NIO: Is it now ready to fly?Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how NIO is behaving today.
First, in the 1h chart, it is sitting right at a very important key point , which is the purple line at $ 38.33. This line is not here by chance, and when we talk about the daily chart I’ll explain why. For now, let’s just keep in mind that the purple line, along with the 21 ema made a resistance zone , and NIO has to defeat it in order to fly again.
The trend is still bearish , as we have no higher highs/lows, but if NIO defeats this resistance zone, it could be a good start. But as long as we don’t have any clear reaction, there’s nothing to do, but wait for a safe buy.
Now, let’s see the daily chart:
The thing is, despite the drop, NIO reacted amazingly well last Friday, as it did a very powerful Hammer candlestick pattern , with a very long shadow under the candlestick’s body (with high volume , by the way). This is a good sign. Not enough to trigger a buy opportunity, but good, indeed.
Now, remember the purple line? Here’s why it is so important: It was a support level twice, in Nov and Dec 2020. Now, it could work again, and if it does, we’ll have another challenging point at $ 42.10 (black line), and another sell zone near the green line and the 21 ema.
But all of this will depend on how NIO will close today, and the way it’ll close. If we see a good sign around, it could give us a brilliant opportunity. If not, the bearish sentiment will prevail, and the stock will seek for lower levels.
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Sellzone
AUDCHF: SELL Based on our technical analysis on higher timeframes with AUDCHF, we see a potential for a SELL opportunity for the month of February.
Drawing a fib from October 2020's low to January 2021's high, we can see that price is hovering right in the possible SELL zone for Bears to enter. If price does not break the 6.18% level (on the fib drawn) then Bears can definitely enter for the month to take it down to our Take Profit (TP) area labeled "Possible Exit for SELLS" on this Trade Plan. The 21 EMA (hot pink line) was also added to this Plan for another confluence.
Let's see what February 1st brings for us.
EUR/USD, Head and shoulder formation. Eurusd to reach the 1.20 area with a deeper retracement to the golden ration 0.618. Based on the volume profile the POCs clearly are showing a deeper retracement since the value area failed to rise above the 0.5 fib retracement and we can definitely look at a strong USD for the next days.
In terms of structure we are seeing the formation of a head and shoulder pattern , also there is a high probability that the price will fall to the previous demand zone in order to trigger all the institutional orders left at this level.
From a COT perspective we are seeing an equal number of long and short positions added by hedge funds and investment companies on the dollar index, On the Euro institutions have added a huge amount of long positions during the previous week. With that being said we might see the price falling to the 1.20 area in order to trigger the long positions added by the smart money.
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USDJPY-Weekly Market Analysis-Jan21,Wk2My bias in shorting USDJPY still stands, in fact on Monday morning I may just engage a trend trading trade by shorting USDJPY on this Shark Pattern as long as the market didn't gap away from the current price. What's nice about this setup is that not only the shark pattern form within the sell zone it is on an RSI Divergence.