$XRP #Sequential AccuracyHey Folks, It is quite strange to find that my indicator becomes more accurate by changing the price flip parameter recently.
Demark states that the Price Flip is calculated from the corresponding close four bars earlier.
However, I observe better results by modifying this parameter to take into account the corresponding close 5 bars earlier.
Here are displayed different Timeframes with TD Price Flip configured with parameter 5.
I let you judge by yourself :)
MATHR3E
Sequential indicators:
TD Sequential
DeMARK Combo Extension
Sequential
#DeMARK #Sequential Tutorial 2 - Trend & Reversal (Bear -> Bull)Note:
This tutorial is based on the comments made in Jason Perl's book DeMARK Indicators.
I strongly recommend you to read this book if you want more in-depth knowledge.
I publish this tutorial for educational purposes only
TD Countdown - Bullish Case
1. Definition
TD Countdown is the second component of TD Sequential and cannot come into play until a TD Setup formation is complete.
Once the first condition is met, TD Countdown can begin, from the close of bar nine of TD Setup (inclusive), onward.
TD Countdown works in either direction: For the bullish case, the increment occurs when the current close is lower than the low two bars earlier. This price relationship is an important distinction from TD Setup, because the market must be trending for TD Countdown to objectively identify the likely exhaustion point for a trend reversal
In my TD Enhanced Sequential indicator , TD Countdown is represented by circled numbers from 1 to 13. Note these numbers from the countdown phase: 3/4/6/7/9/10 were replaced by a special character.
2. Requirement
# Prerequisite:
As soon as a TD Buy Setup is in place, we can start looking for the first bar of a TD Buy Countdown
# To initiate a TD Buy Countdown
With bar nine of the TD Buy Setup in place, there must be a close less than, or equal to, the low two bars earlier.
Bar nine of a TD Buy Setup can also be bar one of a TD Buy Countdown if it satisfies the previous conditions.
Unlike TD Buy Setup, TD Buy Countdown doesn’t have to be an uninterrupted sequence of qualifying price bars; the TD Buy Countdown process simply stops when markets are trading sideways, and resumes when prices start trending lower again.
# Nested TD Buy Countdown
On bar 9 Setups, an additional step exists to check if a Countdown is already in place.
In case a previous Countdown (A) is detected, a new nested Countdown (B) initiate without ending the (A) Countdown.
You will be able to detect the start of a nested Countdown with a clear graphical signal on 9 Setups:
Start of Normal Countdown: 9
Start of Nested Countdown:
Color Codes:
Green/Red : Perfected BUY/SELL Setup
Gray: Unperfected BUY/SELL Setup
# To Complete a TD Buy Countdown
The low of TD Buy Countdown bar thirteen must be less than, or equal to, the close of TD Buy Countdown bar eight, and
The close of TD Buy Countdown bar thirteen must be less than, or equal to, the low two bars earlier.
When the market fails to meet these conditions, TD Buy Countdown bar thirteen is deferred and a plus sign (+) appears where the number thirteen would otherwise have been.
# TD Buy countdown cancellation
Although a developing TD Buy Countdown doesn’t reset itself if there is an interruption in the sequence of closes each one of which is less than, or equal to, the low two bars earlier, there are a number of built-in conditions, or filters, to help the trader recognize when the dynamics of the market are changing. These filters erase the as-yet-incomplete TD Buy Countdown.
If the price action rallies and generates a TD Sell Setup, or
If the market trades higher and posts a true low above the true high of the prior TD Buy Setup—that is, TDST resistance.
As we may have now, 2 countdowns in place at the same moment, it is useful to identify which countdown is being cancelled. The "X" character indicates a Countdown cancel.
These colors clarify which countdown is impacted:
Green/Red : Main countdown
Gray: Nested Countdown
This completes the second tutorial. More to come.
Also check my profile to access more content.
Take care
MATHR3E
LTCUSD: Halving is Coming or Prediction UltraliteLooks like a pattern to me. This is why I propose an experiment using this simple method
I guess, things will NOT appear in the exact same way. Maybe better, who knows )
Anyway, this chart is my fast sudden analysis of LTC based on halving dates
Also, relying on what indicators show, price most likely are going higher
Red boxes try to set some perimeter to the area of a strike(and the future one in 2023 - for the science of experiment)
Sequence of tops(accuracy=0):
2013: $50
2017: $360
2021: $2500
2025: $18000
BTC.D: potential BTC dominance declineNov 2015 - last peak of BTC dominance
Aug 2016 - halving 2016
Jan 2018 - last dip of BTC dominance
Aug 2019 - 4 years minus 3 months(halving offset) from the last peak of BTC dominance(which is potentially the current peak of 70% BTC dominance)
Nov 2019 - 4 years percisely from the last peak of BTC dominance
May 2020 - halving 2020
2nd leg of decline could be just across the corner
$BTC *erratum* Aug/14 #SequentialHi there,
My apologies for Wednesday analysis: It was published with a test version of my Sequential indicator and the countdown was wrong.
