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US Stock Market Update Nov 4thStock Market Extends Losses Ahead Of Jobs Report - Tech Giants Continue To Struggle The stock market ended lower ahead of Friday's jobs report, as the major stock indexes continued to fall after Wednesday's Fed-fueled sell-off. Tech titans continue to suffer severe losses. Jobs Report, Treasury Yields Friday's jobs report is already predicted to be the softest since December 2020, with the U.S. economy expected to add 210,000 jobs. Yet there's reason to think it may turn out far weaker — perhaps even bad enough to provoke some rethinking about Fed chief Jerome Powell's rally-killing rate-hike plans. Stock Market On Thursday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.5%, while the S&P 500 dropped 1.1%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite lost 1.7%, and the small-cap Russell 2000 declined 0.5%. Volume fell on the Nasdaq vs. the prior session, and also appeared to be lower on the NYSE. Lower volume means the Nasdaq and S&P 500 both avoided another distribution day. Tech titans continued to struggle. Amazon lost 3.1% Thursday in big volume. The e-commerce giant is down about 46.4% year to date, on pace for its worst year since 2000, when it crumbled 79.6%. Alphabet (GOOGL) tumbled 4.1%. Apple (AAPL) declined 4.2%. Meta Platforms (META) fell 1.8%. And Microsoft (MSFT) sold off 2.7%. Amazon, Alphabet, Meta and Microsoft hit new 52-week lows. At this point, investors should be playing defense; don't let profitable trades turn negative. Be cautious of the high risk in the current market. With key reports coming out and the reporting season still ongoing, swing-traders have to be aware of the increased level of volatility.
Long
by JS_TechTrading
US Stock Market UpdateThe stock market is currently characterized by institutional selling - consecutive down days under high volume. Not a good signal at all. Just take a look at yesterdays' heatmap for the NASDAQ which tells the full story. We have advised our clients to stay disciplined and stay on the sideline for now, there is no reason whatsoever to increase exposure or risk in this environment. Better times will come - the only question is when. Many contrarian indicators are suggesting that a new bull market will start soon. Wait for technical confirmation and only increase your exposure on the back of gains in your own portfolio - apply the methodology of progressive exposure.
Long
by JS_TechTrading
1
US TOP-Stocks: Watchlist Update Nov 1Stock Market Slightly Pulls Back Ahead Of Fed Meeting The stock market took a step back Monday ahead of the start of the two-day Federal Reserve meeting. But it wasn't such a bad session for the bulls because it was an orderly decline for the stock indexes, and volume wasn't overwhelming to the downside. Sentiment was negative in the stock market as the U.S. dollar strengthened. The Fed on Wednesday is widely expected to raise the federal funds rate by 75 basis points again to a range of 3.75% to 4%. Until then, caution is advised as volatility is expected to be high. If the confirmed uptrend has staying power, new leaders and setups will continue to emerge. Keep your eyes focused on our watchlists and look for opportunities to increase exposure. Updated Watchlist All stocks on our watchlists meet the hard selection criteria according to Mark Minervini's Trend-Template and William o' Neil's CAN SLIM methodology. Hereis the link to the updated watchlist: www.tradingview.com
Long
by JS_TechTrading
US TOP-Stocks: Watchlist Update Oct31General Market Update The stock market uptrend continues to show strength and shrugged off Big Tech losses. The stock market made a show of strength by surging despite disappointing Big Tech earnings reports. But it is still too early for investors to be getting excited, with another Federal Reserve meeting rapidly approaching. The Nasdaq composite turned in a 2.9% gain for the day and is on track to end October with a 5% gain. It still sits 1.9% under the key 50-day moving average, a key resistance area to watch. The S&P 500 turned in a 2.5% gain for the day. Using the SPDR S&P 500 ETF ( SPY ) as a proxy, it is up 8.9% for the month with one more session left in October. The index has made a move above its 50-day line, an encouraging sign. Breadth was also positive, with advancers outnumbering decliners by about 3-to-1 on the NYSE and by more than 2-to-1 on the Nasdaq. Volume fell on the Nasdaq, and early data showed lower NYSE volume . Blue-chip stocks also excelled, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average popping 2.6%. Its 14.4% gain so far for October is on track for its best since January 1976. t closed above the 200-day line for first time since Aug. 1 However: The coming week will be crucial, with speculation rising that the Federal Reserve may be considering slowing the pace of rate hikes. Investors should remain cautious until this meeting is behind us. Updated Watchlist All stocks on our watchlists meet the hard selection criteria according to Mark Minervini's Trend-Template and William o' Neil's CAN SLIM methodology. Here is the link to the updated watchlist: www.tradingview.com
BLACKBULL:SPX500Long
by JS_TechTrading
