Potential key reversal top detected for WBTLevel of interest: Prior support/resistance levels in the past of $3.04 (09-Aug-2022) and $3.75 (12-Dec-2022) (key support/resistance areas to observe).
Await signals for entry such as DMI/ADX and/or RSI swing to the bearish direction, and observe market reaction to support/resistance area at $3.04 to confirm.
Stop loss for the trade involving ASX:WBT (and indication that this trade is an absolute 'no-go') is any trade above the high of the signal day of 2nd January (i.e.: any trade above $3.80).
Semiconductors
NVTS TRADE UPDATE - Massive upside potential...STILL!NASDAQ:NVTS UPDATE 💾
The H5 Trade is still intact...for now. We are at an inflection point in the markets and although I believe we get a big bounce higher soon nothing is concrete.
If we do get a bounce and what I believe will be a blow off top in this bull market then this name base on the setup will do very well to start blasting through these profit targets.
- H5 indicator is green
- At volume shelf
- Higher low
- Already successfully retested falling wedge breakout area.
- Broke out of downtrend
-Volume gap to fill
-WCB is formed and thriving
When companies break out and successfully retest it is common for them to consolidate above the breakout area to create new support before continuing higher
Don't make buy/ sell decisions based solely off price action, have a strategy and follow it so you don't get burned up in the massive swings...especially on volatile stocks. This name has given me 70% gains off the initial breakout and after we loaded back up off the retest.
Not exiting this name unless my strategy indicates a correction or crash in the markets is upon us or my strategy tells me to exit this name (Red H5 Indicator/ Break of support on WCB).
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
Nvidia - Shocking Everybody Again In 2025!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) will rally another +40% in 2025:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For most people, it seems absolutely counterintuitive to witness another parabolic blow off rally on Nvidia and that's exactly why we will see such moves during 2025. Market structure just supports this outlook since Nvidia is still overall bullish and has some room towards the upside.
Levels to watch: $200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
AMD: Ready to Break Out – Confluence Supports and Bullish PatterI’ve already written a weekly analysis on NASDAQ:AMD , which you should read before this one, as it explains the broader technical and fundamental support in the bigger picture.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, we can see the more granular movement of the stock over the last few months. The fact that we held the trendline, which has been in place since 2023, is a good sign that overarching algorithms still have an interest in the stock. The trendline also corresponds to a so-called "confluence support," where multiple support levels overlap.
1. Trendline
Trendlines alone are not reliable price action structures, as they are often broken during consolidations without affecting the overall trend. However, since this trendline is older, has been tested multiple times, and now coincides with other support levels, it serves as one of several building blocks.
2. Fibonacci Retracement
We hit the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (horizontal yellow line) exactly and bounced upward from there. The 61.8% Fib is always a good reversal point during pronounced consolidations, as we’ve seen here. AMD has been consolidating since March 2024, over nine months now.
3. Horizontal Support
In addition to the Fibonacci retracement, the price range between $117 and $121 was already a support area. This zone has been a support and resistance level since September 2021 and has consistently prompted strong price reactions.
4. Descending Wedge
The current leg down is forming a descending wedge, which breaks upward in more than two-thirds of cases, making it a bullish pattern. The target for a breakout is typically the highest point of the wedge, which currently means a target around $170. However, a conservative trader always plans more cautiously, so we’ve combined our target with the last gap close.
5. Gaps
While not a proper support level, the still-open daily gaps at $137 and $158 act as magnets for higher prices. These gaps lie along the path upward and make good spots to place take-profit levels.
Fundamental Reasons
AMD's Position: With the launch of the MI300 series, AMD has taken a significant step toward competing with NVIDIA in the AI GPU market. These chips are optimized for high-performance computing and generative AI.
Potential: In Q3 2024, AMD generated $1.5 billion in revenue from the data center segment, a 42% year-over-year growth. This growth is expected to accelerate further in 2025 due to AI applications.
Market share: AMD has consistently gained market share from Intel in the CPU market, especially in the server segment. According to Mercury Research, AMD’s server CPU market share rose from 23.4% in Q3 2023 to 26.5% in Q3 2024.
Forecast : With the planned launch of Zen 5 processors in H2 2025, AMD is expected to gain even more market share, driven by improved performance and energy efficiency.
