NVTS - 50% already, 300% more to go! Massive 2025 StockNASDAQ:NVTS 💾
A top 5 trade for me right now!
We are up a massive 50%+ since we called this name out for a breakout retest then move higher. We got exactly that friends. It's a massive move but what if I told you that this move pales in comparison to the overall 300%+ move I see coming over 2025! Buckle up this is going to be a wild ride friends.
Weekly Analysis:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Broke out of downtrend & falling wedge in which we hit our first profit target and now we successfully retested the breakout and bounce higher! I bought more shares/ options this past week.
-Sitting on a volume shelf with a lot of room to run!
-Williams CB has created support and formed!
🔜🎯$4.65🎯$6🎯$7.62🎯$11.17🎯$12.29
⏲️Before May2026
Not financial advice.
Semiconductors
Nvidia - Shocking Everybody Again In 2025!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) will rally another +40% in 2025:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For most people, it seems absolutely counterintuitive to witness another parabolic blow off rally on Nvidia and that's exactly why we will see such moves during 2025. Market structure just supports this outlook since Nvidia is still overall bullish and has some room towards the upside.
Levels to watch: $200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$AMD: The AI Challenger Closing 2024 Strong
Introduction
AMD’s 2024 journey has been marked by strong performance in AI and gaming, backed by solid product launches and strategic moves.
📈 As the year ends, AMD’s MI300 series has crossed $5 billion in data center GPU revenue, setting the stage for further growth in 2025.
💡 But is this momentum enough to solidify AMD as a long-term investment opportunity? Let’s explore. 🔍
Key Insights
1. Financial Highlights 💵
Stock Price: $119.21 (+0.28% today).
P/E Ratio: 45, showcasing high growth expectations.
Revenue Growth: +18% YoY in Q3, driven by data centers and gaming. 🎮
Note: While AMD’s valuation appears stretched compared to historical norms, its forward-looking growth potential justifies a deeper look. 👀
2. AI Market Expansion 🤖
MI300 Series Success: AMD’s data center GPU revenue surpassed $5 billion in 2024, boosted by adoption across cloud providers and enterprises. ☁️
Future Pipeline: The MI325X is set to launch in late 2024, and the MI350 series is planned for 2025. These products aim to strengthen AMD’s position in AI computing.
Analysis:
The global AI market, projected to reach $1 trillion by 2030 🌍, presents immense growth opportunities. AMD’s investment in AI-focused products and partnerships positions it well to capture a meaningful share of this expanding market. 🚀
3. Gaming and Esports Stability 🎮
Revenue: Gaming contributed $1.5 billion in Q3 (+4% YoY).
Growth Drivers: Ryzen CPUs and Radeon GPUs remain popular for gaming rigs, while console upgrades and esports continue to fuel demand.
Takeaway: Gaming remains a consistent revenue stream for AMD, complementing its more volatile AI and data center segments. 💻
4. Competitive Positioning ⚔️
Against Nvidia: AMD’s MI300 series competes in performance and adoption but remains a challenger to Nvidia’s dominance.
Against Intel: AMD continues to outpace Intel in CPU performance and market share growth, reinforcing its reputation as a reliable competitor. 🏆
5. Undervaluation Potential 📊
AMD trades below key moving averages, suggesting a potential opportunity for long-term investors.
Forward P/E could drop to 30 if 2025 earnings grow as projected, aligning with value-focused investment strategies. 📉➡️📈
What’s Next? 🔮
With 2024 closing on a strong note, AMD’s focus shifts to executing its 2025 product launches and capitalizing on AI market growth. Whether you see AMD as undervalued or overvalued depends on your confidence in its ability to sustain this momentum. 🧠
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a professional before making investment decisions. 📢
$AMD GAP FILL 138 & 160A stock gap occurs when there's a significant jump in a stock's price after market closure, typically driven by some news. When this gap is filled, it indicates that the stock's price has reverted to its pre-gap, or "normal," level. This common occurrence happens as the price stabilizes after the initial rush of buying and trading sparked by the news subsides.
