XAU correction - market balance ! DOWN ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 9/30 - 10/04/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold dropped to a three-day low below $2,650 after the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that September inflation is moving closer to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) target. Despite expectations for more Fed rate cuts, gold struggled as traders likely took profits. Currently, XAU/USD is trading at $2,657, down nearly 0.50%.
Earlier, the BEA announced that the Fed's preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, showed progress toward the 2% goal in August. Core PCE also rose slightly compared to July’s data.
🔥 Identify:
Gold price completed 5 elliott waves, H4 frame uptrend. Waiting for gold correction chip to decrease in the near future
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2685, $2702
Support : $2643, $2628, 2571
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Sellsignal
XAU | USD! sideway downtrend 10/1/24XAU / USD trend forecast October 1, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) holds modest gains in early European trading on Tuesday but remains below last week's record high. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish remarks on Monday led investors to reduce expectations of aggressive rate cuts. This supported the US Dollar, which continues to recover from its lowest level since July 2023, creating a headwind for gold.
Based on M30, price adjustment h1 frame, XAU down
/// BUY XAU : zone 2624-2626
SL: 2618
TP: 50 - 100 - 150 pips (2639)
Safe and profitable trading
XAU bearish sideway - waiting for NF this week⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION :
Gold prices (XAU/USD) ticked up slightly during the Asian session on Tuesday, halting a two-day decline and pausing the recent pullback from last week’s all-time high. However, the increase lacks strong momentum due to modest US Dollar strength, supported by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish comments on Monday and optimism around China's stimulus efforts, both limiting gains for the safe-haven asset.
That said, significant declines in gold remain unlikely, given ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Additionally, expectations of further US rate cuts amid slowing inflation and hopes for China's stimulus to boost physical demand should continue to support XAU/USD. Traders are now awaiting US macroeconomic data and Fed commentary for further direction.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price clearly shows a downward adjustment trend in the H1 frame - sideway price range 2625 - 2648 waiting for NF this week
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2628 - $2626 SL $2620
TP1: $2633
TP2: $2640
TP3: $2648
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2648 - $2650 SL $2655
TP1: $2640
TP2: $2633
TP3: $2625
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
GOLD ! 9/30 ! down adjustmentXAU / USD trend forecast September 30, 2024
Israel escalated its conflict with Iran’s allies, the Houthis in Yemen and Hezbollah in Lebanon, launching airstrikes on Sunday and raising fears of a wider Middle East war. The Israeli Defense Forces reported targeting several locations, including power plants and a seaport in Yemen. In Lebanon, Israeli strikes killed Nabil Kaouk, the deputy head of Hezbollah's Central Council, marking the seventh Hezbollah leader killed in just over a week.
Based on M30, price adjustment h1 frame, XAU down
/// SELL XAU : zone 2664-2667
SL: 2672
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2637)
Safe and profitable trading
XAU cumulative adjustment process !! wait NF ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) started the week slightly lower but remain within a recent trading range, close to last Thursday's record high. Tensions rose as Israel escalated conflict at its Lebanon border, increasing geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Additionally, news of Japan's Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba planning a general election on October 27, alongside US political uncertainties, provides support for the safe-haven asset.
Dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve keep the US Dollar near its lowest point since July 2023, which may further support gold. However, a risk-on mood driven by new stimulus measures from China puts some pressure on XAU/USD. Despite this, the broader outlook favors potential dip-buying opportunities.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
According to the H1 frame, the gold price is in two adjustment and downtrend lines, waiting for NF news this week
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2643 - $2641 SL $2636
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2655
TP3: $2662
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2670 - $2672 SL $2677
TP1: $2663
TP2: $2657
TP3: $2650
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Strong XAU Uptrend! wait ATH 2683⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) pulled back from record highs on Wednesday, dropping to around $2,655 in the European session. A risk-on sentiment and overbought conditions led to profit-taking, while a slight US Dollar uptick added pressure. However, expectations of aggressive Fed policy easing may limit the USD's strength, supporting gold.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and US political uncertainty ahead of the November election also help contain gold's downside. Traders await further clues on the Fed's rate-cut path, with attention on FOMC speeches, including Fed Chair Powell's on Thursday, and the US PCE Price Index on Friday. metal.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Still a strong bullish force reaching the all-time highest ATH of 2670. The fomo from the market may continue throughout this week
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2626 - $2628 SL $2620
TP1: $2635
TP2: $2642
TP3: $2650
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2683 - $2685 SL $2690
TP1: $2670
TP2: $2655
TP3: $2640
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
ATH XAU ! 2645 ! Continuing uptrend⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) reached a new all-time high during Tuesday's Asian session but saw limited follow-through as traders await more clarity on the Fed's rate-cut plans. The focus is now on upcoming FOMC speeches and Friday's US PCE Price Index release.
