USDCAD - 0 To 100 Real QuickLet's work our way down the big time frame. Everything is color-coded as follows.
montly = red
weekly = orange
daily = yellow
4hr = green
1hr = blue
Looking at the monthly you can see we have a nice broken trend line that was never retested, same line in confluence with the 61.8% fib retracement level. This is where I see the price going and therefore my target price.
Looking at the weekly zone you can see some nice order blocks along that nice weekly demand zone around the 1.3050 level rejecting the price right back up.
Now, another time frame down to the daily and you can see it broke the weekly support however it is still pretty much irrelevant as it has not fully broken, closed under, and retested that weekly zone on the weekly timeframe. The second reason is our entry point which I will explain between the 1hr and 4hr time frames. But you can clearly see the doji and shooting star where the price closed last, signaling a possible drop which is exactly why I believe a stop hunt down maybe possible especially Sunday after the market opens. However, knowing the overall direction of the price for the next week or two, I know that anything signaling sell would be type fakeout to me.
On the 4hr you can see price held, and formed a nice inverted head and shoulder pattern and started going up already making that retracement to our target. Price broke the neckline and is currently retesting the neckline at the market close.
Finally... between the 1hr and 30min you can see that the neckline retest is actually another inverted head and shoulder pattern retesting its own neckline.
I don't usually trade Sundays due to typical fakeouts and stop hunts, however, I feel very confident buying this after the market opens this upcoming Sunday.
Settle4more
EURCHF: What Goes Up, Must Come DownI like to keep my analysis as clean and simpe as possible so here we go. The EUR been falling against the CHF for quite some days now. Its obviously bound to make a correction (retracement). As you can see the 1.70 area been holding. Pulling out fibs and drawing some support/resistance we can see some strong confluence up there @ that 1.13 zone. That would be your exit.. For entry, we can see a nice inverted head & shoulders pattern complete with the break and retest of its neckline on another key support/resistance level. I must add, that 1.13 zone was the last zone that has not been retested after breakout. and if you go even lower time frame (1hr) it was a (W) pattern with a nice break & retest acting as the last shoulder on the 4 hour pattern.
CHECK attached LINK for 4HR CHART
CONFLUENCE
Confirmations to ENTER
1. support/resistance
2. inverted head and shoulders
3. break + retest of neckline while next candle still closing above it.
Confirmations to Exit.
1. daily supply/demand zone
2. support/resistance
3. trendline
4. 61.8 fib retracement
US30... DOWN UNDER!As you can see guys we have here a beautiful head and shoulder pattern on US30. The rule says what ever distance from top to neckline, after the breakout it will drop the same distance. If you can see that distance, it means it should drop down to 25619 in confluence with that zone. Price threw a wick all the way up during FOMC today but respected the pattern and dropped right back down breaking the neckline and now on its way up to retest it. that's our entry. There is a lot of confluence there.
1. zone
2. support/resistance
3. 50-61.8 fib level
4. it will either form a small pattern such as double top, or candlestick reversal pattern before the drop.
Wait for the pattern to complete before entering the trade to minimize risk or just place a sell limit and the stoploss with your take profit.
stoploss: 25877
take profit: 25495
BitCoin Ride or DieAs you can see on the weekly time frame, BTC had a nice fall since the beginning of the year but it looks like we can see some exhaustion.
At the bottom of the downtrend on weekly you can see we have a bullyish engulfing candle signaling a possible buy. Where is the last major broken support that hasn't been retested? 5700-6100.
Go down 1 frame to the Daily. Looks like a possible inverted head & shoulders finally forming, I've been expecting it around this level.
How do I know this pattern will most likely form? Look at the 'daily' bullish engulfing signaling a buy on the image above, and now work your way down to the 4hr and you can see it is yet another "possible" inverted head & shoulders pattern forming.
Naked Trading & Confluence 101.
You can't win against price action.
clean markup, clear patterns, common sense.
Personal Opinion: If you ask me, I know that BTC/Crypto Era is nowhere near over yet! It truly is the future. This is only the beginning, nothing can go up forever and it has finally started creating some real structure.
Thanks for Viewing, SHARE SHARE SHARE! Don't let your friends go broke shorting Cryptos!!!! Love you all and Happy New Year!!!
Thanks for Viewing, SHARE SHARE SHARE! Don't let your friends go broke shorting Cryptos!!!! Love you all and Happy New Year!!!
USD/CAD - The BIG BULL?Here we have a clear inverted head & shoulder pattern. We have supply at 1.3355 area, and demand @ 1.3100 area. Price broke the 1.31 supply turned demand zone, and respected creating a smaller pattern right on the top of the demand zone. The zone is also a 1.38 fib retracement on smaller frame. Looking for price to come up to 1.3150 supply, make the big re-test back down to the 1.31 demand, (also 1.382 fib retracement on daily chart,) and make its way back up breaking 1.3150 supply all the way to the 1.3355 supply area. Many confirmations, this is my first trade idea I share so bear with me if its a little confusing to understand my analysis. If you know the rules of pattern trading, you know that from the bottom of the head, up to the neckline, once it breaks neckline it should move up the same distance upwards. What I love most is, that it is a 280pip move to the upside, and it comes in confluence to the 1.3355 area. I dont really using indicators but if you use an adx, you can see the strong buy signals all the way from 1minute - Daily frames. Weekly is also bullish but not as strong. Monthly is right in between.
USDCAD FINAL DESTINATIONNot much to say here!!! check out the linked (related idea) for a full overview of this trade and why its time to buy now. But basically, based on my last analysis for USDCAD the price broke the 1.3150 supply just like I had projected, went all the way up to around 1.3250, 100pips away from our final target, and came backdown to our 1.3150 (now) demand zone to retest, in confluence with a 50.0/61.8 retrace before heading back up to our final destination at 1.3350.
SL @1.3110 (-40pip)
TP @1.3340 (+185pip)
Risk/Reward Ration = 4.64
win almost 5x what you are risking. Great trade setup!
TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK I AM NOT YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISOR.
USE PROPER RISK MANAGEMENT! GOOD LUCK! ;)
USDJPY Quick FlushCheck out the simple DOUBLE TOP (M) pattern forming on the 4hr chart in confluence with a bigger daily double top (second top) and monthly supply. I'm looking to trade that break and retest of that 4hr M neckline. Check out the linked Trade Idea for a bigger overview of this trade and long term price projection.
USDJPY FREE PIP GIVEAWAY?I see a monthly falling wedge pattern, and a nice single candlestick reversal formation at a key monthly supply zone signaling a possible reversal. Taking out my fibs from low to high I get some confluence at the monthly 110 zone most likely a 61.8 retrace and shoot up giving us about 600-1000 pips.