Exhaustion gaps are usually the most likely to be filled because they indicate the end of a price trend.
BUY NOW
According to 30 Wall Street analysts who provided 12-month price targets for Advanced Micro Devices over the past three months, the average price target is $182.18. The high forecast is $220.00, and the low forecast is $145.00. This average price target indicates a 46.14% change from the last price of $124.60 (as of 12/23/2024)
NASDAQ:AMD 's growing presence in the markets for central processing units (CPUs) and graphics processing units (GPUs) is poised to drive significant stock gains. We foresee a robust outlook for the semiconductor specialist's Epyc CPUs in the server and data center segment, as well as strong performance from the company's M1350 and M1400 GPUs.
+ NASDAQ:AMD net profit YoY grew by 777.88% which is 633.31% above its peer average
+ NASDAQ:AMD revenue has grown by 17.57% YoY from Q3 2023 to Q3 2024
+ NYSE:MD EPS is forecasted to grow by 41.26% YoY from Q4 2023 to Q4 2024
+ NASDAQ:AMD has a lower debt to equity ratio (3.02%) compared to its peer average (33.87%)
+ NASDAQ:AMD 's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 40.07% to 3.02% over the past 5 year
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor (AOSL) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor NASDAQ:AOSL is a leading innovator in power semiconductors, offering a diversified product portfolio that includes Power MOSFETs, Silicon Carbide (SiC) devices, IGBTs, and power management ICs. The company’s focus on high-performance, energy-efficient solutions positions it at the forefront of several transformative industries.
Key Catalysts for Growth
Sectoral Demand Tailwinds:
AOSL is benefiting from rising demand in key sectors such as automotive, consumer electronics, and industrial applications.
These markets are poised for long-term growth, driven by trends like electrification and automation.
Expansion into High-Growth Areas:
Electric Vehicles (EVs): AOSL’s expansion into the EV ecosystem, including advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), enhances its exposure to the rapidly growing EV market.
Sustainability Focus: Products aligned with energy-efficient power management address global sustainability priorities, solidifying AOSL's competitive positioning.
Innovative Portfolio Diversification:
AOSL’s broad product portfolio minimizes risks tied to any single category and ensures resilience amid market fluctuations.
The company’s investments in Silicon Carbide (SiC) technology bolster its competitive edge in applications requiring high power efficiency.
Profitability and Margins:
AOSL’s focus on energy-efficient designs supports higher margins while aligning with industry trends for lower power consumption and cost efficiency.
Investment Outlook
Bullish Case:
We remain bullish on AOSL above the $36.00-$37.00 range, as the company capitalizes on its technological leadership and industry tailwinds.
Upside Potential:
Our upside target for AOSL is $69.00-$71.00, reflecting confidence in its growth trajectory, driven by its strategic focus on EVs, ADAS, and energy-efficient innovations.
🚀 AOSL—Powering the Future of Electronics with Sustainable Energy Solutions. #Semiconductors #EnergyEfficiency #TechLeadership
NVTS - The next Explosive Small Cap?! 300% UpsideCharturday #2: NASDAQ:NVTS 💾
A top 5 trade for me right now!
Weekly Analysis:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Broke out of downtrend & falling wedge in which we hit our first profit target and now retesting the breakout. I bought more shares/ options this past week.
-Sitting on a volume shelf with a lot of room to run!
-Williams CB still forming, if we continue our bounce into this week we will have a form Williams CB
🔜🎯$4.65🎯$6🎯$7.62🎯$11.17🎯$12.29
⏲️Before May2026
Not financial advice.
Mobix Labs is gearing up for a bull market!We're back with a new stonk after doing about a 7x on SEALSQ! I don't have much time to write an in depth analysis so please do your own research on this company.
Mobix Labs looks to be settling in their growth market, defense contracts signed and a possible acquisition. Earnings are TOMORROW Dec 19th, so of course this is risky - bad earnings could dump the stock significantly. If however, earnings are good and the investor call brings some good news, this one could fly. Technical breakout target is $10 and I like the nice retest on the bull market support band. $2.16 is the first resistance to break and to retest for a first move towards $3.5.