US Market Sentiment: Risk ModelGeneral Market Update Stock market uptrend continues to show strength and shrugged off Big Tech losses. The stock market made a show of strength by surging despite disappointing Big Tech earnings reports. But it is still too early for investors to be getting excited, with another Federal Reserve meeting rapidly approaching. The Nasdaq composite turned in a 2.9% gain for the day and is on track to end October with a 5% gain. It still sits 1.9% under the key 50-day moving average, a key resistance area to watch. The S&P 500 turned in a 2.5% gain for the day. Using the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as a proxy, it is up 8.9% for the month with one more session left in October. The index has made a move above its 50-day line, an encouraging sign. Breadth was also positive, with advancers outnumbering decliners by about 3-to-1 on the NYSE and by more than 2-to-1 on the Nasdaq. Volume fell on the Nasdaq, and early data showed lower NYSE volume. Blue-chip stocks also excelled, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average popping 2.6%. Its 14.4% gain so far for October is on track for its best since January 1976. t closed above the 200-day line for first time since Aug. 1 However : The coming week will be crucial, with speculation rising that the Federal Reserve may be considering slowing the pace of rate hikes. Investors should remain wary until this meeting is behind us. Update Risk Model: Several technical indicators significantly improved their reading in course of last weeks' trading sessions. The following critical indicators are now showing green light: - New 52w Highs / Lows - Stocks above / below their 200d MA - Up/Down volume - Advance/Decline-Line Additionally, key psychological / contrarian indicators still showing reading which could suggest that we have reached the bottom already, or are at least close to that. Margin debt is negative which means there is a lot of buying power in the market to push individual stocks much higher. Also, we still habe a very bearish sentiment which is very good considering this being a contrarian indicator - exactly when most investors give up and make more and more bearish comments, the bottom of a correction / bear market might be very close. Remember, there will be another FED announcement next week. At the very least, we have to expect increased volatility. Swing-Traders should be invested by 30-50% by now but only further increase exposure on the back of gains in their own portfolio. While the risk model has significantly improved, we are not out of the woods yet. Stay cautious and remain disciplined!
BLACKBULL:SPX500Long
by JS_TechTrading
US TOP-Stocks: WatchlistGeneral Market Update The stock market uptrend continued to gain traction Tuesday as major stock indexes notched their third-straight bullish session. The Nasdaq composite rose above the 11,000 level with ease, ending with a gain of 2.2%. Nasdaq volume rose, completing a second follow-through day for the index. Advancing stocks outnumbered decliners on the Nasdaq by nearly 4-to-1. The strongest outperformance came from small cap and midcap stocks. The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) ramped higher by 2.7%, helped by strong earnings reports and huge gains for Medpace (MEDP) and Calix (CALX). The small-cap ETF briefly crossed above its 50-day moving average but ended just below the line. The SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) jumped 2.5% and closed just above its 50-day line. The S&P 500 marched ahead 1.6%, bringing its three-session gain to 5.2%. Preliminary data showed volume very close to Monday's level. The S&P 500 is getting closer to a rendezvous with its 50-day line, a potential resistance level to watch. If the index pauses and consolidates below this level for a short time, it wouldn't be such a bad thing. Price action like this could pave the way for a convincing retaking of the line. NYSE advancers beat decliners by just over 5-to-1. The number of technical breakouts and bullish setups has been rising, helped by a market tide that is flowing positive once again. Increasing market exposure is fine, but pay attention to the ticker tape's feedback when it comes to new buys. Are they making progress past proper entries? If so, that should make you feel good about increasing exposure. Updated Watchlist All stocks on our watchlists meet the hard selection criteria according to Mark Minervini's Trend-Template and William o' Neil's CAN SLIM methodology. Here is the link to the updated watchlist: www.tradingview.com
Long
by JS_TechTrading
5