EV Market: Additionally, the electric vehicle market, after weaker years in 2023 and 2024, is expected to regain momentum. This will significantly impact the semiconductor market as a whole.
AMD to $200 (61%) – Strong Support ends ConsolidationNASDAQ:AMD weekly charts looks very good. The trendline from March 2023 is intact and we also touched the 61.8 fibonacci from the complete move (starting in October 2023). The descending wedge could be broken to the upside today, which would be a bullish sign for a stronger move towards $200. All in all, many semiconductor stocks are currently on supports or are fundamentally more attractive than they were months ago.
Fundamentally NVIDIA still dominates the AI datacenter market with a market share of over 90%. But Advanced Micro Devices is improving its hardware and software offerings. The recently released MI325X and the upcoming MI350 series could give AMD more market share with faster release cycles. First signs show significant customer interest. In addition, AMD has a more stable revenue stream from other products like CPUs and non-AI datacenters. Given the high prices of NVIDIAs products the market itself should have a deeper interest in more competition.
Target Zones
$135
$160
$200
Support Zones
$117-$120
NVDA – Buy the Dip for a Short BounceOur last NASDAQ:NVDA trade went very well. Within a few weeks we made more than 15% re-testing the ATH and generating a new one. Directly after hitting the ATH we saw a sell on good news event during the CES and the presentation of the “Home AI PC”. The perfect time to buy was yesterday minutes before markets closed. The price formed a falling wedge with a RSI divergence. Nevertheless, buying today could still give results. Target is the ATH again and invalidation point is a close below our $140 support.
Target Zones
$154
Support Zones
$140
AMD for STRONG buyWhy Buy AMD Stock?
Market Leadership in Semiconductor Industry
AMD is a globally recognized leader in the semiconductor industry, producing high-performance CPUs, GPUs, and adaptive computing technologies. Its innovative products cater to a wide range of markets, including gaming, data centers, artificial intelligence (AI), and embedded systems.
Strong Financial Performance
AMD has consistently demonstrated robust financial growth, driven by strong product demand, strategic acquisitions, and efficient cost management. Its competitive product lineup continues to drive revenue growth and profitability.
Growing Market Opportunities
The increasing adoption of AI, machine learning, cloud computing, and 5G technology creates a substantial growth opportunity for AMD's advanced processors and GPUs. The company is well-positioned to capture market share in these rapidly growing sectors.
Innovation and Product Pipeline
AMD’s commitment to innovation is evident in its cutting-edge product releases, such as the Ryzen series CPUs, Radeon GPUs, and EPYC processors. These products provide industry-leading performance and efficiency, making them highly sought-after in the technology market.
Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions
AMD’s acquisition of Xilinx and strategic partnerships with industry leaders like Microsoft, Sony, and Amazon strengthen its product portfolio and expand its reach into new markets like
JUST BUY AND HOLD.
$NVTS Ready to Soar! 200% UPSIDECHARTURDAY - NASDAQ:NVTS
ALL SYSTEMS GO!
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Broke out and successfully retested falling wedge and downtrend
-Volume shelf with GAP
-Weekly Hammer candle
-Williams CB thriving
A break over recent highs is VERY BULLISH!
🎯$6🎯$7.62 🎯$11
Not financial advice
Micron Technology - The perfect chart!NASDAQ:MU is one of these stocks, which just respects every level, cycle and structure.
If I would give each chart an individual rating, the chart of Micron Technology would be 10 out of 10. Micron Technology is actually respecting every structure level and providing textbook trading opportunities. If we get a retest of the previous all time high, which is now turned support and perfectly lining up with the support of the rising channel, I will certainly look for longs.
Levels to watch: $90
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
NVTS - 50% already, 300% more to go! Massive 2025 StockNASDAQ:NVTS 💾
A top 5 trade for me right now!
We are up a massive 50%+ since we called this name out for a breakout retest then move higher. We got exactly that friends. It's a massive move but what if I told you that this move pales in comparison to the overall 300%+ move I see coming over 2025! Buckle up this is going to be a wild ride friends.
Weekly Analysis:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Broke out of downtrend & falling wedge in which we hit our first profit target and now we successfully retested the breakout and bounce higher! I bought more shares/ options this past week.
-Sitting on a volume shelf with a lot of room to run!
-Williams CB has created support and formed!
🔜🎯$4.65🎯$6🎯$7.62🎯$11.17🎯$12.29
⏲️Before May2026
Not financial advice.
