COST, Another clean short set up !COST is offering another clean short set up.
After proposing a beautiful and profitable Quasimodo pattern , COST reached to our first proposed take profit target ( See Related idea for details). After hitting our target , COST started a rally which is beautifully an abc form of counter trend correction . This abc form counter trend correction hit 0.618 retracement level of previous decline . Mentioned previous decline which was our short position is beautifully 12345 leg down therefore in terms of Elliott waves, every thing is it's right place to go short.
Moreover, stochastic indicator is in overbought zone in daily time frame which may be a good signal for possible trend reversal.
Please note two cluster of Fibonacci levels can be seen on the chart. COST has reacted well to first cluster which also nicely coincides with down trend line shown on the chart. This down trend line is a valid one since it has 3 rejection in it's history and yesterday hit might be the 4th rejection.
Trade set up and information were also added to the chart. Please note that besides all these bearish evidences , our proposed set up may not go well therefore I kindly ask you to set stop loss carefully . As explained on the chart, if you can tolerate more risk it may be a good idea to set stop loss higher at 565 USD. Our take profit targets show our Reward to Risk Ratio is extremely high so I think it is good to take the risk.
Good luck and wish you continuous profit.
Sellzone
NVDA, What is most likely future path ?Mighty NVDA reacted strongly to our first proposed support and first large down going wave might have been completed.
As shown on the chart , Major down going wave from ATH to last major low can be labeled as 5 leg down 12345 with wave 4 as inverted flat ( See related idea for details). Confirmation for completion of wave A is a trade above labeled wave 4 high and in this case we are now in wave B which is a great profitable counter trend correction to the major decline from ATH.
If true , What are major resistances on the NVDA's road map?
I showed less strong static resistances with orange while more strong ones were shown by red. Red static resistances coincide with 0.382 and 0.5 retracement levels of major decline from ATH . This makes these resistances important and noticeable. Moreover, 50 and 100 weeks moving averages coincide with 0.382 retracement level which makes this resistance even stronger therefore and for now, we should consider 195 to 208 USD resistance zone as a really important strong resistance area.
Please note counter trend corrections normally have 3 legs and NVDA is still in first leg which shows NVDA still has much room to go up if we are truly in wave B. It is wise to keep in mind that before taking wave 4 out, there is chance for this rally to be just counter trend correction of what has been labeled as wave 5.
while we are very close to NVDA's earning report, stochastic indicator is in overbought zone and please note time frame of chart is weekly therefore upcoming ER has very strong impact on future path of the stock.
In this proposed scenario, entire correction of NVDA will end around 70 USD after completion of 2nd large down going wave which has been shown as possible wave C with dashed arrow on the chart. Although I showed this possibility on the chart, it is too soon to talk about it especially in detail. If necessary, we will come back and make our updates in appropriate time .
Please do not hesitate to ask questions .
Wish you success and profits.
USDJPY-Weekly Market Analysis-Nov22,Wk1A Potential Bearish Butterfly Pattern is looking to complete at 147.95. A candlestick pattern confirmation is still as important as looking for a trading opportunity.
Do note that on the higher timeframe, I'm still looking for a buying opportunity.(check out the related article at the bottom of the tradingview post)
GBPUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Oct22,Wk1Last Friday, I shared this analysis in Tradingview; the comment I received is lovely yet scary. The reader felt that the Bat Pattern had completed and seemed like he had engaged in the trade. Oh nooo!!
First of all, no matter who the analyst was, never follow their trading ideas blindly. Secondly, for the Bearish Bat Pattern to be valid, the market has to touch the furthest end of the PRZ; in this example, it's at 1.1251 and touches the opposite end of the PRZ for it to be valid.
Engaged in advance of the pattern completion can risk riding on an invalid setup or put yourself at a major disadvantage when you enter too early.
Some of the obvious disadvantages is a lopsided Reward is to Risk; you risk more and earn lesser than other traders who engaged in the same trade. While others can shift their stop-loss to entry, you could only reduce your risk.
With that said, in this bearish setup, my analysis remains unchanged.
GBPUSD - Bearish BatA Bearish Bat setup within the sell zone work well for trend traders. Consolidation before completion could be a warning sign for the Bat Pattern trader; hence traders must wait for confirmation in the PRZ zone and not to rush into this Harmonic Pattern without waiting for further confirmation.
USDCAD - Bearish Bat comboThe Potential Bearish Bat setup on the 1hourly allows the "latecomer" to engage the trade and die-hard traders who got involved on the Bearish Deep Gartley Pattern a chance to increase their position without increasing their risk.
That said, candlestick pattern confirmation is essential before entering the trade, even though the Bat Pattern is formed within the sell zone.