US TOP-Stocks: WatchlistGeneral Market Update After the Nasdaq composite and S&P 500 made follow-through rally confirmations Friday, the stock market extended gains Monday. In the initial hours, performance was uneven. The Nasdaq composite and small caps lagged the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average. But the Nasdaq composed itself in afternoon trading and closed almost 0.9% higher. The S&P 500 and Dow led with gains of 1.2% and 1.3%. The Russell 2000 rose less than 0.4% as small caps never caught up with the rest of the market. Volume rose 2% vs. Friday's session on the Nasdaq and was indicated lower on the NYSE. Friday's follow-through — when the S&P and Nasdaq surged more than 2% each in higher volume — marked the start of a confirmed market uptrend. But while the signal is historically bullish, today's market calls for greater safeguards. Reasons For Stock Market Caution Three follow-throughs that occurred earlier this year all failed, as they often do in bear markets. And today's stock market still faces major risks. The Fed, for one, is still looking for clear signs that inflation is cooling off before it cuts back on rate hikes. Scores of earnings reports are coming out this week, including many bellwether companies. Updated Watchlist All stocks on our watchlists meet the hard selection criteria according to Mark Minervini's Trend-Template and William o' Neil's CAN SLIM methodology. Here is the link to the updated watchlist: www.tradingview.com
BLACKBULL:SPX500Long
by JS_TechTrading
Large Move to ComeOpen interest on Binance (yellow line above) has increased significantly since mid June, while open interest on CME (blue line above) has stagnated. An over-heating retail derivative market along with a weakening institutional derivative market often leads to price declines for bitcoin. Liquidity issues continue and long-term holders are still selling in losses. With the U.S. Dollar Index at all time high, the rising opportunity costs lower the chance of entering a cyclical bull market. Furthermore, bitcoin has retested the 17-18k support from June many times now. Without signs of strength, the more times this level gets tested, the more likely it’s going to break.
Short
by Phi-Deltalytics
4
NDX 2008 vs AAI Sentiment SurveyAAII has an excel spreadsheet of their sentiment survey that goes all the way back to 1987. Last week was the highest bearish sentiment week they've ever had at 60.87%! www.aaii.com In 2000 the highest bear sentiment it ever got was 51.1%. In the week ending 10/9/08 it peaked at 60.84%. The US100 jumped 15% the next week, but the bottom was a month later, 11/20/2008. Then it chopped sideways +/-20% until making a double bottom 3/9/2009. If this is anything to go by, we're in for some of the highest volatility yet; but a bottom should be nearing. Keep your eyes open, be nimble and stay frosty!
OANDA:NAS100USD
by Nicklaus68
1
US30 Sells Update - Interest Rates WeekThis was a US30 sell taken during the London session a day before the US Interest Rates news release. Technical Analysis (explained in detail in the video): 1. Price was making lower highs from higher timeframes and continued to show bearish momentum. 2. During the Asian session yesterday, the price consolidated at a psychological level and finally made a liquidity wick as it broke previous 4-hour and hourly lows. Fundamental and Market Sentiment Analysis: 1. Last week's CPI data showed inflation increasing, whereas the markets expected a slowdown or a decline in the price pressures. 2. The market started to price in potential higher interest rates this week. 3. Discussions around a full percentage hike started coming onto the table, and can that essentially mean a recession next year? This week's trades are purely off of the market sentiment leading to tomorrow's interest rate hike.
OANDA:US30USD
by UnknownUnicorn4632978
Bull Crown (bearish) Failed?I don’t own any TSLA, just analyzing it. A bull crown is bearish because a crown “caps” a bull run — much like a crown on a kings head. These types of patterns are a part of a series of harmonic chart patterns that are broken down in phases. This particular pattern is something like a cheap Wyckoff distribution. So, in this chart I would say the fallout from here is bearish, however, it seems that it may have broken out -or- it’s perhaps just meandering while it waits for the market to pull back. It is possible, though, that Elon’s recent moves have made a positive impact on how TSLA will preform even if the market chooses to run bearish. Some of these recent moves would include: Stock Split: making stocks affordable for your supporters is key — and overlooked modernist companies. Especially catering to your customer demographic — $300 is affordable for me, while still allowing me to diversify my portfolio. (I don’t own any because I’m flat broke, also something to consider) FSD beta: FSD beta is a new revenue stream for TSLA, it’s also a great way to add lower cost (to them) value to customers, with frequent version updates that keeps people happy and engaged. Tesla is already fully geared to gather driving data and push out software updates, this is only “lower cost to them” because they planned ahead and built the program (and company) to be efficient. Social Engagement: it goes without saying that Elon is quite popular on Twitter, the way he uses the platform is unlike any other CEO, he’s always pointing out interesting things happening at his companies. He’s built a very strong support from the people who’ve gotten to appreciate him from this platform. Renewable Energy Regulation: it’s coming, with news coming out each day of how companies will deal with the shedding of fossil fuels. My only concerns at this time, which would have me convinced that it was a true bull crown, are Q3 production results, smear campaigns, and the state of the economy (will effect everyone).