$AMD GAP FILL 138 & 160A stock gap occurs when there's a significant jump in a stock's price after market closure, typically driven by some news. When this gap is filled, it indicates that the stock's price has reverted to its pre-gap, or "normal," level. This common occurrence happens as the price stabilizes after the initial rush of buying and trading sparked by the news subsides.
Exhaustion gaps are usually the most likely to be filled because they indicate the end of a price trend.
BUY NOW
According to 30 Wall Street analysts who provided 12-month price targets for Advanced Micro Devices over the past three months, the average price target is $182.18. The high forecast is $220.00, and the low forecast is $145.00. This average price target indicates a 46.14% change from the last price of $124.60 (as of 12/23/2024)
NASDAQ:AMD 's growing presence in the markets for central processing units (CPUs) and graphics processing units (GPUs) is poised to drive significant stock gains. We foresee a robust outlook for the semiconductor specialist's Epyc CPUs in the server and data center segment, as well as strong performance from the company's M1350 and M1400 GPUs.
+ NASDAQ:AMD net profit YoY grew by 777.88% which is 633.31% above its peer average
+ NASDAQ:AMD revenue has grown by 17.57% YoY from Q3 2023 to Q3 2024
+ NYSE:MD EPS is forecasted to grow by 41.26% YoY from Q4 2023 to Q4 2024
+ NASDAQ:AMD has a lower debt to equity ratio (3.02%) compared to its peer average (33.87%)
+ NASDAQ:AMD 's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 40.07% to 3.02% over the past 5 year
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor (AOSL) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor NASDAQ:AOSL is a leading innovator in power semiconductors, offering a diversified product portfolio that includes Power MOSFETs, Silicon Carbide (SiC) devices, IGBTs, and power management ICs. The company’s focus on high-performance, energy-efficient solutions positions it at the forefront of several transformative industries.
Key Catalysts for Growth
Sectoral Demand Tailwinds:
AOSL is benefiting from rising demand in key sectors such as automotive, consumer electronics, and industrial applications.
These markets are poised for long-term growth, driven by trends like electrification and automation.
Expansion into High-Growth Areas:
Electric Vehicles (EVs): AOSL’s expansion into the EV ecosystem, including advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), enhances its exposure to the rapidly growing EV market.
Sustainability Focus: Products aligned with energy-efficient power management address global sustainability priorities, solidifying AOSL's competitive positioning.
Innovative Portfolio Diversification:
AOSL’s broad product portfolio minimizes risks tied to any single category and ensures resilience amid market fluctuations.
The company’s investments in Silicon Carbide (SiC) technology bolster its competitive edge in applications requiring high power efficiency.
Profitability and Margins:
AOSL’s focus on energy-efficient designs supports higher margins while aligning with industry trends for lower power consumption and cost efficiency.
Investment Outlook
Bullish Case:
We remain bullish on AOSL above the $36.00-$37.00 range, as the company capitalizes on its technological leadership and industry tailwinds.
Upside Potential:
Our upside target for AOSL is $69.00-$71.00, reflecting confidence in its growth trajectory, driven by its strategic focus on EVs, ADAS, and energy-efficient innovations.
🚀 AOSL—Powering the Future of Electronics with Sustainable Energy Solutions. #Semiconductors #EnergyEfficiency #TechLeadership
NVTS - The next Explosive Small Cap?! 300% UpsideCharturday #2: NASDAQ:NVTS 💾
A top 5 trade for me right now!
Weekly Analysis:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Broke out of downtrend & falling wedge in which we hit our first profit target and now retesting the breakout. I bought more shares/ options this past week.
-Sitting on a volume shelf with a lot of room to run!
-Williams CB still forming, if we continue our bounce into this week we will have a form Williams CB
🔜🎯$4.65🎯$6🎯$7.62🎯$11.17🎯$12.29
⏲️Before May2026
Not financial advice.
Mobix Labs is gearing up for a bull market!We're back with a new stonk after doing about a 7x on SEALSQ! I don't have much time to write an in depth analysis so please do your own research on this company.
Mobix Labs looks to be settling in their growth market, defense contracts signed and a possible acquisition. Earnings are TOMORROW Dec 19th, so of course this is risky - bad earnings could dump the stock significantly. If however, earnings are good and the investor call brings some good news, this one could fly. Technical breakout target is $10 and I like the nice retest on the bull market support band. $2.16 is the first resistance to break and to retest for a first move towards $3.5.
