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SHCOMP

Shanghai Composite Index (SSE) To Hit 6,124 First, Then 8,660SSE had a rally from 2005 to 2007 establishing the all-time high of CNY 6,124. After that, the price had built a weird corrective structure with ups and downs fading in magnitude over a very long period of time. It took 17 years to complete the giant contracting triangle (white ABCDE marks). The pattern was broken to the upside this summer. This is the first harbinger of possible reversal and potential rally. The confirmation we wait is the breakup of the peak of wave D beyond CNY 3,724 The conservative target for the upcoming rally is located at the all-time high of CNY 6,124 The ultimate target is set at the equal distance of blue wave (A) in blue wave (C) at CNY 8,660
SSE:000001Long
by aibek
CHINA A50 Death Cross to push it lower but buy opportunity lurksThe China A50 index (CN50) completed yesterday a 1D Death Cross following a convincing rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and that should extend the Channel Down to a new Lower Low. Technically it appears to far to be in good symmetry with the Falling Wedge's previous Bearish Leg, that found a temporary bottom after a -14.76% decline and rebounded to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, despite the current weakness, we expect this last push to stop around 11100 - 11000 and then rebound to 12100 (0.618 Fib). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:CN50
by TradingShot
Shanghai Comp SHCOMP ~ Bearish H&S Update (Feb 2024)SSE:000001 chart mapping/analysis. Been a while since I've published any charts on TradingView - process is a pain in the a$$ tbh & procrastination crept in while lacking TA-edge on markets + other commitments.. That said, noticed Shanghai Comp chart still notching views given current environment so thought I'd give an update. Initial TA thesis hasn't changed - bearish H&S identified in Dec 2023 completed & still in play, despite PBOC desperately throwing everything to keep their market afloat (don't fight the trend). Chart notes: Cleaned up clutter from previous chart Added descending parallel channel for potential bounce play off lower trend-line Labelled 50/200 EMA death cross to signify bear market trend (weekly chart) Break below ~2666 = further capitulation Break above ~2924 (R1) = bullish trend reversal Stay tuned whether I get back on TradingView horse & update older charts or publish new ones, cheers.
SSE:000001Short
by BlueHatInvestor
Iron Ore Futures ~ Snapshot TA / Coiling like a Steel RollIron Ore Futures coiling like a steel roll in a series of Lower Highs & Higher Lows since October 2022. Break above 116.60 = Bullish momentum towards 134.85 (38.2% Fib Retracement) Break below 99.40 = Bearish momentum towards 77.60 (78.6% Fib Extension) Seasonality typically favours the Bulls running strong into end of year - we'll see if it still rings true this year, given China's current economic woes.. Boost/Follow appreciated. Futures: SGX:FEF1! SGX:FEF2! COMEX:TIO1! COMEX:TIO2! ASX: ASX:BHP ASX:RIO ASX:FMG ASX:MIN ASX:CIA NYSE: NYSE:VALE
SGX:FEF2!Long
by BlueHatInvestor
SHCOMP ~ Snapshot TA / Bearish H&S Development (TBC) / WeeklyChina's Economy is dangerously on the ropes...things have gotten so bad, CCP had to make an announcement on a Sunday night (AEST/UC+10) that they're going to intervene in their domestic market with a raft of "measures" in hopes of boosting market confidence: - Halve stamp duty on stock trading - Tighten pace of IPO listings - Cut margin financing requirements - Restrict listed companies' refinancing - Restrict share reductions by major shareholders My gut instinct tells me this will be a financial disaster...luckily we've got charts to tell us what's really going on. Taking a (Snapshot TA) look, SSE:000001 appears to be developing a Bearish H&S. Extrapolating Head-to-Neckline indicates price could be heading towards a pretty interesting Confluence Zone : - Gap fill (weekly) - Retrace to previous 2014 break-out (aka Return to Scene of Crime) - Key demand/support zone - Multi-decade trend line Note: While chart patterns (ie H&S) are great at spotting trends, etc. it's important to focus on associated demand/supply zones & how price interacts with key levels to determine when & where to scale in/out of positions. All (technical) signs point to SHCOMP in process of capitulating...problem with Govt interventions is it becomes a momentum play in either direction & technicals take a back seat. We'll just have to take note of critical levels, set alerts & wait for the dust to settle.. Boost/Follow appreciated, cheers :) CFD/INDEX: PEPPERSTONE:CN50 PEPPERSTONE:HK50 US: NASDAQ:AIA AMEX:FXI AMEX:EEM AMEX:CQQQ AMEX:KWEB ASX: ASX:IAA ASX:IZZ ASX:IEM ASX:CNEW ASX:ASIA
SSE:000001
by BlueHatInvestor
BITCOIN and China stock market go hand in hand despite the bans!I see a lot of interest on my Bitcoin vs U.S. indices fractals and that motivated to make more seemingly 'odd' comparisons that end up to interesting findings. One such interesting finding is the comparison of Bitcoin (orange trend-line) to the Shanghai Stock Exchange (black trend-line). Everyone in the crypto world knows how strongly the Chinese government has been battling Bitcoin mining and transactions. Last year alone (2021) we had two such events with the May one being the most severe causing a price correction of more than -50%. Despite the bans, this chart shows the remarkable correlation of BTC with the Chinese stock market! To get a better understanding of how closely correlated they have been since late 2017, I've plotted also the S&P500 index (light grey), on very low opacity though so that it doesn't spoil the main comparison of this study. Especially their correlation throughout 2021 is astounding as both BTC and Shanghai have been trading within a wide range, while the S&P was making High after High. So the question is obvious. Why despite all of China's hostility and legal actions against BTCUSD, it is so correlated to their stock exchange? I am very curious to read your thoughts. Let's make a heated discussion in the comments section down below! Feel free to share your work! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