NASDAQ:TSLA
by daanksy
2
GBPUSD: Monthly Low Liquidity 🚨With price fast approaching the monthly low we can expect buyers to begin joining the market looking for support. This can be confirmed by the sentiment data showing that 82% of retail traders are long. This figure is huge! If we understand that 90% of traders are wrong and 82% of the market is stacking buys, we can use this valuable data to bet against them. We can't just enter sells anywhere, it has to be timed and precise. My two entry regions are: 1) The gap created at the market open. 2) The imbalance region caused by the huge leg to the downside. If price comes to these zones and satisfies an entry, we can sell with the aim of sweeping buyer liquidity placed below the monthly low. 🚀Thanks for your BOOSTS and support🚀 💬Send your comments and questions below, I'll be glad to talk to you💬
Short
by AlkalineFX
4
Leading US Stocks outperform IndicesThe stock market wavered on Tuesday as the post-Fed rally ran out of steam, although small caps and leading stocks performed better than most major indices. A mix of consumer, energy and health care leaders helped the index rise more than 1%, driven by a handful of outsize gains. Pockets of strength in software, chip, biotech, solar and internet stocks helped the Nasdaq limit its loss to 0.2%. The S&P technology sector was down 0.7% overall. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lagged with a 1.2% drop. Earnings and Fed News Influence Stock Market Tuesday's stock market wrestled with earnings reports, economic data, remarks from Fed officials and political strife. The stock market also dealt with geopolitical risk, this time in the Far East. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's diplomatic visit to Taiwan angered Chinese leaders. Beijing, which had warned of consequences if Pelosi went ahead with her trip, sent warplanes over the Taiwan Strait and launched live-fire naval exercises. WHAT NOW? The overall market environment for breakout traders remains bullish, although we are not yet out of the woods. Bottoming after a bear market is a process which can take significant time. Breakout / swing-traders should be invested by ca. 50% by now but continue to remain highly cautious. Only increase your exposure on the back of gains in your own portfolio and always stick to your stop losses. Here is the link to our updated watchlist: www.tradingview.com
AMEX:SPYLong
by JS_TechTrading
Should You Buy TSLA Stock NOW??!!! Best Prices Hello everyone. I hope you are doing perfectly. So, today I wanted to share my perspective on TSLA stock. In this published idea, you can see three aspects of the analysis: technical, fundamental, and sentimental (all are my humble opinion). Now let's get to the real deal. Technical Analysis As you see on the chart, there is a high possibility of pulling back on the trend line since the price is over-saturated, and we can see that the last minor wave has given its 0.618% correction. With this said, I will buy TSLA stock only at the prices given in the chart. The prices are obtained with Fibonacci numbers and demand zones. If you want to buy it now, you can, but I do not recommend it. Fundamental Analysis Now, the most crucial thing in buying stocks is analyzing the fundamentals of a particular stock before buying it. As you know, the USA is experiencing negative GDP growth, indicating that high-risk markets, including the stock market, can continue their bearish trend. But, if you are a long-term investor, this can be the perfect opportunity. However, if I were you, I would wait until the CPI decreases and the GDP increases. Additionally, TSLA is currently experiencing good earnings and revenues, which shows that even in a bear market, it can not be bankrupt. Sentimental Analysis As you can see from what I said earlier, we are all a bit confused about the current economic situation. So, on a bigger scale, most people are like us. Let's think logically, how 90% of people would react now? Most people are now afraid of the bear market, which is a good thing. In such situations, I want to give others what they want. What do I mean by this? It means if you're going to sell, I will buy, and if you want to buy, I will sell. In simple terms, do the exact opposite of what most people want to do. I hope you gained what you wanted on TSLA stock. Follow me for more Forex, CFD, Crypto, and the Stock market analysis. I will be glad also to know your perspective on TSLA stock. So, leave a comment and let me know what you think. I Wish You All a Profitable Trading Journey
NASDAQ:TSLA
by AregBabayn777
10