The correct version of the indicator is still on a bar 11 of the bullish trend so I might have turned bearish quite prematurely.
However, we have price flipped on this week and a sell signal is still possible on next week (Red 2 below Red 1 low).
This could confirm a touch of the previous TDST resistance Line which could turn as a support before price continuing higher.
I will post soon a monthly chart analysis where we can see the bullish trend is not over.
For the moment I remain neutral. We could see a broader consolidation pattern of this year's bullish movement
MATHR3E
Check my Sequential indicators:
TD Sequential
DeMARK Combo Extension
More details on my Patreon page.
Comparing US02Y vs US10YBy decrementing US10Y from US02Y we see the actual breakout so to speak.
Volatile. Already touched the previous Global Resistance with a huge spike and most likely next 2 to 3 years are going to be volatile as well coming to an end around Nov 2021 - the point that looks pretty similar to what we already saw in 1991 | 2001 | 2008 and notice since 2008 the move down wasn't that significant comparing to the previous two(1991-1993 and 2001-2003) thank's to US QE I guess? We might actually end this trend or maybe just maybe from 2021 to 2023 going below the ZERO which you can comment the possibility of that happens and how do you prepare yourself ;-)
According to this time analysis in Nov 2021 "the disaster" is going to be at the peak.
US02Y: Aug 2019 - time to panic?Good afternoon. This is the chart that everybody yelling about.
May this year price close below monthly support. Today (Aug 2019) we have a green 9 and doubts. The importance of this level is significant, but
first let's compare 1991 vs 1995 vs 2000 vs 2008 vs NOW(2019)
You can do it yourself and come to any conclusion you will, but I want you to know that since our last cycle longed for 12 years I believe our next cycle is going to long 12 years as well just like it did in 1991(5Y cycle) and 1995(5Y cycle) with the worst years of recession falling on the 2030's from this point of view. So the worst could be right upon ahead of us and still there is quite significant time we have till this recession and who knows maybe even 2012 was THE lowest low and so something going to change that trend in future since it is a 3rd time in last 3 decades(!)
Everything possible. This is not about predicting the future, this is about predicting opportunities that may come in future.
Be well, my friend!
$BTC Bears about to take over #SequentialWeekly $BTC has reached the Sequential 13 (S13) countdown after finding a TOP on a Combo 13 (C13).
A TD Setup bar 1 (red 1/9) is also in progress and next week will be decisive to confirm a Sell Signal (Red 2 below Red 1 low).
Previous resistance was around 8900 USD so we might find some support at this level before a continuation of a new downtrend.
If the downtrend is not confirmed during the upcoming weeks, then we could form a bull flag and continue higher to new ATH.
MATHR3E
Sequential indicators:
TD Sequential
DeMARK Combo Extension
$BTC Potential H&S #Sequential$BTC has recently completed a Sequential Sell Countdown.
This sequential count was preceded by a combo 13 and an Aggressive 13 which completed a double TOP pattern. (H)
The current Price consolidation and the previous one between May/10 and Jun/05 could form the Shoulders (S) of a global H&S pattern.
The Right Shoulder could be completed within the current bear channel before a stronger move down
On Weekly chart, Price is coming back to previous TDST Resistance.
If it cannot hold as a support, this could confirm the daily chart pattern.
MATHR3E
Sequential indicators:
TD Enhanced Sequential
DeMARK Combo Extension
$XRP Succeed or Bleed #SequentialHi there,
XRP has been smashed down and flirt now with the long term oblique support.
The current pattern is looking bearish and a close below @0.29885 USD will initiate a severe decline back to 0.20USD at least
We are now near the apex of this flag, so a violent move is expected soon...
Up or Down... Down is more likely
MATHR3E
Sequential indicators:
TD Enhanced Sequential
DeMARK Combo Extension
$LTC Short Term Target @120 USD #SequentialHi there,
Similar to Bitcoin, LTCUSD is showing an interesting level to test a Long entry.
This is a short term buy opportunity with a combination of: and on the Fibonacci golden zone retracing the previous move initiated after a sequential S13 Buy signal on July 16.
We could see a bounce here back to previous TDST resistances levels.
First TDST resistance @ around 120 USD
Stay caution, the bullish trend that started after the 9 Sell setup on July 18 has just been cancelled on the 4H chart.
SL below 86.6 USD
Associated indicators:
TD+ Enhanced Sequential Gold
DeMARK Combo Extension
Trade Safe!
MATHR3E
$BTC Short term Buy level #SequentialHi there,
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is at an interesting level to test a short term buy.
Just sitting at Fibonacci golden zone retracement after a C13 Buy on July 17.
We could see a bounce here back to previous TDST resistances levels.
First TDST resistance @ around 12K USD
On the 4H chart, a bullish trend has started after the 9 Sell setup on July 18.
Keep an eye on the next 2 bars for confirmation.
Associated indicators:
TD+ Enhanced Sequential Gold
DeMARK Combo Extension
Trade Safe!