Let's see, remember these are low caps and risky!
SMH | SHORTNASDAQ:SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) Weekly Analysis:
Current Price Action:
SMH is trading at $218.43, down 9.10% for the week.
Price has breached the upward trendline support, indicating potential further downside.
Key Levels:
Bearish Line: $214.18
Target Price 1: $199.15
Target Price 2: $172.35
Target Price 3: $155.65
Target Price 4: $136.10
Support Zones:
Immediate support is expected around $199.15.
Further support levels are $172.35, $155.65, and $136.10.
Resistance Levels:
Resistance is at the broken trendline near $240, followed by the recent high around $300.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
RSI is at 53.98, trending downwards, suggesting weakening momentum.
Volume:
Volume is significant at 75.462M, indicating strong selling pressure.
Conclusion:
SMH's breakdown below key support levels and significant bearish momentum suggest further downside potential. Watch for reactions around $199.15 and $172.35 for potential entry points or further declines.
MOBX resistance / support flip, target: +100% nextMobix Labs had volatile pa after earnings, an overreaction as revenue was up over 400% beating estimates. They're still at an operating loss, which is normal for a startup.
Story is simple, they did multiple acquisitions this year:
RaGE Systems:
Revenue for 2024: Not specified.
Acquisition Cost: Approximately $2 million in cash, $10 million in Mobix Labs stock, and possible earn-out payments up to $8 million over eight fiscal quarters.
Description: Provides radio frequency joint design and manufacturing services.
J-Mark Connectors Inc.:
Revenue for 2024: Not specified.
Acquisition Cost: Financial terms remain undisclosed.
Description: Specializes in custom interconnect solutions for industries like aerospace, military, and defense.
Spacecraft Components Corp.:
Revenue for 2024: Not specified, but 2023 unaudited revenues were $18.1 million with forecasted growth for the next two years.
Acquisition Cost: Between $18 million and $24 million, with consideration to be paid in a combination of cash and equity, subject to earnout provisions.
Description: Manufactures mission-critical electronics for the aerospace, defense, and transportation sectors.
Now especially Spacecraft Components Corp. is notably as they do 18.1 million in revenue and are worth roughly 22 million. Mobix Labs reported about 3 million in revenue yesterday.
This means they will do 7x the revenue after the acquisition is completed in Q1 2025. Next to that they secured the following contracts in 2024 that are not part of the current revenue:
In 2024, Mobix Labs, Inc. secured the following contracts:
M-1 Abrams Tank Army Contract: for filtered connectors.
Sole Source Supply Contract: with Gulfstream Aerospace Corp. for custom filtered connectors used in their business-jet aircraft.
GE HealthCare and PerkinElmer Contract: for the sale of proprietary electromagnetic filtering products used in pharmaceutical diagnostics and digital imaging solutions.
Tomahawk Missile System Contract: for filtered connector parts.
Javelin Missile System Contract: for guidance system components.
A 15-month Contract: to supply critical components for aerospace and defense applications, though specific details about the customer or components were not specified.
EMI Interconnect Solutions: announced new filtered ARINC connectors and secured aerospace customers.
These contracts span various sectors, focusing mainly on military, defense, aerospace, and medical applications.
---
Looks to me this company is undervalued and has a lot of growth ahead in 2025... I added on the dip and any buy under $2 should be good long term.
Short term pa looks like a support resistance flip and a next target of $3.52 - I also like that this stock isn't popular whatsoever, similar to LAES (SEALSQ) when I found it.
A patient hold for me, DYOR, happy holidays!
Is the AI Revolution Built on a House of Cards?In the treacherous landscape of technological ambition, Nvidia emerges as a cautionary tale of unchecked corporate hubris and potentially unsustainable growth. What appeared to be an unstoppable technological juggernaut now reveals deep fissures in its seemingly impenetrable facade, with mounting challenges threatening to unravel its carefully constructed narrative of AI dominance. Specific challenges underscore this fragility: comments from Microsoft's Satya Nadella suggest a potential moderation in AI chip demand, while Alphabet's Sundar Pichai has highlighted that "the low-hanging fruit is gone" in AI model development.