Let's see, remember these are low caps and risky!
SMH | SHORTNASDAQ:SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) Weekly Analysis:
Current Price Action:
SMH is trading at $218.43, down 9.10% for the week.
Price has breached the upward trendline support, indicating potential further downside.
Key Levels:
Bearish Line: $214.18
Target Price 1: $199.15
Target Price 2: $172.35
Target Price 3: $155.65
Target Price 4: $136.10
Support Zones:
Immediate support is expected around $199.15.
Further support levels are $172.35, $155.65, and $136.10.
Resistance Levels:
Resistance is at the broken trendline near $240, followed by the recent high around $300.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
RSI is at 53.98, trending downwards, suggesting weakening momentum.
Volume:
Volume is significant at 75.462M, indicating strong selling pressure.
Conclusion:
SMH's breakdown below key support levels and significant bearish momentum suggest further downside potential. Watch for reactions around $199.15 and $172.35 for potential entry points or further declines.
MOBX resistance / support flip, target: +100% nextMobix Labs had volatile pa after earnings, an overreaction as revenue was up over 400% beating estimates. They're still at an operating loss, which is normal for a startup.
Story is simple, they did multiple acquisitions this year:
RaGE Systems:
Revenue for 2024: Not specified.
Acquisition Cost: Approximately $2 million in cash, $10 million in Mobix Labs stock, and possible earn-out payments up to $8 million over eight fiscal quarters.
Description: Provides radio frequency joint design and manufacturing services.
J-Mark Connectors Inc.:
Revenue for 2024: Not specified.
Acquisition Cost: Financial terms remain undisclosed.
Description: Specializes in custom interconnect solutions for industries like aerospace, military, and defense.
Spacecraft Components Corp.:
Revenue for 2024: Not specified, but 2023 unaudited revenues were $18.1 million with forecasted growth for the next two years.
Acquisition Cost: Between $18 million and $24 million, with consideration to be paid in a combination of cash and equity, subject to earnout provisions.
Description: Manufactures mission-critical electronics for the aerospace, defense, and transportation sectors.
Now especially Spacecraft Components Corp. is notably as they do 18.1 million in revenue and are worth roughly 22 million. Mobix Labs reported about 3 million in revenue yesterday.
This means they will do 7x the revenue after the acquisition is completed in Q1 2025. Next to that they secured the following contracts in 2024 that are not part of the current revenue:
In 2024, Mobix Labs, Inc. secured the following contracts:
M-1 Abrams Tank Army Contract: for filtered connectors.
Sole Source Supply Contract: with Gulfstream Aerospace Corp. for custom filtered connectors used in their business-jet aircraft.
GE HealthCare and PerkinElmer Contract: for the sale of proprietary electromagnetic filtering products used in pharmaceutical diagnostics and digital imaging solutions.
Tomahawk Missile System Contract: for filtered connector parts.
Javelin Missile System Contract: for guidance system components.
A 15-month Contract: to supply critical components for aerospace and defense applications, though specific details about the customer or components were not specified.
EMI Interconnect Solutions: announced new filtered ARINC connectors and secured aerospace customers.
These contracts span various sectors, focusing mainly on military, defense, aerospace, and medical applications.
---
Looks to me this company is undervalued and has a lot of growth ahead in 2025... I added on the dip and any buy under $2 should be good long term.
Short term pa looks like a support resistance flip and a next target of $3.52 - I also like that this stock isn't popular whatsoever, similar to LAES (SEALSQ) when I found it.
A patient hold for me, DYOR, happy holidays!
NVDA AI Revolution: Which Stocks Will Lead the Charge in 2025?AI Revolution: Which Stocks Will Lead the Charge in 2025?
"AI isn’t the future; it’s the now, and it's flipping the investment world on its head like a rogue AI flipping through data."
