NZDUSD to turnaround?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 0.5925.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5975 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6025.
We look to Buy at 0.5925 (stop at 0.5893)
Our profit targets will be 0.6005 and 0.6020
Resistance: 0.5975 / 0.6000 / 0.6025
Support: 0.5925 / 0.5900 / 0.5875
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Setup
EURAUD to turnaround?EURAUD - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 1.6500.
We look to Sell at 1.6500 (stop at 1.6550)
Our profit targets will be 1.6380 and 1.6350
Resistance: 1.6500 / 1.6550 / 1.6600
Support: 1.6400 / 1.6350 / 1.6300
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Is It Still Bearish for the EURUSDWhile on the Monthly and Weekly we see this pair in a bearish swing, on the Daily, it appears to be in a Bullish swing. We have seen prices while sustaining the bullish swing, go through a strong bearish retracement. Price has come all the way into the Daily reversal zone.
At this point, we expect to see some form of reversal and for prices to begin the bullish extension towards the Daily liquidity target.
Where this happens, we will look to enter on long positions, using the panzy pips trading system.
In the unlikely event that prices continue to dip and the zone is breached, we will be look to see prices head for the Weekly liquidity target down below.
For whatever it is worth, the more likely direction, as at now, is a bullish reversal in the current zone, followed by a rally all the way up towards the Daily liquidity target.
Airbnb (ABNB): Bearish Setup or a Bullish Surprise?After finding support at $113, Airbnb NASDAQ:ABNB is experiencing a rapid rise, efficiently collecting all the imbalances left behind from the previous drop. As we approach Airbnb’s earnings report this Thursday, the company is expected to post a year-over-year decline in earnings, despite higher revenues for the quarter ending September 2024. The sustainability of any immediate price changes and future expectations will largely depend on management’s discussion during the earnings call.
While we don’t base our strategy solely on the earnings outcome, it’s crucial to note that a favorable outlook from management could give the stock a short-term boost. Still, despite the potential for this optimism, our analysis remains bearish on NASDAQ:ABNB for the foreseeable future.
Technically, the 61.8% Fibonacci level aligns perfectly with the point of control from the past three years, offering a strong setup. If this level is reached, it would also complete the filling of any remaining price imbalances. This makes for a compelling hedge against our other swing-long positions.
We aren’t setting a limit order just yet. We prefer to observe the market’s reaction to the earnings report before making a move. This could mean placing the limit order the following day, depending on how NASDAQ:ABNB behaves during and after the earnings call. For now, we remain patient and prepared.
EURGBP to attract buyers at market price?EURGBP - 24h expiry
Yesterday's Marabuzo is located at 0.8412.
The primary trend remains bearish.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Trading has been mixed and volatile.
We look for a temporary move higher.
We look to Sell at 0.8412 (stop at 0.8434)
Our profit targets will be 0.8357 and 0.8347
Resistance: 0.8397 / 0.8420 / 0.8448
Support: 0.8369 / 0.8353 / 0.8340
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Apple(AAPL): Down 7% – Is This the Opportunity We’ve Waited For?Apple’s stock has experienced a 7% decline over the past 10 days. What’s behind this drop? The fall came despite Apple slightly beating analysts’ expectations for the September quarter, driven mainly by a rebound in iPhone sales. During the fourth-quarter earnings call, CEO Tim Cook discussed positive developments in China but declined to speculate on economic stimulus impacts, noting stable year-over-year performance, partially aided by favorable foreign exchange rates.
From a technical analysis perspective, everything is lining up perfectly. Our limit order remains unchanged. The formation of an exact double top points to the possibility of a flat pattern, which typically leads to a double bottom. This anticipated double bottom would align with the volume profile’s range high, offering additional support to key Fibonacci levels.
Our stop-loss placement is secure, positioned below the support zone and the Point of Control (POC). We’ve set a time horizon for the wave ((ii)) to complete, and we believe this setup could result in a promising swing long position heading into Q1 or Q2 of 2025. If the chart develops as we hope, there may even be an opportunity to open a short position to hedge our long exposure. Until then, we’re prepared for another potential 12% drop, waiting patiently to execute our plan.
EURGBP to find sellers at market price?EURGBP - 24h expiry
The overnight rally has been sold into and there is scope for further bearish pressure going into this morning.
Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Selling spikes offers good risk/reward.
20 1day EMA is at 0.8343.
We look to Sell at 0.8355 (stop at 0.8375)
Our profit targets will be 0.8290 and 0.8280
Resistance: 0.8322 / 0.8340 / 0.8352
Support: 0.8315 / 0.8295 / 0.8280
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDUSD to bounce from oversold extremes?AUDUSD - 24h expiry
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Bullish divergence is expected to support prices.
Previous support at 0.6585 now becomes resistance.
A mild correction has been posted from yesterdays low, this is seen as a retest of the breakout level.
We look to Buy a break of 0.6585 (stop at 0.6560)
Our profit targets will be 0.6645 and 0.6660
Resistance: 0.6620 / 0.6660 / 0.6720
Support: 0.6560 / 0.6530 / 0.6500
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bearish overall, a correction is possible without impacting the trend lower.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.5975 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5925.
We look to Sell at 0.6000 (stop at 0.6020)
Our profit targets will be 0.5950 and 0.5925
Resistance: 0.6000 / 0.6025 / 0.6035
Support: 0.5950 / 0.5930 / 0.5925
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Ford (F): Eyeing Earnings for Potential Resistance FlipFord is set to release its earnings report in a few hours, and analysts generally anticipate that results will meet or slightly exceed consensus expectations. Currently, Ford is trading around a significant resistance level, and a breakout above this level could mark an important shift, opening the door for further gains. Our outlook remains bullish, with expectations that Ford will fill the large gap visible on the chart in the coming months.
Recent analyst targets align with our view, with ratings from Barclays, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley averaging around $13 for Ford stock. This target range corresponds well with our technical analysis, reinforcing our approach to Ford.
However, we’re holding off on any immediate action until after the earnings report to avoid an unpredictable reaction. We’ll be monitoring the market’s response closely, avoiding impulsive moves, as the true direction often becomes clearer after the initial post-earnings volatility.
Until then, patience remains crucial—trade the plan, stay disciplined, and seize the opportunity when it aligns with our setup.
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bearish overall, a correction is possible without impacting the trend lower.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.6025 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5075.
We look to Sell at 0.6060 (stop at 0.6080)
Our profit targets will be 0.6010 and 0.5995
Resistance: 0.6060 / 0.6075 / 0.6100
Support: 0.6025 / 0.6000 / 0.5975
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
US500 continues to trade around the all time highs.SPX500USD - 24H EXPIRY
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
Posted mild net daily gains but all trading confined to the previous days range, an indecisive Inside Day.
The 261.8% Fibonacci extension is located at 5901 from 5682 to 5766.
Due to an Ending Wedge formation, we continue to treat extended gains with caution.
Reverse trend line resistance comes in at 5898.
We look to Buy at 5848 (stop at 5823)
Our profit targets will be 5898 and 5905
Resistance: 5892 / 5898 / 5901
Support: 5848 / 5770 / 5766
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
USDCHF to continue in the upward move?USDCHF - Intraday
Our short term bias remains positive.
The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows.
Previous resistance at 0.8635 now becomes support.
We look to buy dips.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
20 1hour EMA is at 0.8641.
We look to Buy at 0.8642 (stop at 0.8614)
Our profit targets will be 0.8712 and 0.8727
Resistance: 0.8669 / 0.8680 / 0.8700
Support: 0.8635 / 0.8615 / 0.8600
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURUSD to turnaround?EURUSD - 24H EXPIRY
Trades at the lowest level in 48 days.
Bespoke support is located at 1.0875.
We have a 78.6% Fibonacci pullback level of 1.0870 from 1.0778 to 1.1202.
Selling posted in Asia.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
The medium term bias is neutral.
We look to Buy at 1.0875 (stop at 1.0825)
Our profit targets will be 1.1037 and 1.1050
Resistance: 1.1008 / 1.1038 / 1.1050
Support: 1.0875 / 1.0870 / 1.0775
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX to challenge the all time highs?DE30EUR - 24H EXPIRY
Our short term bias remains positive.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
Previous resistance at 19300 now becomes support.
We look to buy dips.
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
- We look to Buy at 19305 (stop at 19205)
Our profit targets will be 19555 and 19625
Resistance: 19400 / 19495 / 19600
Support: 19340 / 19300 / 19200
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
A classic setup for finding trading opportunitiesHi traders and investors!
In a recent post, I talked about a classic setup. You can find the post below in the related ideas section. I decided to elaborate on it a bit more because this setup frequently appears across different assets, and certain elements of this setup are common in various trading methodologies. In this article, I used a bar chart because bars take up less space, making it easier to see other elements of the chart.
Take a look at the chart. The seller's move from the 52,550 level updated the previous local high. The bar with the highest volume in this entire buyer's movement is the bar from September 18. The 50% level of the entire buyer's movement lies within this bar (!).
Next, we see the seller's movement, and on October 3, a test is formed within the key buyer's bar, at the level of 59,828.11. The price didn't reach the 50% level (59,524).
The key seller's bar in this movement (the bar with the highest volume) is the bar from October 1. The 50% level of the entire seller's movement is within this bar (!).
Next, we see the buyer's movement, and on October 5, a test is formed within the key seller's bar, at the level of 62,484.85. The price didn't reach the 50% level (63,163.06).
Then we see the buyer's attack on the test level of 62,484.85 and the 50% level of the seller's movement (63,163.06), followed by the seller returning the price below the test level, accumulating volume for a downward move. After that, the local minimum of 59,828.11 was updated.
Then, the seller attacks the test level of 59,828.11 and the 50% level of the buyer's movement (59,524), and the buyer returns the price above the test level, gathering volume for an upward move. What happens next... we will soon see.
This is how the buyer's attack on the 50% level of the seller's movement looked on the 4-hour time frame.
No differences whatsoever. Although, maybe I didn’t look hard enough. The key bar of the seller's movement intersects the 50% movement. First, there’s a test below the 50% level (test level 62,975), then an attack on the test level and the 50% level.
Hope you found it interesting.
Good luck with your trading and investments!
FTM Update - 11.10.2024 / Long Idea 1d: we see an upward off and a target in the form of a key zone and a high.
At the moment we are getting reaction from weekly imbalance buyer, for confirmation I want to see structure change at 1h and entry pattern formation.
Observe risk management !
USDCHF to find buyers at the market price?USDCHF - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains positive.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
We look for a temporary move lower.
We look to buy at current market price.
20 4hour EMA is at 0.8574.
Our profit targets will be 0.8630 and 0.8645
We look to Buy at 0.8575 (stop at 0.8553)
Resistance: 0.8609 / 0.8630 / 0.8650
Support: 0.8580 / 0.8565 / 0.8550
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURAUD to continue in the upward move?EURAUD - 24h expiry
The medium term bias remains bullish.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Bespoke support is located at 1.6235.
The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows.
We look to Buy at 1.6235 (stop at 1.6185)
Our profit targets will be 1.6355 and 1.6385
Resistance: 1.6350 / 1.6440 / 1.6500
Support: 1.6235 / 1.6190 / 1.6100
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD to continue in the selloff?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Further downside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.6120 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6090.
We look to Sell at 0.6160 (stop at 0.6184)
Our profit targets will be 0.6100 and 0.6090
Resistance: 0.6150 / 0.6160 / 0.6175
Support: 0.6120 / 0.6100 / 0.6090
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Will GOLD continue to hold back the bulls?XAUUSD - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 2660.
We look to Sell at 2662.2 (stop at 2678.2)
Our profit targets will be 2622.2 and 2612.2
Resistance: 2654.0 / 2670.2 / 2685.6
Support: 2632.0 / 2624.7 / 2600.0
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
How Much More Longer BearishOn this pair, we find that on the weekly timeframe, the market is Bullish. Price even went all the way up towards our liquidity target but failed to close above it. We are currently witnessing another pullback.
On the Daily, price is bullish. We have seen prices currently retrace into the daily zone.
But there is a lot of speculation as to whether or not this our refined daily reversal zone has what it takes to invite the bulls of demand to hold prices at that level and drive it back up.
Now my Analysis:
As much as I would want the daily zone to hold, as this is the fastest way for us to find a LONG trading opportunity, jumping on the rally towards the confluence weekly/daily liquidity targets. But I have a bit of reservation on this. This is because of the force with which prices have come into the daily reversal zone. Prices have come into the zone with a strong push, and not the usual gentle slide in expected of a reversal zone. Dont get me wrong, I am not concluding that the zone will fail, but rather I am saying that instead of the initial 70% chance I had of the zone holding, I now have a 40% chance of it holding because of price action.
In the event that the zone holds, we will expect to see the rally resume with prices gravitating towards our liquidity target above; and we will excitedly pull out out panzy pips trading system and jump on the trade.
But what happens if the zone fails..?
Where this is the case, we will look to see prices deep further towards the Weekly zone below. From where we will look to see some bullish reversal and again place our trade setup right beside price and stand ready to trade.
In all of these, we do not and cannot completely rule out the possibility of catching some bearish trades where the daily zone is breached and price dips towards the Weekly zone.
Share your thoughts guys and let us see your perspective on the market
Are The Bulls Still Up To IT?On this pair, we see that the Weekly chart is ready to resume its long held bearishness. Over the past few days, we have witnessed prices rally all the way up (a Bullish retracement inside a bearish swing), driving prices into our marked out Weekly reversal zone. As expected, the zone held, and we began to see reversals, with prices turning bearish from that point.
But the thing is this, that bullish retracement on the weekly came as a result of a bullish extension on the daily chart. The pertinent question before us now is whether or not the bulls of the daily chart will be able to come in strongly enough to contain the current bearish push and hold prices in a bullish trend.
Here is my take.
It is common knowledge that the lower time frames move in consonance with (in obedience to) the higher timeframes... lol (the word "obedience" got me laughing for a bit. But let's cyt back to the chase)
Now we have seen the daily printing a bullish narrative. But we are all expected to believe that the bullish trend sustained by the daily has the primary intention and purpose of driving prices in the direction of the higher timeframe, which in this case is the weekly chart. We therefore believe that all of that bullish push was to drive prices into the Weekly reversal zone. With that being fulfilled, price is expected to move in the direction of the Weekly over and above the daily direction. This is the regular theory and philosophy of the forex market.
But will that narrative hold sway this time around?
We see prices now dipping bearish. This is an extension for the Weekly chart, and at the same time a retracement on the daily bullish swing.
In the event that the Daily zone holds (which is less likely), we will expect to see prices reverse bullish, begin totally and move to take out Daily liquidity target above. This will result in a deeper retracement inside the Weekyl zone, or a complete breach of the zone. Where the zone is breached, we will look to see the market print higher prices and go all the way up.
On the other hand, if the bearish perspective of the Weekly holds, we will expect to see the Daily zone breached, at which point we will expect prices to dip towards the weekly liquidity target below.
So guys, who do you thing is gonna win the day, the Bulls of the Daily or the Bears of the Weekly? share your thoughts in the comment section
Cross Roads for the CableOn the Weekly, we see that the market is in a Bullish swing. After prices rallied to form the high, it has begun the bearish retracement, dipping towards the reversal zones which are refined from the existing PB of the Weekly.
This narrative above is also the same for the Daily chart. On the Daily, not only dow e see a chart that is bullish and now retracing bearish into the refined zone, but we can notice that at this time, price is well inside the zone, and even threatening to break bearish and breach the zone.
Now my analysis:
I expect the Daily reversal zone to hold. Where that happens, we expect to see prices go all the way up to hit Daily liquidity target and at the same time give us an extension of the current bullish swing on both the Daily and Weekly charts. If it does go this way, we will pull our our panzy pips trading system and begin to catch trades on the extension rally.
On the other hand, in the unlikely event that our daily zone fails, we will expect to see prices retrace deeper and dip lower towards the weekly reversal zone, from where we will watch out for reversals inside that zone. The rally will be expected to begin from there, and from there drive prices all the way up towards the Weekly liquidy target. This is gonna be one hell of a rally, so y'all better be ready to cath some great deal of profit off of that rally.
As usual, we will look to trade that rally applying our same trad entry systems unique to panzy pips traders.
See you at the top of that cliff guys ...