight bearish gap, unable to sustain Friday’s gains near $2,750. Persistent USD strength, supported by rising US Treasury yields and expectations of smaller Fed rate cuts, puts pressure on the metal. A positive risk sentiment also adds to the downward pull.
However, safe-haven demand from Middle East tensions and US election uncertainty limits further downside for gold. Traders may remain cautious and hold off on strong bearish positions ahead of key US data this week, including Q3 GDP, the PCE Price Index, and the Nonfarm Payrolls report.
On Monday, gold price moved sideways within 2 trendlines, waiting for NF news fluctuations this week.
/// SELL XAU : zone 2743-2746
SL: 2751
TP: 50 - 200 - 300 pips (2716)
Safe and profitable trading
USD/ JPY ! 10/ 28 ! SELL resistance ! GAP USD/ JPY trend forecast October 28, 2024
The Japanese Yen (JPY) recovers about 50 pips from a three-month low against the USD, though gains are limited amid uncertainty over the Bank of Japan's rate hike plans and the ruling coalition’s recent loss of its parliamentary majority. Additionally, a positive risk sentiment continues to weigh on the safe-haven JPY.
At the beginning of the week, the price created a GAP to increase - need to adjust to fill the GAP. There is a slight resistance zone - in the context of not much important news today.
/// SELL USDJPY : zone 153.250 - 153.550
SL: 153.850
TP: 60 - 100 - 250 pips (151.050)
Safe and profitable trading
Continue short-term correction 2709 ! XAU⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) dipped during the Asian session on Friday, reversing part of the previous day's gains but staying within the week's trading range. With less than two weeks to the November 5 US presidential election, polls indicate a close race, adding political uncertainty. Combined with tensions in the Middle East, this uncertainty supports demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
However, the impact is tempered by renewed US Dollar (USD) strength, driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will take a cautious approach to easing policy. Recent US economic data has shown resilience, reducing the likelihood of a large rate cut in November, which supports the USD and pressures gold prices.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
H1 frame continues to adjust slightly downward - expected price range 2709 - 2680 for seller liquidity
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2750 - $2752 SL $2758
TP1: $2740
TP2: $2730
TP3: $2720
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2709 - $2711 SL $2704
TP1: $2718
TP2: $2730
TP3: $2740
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
10/25 ! USD JPY ! touch trend set up SELL USD/ JPY trend forecast October 25, 2024
The Japanese Yen (JPY) failed to build on Thursday’s recovery and faced renewed selling pressure during Friday's Asian session. Japan's business activity data for October showed a contraction in both manufacturing and services sectors. Additionally, a drop in Tokyo’s core inflation below the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) 2% target lowered expectations for further rate hikes in 2024, weighing on the JPY.
A positive market sentiment and US Dollar (USD) buying also supported the USD/JPY pair around the mid-151.00s. However, verbal intervention by Japanese authorities helped limit further JPY losses. Traders now await US economic data for short-term direction amid political uncertainty before Japan’s general election on Sunday.
H1 frame shows the price zone is adjusting - touching the trendline, continuing to adjust down
/// SELL USDJPY : zone 151.850 - 152.050
SL: 152.500
TP: 50 - 100 - 250 pips (149.550)
Safe and profitable trading
XAU ! 10/24 ! Adjustment and price decreaseXAU / USD trend forecast October 24, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to the $2,736-$2,737 range during the European session, recovering some losses from the previous day’s pullback from a record high. Ongoing Middle East conflicts and uncertainty around the upcoming US Presidential election on November 5 boost demand for the safe-haven asset. Additionally, a slight dip in the US Dollar from its near three-month high and falling US Treasury yields further support gold's upward movement.
Gold price continues to be in the long-term uptrend - however, there needs to be adjustments for the market to stabilize and rebalance. Expected price range 2700 - 2680 in the short term
/// SELL XAU : zone 2740-2743
SL: 2748
TP: 50 - 200 - 300 pips (2713)
Safe and profitable trading
FETUSDTFETUSDT is trading in strong bearish trend and consistently printing LL LHs. and is about complete ABCD pattern at strong daily resistance level. Recently the price is broken the important support zone and now retesting the broken level, which is also the 50% Fib retracement level.
If the buy momentum continues the next target could be 1.2500
What you guys think of this idea?