39
What's up , China ?If we look closely at what the Chinese government have been doing of late, I would say they are indeed doing a great job for the people of China. From clamping down on the 996 working culture , stopping the fan culture online and drastically reducing the amount of tuition for kids........ Living in Singapore, we are not too much different. Parents with kids are also sent to a frenzy when weekends come. They act as chauffeur for their kids, sending them from one enrichment program to another islandwide, hoping to give them a better edge in life. This article here prompted this Taiwanese entrepreneur to take things in his stride and created an eco-farm where his kids and the public can now enjoy and spend more time with nature rather than the mobile phone or laptop. The big picture is to ensure the Generation Z and younger would have a life outside of their virtual world, parents who are slogging hard to make money would not feel so stressful each day worrying about their kids' academic results or extra curricular activities. And of course, down the road, I expect more benefits like maternity , paternity leave , cash grants , etc to be dish out to incentivise more couples to have more children. The notion of "getting older before getting rich" is a concern for the Chinese government and they have to do whatever it takes to turn the situation around. Retirement villages , eldercare services are relatively a new concept in China unlike the US and Europe and it will take some times before we see a change. And because of the "elitism" mentality, many parents are buying properties near the schools they want to enrol their kids. Government has also move in to rein the red hot booming property market and those properties around the school areas have witnessed a drop in pricing after the clampdown on the private education sector. Read article here When reading the news daily ,it may appear that there is a BIG CLEAN UP by the government. Many industries have not been spared and I think more sectors will not be spared in the coming months.......
TVC:HSI
by dchua1969
4
A-shares are the most valuable mainstream assetsHere is a chart comparing the Nasdaq 100, Bitcoin, and the Shanghai Index, which is in a position to break out of its long-term downtrend line on a weekly basis. Once this long - term downtrend line breaks, it opens up a lot of upside. The Nasdaq and Bitcoin have proven this logic in time. Given the current state of global financial markets, the Fed's decision to let loose cannot last long, as we saw firsthand in 2008. The United States tried to shift the crisis with the SDRs of the dollar, but it did not work well for China. Because China has enough digestive capacity, complete industrial structure, and at the same time, China is the country with the best epidemic control. In a mechanism that can mobilize resources and allocate assets to a high degree, the ability to deal with crises is naturally strong. If the US fails to avert the crisis, it may eventually catch fire, so the US financial market is in crisis, which is why Wall Street has not given up on the Chinese market, and more foreign investment is flowing to China, which is also confirmed. As an emerging financial market, digital currency has made considerable development in the past two years, but its stability is very poor, let alone risk aversion. It is itself the greatest danger. A market that is threatened by policy and manipulated by individuals cannot become the first choice for mainstream money, if it does not collapse. While many of Wall Street's biggest firms are now playing the game, that doesn't mean the digital currency market is ready to compete with traditional financial markets. TULIPS, too, nearly upended European financial markets, but in the end they were nothing more than a fleeting event. The future of digital currency is uncertain, but for now, at least, it won't be banned as a commodity by the government, but they could be suicidal if they try to touch the currency space. But as a commodity associated with crude oil, non-ferrous metals and gold, it is certainly not the original intention of the players behind Bitcoin, so the market is full of uncertainty. Back to A shares, whether fundamentals, or technical, are full of temptation. First of all, the valuation of A-shares is still very low, while the quality of China's listed companies is constantly improving, and the entry of foreign capital brings fresh water, and also accelerates the standard governance. When the epidemic is uncertain, China is certainly the safest market, so the stock market, as an economic barometer, should feel the market changes the quickest. From the technical analysis, this trend line once broken, A shares will open 5-10 years of slow bull trend. As for investment options, I'm a long-term believer in new energy and biomedicine.
TVC:NDQ
by peter-l