Introduction
Artificial Intelligence is not just transforming industries; it's becoming the heartbeat of innovation. In 2024, Nvidia and Microsoft stand out, but diving into AI stocks requires a keen eye for both opportunity and jeopardy. Let's dissect their dominion, strategies, and financial health to guide your investment journey.
Nvidia: The Engine of AI
Nvidia’s GPUs are more than just hardware; they're the fuel driving the AI engine across sectors.
Market Dominance: With an expected 64% of the AI server market, Nvidia's GPUs, particularly the H100, are the industry's gold standard for AI training.
Financial Highlights:
P/E Ratio: At 30.09, Nvidia's stock might be running on hype or genuine growth.
Free Cash Flow: A staggering $33.73 billion, giving Nvidia the muscle to innovate relentlessly.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 17.22, reflecting aggressive growth funding through debt.
Future Outlook: The upcoming H200 chip could further cement Nvidia's lead, but at what cost to valuation?
💡 “Nvidia isn't just selling hardware; they're selling the future of AI computation.”
Microsoft: AI's Silent Integrator
Microsoft isn't just playing the AI game; they're changing the rules, embedding AI where you least expect it.
AI Integration: Through Azure and tools like Copilot, Microsoft is making AI as ubiquitous as electricity.
Financial Insights:
ROIC: An astonishing 130%, showcasing unparalleled capital efficiency.
Net Income Margin: 56% - Microsoft turns more than half its revenue into profit, a testament to its operational prowess.
Cash Position: With $39 billion in cash, Microsoft is ready for any strategic move or shareholder reward.
Strategic Alliances: Leveraging partnerships like OpenAI, Microsoft is pushing AI's boundaries.
💡 “Microsoft isn’t just adopting AI; it's making AI adopt us.”
The Broader AI Ecosystem
Google ( NASDAQ:GOOG ): Using AI to enhance search and cloud, potentially rivaling Microsoft's Azure.
Meta ( NASDAQ:META ): Innovating with generative AI in social platforms and VR.
IonQ ( NYSE:IONQ ): Bridging AI with quantum computing for groundbreaking computational power.
💡 “In the AI race, today's leaders could be tomorrow's followers.”
Risks in the AI Investment Arena
Overvaluation: Nvidia's high P/E might signal a bubble waiting to burst.
Regulatory Challenges: As AI grows, so does the regulatory scrutiny, potentially slowing down innovation.
Market Saturation: With AI becoming mainstream, distinguishing between real innovators and opportunists becomes crucial.
💡 “Investing in AI is like betting on tech; some will soar, others might crash and burn.”
Conclusion
Nvidia and Microsoft are pivotal in the AI landscape, but the field is broader and riskier than it seems. Understanding these nuances will be key to navigating 2025’s investment landscape.
Is the AI Revolution Built on a House of Cards?In the treacherous landscape of technological ambition, Nvidia emerges as a cautionary tale of unchecked corporate hubris and potentially unsustainable growth. What appeared to be an unstoppable technological juggernaut now reveals deep fissures in its seemingly impenetrable facade, with mounting challenges threatening to unravel its carefully constructed narrative of AI dominance. Specific challenges underscore this fragility: comments from Microsoft's Satya Nadella suggest a potential moderation in AI chip demand, while Alphabet's Sundar Pichai has highlighted that "the low-hanging fruit is gone" in AI model development.
Beneath the glossy veneer of technological innovation lies a troubling reality of regulatory scrutiny and market volatility. Nvidia faces a perfect storm of challenges: a potential slowdown in AI chip demand, an aggressive antitrust investigation by Chinese regulators, and growing skepticism from industry leaders. The competition is intensifying, with Amazon developing its own Trainium AI chips, and Broadcom positioning itself to capture significant market share with custom AI chip solutions projected to reach $90 billion in the next three years. OpenAI co-founder Ilya Sutskever's stark statement that "we've achieved peak data" further undermines the narrative of unbridled AI growth.