Expectations for further Fed easing, which has limited the US Dollar's recovery after last week's large rate cut, support gold. Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, US political uncertainty, and economic slowdown fears also continue to bolster demand for the safe-haven metal.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
After yesterday's PMI news - gold price continued to positively increase, creating a new ATH. Today, the new ATH trend continues to increase slightly - then it needs to decrease to get liquidity - stabilizing the market
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2591 - $2589 SL $2584
TP1: $2600
TP2: $2610
TP3: $2620
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2604 - $2602 SL $2599
TP1: $2610
TP2: $2618
TP3: $2625
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2643 - $2645 SL $2650
TP1: $2630
TP2: $2615
TP3: $2600
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
GOLD H1 Analysis | ShortHello, everyone!
I’m excited to share my analysis for today on XAU/USD. As we dive into the market, I see a potential opportunity to go short, and I want to walk you through my thought process. It’s crucial to approach trading with a clear strategy, so let’s break this down together!
Market Overview
Gold has always been a safe haven asset, and its movements can be influenced by various factors, including economic data releases, geopolitical events, and changes in interest rates. As we analyze the current market conditions, I believe that there’s a compelling case for a short position.
Technical Analysis
Upon reviewing the latest charts, we’ve identified several key resistance levels that indicate a strong potential for downward movement. Look at the price action over the last few days—there’s been a noticeable rejection at the higher levels, suggesting that sellers are stepping in.
Resistance Level: We've observed a solid resistance at , which has held firm against bullish attempts.
Support Levels: Watch for potential support around . This can help us manage our risk effectively.
Risk Management
As we consider entering a short position, risk management is paramount. Remember, no trade is worth compromising your account. Here are some guidelines:
Position Sizing: Determine your risk per trade based on your total account balance. A common approach is to risk no more than 1-2% on any single trade.
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss just above the resistance level to limit potential losses.
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Aim for a minimum RRR of 1:2 or 1:3. This means for every dollar you risk, you should target at least two or three dollars in profit.
Conclusion
In conclusion, while the technical indicators suggest a good opportunity to short XAU/USD, it’s essential to proceed with caution. Always adhere to your trading plan, utilize proper risk management techniques, and maintain discipline.
Let’s work together, share insights, and keep each other accountable as we navigate this market. If you have any questions or additional thoughts on this analysis, feel free to share!
Happy trading, everyone! 💰📉
Gold Next Move? Buy or Sell!!Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Resistance- 2628-2631
Resistance-2643-2646
Resistance- 2651-2655
Support-2595-2588
Support-2571-2568
Strong support area- 2550-2555
Gold Signal Daily for the week
Current price- 2621.6
Advice-For Buying
Buying area= 2588-2580
For selling
Best selling area= 2643-2650-2651
-POSSIBILITY-1
If 2635 break and sustain then you can sell gold with retest target will be 2643-2646-2655
-POSSIBILITY-2
If it breaks 2610 and sustains then you can sell gold with retest target will be 2591-2585
XAU in correction range as it hits ATH 2600⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) gained traction during the Asian session on Thursday, breaking a two-day losing streak and halting the pullback from its recent record high. The US Dollar's recovery following the Federal Reserve meeting lost momentum after a brief rise, which supported renewed demand for gold. Additionally, concerns over potential economic slowdowns in both the US and China, along with escalating tensions in the Middle East, boosted the safe-haven appeal of gold.
However, the Federal Reserve signaled a cautious approach to large interest rate cuts, leading to a rise in US Treasury yields, which may limit further gains for gold. Traders are now awaiting key US economic data, including Jobless Claims, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, and Existing Home Sales, for additional direction.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price completed the upward cycle reaching the expectation of $2,600 - within the H1 frame's downward cycle, moving within two H1 trend lines.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2531 - $2529 SL $2524
TP1: $2545
TP2: $2560
TP3: $2573
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2575 - $2573 SL $2578 scalping
TP1: $2568
TP2: $2560
TP3: $2550
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2583 - $2585 SL $2590
TP1: $2570
TP2: $2560
TP3: $2550
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
ATH XAU ! 2638 and adjusted DOWN⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) hit a record high on Monday, driven by a weaker US Dollar and expectations of deeper Federal Reserve rate cuts. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are also boosting demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Traders are watching the US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data, due later Monday. A stronger-than-expected result could strengthen the USD, potentially pressuring Gold prices.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Buying pressure is still strong - wait for new ATH areas: 2638 then steadily reduce liquidity below
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2603 - $2601 SL $2596
TP1: $2610
TP2: $2620
TP3: $2630
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2638 - $2640 SL $2645
TP1: $2630
TP2: $2615
TP3: $2602
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
New ATH XAU above 2630 next week✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 9/23 - 9/27/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices surged past $2,600 to a new record high, fueled by expectations of further rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and rising tensions between Israel and Hezbollah. XAU/USD is trading at $2,621, up 1.37%.