MATHR3E
#DeMARK #Sequential Tutorial 1Note:
This tutorial is based on the comments made in Jason Perl's book DeMARK Indicators.
I strongly recommend you to read this book if you want more in-depth knowledge.
I publish this tutorial for educational purposes only
TD Setup
TD Setup is the first component of TD Sequential. It determines whether a market is likely to be confined to a trading range or starting a directional trend.
TD Setup works in either direction: It consists of a nine consecutive closes; each one than the corresponding close four bars earlier.
In the TD+ Enhanced Sequential indicator, TD Setup is represented by numbers from 1 to 9.
1. Bullish case (TD Buy Setup)
# Definition:
Step1: Bearish TD Price Flip.
The prerequisite for a TD Buy Setup is a Bearish TD Price Flip, which indicates a switch from positive to negative momentum.
TD Price Flip is bar 1 (Red) out of 9.
Step2: TD Buy Setup
After a bearish TD Price Flip, there must be nine consecutive closes; each one less than the corresponding close four bars earlier.
# TD Buy Setup “Perfection”:
The low of bars eight or nine of the TD Buy Setup or a subsequent low must be less than, or equal to, the lows of bars six and seven of the TD Buy Setup
How to differentiate perfected and unperfected Buy Setup within TD+ Enhanced Sequential Indicator:
Perfected Buy Setup is a RED character '9'
Unperfected Buy Setup is a GRAY character '9'
# Interruption of a TD Buy Setup:
If, at any point, the sequence is interrupted, the developing TD Buy Setup will be canceled and must begin anew.
2. Bearish case (TD Sell Setup)
# Definition:
Step1: Bullish TD Price Flip
The prerequisite for a TD Sell Setup is a Bullish TD Price Flip, which indicates a switch from negative to positive momentum.
TD Price Flip is bar 1 (Green) out of 9
Step2: TD Sell Setup
After a Bullish TD Price Flip, there must be nine consecutive closes; each one greater than the corresponding close four bars earlier.
# TD Sell Setup “Perfection”
The high of TD Sell Setup bars eight or nine or a subsequent high must be greater than, or equal to, the highs of TD Sell Setup bars six and seven
How to differentiate perfected and unperfected Buy Setup within TD+ Enhanced Sequential Indicator:
Perfected Sell Setup is a GREEN character '9'
Unperfected Sell Setup is a GRAY character '9'
# Interruption of a TD Sell Setup
If at any point, the sequence is interrupted, The developing TD Sell Setup will be canceled and must begin anew.
This completes the first tutorial. More to come.
Also check my profile to access more content.
Take care
MATHR3E
$TWTR Potential LT Target @80USD #SequentialTwitter is on track to finish this week with the start of a new sequential sell countdown.
This new bullish countdown should also confirm the bullish cup and handle pattern.
The previous bull move from April/2017 to June/2018 has been retraced and matched with the 0.618 Fib.
This level perfectly held the price and acts now as good support zone.
From an Elliot Wave perspective, the retracement back to the 0.618 Fib means the completion of a Wave 1 & 2 impulsive move.
So we may now be in the early stage of a wave 3 with a rational 80USD first target.
Once this level reached, we will reevaluate our position based on the TD+ Enhanced Sequential Gold Indicator
MATHR3E
$XRP near the APEX #SequentialHey There,
Finally back with an improved version of my Sequential Indicator!
Hope it will help you to have more confidence in your trading decision by using it.
For more details you can check my profile.
As expected XRP has consolidated for a long time.
Consequently, it has underperformed BTC for the last weeks.
This could change in the next few days as we are nearing the APEX of a 2 months consolidation triangle pattern. (ABCDE).
The D leg ended with a false breakout and was stopped by a Combo 13 (Sell signal)
Probabilities are still in favor of a bullish breakout with a target price @ 0.56 USD.
If we break to the south, the next support zone is @ 0.35USD
Stay patient and caution! $XRP has demonstrated high volatility in the past.
MATHR3E
$BTC Weekly Analysis #SequentialHey There,
Finally back with an improved version of my Sequential Indicator!
Hope it will help you to have more confidence in your trading decision by using it.
For more details you can check my profile.
So we topped last week with a Combo 13 Sell signal. (Note that the last C13 was on the 2017 Rally TOP).
Combo 13 Sell signal coincide perfectly with the rejection of the 0.618/0.65 Fib Resistance Golden Zone.
It can be a trend reversal at this point but for now I favor the scenario of a consolidation pattern below that level, before a bullish breakout.
Sequential Indicator is still in favor of bulls with a Sequential bar 9/13.
Monthly Sequential is also in a bullish trend (bar 5/13)
Have a nice Weekend!
MATHR3E
BTTUSDT: JULY-SEPT 2019Next pump somewhere around Jewish New Year
Some say it's going to be huge for alts, I don't know, maybe?
Anyway, going that direction will definitely see some gains in Dec 2019 - Jan 2020
BTTBTC looks very promising and potentially would reach 3000 sats at the end of the year