The broader implications are profound and deeply concerning. Nvidia's struggles represent a microcosm of the larger technological ecosystem—a world where innovation is increasingly constrained by geopolitical tensions, regulatory challenges, and the harsh economic realities of diminishing returns. Despite massive capital expenditures by tech giants—with Microsoft nearly doubling its spending to $20 billion and Meta increasing expenses by 36%—only 4% of US workers use AI daily. This stark disconnect between investment and actual utility exposes the potential fragility of Nvidia's market position, with analysts suggesting that 2024 may have been the peak in terms of percentage increase for AI-related infrastructure spending.
Advanced Micro Devices | AMD | Long at $126.00Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD may be the sleeping giant in the semiconductor / AI space. While all eyes on NVidia NASDAQ:NVDA , earnings for NASDAQ:AMD grew by 800% over the past year... and are now forecast to grow 40% per year. Any other company would be soaring right now (like NVidia), but that company is getting all the attention. And, to me, this means opportunity for the future. The cashflow is likely to grow tremendously for
NASDAQ:AMD into 2027 and beyond, which may inevitably reward investors with dividends.
From a technical analysis perspective, NASDAQ:AMD just entered my historical simple moving average zone. This area (currently $108-$126) is where I will be gathering shares. Something tremendous would have to change regarding the fundamentals of this company (like a scandal) for the overall thesis to change. There may be some near-term price pains as NVidia gets all the focus, but to meet demand in the semiconductor and AI space, NASDAQ:AMD is poised to fulfill that roll in the future.
Target #1 = $158.00
Target #2 = $175.00
Target #3 = $188.00
Target #4 = $205.00
ASML Holding | ASML | Long at $680.00NASDAQ:ASML Holding, a developer and servicer of advanced semiconductor equipment systems for chipmakers, dipped backed into my overall, long-term selected simple moving average (SMA). From here, stocks typically bounce or drop, but given the AI boom is far from "over", I anticipate another bounce to eventually close the gap near $1,060. It may show some minor weakness to close the gap in the low $600s and get the bears excited. But, unless the economy further shows major weakness in the semiconductor space, NASDAQ:ASML is in my personal "buy zone" at $680.
Target #1 = $730.00
Target #2 = $915.00
Target #3 = $1,060.00
$AMD Forms Another Double Bottom – Will History Repeat Itself?I wanted to share an interesting setup I’ve noticed on NASDAQ:AMD daily chart. The stock just completed what looks like a classic double bottom pattern—something it’s done before with impressive results.
What I’m Seeing:
Double Bottom Revisited:
We can see that AMD has formed another “W” shaped bottom, where price tested a support zone twice and successfully bounced.
Historical Precedent:
The last time AMD completed a double bottom, the subsequent breakout and follow-through rally were significant. After the neckline breakout, price continued to move higher, rewarding patient traders and confirming the pattern’s bullish nature.
Volume & Confirmation:
It’s worth looking closely at volume to confirm the pattern. In many textbook double bottoms, volume often increases on the breakout, signaling that buyers are stepping in. If we see heavier trading volumes as AMD breaks through the neckline, it could be an indication that a similar move might unfold.
Potential Price Target:
A common way to project a double bottom target is to measure the height of the “W” and add it to the breakout point. If this pattern performs similarly to the last one, we could see a significant upside move. Of course, there are no guarantees, but patterns like these give traders a framework to manage risk and set objectives.
What to Watch For:
Neckline Break: A clean move above the neckline (resistance area) would be a key bullish signal.
Volume Expansion: Higher volume on the breakout adds conviction.
Market Conditions: Broader market health and sentiment can affect whether the pattern plays out as expected.
AMD has shown us before that this pattern can precede major rallies. As always, manage your risk appropriately—no matter how promising a setup looks, it’s wise to confirm with price action and volume before jumping in.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) AnalysisCompany Overview:
TSMC NYSE:TSM is the world's leading semiconductor foundry, driving innovation in advanced chip manufacturing for critical technologies like AI, 5G, and emerging tech markets.