Stock Market Rallies As GDP Triggers RecessionThe stock market extended gains yesterday, in parallel the US economy officially entered a recession based on the commonly accepted definition. Amazon.com (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL) reported their quarterly results after the close and added to the market's gains: Amazon up 12% , Apple up 4%. Stock market futures conitnue to rally as well. The 10-year Treasury yield ticked down to 2.68%, closing at its lowest level since early April. Stock Market The stock market uptrend shrugged off the recession signal, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 gained 1% and 1.2%, respectively. The tech-heavy Nasdaq rallied 1.1%. The small-cap Russell 2000 advanced 1.3%. While recession could slow earnings, it appears that most of the negative news are already discounted and priced into the stock market. Our JS-TechTrading model portfolio had a great week which is confirmed by volume-proce action bymany leading stocks as well as the major market indices. What does that mean for swing-traders? Swing-traders have the green light to boost their exposure to stocks, focusing on those breaking out past correct buy points. Gradually commit capital to leading stocks. Still, it's not time to be overly aggressive as we potentially could have another leg down in the general market. Here is the link to our updated watchlist: www.tradingview.com Watch out for health and technology stock. Industry group ratings suggest that those could be the leaders in the next bull market cycle. All Stocks on our watchlist are absolute top picks and fulfill Minervini's Trend-Template criteria and are selected using IBD's CAN SLIM criteria. Also, they all have low risk entry points.
AMEX:SPYLong
by JS_TechTrading
AUDUSD: Fight the Sellers 🥊The key structural support level around 0.70000 gave buyers a great base to buy from. Then another round of buyers entered once the mayor trend line had been broken. However, because of the larger amount of buyer liquidity, banks had to intervene and drive price down to stop all buyers out of the market. Buyers now believe they were wrong about buys and are slowly shifting their perspective to sells, this can be seen in the current market sentiment. Are banks going to make retail traders wrong twice? I like to go for a contrarian approach, I will be buying AUD pairs over the coming weeks for long term swings.
Long
by AlkalineFX
10
US Swing-Trading Environment further improvedThe stock market rally hit some turbulence Friday as weak earnings from Snap (SNAP), Seagate Technology (STX) and Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) weighed on sentiment but overall it was a good week at WallStreet last week. There are good reasons to be optimistic about a tradable rally, but several high-profile earnings reports next week will likely dictate the action, including results from the remaining four FAANG stocks: Google parent Alphabet (GOOGL), Amazon.com (AMZN), Apple (AAPL) and Meta Platforms (META). And don't forget about the two-day Federal Reserve meeting where the Fed on Wednesday is widely expected to raise its key lending rate by another 75 basis points to a range of 2.25% to 2.5%. Another rate hike is expected in September, although the chances for another 75-point hike have faded as the bond market weighs the possibility of a soft landing for the U.S. economy. Caution is still advised!!! Our risk model for the US stock market further improved last week: Most of the technical indicators in our risk model are now showing a green light: New 52w Highs / Lows Stocks above / below 200d MA Volatility Index VIX Up / Down Volume Advance-Decline Line Also, the psychological indicators bulls vs bear and margin debt are favourable and would support a new bull market rally. What does that mean for swing traders? By now, swing-traders should have opened the first positions and be invested by 30-60%. Market exposure can be increased in case the stocks in your own portfolio show sustainable traction. Apply progressive exposure in your trading and always think risk first!
AMEX:SPYLong
by JS_TechTrading
GBPUSD D & H1 | PULLBACK | SHORTHello Traders. I hope all are doing well. I will go straight to the point. If we see the daily time frame, we can see that there are two key level at 1.42459 and 1.14023 as well as there are few target points. Price is going toward the target 1 which is at 1.22080 after reaching their, it can go back to the target 3 because clearly it's a down trend and RSI is showing overbuy and there is a key level as well. Furthermore, if the price cross target 3, it may reach target 4. In the other hand it can travel target 2 and after that it can come back to the ground again.
Short
by MT_SABRUL