Beneath the glossy veneer of technological innovation lies a troubling reality of regulatory scrutiny and market volatility. Nvidia faces a perfect storm of challenges: a potential slowdown in AI chip demand, an aggressive antitrust investigation by Chinese regulators, and growing skepticism from industry leaders. The competition is intensifying, with Amazon developing its own Trainium AI chips, and Broadcom positioning itself to capture significant market share with custom AI chip solutions projected to reach $90 billion in the next three years. OpenAI co-founder Ilya Sutskever's stark statement that "we've achieved peak data" further undermines the narrative of unbridled AI growth.
The broader implications are profound and deeply concerning. Nvidia's struggles represent a microcosm of the larger technological ecosystem—a world where innovation is increasingly constrained by geopolitical tensions, regulatory challenges, and the harsh economic realities of diminishing returns. Despite massive capital expenditures by tech giants—with Microsoft nearly doubling its spending to $20 billion and Meta increasing expenses by 36%—only 4% of US workers use AI daily. This stark disconnect between investment and actual utility exposes the potential fragility of Nvidia's market position, with analysts suggesting that 2024 may have been the peak in terms of percentage increase for AI-related infrastructure spending.
Advanced Micro Devices | AMD | Long at $126.00Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD may be the sleeping giant in the semiconductor / AI space. While all eyes on NVidia NASDAQ:NVDA , earnings for NASDAQ:AMD grew by 800% over the past year... and are now forecast to grow 40% per year. Any other company would be soaring right now (like NVidia), but that company is getting all the attention. And, to me, this means opportunity for the future. The cashflow is likely to grow tremendously for
NASDAQ:AMD into 2027 and beyond, which may inevitably reward investors with dividends.
From a technical analysis perspective, NASDAQ:AMD just entered my historical simple moving average zone. This area (currently $108-$126) is where I will be gathering shares. Something tremendous would have to change regarding the fundamentals of this company (like a scandal) for the overall thesis to change. There may be some near-term price pains as NVidia gets all the focus, but to meet demand in the semiconductor and AI space, NASDAQ:AMD is poised to fulfill that roll in the future.
Target #1 = $158.00
Target #2 = $175.00
Target #3 = $188.00
Target #4 = $205.00
ASML Holding | ASML | Long at $680.00NASDAQ:ASML Holding, a developer and servicer of advanced semiconductor equipment systems for chipmakers, dipped backed into my overall, long-term selected simple moving average (SMA). From here, stocks typically bounce or drop, but given the AI boom is far from "over", I anticipate another bounce to eventually close the gap near $1,060. It may show some minor weakness to close the gap in the low $600s and get the bears excited. But, unless the economy further shows major weakness in the semiconductor space, NASDAQ:ASML is in my personal "buy zone" at $680.
Target #1 = $730.00
Target #2 = $915.00
Target #3 = $1,060.00
$AMD Forms Another Double Bottom – Will History Repeat Itself?I wanted to share an interesting setup I’ve noticed on NASDAQ:AMD daily chart. The stock just completed what looks like a classic double bottom pattern—something it’s done before with impressive results.
What I’m Seeing:
Double Bottom Revisited:
We can see that AMD has formed another “W” shaped bottom, where price tested a support zone twice and successfully bounced.
Historical Precedent:
The last time AMD completed a double bottom, the subsequent breakout and follow-through rally were significant. After the neckline breakout, price continued to move higher, rewarding patient traders and confirming the pattern’s bullish nature.
Volume & Confirmation:
It’s worth looking closely at volume to confirm the pattern. In many textbook double bottoms, volume often increases on the breakout, signaling that buyers are stepping in. If we see heavier trading volumes as AMD breaks through the neckline, it could be an indication that a similar move might unfold.
Potential Price Target:
A common way to project a double bottom target is to measure the height of the “W” and add it to the breakout point. If this pattern performs similarly to the last one, we could see a significant upside move. Of course, there are no guarantees, but patterns like these give traders a framework to manage risk and set objectives.
What to Watch For:
Neckline Break: A clean move above the neckline (resistance area) would be a key bullish signal.
Volume Expansion: Higher volume on the breakout adds conviction.
Market Conditions: Broader market health and sentiment can affect whether the pattern plays out as expected.
AMD has shown us before that this pattern can precede major rallies. As always, manage your risk appropriately—no matter how promising a setup looks, it’s wise to confirm with price action and volume before jumping in.