Key Growth Catalysts:
Strategic U.S. Expansion 🇺🇸
Arizona Fab: TSMC’s first 12-inch wafer fab begins 4 nm chip production this month, solidifying its North American presence.
$40 Billion Investment: Demonstrates TSMC's long-term confidence in U.S. chip demand and geopolitical supply chain security.
Production of 3 nm chips by 2028 highlights TSMC’s roadmap for next-gen leadership.
Rising Global Chip Demand 📈
Surging demand from AI, 5G, and cloud computing is driving industry-wide growth.
Key Clients: Apple, Nvidia, and AMD rely heavily on TSMC’s advanced node production capabilities.
Technological Leadership 🚀
4 nm Mass Production (Q1 2025): Positions TSMC at the forefront of advanced node production.
Continued R&D investments strengthen TSMC’s competitive edge in next-gen chip technologies.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Stance: We are bullish on TSM above $172.00-$174.00, underpinned by its global dominance, strategic U.S. investments, and demand for advanced nodes.
Upside Target: Our price target is $255.00-$260.00, reflecting robust revenue growth, margin expansion, and rising semiconductor demand in AI and 5G markets.
🔹 Taiwan Semiconductor—Powering the Future of Tech! #TSM #Semiconductors #AI #5G
Red Flag in Tech: SMH vs. QQQ Breakdown Signals Potential Introduction:
Despite the bullish seasonality currently supporting the market, a concerning signal is emerging from a key driver of this stock market rally: the ratio between semiconductors NASDAQ:SMH and the Nasdaq 100 NASDAQ:QQQ . This ratio serves as a critical gauge of tech sector health, as the major tech and AI players fueling this bull market rely heavily on semiconductor innovation.
Analysis:
Tech Sector Health: The SMH-to-QQQ ratio has historically been a strong indicator of tech sector momentum. When semiconductors outperform, it signals strength and optimism in the broader tech sector. Conversely, underperformance by chip stocks raises concerns about the sustainability of tech-driven rallies.
Emerging Concern: Currently, this ratio appears to be breaking down from a rounding top formation—a bearish signal. If this trend persists, it could lead to increased market volatility, potentially as early as year-end or into early 2025.
Market Implications: For the bull market to maintain its momentum, this ratio needs to reverse course soon. Semiconductors are not just another tech subsector—they are foundational to the AI and big tech themes driving this rally. A continued breakdown could dampen market sentiment, impacting broader indices.
Conclusion:
The SMH-to-QQQ ratio is flashing a warning signal, with a potential breakdown that could lead to increased volatility in the near term. However, chip stocks still have time to recover and restore market confidence. This ratio will be a crucial indicator to watch as we approach the end of the year. Will chip stocks regain their footing, or are we headed for a turbulent 2025? Share your insights below!
Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the SMH-to-QQQ ratio, the rounding top formation, and support and resistance levels)
Tags: #Semiconductors #Nasdaq #TechSector #SMH #QQQ #MarketTrends #TechnicalAnalysis
Direxion Semiconductor 3x Bull | SOXL | Long at $30.00So many semiconductor companies... which one to choose? Enter AMEX:SOXL - not for the faint of heart. Losses and gains triple compared to most semiconductor ETFs, so stay away if high-risk plays aren't your thing. The top three holdings are NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:AVGO , and NASDAQ:NVDA - two of which are at all-time highs...
I wouldn't be shocked if AMEX:SOXL enters the low $20's to test the base of my historical simple moving average area, but I don't think we are done hearing about AI and the semi demand. There are large gaps to fill above and below the current price and we are at the 50/50 stage (i.e. historical simple moving average zone) for a price move up or down.
My bet is up, especially with the new presidential administration. If politicians start dumping semis, I'm out. Thus, at $30.00 AMEX:SOXL is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $35
Target #2 = $40
Target #3 = $50
Target #4 = $60
Will America's Tech Sovereignty Rise or Fall on a Silicon Chip?In the high-stakes chess game of global technological supremacy, Intel emerges as America's potential knight—a critical piece poised to reshape the semiconductor landscape. The battleground is not just silicon and circuits, but national security, economic resilience, and the future of technological innovation. As geopolitical tensions simmer and supply chain vulnerabilities become increasingly apparent, Intel stands at the crossroads of a transformative strategy that could determine whether the United States maintains its technological edge or surrenders ground to international competitors.