Risk aversion is evident as Wall Street's major indices posted slight losses. Fed Governor Christopher Waller supported a 50-basis-point rate cut, expecting low August PCE inflation data.
🔥 Identify:
FOMO to create new ATH for XAU is still very large - continue to expect higher price zones next week, before the market corrects again. New ATH target: 2643-2665
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2638, $2650, 2665
Support : $2584, $2558, 2529
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Bearish - weekend correction after reaching ATH $2600⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) gained for the second consecutive day on Friday, approaching the record high reached after the Federal Reserve's significant interest rate cut earlier this week. The Fed also hinted at more cuts, weakening the US Dollar and supporting gold.
Concerns about economic slowdowns in the US and China, along with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, further boost gold’s appeal. However, the global stock market rally limits strong gains for the safe-haven metal, keeping upward momentum in check during the Asian session.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price reached ATH this week: 2600, In the context of many concerns about the impending economic recession - the psychology of waiting will cause gold prices to quickly adjust downwards.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2580 - $2578 SL $2573
TP1: $2588
TP2: $2595
TP3: $2603
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2567 - $2565 SL $2560
TP1: $2573
TP2: $2580
TP3: $2590
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2613 - $2615 SL $2620
TP1: $2600
TP2: $2585
TP3: $2560
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD SELL NOW ! WEEKLY CLOSING DAY!Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Resistance- 2591-2594
Resistance-2612-2616
Support- 2571-2565
Support-2551-2555
Support-2541-2545
Strong support area- 2531-2535
Gold Signal Daily for the week
Current price- 2587.9
"if Price stays below 2600, then next target is 2564, 2552 and 2540 and above that 2605, 2618"
Advice-For Buying
Best buying area= 2530-2535
For selling
Best selling area= 2600-2616-2630
-POSSIBILITY-1
If 2571 break and sustain then you can sell gold with retest target will be 2545-2535
-POSSIBILITY-2
If it breaks 2600 and sustains then you can sell gold with retest target will be 2616-2630
FOMC! The most important news in September 2024⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) found support from buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday, halting the previous day's pullback near record highs. Expectations of aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have kept the US Dollar from fully recovering, helping to support gold prices. Additionally, concerns over potential conflict escalation in the Middle East and political uncertainty in the US ahead of the November elections continue to boost the safe-haven appeal of gold.
However, investors are likely to remain cautious ahead of key central bank meetings this week. The Fed will announce its decision on Wednesday, followed by the Bank of England on Thursday and the Bank of Japan on Friday, which could drive market volatility and impact gold prices.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price decreased slightly - sideway around 2560-2590 before FOMC, Lower interest rates brought positivity to XAU. Waiting for the new ATH to reach 2603 and then drop sharply to gain liquidity below
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2564 - $2562 SL $2557
TP1: $2570
TP2: $2580
TP3: $2590
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2545 - $2547 SL $2540
TP1: $2550
TP2: $2560
TP3: $2570
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2603 - $2605 SL $2610
TP1: $2595
TP2: $2580
TP3: $2570
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSDXAUUSD . Potential short opportunity.
Our idea is that after the price on XAUUSD has made a new ATH ( All Time High ) we are due for a pullback (at least 50%). Our key level is sitting at 2560 where our entry is, and if broken, we could potentially see lower lows down to our targeted areas 2545 (50% pullback) and 2529 . Stops are set at candle flip as that would result in a reverse which could potentially break previous highs and continue to the upside.
Overall still bullish on XAUUSD .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2560
- SL: 2576
- TP1: 2545
- TP2: 2529
KEY NOTES
- The sell would be confirmed after we break the key level 2560.
- If the price breaks our key level 2560 we could expect lower lows and pullbacks.
- TP1 is a 50% pullback on previous upside move.
- Stop is set at the previous candle high.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Downward adjustment rhythm before FOMC ! XAU down ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) slipped during the Asian session on Tuesday, halting a three-day rally to record highs. Repositioning ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting helped the US Dollar recover from its yearly low, pressuring gold. However, expectations of a more aggressive rate cut by the Federal Reserve may continue to support gold.
Concerns over China's economic slowdown, US political uncertainty, and ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East may limit further losses for the safe-haven asset. Traders are likely to stay cautious ahead of key central bank meetings this week, including the Fed's decision on Wednesday, followed by the Bank of England and Bank of Japan later in the week.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price decreased - adjusted before news of FOMC interest rate cut tomorrow. The Uptrend creating ATH is still highly likely to come
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2549 - $2547 SL $2542
TP1: $2555
TP2: $2570
TP3: $2580
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2530 - $2528 SL $2523
TP1: $2540
TP2: $2550
TP3: $2560
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2602 - $2604 SL $2610
TP1: $2590
TP2: $2580
TP3: $2570
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest