Semiconductors
TSM Long from Q2 2021. TP 120Monthly
Strong uptrend.
I think for now its too much overheated.
Correction is needed.
Weekly
Wave 5th is finished.
No reasons to open long Now.
Better from end of correction. I think from Q2 2021 - will be good entry.
Daily
I expect Double TOP - people will try to get 100, but failed again.
Also weak Earning in Q1 2021 = decline. ABC correction.
Open LONG in Feb- March. from 82
SL 75
TP 120
RR 6
Teradyne - Cup & Handle + Measured MoveTeradyne made a cup & handle, which continues to see strength.
Cup & Handle -- Measured Move
Making a measured move from the floor of the cup, to the resistance which was all time highs, we get a 18 points (12% aprox.) potential move.
Trade
Would follow the 5sma (green line) to take profits for 50% of my position, the other 50% if it takes the Resistance 1 level.
There are also other semiconductors making ATH, which is adding to the strength in the industry overall.
My fans have asked and I am responding: semiconductors at limitSomeone asked me about semi-conductors recently because they had (apparently) gone exponential. Well, not quite. I think in response to the election news the past few sessions had been good but going back you can see that its been trading in a fairly predictable range. I can't comfortably call this exponential until it breaks above the overhead resistance and we all know what needs (*ahem) for that to happen (and given the recounts necessary in Georgia and Wisconsin, although Biden will be declared victor the markets will not like the lack of finality and the inevitable road blocks that will be put up by Trump). The other interesting thing is that SOXL is in a very wide long ascending triangle which more often than not tends to break down. More adventurous people could put a small short play into place.
Is Micron Finally Ready to Move?On Tuesday, we cited the pullback in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index. Today, we’re looking at a member stock that’s been dead in the water all year: Micron Technologies.
Worries about the Covid recession have dragged on the memory-chip maker, despite strong results. Analysts at Deutsche Bank and Citi also think pricing will improve over the winter.
MU’s chart has some potential positives for the bulls. First is the falling trendline between the February and July highs. It broke that line three weeks ago and is now revisiting it as support. (Similar to the iShares Trust China Large-Cap ETF pattern on Monday.)
Second, MU’s 50-day simple moving average (SMA) just rose above its 200-day SMA: a “golden cross.”
There are also potential fundamental tailwinds given the strong industrial data this week from the U.S. and China, plus the upcoming iPhone 12 ramp. Traders may want to keep an eye on MU for a potential breakout.
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SOXX 5smaNotice how the 5sma has been resistance for the SOXX for the past 12 trading days (red oval).
This tells us that short-term, SOXX has to break the 5sma to get out of its current down-trend.
The purple line is the 50sma, which is now also resistance, as we crossed below it, and is now touching the 5sma.
$AOSL Consolidation and Handle Formation Indicates eventual LONGAOSL is consolidating and has been for the better part of the past two-weeks.
The formation of a handle to a cup dip is certainly present: For better or worse. The S&P is struggling throughout Monday's trading session, but AOSL still has all the makings of a MEGA-LONG.
17+ should be realized in due time, but the market has to begin to show better strength for that to occur.
Note: This is not advice; just an idea regarding the harmonics of AOSL and some conjectures regarding a take-profit point. Always do your own research.
-BDR
Can AMD Fill Gap and Reclaim Previous High? There is a major gap in AMD's chart and now we wait to see if it CONTINUES To fill it. $AMD is up 0.62% today and the trace through this correction could last all week.
Just a quick touch here, with some chart work to show the reason for thinking of potential exit points to claim some profit. The volatility was high last top-out with a bit of a short squeeze that was later repeated... AMD is above average cost but has PLENTY of room to run, as shown by the higher top out (a previous high). Overall, this has all the makings of a very nice LONG. Although it would represent an annual high, AMD has its earnings report tomorrow. That could either accelerate its rise or stall it out: STAY TUNED ya dig.
HAPPY TRADING!
-BDR
Marvell Technologies Is Pulling BackMarvell Technologies has been one of the better-performing chip stocks this year. It’s up 52 percent in 2020, while the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has gained just 28 percent.
MRVL broke out in May, well before most others. It spent the next four months in a long consolidation pattern, grinding higher but not really breaking out. That is, until ripping through a falling trend line on September 28. The stock proceeded to run almost 20 percent before losing momentum. It’s now pulling back and may provide an entry in the next week or so.
The key area to watch could be roughly $38.70 - $39. That’s important because it’s roughly the location of the 50-day simple moving average (SMA).
It was also an intraday high several times September 18-23. MRVL then bounced near that level on September 30, immediately after breaking out. Old resistance became new support. Here's the hourly:
Beneath that, $37 could be important. That was the high in early June and a low as late as September 24.
Fundamentally, the story focuses on 5G networking and cloud computing. MRVL’s next set of numbers are due in early December.
Again, short-term momentum looks bearish. But now could be the time to start setting alerts and planning.
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TSM Uptrend rising wedge - potential bearish reversalUptrend rising wedge pattern forming on the daily, with rough performance lately on this stock... against all odds. A bit of a stretch on this formation, but if the levels hold, we could see a bigger retracement lower, before going up again. I'm bullish on this company - but in the short term we may have to endure some retracing.
Investment strategy would be consider shorting in the near future, but definitely a bullish outlook in the long term
Intel breaking out Technical Analysis
INTC breaking out of a consolidation channel after its drop due to disappointing earnings.
RSI confirming breakout; at 62.
Intraday volume is above its 10sma average.
200sma lining-up with previous tested support. Breaking this resistance , would take us into next parallel channel.
Attractive risk-reward-ratio at 2.5, placing a stop-loss just below channel top, and profit-exit around the 200sma.
ACLS Long term leap- 200 EMA just converged with the 50 EMA;
and the stock is below both: bullish signal
- Recently hit a support level at 20.43, 21.18
- Reversed it's trend and began trading within
a new regression channel
- A break of the current Fib/resist line at $23.02,
could see higher highs
Optimal Entry at support levels/ or a bounce of
21.71-21.81 level
PT1: 27.26, PT2: 34.52, LT PT: 40
The Nasdaq Crashed. Nvidia Didn’t.Relative strength can often be a useful concept. There are indicators to measure relative strength , but one simple method is simply looking for stocks that hold their ground when the market crashes.
Semiconductor company Nvidia seems to fit this bill.
NVDA is a member of the Nasdaq-100 , Philadelphia Semiconductor Index and SPDR Technology ETF . All three fell under their 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs) during the recent volatility. NVDA, however, never even came close to breaching that line.
NVDA has also formed a triangle and seen its Bollinger Band Width tighten back to normal from overextended levels.
This semiconductor company faces some near-term jitters over its proposed acquisition of Arm Holdings. But with such a strong trend in place and the successful integration of Mellanox in the rearview mirror, the bears might not have much ammunition.
With NVDA breaking the downward trend line that began on September 3 and prices back above the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA), traders may lean on the bull side and find themselves accelerating the shares higher.
SOX - Semiconductors might correct soonInsane what we saw for a rally since March 2020. Especially the TechSector and Semiconductors reach now a level which is crazy and not healthy. If you now invest in the broader market you hope that you´r not the last one who bought into the rallye. It´s time for a correction, so new money can flow into the market.
Watch out and take care of your Risk and Money Management.