The CHIPS and Science Act represents more than a financial investment; it is a bold declaration of technological independence. With billions of dollars earmarked to support domestic semiconductor production, the United States is making an unprecedented bet on Intel's ability to leapfrog current manufacturing limitations. The company's ambitious 18A process, slated for 2025, symbolizes more than a technological milestone—it represents a potential renaissance of American technological leadership, challenging the current dominance of Asian semiconductor manufacturers and positioning the United States as a critical player in the global tech ecosystem.
Behind this narrative lies a profound challenge: can Intel transform from a traditional chip manufacturer into a strategic national asset? The potential partnership discussions with tech giants like Apple and Nvidia, and the looming geopolitical risks of over-reliance on foreign chip production, underscore a moment of critical transformation. Intel is no longer just a technology company—it has become a potential linchpin in America's strategy to maintain technological sovereignty, with the power to redefine global semiconductor production and secure the nation's strategic technological infrastructure.
Monolithic Power | MPWR | Long at $580.00Monolithic Power $NASDAQ:MPWR. If the semiconductor market continues to get attention in connection with AI, there may be a bounce here near $580.00 as NASDAQ:MPWR enters my historical simple moving average area. However, a further dip into the high $400s wouldn't surprise me (tax harvesting season is in session) and doesn't change the thesis as long as the overall trend continues to stay positive. While NASDAQ:MPWR is a strong company with growth predictions on the horizon, it has a 65x P/E, 46x price-to-cash flow, lots of insider selling, and some near-term concern if the economy shows weakness. From a technical analysis perspective, though, it's in an area of opportunity as long as semis stay a "hot" investment. Thus, at $580.00, NASDAQ:MPWR is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $690.00
Target #2 = $745.00
Target #3 = $825.00
Target #4 = $908.00
AMD CALLSCould it be the best moment in almost 3 months to buy AMD?
Seems that way as the price decline stopped at a significant demand zone and has been accumulating for quite some time.
Im expecting the price the reverse from this area and test $152. And if successful, we will see a continuation to $169.
Tech on the Edge: SMH vs. QQQ Signals Caution Amid Bull MarketIntroduction:
While we remain enthusiastic about the strength of the current bull market, emerging signs of stress in capital flows warrant a closer look, particularly in the tech sector. One key metric to monitor is the ratio between semiconductors (SMH) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). This ratio acts as a barometer for tech sector health: when SMH outperforms QQQ, it indicates a risk-on environment; conversely, QQQ outperforming SMH raises caution flags.
Analysis:
Tech Sector Barometer: The SMH-to-QQQ ratio has historically been a reliable indicator of momentum in the tech sector. Outperformance by SMH reflects strong demand for semiconductors and broader tech health, while underperformance signals potential concerns.
Emerging Concern: Currently, we’re observing the potential development of a rounding top formation in the SMH-to-QQQ ratio. While this formation isn’t confirmed, a breakdown below key support would validate it, signaling broader weakness in the tech sector.
Critical Inflection Point: For now, chip bulls must take control and push this ratio higher to maintain sector strength and prevent a broader pullback in the market. Failure to do so could signal a shift in sentiment and increased vulnerability in tech stocks.
Conclusion:
The SMH-to-QQQ ratio is at a critical juncture, with the potential to dictate near-term momentum in the tech sector. While the bull market remains intact, any confirmed weakness in this ratio could signal broader vulnerability in tech stocks. Will chip bulls step up to defend the sector, or are we on the cusp of a pullback? Share your thoughts below!
Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the SMH-to-QQQ ratio, the potential rounding top formation, and key support levels)
Tags: #Semiconductors #Nasdaq #TechSector #SMH #QQQ #MarketTrends #TechnicalAnalysis